Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 28 Mar 2014 02:51

In Maharashtra, of the total 48 Lok Sabha seats, the BJP is contesting 26 seats and Shiv Sena 22 seats. The BJP has given two seats from its quota to Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghatana and one to Rashtriya Samaj Party. Sena has given one seat from its quota to the Republican Party of India.

Source

Sanjay · Post by **Sanjay** » 28 Mar 2014 03:27

RajeshA, that scumbag contesting in Bangalore South - any idea how badly he will hurt the BJP ?

VinodTK · Post by **VinodTK** » 28 Mar 2014 03:59

Woman alleges repeated rape by AAP candidate and associates

A woman has filed a complaint alleging that Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) candidate from Guna-Shivpuri Lok Sabha seat Shailendra Singh Kushwaha and three office bearers allegedly raped her at least three times over a period of more than a year, the police said here on Thursday.

AAP Madhya Pradesh State Secretary Akshay Hunka reached Gwalior today to look into the matter and termed the allegations as “politically motivated, aimed at tarnishing Kushwaha’s image”.

The 30-year-old complainant said that she was associated with Anna Hazare’s anti-corruption movement and had later joined the AAP.

She alleged that Kushwaha and three other office bearers, identified as Gwalior district AAP convenor Himanshu Kulshreshta, AAP district secretary Abhijit Wagh and AAP district spokesperson Manuraj Saxena raped her at least thrice, about a year ago, the police said.

The woman claimed that she went to Raipur later and came back to file a complaint at the Kampu police station yesterday, after suffering for almost a year.

She said that she lodged a police complaint only after she reported the matter to AAP leaders in Delhi, who did not help her.

Meanwhile, Additional Superintendent of Police (ASP) Virendra Jain said that as per Supreme Court guidelines if an incident of rape is more than three months old, then an FIR in the matter would be filed only after a probe, which the police has initiated.

However, Kushwaha dismissing her allegations as “baseless and aimed at tarnishing his image,” said that he was told that the woman filed the complaint at the behest of two party workers, in order to settle political scores, since she has complained after more than a year.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 28 Mar 2014 06:53

Sanjay wrote:RajeshA, that scumbag contesting in Bangalore South - any idea how badly he will hurt the BJP ?

if D2 were behind his short lived admission, why is he contesting against one of them to pull out votes? AK was already in for a tough fight against the Certified Sickular(CS) grad.

perhaps he is angry and wants revenge on D2 now. I doubt he will cause any dent in blr south though. not sure about his home constituency.

Shanmukh · Post by **Shanmukh** » 28 Mar 2014 07:18

harbans wrote:I think BJP will itself get over 290-300 seats. And add allies. Logic: If polls indicate 60+% Indians want Modi as PM, even a 15% les vote share should logically translate to > 270 seats. Still fail to understand how 60+ % people want Modi will fail to deliver 300 seats. So BJP should get 300 plus seats alone

Unfortunately, it won't. In places like UP, Haryana and Bihar, the BJP is registering nearly a 20% (~15%-35% in UP) swing in its favour. But the problem is that the BJP vote share in many places was so abysmally low (WB, AP, TN) that even a 20% vote swing won't give BJP more than a few seats more. In other places like Rajasthan, Gujarat, MP, BJP seat share is already maximised. All this focus on UP, Bihar, Karnataka, Orissa (they should focus a bit more on Haryana, IMO, or maybe they are calculating on a back room deal with Chauthala) is not for fun and games. BJP can win big if it achieves a 15% vote push here. All in all, my own estimate for BJP is between 190 and 195 at this point. Everything it achieves beyond 195 is a bonus, IMO.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 28 Mar 2014 07:39

^^^, you hit the nail sir, they can expect somewhere between 120-135 seats without UP and Bihar.

Their fortunes rest entirely on how well they do in those 2 states. If they hit gold and lap up 65-70 seats there, they will do well.

RamaY · Post by **RamaY** » 28 Mar 2014 07:44

In 2009 between Congress & BJP they got 322 seats and others 230 seats.

Those 322 seats will be split between BJP, INC and AAP. Now give your favorite numbers to INC and AAp and rest will go to BJP.

Today in 2014 many of those others (SP, BSP, JDU, BJD, TMC, TDP, DMK, AIDMK ETC = 230 seats) are weaker than in 2009. Most likely BJP will get 20 seats from this others bucket due to Modi factor.

Add the cross-voting (one vote state & one vote center) in AP, Odissa, Maha & Haryana to this and it will add another 10 seats to BJP.

That's my calculation.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 28 Mar 2014 08:15

Vote for development, dump corrupt, Election Commission says

MUMBAI: In an apparent first, the Election Commission has initiated a campaign urging people to vote for candidates who are pro-development and dump criminals and the corrupt. It has also urged voters to beware of those who offer bribes.

..
Though Election Commission of India officials declined to react to the hoardings, when prodded, they did admit that it was unusual for a poll watchdog to run campaigns asking voters to choose a particular type of candidate. "We prefer to limit our campaigns to encouraging people to come out and vote. It is not our job to try and shape the voter's preferences," said an official.

..
"We shall be voting only those who will add to the progress of the nation. We shall be a part of development by voting a right candidate," another slogan stated.

Kati · Post by **Kati** » 28 Mar 2014 09:04

Campaign - Bappi-da Istyle...
http://www.telegraphindia.com/1140328/j ... zTvMqhdUhs

archan · Post by **archan** » 28 Mar 2014 09:09

Apparently Naghma ji went in the crowd in Meerut and some idiot touched her inappropriately, only to get slapped. What retards.

krishnan · Post by **krishnan** » 28 Mar 2014 09:36

archan wrote:Apparently Naghma ji went in the crowd in Meerut and some idiot touched her inappropriately, only to get slapped. What retards.

a congress local MLA or someone even kissed her in public

niran · Post by **niran** » 28 Mar 2014 09:37

This IBTL survey gives RJD 6 seats in Bihar I ask where from are those
six coming? certainly not lalo's mussarraf, no, lalo can't contest his daughter misa is contesting and she faces
Ram kirpal yadav for a better perspective lalo was beaten in patliputra in 2009 he won from the seat his wife
is contesting but sadhu yadav her brother is contesting as an independent now we know what transpired in sadhu and NaMo meet. All in all RJD gonna get 2 maximum not 6 BJP will cross 310 going by current data collected.

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 28 Mar 2014 09:42

Kati wrote:Campaign - Bappi-da Istyle...
http://www.telegraphindia.com/1140328/j ... zTvMqhdUhs

Lovely. Mazaa aya. Now this is a campaign I would love to be part of...

NM should seriously consider spending some time and campaign stop here. Give a day to WB, visit 2-3 places and ensure deposits are returned in all those places....

subhamoy.das · Post by **subhamoy.das** » 28 Mar 2014 11:00

RamaY wrote:In 2009 between Congress & BJP they got 322 seats and others 230 seats.

Those 322 seats will be split between BJP, INC and AAP. Now give your favorite numbers to INC and AAp and rest will go to BJP.

Today in 2014 many of those others (SP, BSP, JDU, BJD, TMC, TDP, DMK, AIDMK ETC = 230 seats) are weaker than in 2009. Most likely BJP will get 20 seats from this others bucket due to Modi factor.

Add the cross-voting (one vote state & one vote center) in AP, Odissa, Maha & Haryana to this and it will add another 10 seats to BJP.

That's my calculation.

+1. That has been that stats for last several GE. National Parties have control of about 300+ seats and regional ones on 200+. So, between BJP and CONG(I) who sever manages to get close to 200+/300+ seats forms a strong govt. So if BJP can get 200+ then CONG(I) will automatically get reduced to around 100.

Virendra · Post by **Virendra** » 28 Mar 2014 12:50

Hari Seldon wrote:Nice part is that since '98-'99 heydays, so many more areas in the country seem to have been liberated from baleful cong influence only.

Its not just the GV areas - UP, Bihar, WB
or merely the west-central saffron citadel - Guj, MP, Chattisgarh
But the entire eastern seaboard - Odisha, Seemandhra, TN

Sala but for Jaswant and his son's meddling, there was a decent chance lotus could've carried Raj'n state polls in '08 and inched Raj'n closer to becoming cong must. I hope JH, UKD are also firmly set on cong mukt path post 2014. Only.

Remains to be seen how caste realignments in Up_bihar (post-mandal, that is) affect the lohiaite Cong B teams.

As Bji predicted, perhaps the erstwhile commie bastions of WB and KL are ripening for a saffron surge in 2019...

Jaswant's son is already an MLA from BJP ticket.
At best Jaswant will cost BJP 1 seat in Raj.
A lot of people are putting much of their anguish and skepticism aside; only to lock their jaws and vote properly for NaMo once.
That is why they let BJP sweep Rajasthan this December, like never before. If there is one state where NaMo Aandhi blew full on last year, despite a not so bad incumbent Govt. - it is Rajasthan.
My take is that BJP still has 21+ seats in Rajasthan.

Regards,
Virendra

niran · Post by **niran** » 28 Mar 2014 13:52

Hema malini bjp candidate from Mathura yesterday created a stir, she refused to get down from her vehical
citing she is a star, hence no can mingle without security

another stir from congress candidate nagma she slapped an over enthusiastic supporter
and had to leave for safe confines of hotel 5 hours earlier than planned

FIR against congressi mahsood newphew of Rashid mahsood for publically threatening to kill NaMo

NaMo supporters at Varanasi has printed and distributed new poster with modification of Goddess Durga shlok
as usual Sakarachyara of Dwarka voiced his disagreement but the cadres pretending to be deaf and dumb distributed it all over the city.

the ferocious support by sasram voters for NaMo has sent violent jitters down the congress spine, so in next 15 days both raga and maga will hold ralies in sasaram.

Vikas · Post by **Vikas** » 28 Mar 2014 14:04

All these Netas who are crying about not getting the tickets, What has been there track record in last 2 GE. Bigger the Leader, more seats he should have got for the party but no people like JS and LKA simply preach.
Atleast Sushy Aunty gets her hands dirty in the battle grounds.

If new faces are not given a chance during this TsuNamo, when will they be brought forward. The old generation who tried and lost in last 2 GE should let/be forced to sit out and let new blood be tried.
AAP experiment in Delhi has shown that voters do vote for new faces if backed up by good campaign and connection with voters.

e.g: I might be a big NaMo fan but when I see the same old loser coming and asking for vote who did not show his face in last 5-10 years, I might be less inclined when I enter the polling booth. Same is true for any other political party.

Moreover what is Tsunami of Modi Ji if it can't get over minor hiccups. I am sure Cong-I too had similar problems in
1984 elections but the sympathy wave overrode anything and everything.
All the tall leaders of opposition were swept away in a big swoosh so hopefully same thing will happen this time and NaMo charisma will carry BJP alone beyond 272 even in places where Lotus has no presence.

Vikas · Post by **Vikas** » 28 Mar 2014 14:09

What is the Logic of getting Hema Malini and Naghma to fight elections from hinterlands of UP ?
Is it lack of candidate or just to ride the star power ?
Same for Kirron Kher ? Why not ask LKA to fight election from Chandigarh instead of para dropping someone who is not a politician especially when LKA is such a tall leader and wanted to move out of Gujarat

Initially I thought that Naghma is a stupid choice for Con but then if Azza and Jayaprada can come all the way from Hyderabad and win Elections in UP, then Naghma is not such a bad option.
Giving ticket to Mohd Kaif from Phulpur is something that is beyond any comprehension. Jai Ho to Cong ticket distribution cell.

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 28 Mar 2014 14:35

unedited version of the video

Yogi_G · Post by **Yogi_G** » 28 Mar 2014 14:36

Campaigning in Cow belt by a Bible thumping convert? Not surprised as these people have also voted to power an Italian Catholic whose Father had Nazi connections.

Chandragupta · Post by **Chandragupta** » 28 Mar 2014 14:44

Yogi_G wrote:Campaigning in Cow belt by a Bible thumping convert? Not surprised as these people have also voted to power an Italian Catholic whose Father had Nazi connections.

Who?

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 28 Mar 2014 14:45

^Nagma is an EJ. Yet another one, I should say.

Yogi_G · Post by **Yogi_G** » 28 Mar 2014 15:00

Her "testi(cle)monials" on youtube are absolutely disgusting. These should be played out by BJP during their campaigning.

Yogi_G · Post by **Yogi_G** » 28 Mar 2014 15:02

Oh and for the record, Hema Malini is a nominal Muslim at that! Dont trust me? Look it up.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 28 Mar 2014 15:06

Uma Bharti ‏@umasribharti 44m
बाबा रामदेव जी व माननीय राजनाथ जी को उनके प्रस्ताव के लिए धन्यवाद दिया और कहा कि मैं अपनी झांसी नहीं छोड़ सकती।

Uma Bharti wrote:Thanked Baba Ramdev and respected Rajnath ji for their suggestion and told them that I can't leave my Jhansi!

So the search for somebody to stand against Sonia Gandhi from Rae Bareli continues.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 28 Mar 2014 15:07

Yogi_G wrote:Oh and for the record, Hema Malini is a nominal Muslim at that! Dont trust me? Look it up.

And so is Dharmendra! Only through Islam one gets Dream Girls, sometimes even 72 of them.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 28 Mar 2014 15:11

kmkraoind wrote:From Twittter

@ANI_news: BJP leader Lal Muni Chaubey withdrew his independent nomination from Buxar after Narendra Modi spoke to him

This is a welcome development. The Bihar story should work like clockwork to maximize the seat gain.

Hari Seldon · Post by **Hari Seldon** » 28 Mar 2014 15:33

Manna from heaven for the naysayers and dhoti-shiverers on the dhaga....

http://www.firstpost.com/politics/why-u ... 54985.html

Why lotus is doomed to fail in UP.... (lotsa arguments seem weak but somehow, plausible, perhaps).

kapilrdave · Post by **kapilrdave** » 28 Mar 2014 15:44

vivek.rao wrote:unedited version of the video

There are two lies in this video.

1. There are 4% muslims in Guj
2. There are 20% muslims in Saharanpur

In guj they are more than at least 8%. And I've been to Saharanpur. They are more than at least 35%. Why is he lying in front of his own people? I would think he would inflate the numbers to boost the morale of peace lovers. Did he know that he is going to be published in news channels?

sooraj · Post by **sooraj** » 28 Mar 2014 15:54

RajeshA wrote:Uma Bharti ‏@umasribharti 44m
बाबा रामदेव जी व माननीय राजनाथ जी को उनके प्रस्ताव के लिए धन्यवाद दिया और कहा कि मैं अपनी झांसी नहीं छोड़ सकती।

Uma Bharti wrote:Thanked Baba Ramdev and respected Rajnath ji for their suggestion and told them that I can't leave my Jhansi!
So the search for somebody to stand against Sonia Gandhi from Rae Bareli continues.

Sushma Swaraj should contest from Rae Bareli

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 28 Mar 2014 16:13

sooraj wrote:
RajeshA wrote:Uma Bharti ‏@umasribharti 44m
बाबा रामदेव जी व माननीय राजनाथ जी को उनके प्रस्ताव के लिए धन्यवाद दिया और कहा कि मैं अपनी झांसी नहीं छोड़ सकती।

Thanked Baba Ramdev and respected Rajnath ji for their suggestion and told them that I can't leave my Jhansi!

******

So the search for somebody to stand against Sonia Gandhi from Rae Bareli continues.
Sushma Swaraj should contest from Rae Bareli

No, because she would just use the Modi wave to get votes and then call it her own popularity.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 28 Mar 2014 16:29

Sabir Ali, responsible for Delhi unit of JD(U), has joined BJP. It could help in Chandni Chowk areas.

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 28 Mar 2014 16:35

Times Now suggesting that there might be some deal between BJP and Congress in fielding Uma and Smriti against Sonia and Rahul. BJP is hesitant to make the announcements until it knows Congress' candidates.

Patni · Post by **Patni** » 28 Mar 2014 16:42

kapilrdave wrote: There are two lies in this video.

1. There are 4% muslims in Guj
2. There are 20% muslims in Saharanpur

In guj they are more than at least 8%. And I've been to Saharanpur. They are more than at least 35%. Why is he lying in front of his own people? I would think he would inflate the numbers to boost the morale of peace lovers. Did he know that he is going to be published in news channels?

I think he claims 42% muslim in Saharanpur. The hindi word used i think is "बयालीस {bayalis}".

kapilrdave · Post by **kapilrdave** » 28 Mar 2014 16:57

^^ It could be the case. It is not clear from his accent. Someone from that region can confirm?

member_20317 · Post by **member_20317** » 28 Mar 2014 17:04

RajeshA wrote:Sabir Ali, responsible for Delhi unit of JD(U), has joined BJP. It could help in Chandni Chowk areas.

On TV, I had often felt like Sabir Ali held back his punches when everybody around him was going hammer and tongs at Modi. Probably being a Madhabi opponent of NaMo he had a better appreciation of the nuances of the power that NaMo wields and wanted to maintain bridges, unlike the power drunk Niku. At least to me he looks more genuine an acquisition then MJA (voicing my distrust of only, not commenting on his value).

Unfortunately I cannot evidence it but hey you know me.

darshhan · Post by **darshhan** » 28 Mar 2014 17:26

RajeshA wrote:
kmkraoind wrote:From Twittter

@ANI_news: BJP leader Lal Muni Chaubey withdrew his independent nomination from Buxar after Narendra Modi spoke to him
This is a welcome development. The Bihar story should work like clockwork to maximize the seat gain.

Buddhey ne apni ijjat bacha li.

harbans · Post by **harbans** » 28 Mar 2014 17:35

^^ It could be the case. It is not clear from his accent. Someone from that region can confirm?

Saharanpur is around 50% IM population (est 2001). I did an analysis of such districts south of Uttarkhand, Nepal and North Bengal. Here it is:

http://vicharprachar.wordpress.com/2013 ... partition/

Important to also look at these areas above 40% cutting off Uttarkhand, Nepal, Sikkim, Bhutan and the entire NE India. We are in grave danger. Read the above article in that context.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 28 Mar 2014 17:50

Sabir Ali is as big an islamist as anyone, if BJP can force Muthalik out in 5 hours (for how much ever an idiot he is, he has saved 1000's of hindu girls from love jihad and islamic brutality in coastal karnataka and a lot of gyaani brf members poured vitriol on this guy) then they better kick this guy out. Sabir Ali being part of BJP is unacceptable. You can check some of his statements in the last 5 years and you will shudder. I have already tweeted to BJP on this

I guess many in BRF will not like this, but Rahul Mehta's fears are coming out to be true. A wkk like MJA and now an open islamist like Sabir Ali. Who's next hafiz saeed??

With this you guys have dreams like pok, expelling bangladeshis, oh an yes, religious conversion (just like the muthalik episode, i guess it just needs an outburst from all MSM channels on how conversion is a birthright and BJP will maybe even withdraw anti conversion laws in its own states so that the great Namo can look secular).

I am quite sure we are headed the south korea way. We will get some MNC funded growth in 10 years and Namo will be face of it, but underneath (EJ agents will go full blast with their game and Saudi agents like Sabir Ali will ensure that B'deshis get citizenship and maybe even a south asian union)

I officially withdraw my support for Namo (not that i count for anything) because all this cannot happen without his knowledge and if it is happening he is equally culpable because if he cannot handle his own party, how is he going to handle the govt.

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 28 Mar 2014 18:02

muraliravi ji,

I am totally in favor of keeping the coals under BJP's feet and even making NaMo sweat, but not during an ongoing battle, and election is a battle.

NaMo knows the agenda and burden of Hindutva he carries on his shoulders, and this weight he would be made aware of constantly, but during war, I don't want the general to have to worry about his back, when the true enemy is in front.

In this battle, there will be many moves by NaMo, by BJP, thinking short term and long term, and not all moves can be interpreted by the superficial, "an Islamist has joined BJP because he feels comfortable with NaMo, since NaMo has decided to turn secular".

It can be for some electoral contribution by the Islamist in a crucial seat, it can be to give an impression of comfort with the Muslim community, so that they don't band together so firmly against the BJP, it can be to disarm seculars of their "secularism" weaponry, it can be for information he carries on a certain network or financial flow, it can be to further a certain sectarian fault-line in the other community, it can be to take on an even bigger Islamist in some area, it can be to put a certain rival community at ease, so that one gets more time to prepare for a more thorough transformation. It could simply be a tactical addition.

Whatever be the reason for the new addition, if it is helping the forces of Hindutva either in the short, medium or longer term, one should take it. Let's not think that the other side is not bikaau!