geeth wrote:All these surveys showing Khujliwal gaining strength in Dilli (and Dilli alone, mind you) makes me feel that In Dilli atleast, it is gonna be EVM magic. They are preparing the ground work, lest the Opposition cry foul after the results are declared. Professory Yogendra Yadav was removed from UGC on the day of survey, to show that they are all different and he is a sworn enemy of Kangress, to further convince any doubting Thomas anywhere in the nooks of Dillis Rajpaths..or the sarkari affices..IMO, BJP should raise the issue now itself, and ensure no such heraferi takes place. Also, It is important that the Dilli Billis don't collude with Kangress to secure defeat from jaws of victory
A long time ago (23 Aug 2011, during the massive Jan Lokpal Bill agitations) I had posted the following on the origins of the Kejriwal circus.
http://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/viewto ... 3#p1152333
Read it again, and see if everything we are observing now makes sense.
What I think happened is something like this.
A little background. As of 2004, we're seeing the stabilization of a political phenomenon that has only rarely (if ever) existed before in Indian parliamentary democracy... and that too, for very brief and unstable stints in the past.
We're seeing the source of all political authority, permanently and stably, sitting outside the elected office of PM. Sonia Gandhi... all power, no accountability.
And, we're seeing a completely bankrupt, depleted political chief executive sitting in the elected office of PM: MMS, a functionary of Sonia Gandhi. No power, all accountability.
As I said, India has seen this before. For example, when the Chandra Shekhar govt. circa 1990 depended on Congress (I) external support to survive, and Congress dictated policy terms. But that was clearly unstable and impermanent. It could not last, and it did not last.
This (Sonia-MMS dichotomy) is the first time in Indian history that such an equation has been deliberately and artificially stabilized... accepted as the status quo... and engineered to last for as long as Sonia Gandhi requires.
Such a situation eventually will lead to a loss of faith in the entire system of parliamentary democracy. The anger may be actuated and aggravated by various issues... corruption, black money, scams, price rise, whatever. But underlying everything is an instinctive sense that the system is just not working anymore. That is the mood of the middle class in India today. That is why, when Aruna Roy or INC mouthpieces insist that Anna is "blackmailing the parliamentary system", Indian people don't give a $hit... they're coming out in greater numbers and supporting Anna even MORE.
Ok. So who planned this?
Here's my guess. We have established that, in this artificially stabilized and untenable equation, Sonia is the external source of governmental authority... all power, no accountability. No need to face elections, no need to explain anything to the people, she can just do what she bloody well wants.
As with all absolute monarchs, she has gathered a *court* around her. An entirely unelected, non-parliamentary bunch of private citizens called The National Advisory Council. Harsh Manders, John Dayals, Ahmed Patels, Aruna Roys. Unelectable people who represent nobody. Yet, by virtue of being in this *court*, all of a sudden they share in Sonia's fount of political power. All of a sudden these people, members of "civil society", are in a position of immense political power without accountability. Just like that! Magic!
And boy, did these "court" people flex their muscles. Ramachandra Guha, Aruna Roy and others pressured the Supreme Court into expunging a statement that predatory conversion by Christian Missionaries causes social friction and hostility. Swami Agnivesh and Nandini Sundar, again, pressured the Supreme Court into declaring the anti-Maoist Salwa Judum as illegal. Most recently the whole pack of jackals have been concocting the "Communal Violence Bill", which is nothing more than a Blasphemy Law directed exclusively against Hindus.
Now, with all *courts*, what happens? There are insiders and there are outsiders. None of them rise on any stance of merit. They only rise by their ability to please Sonia Gandhi (and by agreeing with her that Hindoooo assertiveness is public enemy number one.) Yet, not everyone can be an insider. Some end up inside, some end up outside. There is a lot of jockeying for position. But eventually there are winners and there are losers.
It's that simple. Aruna Roy, Harsh Mandar, John Dayal, and co. ended up as "insiders". Kejriwal, Swami Agnivesh, Prashant Bhushan and gang ended up as "outsiders."
The "outsiders" then said, "Ok, we will show the insiders." After all, the rise of Sonia Gandhi's *court* had proved a point... that in the New India, even an unelectable and non-representative member of "civil society" can wield immense political power. So why should that power be restricted to "insiders" onlee? The "outsiders" had tasted a little of this power (e.g. Swami Agnivesh successfully pressurizing the SC over Salwa Judum) and they wanted more.
So the "outsiders" took advantage of the popular mood, and roped in the old Gandhian activist, Anna Hazare, to be their figurehead. They said, "let us put on a show to embarrass the insiders over the corruption/scam issues... then, to avoid further embarrassment, Sonia might allow us to become insiders also!" At that point everything would have been smoothed over, insider-outsider power sharing compromise would have been reached, old Anna would have been put out to pasture, and everyone would be back to business as usual.
Of course, if the JLPB was accepted by the government, then the Jan Lok Pal office would be yet another path for unelectable, non-representative "civil society" people to gain immense power over the nation. The concept of "power without accountability" had already been proved to be viable, by Sonia Gandhi and the NAC... so why could other structures not be invented to accommodate it?
So the "outsiders" had nothing to lose by beginning the agitation.
Note, even these "outsiders" were not without funds or backing. They all have NGO connections and funding. The promise of being able to wield influence in Sonia Gandhi's *court* brought them even more funds and backing. So they did get behind Anna, and began the Jantar Mantar agitation earlier this year.
Everything since then: LPB vs. JLPB, etc. etc. has been an outward symptom of the "civil society outsiders" vs. "civil society insiders" battle, with the GOI on the same side as the "insiders." But there is one big difference. Back during the Jantar Mantar agitation, the "outsiders" vs. "insiders" were playing a water-polo match in a calm and quiet pond. Today that pond has turned into a raging ocean... THIS was not something that was foreseen, let alone planned, by anyone.
That was Point A. Kejriwal/Bhushan were "Outsiders" who had been excluded from Sonia Gandhi's Durbar of "Insiders" (the NAC) and wanted to show their blackmailing muscle by organizing the Jan Lokpal Bill demonstrations.
Does anybody even remember the Jan Lokpal Bill demonstration today? What happened to it? The whole demand just vanished into thin air, no? I'm sure it still appears somewhere on the back pages of the Scam Admi Party manifesto (
in really small print) but from the front and center of political theatre two years ago, it's been relegated to some cold, distant excuse for a back-burner.
So now we're at Point B. Kejriwal/Bhushan, the "Outsiders", have abandoned Anna Hazare after using his credibility as a reformer to gain publicity for themselves. They have also formed a regular political party: the Scam Admi Party. Yet, even though the JLPB agitation has long since recessed to the most distant corners of public memory... opinion polls show the Scam Admi Party winning 7 seats in Delhi!
As Geeth says, this smells very much like a setup... so that we won't be too surprised or suspicious when EVM magic, courtesy the Congress, delivers the Scam Admi Party a large number of seats in the coming Delhi election.
Can one infer the negotiations which brought the Congress and Kejriwal from Point A to Point B? Seems like a deal was struck whereby Kejriwal and Bhushan, the former "Outsiders", have now been guaranteed a red-carpet welcome (though by the electoral route) to the "Inside".
