Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Patni · Post by **Patni** » 11 May 2014 10:37

http://southasiainstitute.harvard.edu/s ... s-picture/
MITAKSHARA KUMARI
Ed.M Candidate, International Education Policy, Harvard Graduate School of Education

Mitakshara Kumari is a Masters candidate at the Harvard Graduate School of Education in the International Education Policy program. Her last role was at the Office of the Adviser to the Prime Minister on Innovations, Government of India, where she focused on innovations in education. Mitakshara is interested in developing scalable innovative solutions to key educational challenges in India. Her focus areas include higher education regulatory reform, vocational education and integrating ICTs in education and development in rural India.
Mitakshara has held expert speaking positions at the OECD-World Bank Workshop on ICTs for Development, Paris, UNESCO Expert meeting on ‘Knowledge Societies’, Paris, and at the ITU Human Capacity Development Forum for the Asia Pacific in Brunei. She has a B.A (Honours) in English Literature from St Stephens’ College, Delhi University.

She has been an associate of sam pitroda. Mitakshara Kumari who had graduated from UK's University of Sussex and worked with European Union at Brussels.

She is a member of RaGa war room.
Rahul war room shows Congress shift

KLP Dubey · Post by **KLP Dubey** » 11 May 2014 10:38

VikasRaina wrote:^ JEM, If the person in question is being touted as potential PM of India, We need to look at all his close associates and all of them coming from USA gives as a reasonable chance to churn our own CT.
To me anyone coming from US or UK directly into higher echelons of power without proper vetting is a potential plant. Not that BJP would not have its own share of "supporter" in the inner circle.

These people might not be agents in classical sense but may have been colluding with handlers without even knowing it. On BRF, no one is assumed to be innocent unless proven otherwise.

Exactly. I didn't make the effort to check out these persons "just for fun". It's surprising that a kid ~~just~~ not yet graduated from Hardvar suddenly is given a job by an MP who is the party president's son and PM's close buddy. If I understand correctly she was first brought into INC by Sam Pitroda.

Dilbu · Post by **Dilbu** » 11 May 2014 11:04

Found this on twitter. EC Brahma proposed 5 phases for polls but Sampath insisted on 9 phases and the third EC some Ansari or someone supported Sampath.

Yagnasri · Post by **Yagnasri** » 11 May 2014 11:04

As I posted earlier mafia is now under CIA with Pappu fullu surronded by CIA persons. No wonder Sonia visited Us for her "medical treatment". For a decade MMS - another IMF stooge is working for US interests and CIA is all over India now.

Like many of their goof ups they failed to anticipate and remove (clumsy attempt at Patna???) NM and now unable to control except a bit by YSR.Sampath.

SanjayC · Post by **SanjayC** » 11 May 2014 11:16

KLP Dubey wrote:They seem to be Indians who studied and worked abroad for a while. Who knows if they had been 'recruited' at some point.

American universities seem to be key recruitment locations for impressionable Indians who are then quickly inserted into India in key positions in NGOs, media, think tanks, or as advisers to central or state governments or individual MPs. All jokers who went to "phoren" and immediately got involved in these areas in India are suspect unless proved otherwise. Many of these may not know that they are being played by the Whites, and may actually be getting a kick about how much they have achieved in life so quickly (without realizing that their path is being smoothened by the Goras for a purpose).

Lack of good higher education options in India and stranglehold of Government on the university system is costing India dear as this is forcing elite kids to go abroad for studies, where they are sitting ducks for intelligence agencies. Goras are assured a steady supply of potential recruits right at their doorstep every year - No need for their agents to come to India at all. Rajiv Gandhi was hitched to a white woman in one of these universities, with far-reaching consequences for India. Expanding higher education system and allowing private institutions of higher learning needs to be a priority of Modi Government. Will nip the source of subversion in the bud. Let the Goras come to India to recruit and then we will see. For China it is the opposite. Chinese students abroad work as spies and copy all manuals and study material and ship them back to China!!

KLP Dubey · Post by **KLP Dubey** » 11 May 2014 11:29

Narayana Rao wrote:As I posted earlier mafia is now under CIA with Pappu fullu surronded by CIA persons. No wonder Sonia visited Us for her "medical treatment". For a decade MMS - another IMF stooge is working for US interests and CIA is all over India now.

Like many of their goof ups they failed to anticipate and remove (clumsy attempt at Patna???) NM and now unable to control except a bit by YSR.Sampath.

Your position might be too avant garde, but indeed there is a valid question: among 1.2 billion Indians are there not any good people for such positions ? Instead they are being filled by inexperienced people who drop in from liberal/pinko US universities and directly get in the corridors of power.

Yagnasri · Post by **Yagnasri** » 11 May 2014 11:42

Dubeyji, How these people are put in place? Pappu may be an idiot. But mafia queen is not. Why she is forced to allow these strangers (are they???) to be near to her son always. Why not regular youth teams of mafia. Where is Milind Deoras, Jatin Pradad and other so called youth leaders of mafia. Where are middle aged leaders old leaders who fought numerous elections for mafia? All are simply vanished. Why Pappu, the main leader of mafia is cut of from most of his party on regular basis?

Either these ladies are providing other kinds of services to him and known to him before or they are there for CIA. I do not believe for a minute that these gora educated people have no CIA background and simply landed in strategic places just by chance.

Kati · Post by **Kati** » 11 May 2014 11:56

Patni wrote:http://southasiainstitute.harvard.edu/s ... s-picture/
MITAKSHARA KUMARI
Ed.M Candidate, International Education Policy, Harvard Graduate School of Education

Mitakshara Kumari is a Masters candidate at the Harvard Graduate School of Education in the International Education Policy program. Her last role was at the Office of the Adviser to the Prime Minister on Innovations, Government of India, where she focused on innovations in education. Mitakshara is interested in developing scalable innovative solutions to key educational challenges in India. Her focus areas include higher education regulatory reform, vocational education and integrating ICTs in education and development in rural India.
Mitakshara has held expert speaking positions at the OECD-World Bank Workshop on ICTs for Development, Paris, UNESCO Expert meeting on ‘Knowledge Societies’, Paris, and at the ITU Human Capacity Development Forum for the Asia Pacific in Brunei. She has a B.A (Honours) in English Literature from St Stephens’ College, Delhi University.

She has been an associate of sam pitroda. Mitakshara Kumari who had graduated from UK's University of Sussex and worked with European Union at Brussels.

She is a member of RaGa war room.
Rahul war room shows Congress shift

All the apparent "High Funda" terms which are essentially absurd and meaning less in the Indian context. She is one of those high-flying worthless junk plundering public money. What does she know about the vast education system in India? How much does she know what a common family in rural india goes through to put their kids in school? Does she know that average rural kid in India walks about 2 km to go to school?

panduranghari · Post by **panduranghari** » 11 May 2014 12:05

VikasRaina wrote:^ JEM, If the person in question is being touted as potential PM of India, We need to look at all his close associates and all of them coming from USA gives as a reasonable chance to churn our own CT.
To me anyone coming from US or UK directly into higher echelons of power without proper vetting is a potential plant. Not that BJP would not have its own share of "supporter" in the inner circle.

These people might not be agents in classical sense but may have been colluding with handlers without even knowing it. On BRF, no one is assumed to be innocent unless proven otherwise.

We always hear in the news how many countries are setting up bilateral deals where they give preference to a local currency swap rather than being encumbered with using the US dollar as a middle man currency. Russia-China is doing it, china-Brazil are and India-Iran was doing it until surrender Singh was pressured by Washington.

Now to show how the surrender Singh decision was influenced heavily by a Raghuram Rajan.

https://www.bis.org/review/r140414b.htm

So another way to prevent a repeat of substantial reserve accumulation is to build stronger international safety nets. 24 As the financial crisis suggested, this is not just an emerging economy concern. In a world where international liquidity can dry up quickly, the world needs bilateral, regional, and multilateral arrangements for liquidity. Multilateral arrangements are tried and tested, and are available more widely, and without some of the possible political pressures that could arise from bilateral and regional arrangements. Indeed swap arrangements can be channelled through multilateral institutions like the IMF instead of being conducted on a bilateral basis, so that the multilateral institution bears any (small) credit risk, and the source central bank does not have to justify the arrangements to its political authorities.

Perhaps equally valuable would be a liquidity line from the IMF, where countries are pre-qualified by the IMF and told (perhaps privately) how much of a line they would qualify for under current policy - with access limits revised every Article IV and any curtailment becoming effective 6 months later. 25 Access to the line would get activated by the IMF Board in a situation of generalized liquidity shortage (as, for example, when policy tightening in source countries after an extended period of low rates causes investment managers to become risk averse). The IMF has suggested such arrangements in a discussion paper, and they should be explored because they allow countries access to liquidity without the stigma of approaching the Fund, and without the conditionality that accompanies most Fund arrangements. 26

BIS is the central bank if central banks. Rajan who has worked for world bank is still representing his masters in Washington. Besides a central banker of such limited experience is one of the appointed members of the steering committee at BIS. They do not allow anyone to join. The others on that committee are Greenspan- the same guy who has retired long time ago from being a central banker.

The above speech which was quoted was given on 14 April 2014. About 1 month ago.

He is actively subverting INR swaps. He still wants us to be encumbered with USD. Why would an 'independant' central banker do such a thing?

Victor · Post by **Victor** » 11 May 2014 12:09

KLP Dubey wrote:
Narayana Rao wrote:Kanishka is from Warton. Must be US citizen or a green card holder at least. Is US citizens involved with Pappu? Is Pappu under advise of US/CIA people during this elections. We know PAAP is. Why not Pappu. PAAP is money and Pappu with Kanishka and other lady.
They seem to be Indians who studied and worked abroad for a while. Who knows if they had been 'recruited' at some point.

They are from Hardvar Faculty of Arts and Sciences, School of Education, Human Rights Education and these are all manufactured positions meant to groom future subversives and sellouts. Same with many of the top so-called "journalists" of India's English TV channels. Many of them come from the same Oxbridge background with social anthropology, political science fellowships and scholarships.

Victor · Post by **Victor** » 11 May 2014 12:16

panduranghari wrote:He still wants us to be encumbered with USD. Why would an 'independant' central banker do such a thing?

Not an economist but this could have to do with the fact that most of India's imports and almost all of India's exports are conducted in USD.

Kati · Post by **Kati** » 11 May 2014 12:22

Look, the massa VishwaVidalayas are happy hunting grounds for see-eye-yeh. Many years ago
there was an embarrassing incident at U. of Connecticut when due to some simple slip-off it was revealed that see-eye-yeh was making active recruitment from among the international student body. the school prez had to apologize. But special focus is given to California schools. International schools showing special aptitude, asking sharp questions in classes, taking part in int'al discussion forums, etc get special envelopes arriving in mail from some unnamed agency with special offers.

Vikas · Post by **Vikas** » 11 May 2014 14:20

This is the India that has no connect with Bharat and preys on free money and power.
They fly high, Study in UK and USA and then come back to lord over us. Tell us not to study English while their progeny studies in Switzerland and Harvard (MSY and Ajit Singh), Tell us to buckle up our belts once again while they lavish money on their sojourns and soirees (Everyone), Decide our fate by ill suited policies (MANAREGA), make love with TSP while ordinary India gets killed by Paki terrorism (MMS, MSA), Are thrilled if any American at any level just utters few words of appreciation (Most of them), whisper state secrets in the ears of American diplomats, have fancy for everything linked with MKG (mostly the currency notes) and are scared to shit when someone like NaMo (JP earlier and Anna Hazare later) rises from hinterland to challenge them.

JE Menon · Post by **JE Menon** » 11 May 2014 15:34

VikasRaina wrote:^ JEM, If the person in question is being touted as potential PM of India, We need to look at all his close associates and all of them coming from USA gives as a reasonable chance to churn our own CT.
To me anyone coming from US or UK directly into higher echelons of power without proper vetting is a potential plant. Not that BJP would not have its own share of "supporter" in the inner circle.

These people might not be agents in classical sense but may have been colluding with handlers without even knowing it. On BRF, no one is assumed to be innocent unless proven otherwise.

And that is exactly my point... Since no one knows, and there is nothing to go on, half of BRF may be "recruits" given that we are for the most part based overseas, working or studying in "the West" etc... It will come down to a recriminatory mess...

KLPD - I said the same thing when someone started going at RRajan yesterday.

rvishwak · Post by **rvishwak** » 11 May 2014 15:47

BJP office raided in Varanasi by EC!

arminius · Post by **arminius** » 11 May 2014 15:50

Kati wrote:
Patni wrote:http://southasiainstitute.harvard.edu/s ... s-picture/
MITAKSHARA KUMARI
Ed.M Candidate, International Education Policy, Harvard Graduate School of Education

Mitakshara Kumari is a Masters candidate at the Harvard Graduate School of Education in the International Education Policy program. Her last role was at the Office of the Adviser to the Prime Minister on Innovations, Government of India, where she focused on innovations in education. Mitakshara is interested in developing scalable innovative solutions to key educational challenges in India. Her focus areas include higher education regulatory reform, vocational education and integrating ICTs in education and development in rural India.
Mitakshara has held expert speaking positions at the OECD-World Bank Workshop on ICTs for Development, Paris, UNESCO Expert meeting on ‘Knowledge Societies’, Paris, and at the ITU Human Capacity Development Forum for the Asia Pacific in Brunei. She has a B.A (Honours) in English Literature from St Stephens’ College, Delhi University.

She has been an associate of sam pitroda. Mitakshara Kumari who had graduated from UK's University of Sussex and worked with European Union at Brussels.

She is a member of RaGa war room.
Rahul war room shows Congress shift
All the apparent "High Funda" terms which are essentially absurd and meaning less in the Indian context. She is one of those high-flying worthless junk plundering public money. What does she know about the vast education system in India? How much does she know what a common family in rural india goes through to put their kids in school? Does she know that average rural kid in India walks about 2 km to go to school?

This woman looks quite similar to the one seen sitting along Rahul Ghandi in Amethi. The pictures were posted somewhere in this thread. Funny name, I reckon her lineage can be traced to one of thoseRai bahadur families.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 11 May 2014 15:51

Yawn ... recovered some t-shirts, some pamphlets and some badges with Modi's images .. from inside the office

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 11 May 2014 15:51

Interesting conversation on teetar .. Nothing to get exited 'cos the only numbers that matter are EC numbers but still data points.

Pierre Fitter ‏@pierrefitter 6h

@Bawli_Booch I genuinely hope you guys introspect on what's destroyed your party. We had an impotent govt, can't afford an impotent oppn too

MANOJ HARIT ‏@RURALINDIA 7h

@pierrefitter - Destroyed? I thought today is May 11! @Bawli_Booch

Pierre Fitter ‏@pierrefitter 7h

@RURALINDIA OK, let's wait for the 16th. The congress has been running internal polls. We've heard their nos. @Bawli_Booch

Raj · Post by **Raj** » 11 May 2014 15:56

Election Commission raids BJP office in Varanasi

VARANASI: A day before polling for the high stake contest here, Uttar Pradesh police and election commission officials on Sunday conducted search at BJP's regional office in the city and seized campaign material, prompting strong protest from the party.

rvishwak · Post by **rvishwak** » 11 May 2014 16:00

All news channels will telecast the exit polls tomorrow after 6 PM, the exit poll results will be for 502 seats only?

I am asking this because the polling in pending 41 seats will be completed only by 6 PM. Don't see how the survey agencies will process the data for these seats and telecast them almost real time.

krishnan · Post by **krishnan** » 11 May 2014 16:02

so why is EC allowing polls to be shown before the election process if fully over ???

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 11 May 2014 16:09

The programs in some cases will start from 5:00 pm but the exit poll data will only be shown after the poll closes. Also, I don't think y'll get the all India numbers at the top of the show. They will most likely go state by state and declare the final all India figures by 9:00 or 10:00 pm. A panel of "experts" will discuss the emerging picture to fill in the time. Enough time to get the 9th round of polling data incorporated at the end of the coverage.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 11 May 2014 16:42

Firstpost ‏@firstpostin 22m

Cong party will be reduced to double digits in LS polls: Jaitley http://dlvr.it/5db1w1

"As the General Elections 2014 comes to a close, the logical expectation is that the Congress party will be reduced to a double digit," he wrote in his blog.

Taking on the Congress vice-president, he said "Rahul Gandhi's leadership failed to inspire both the nation and the Congressmen. A dynastic party will never accept that. It will at best consider that if one member of the dynasty has failed to deliver, dependence should be made on another member of the dynasty."

So as of today and projecting for all seats, per BJP
NDA : 300+
INC : < 100

Yagnasri · Post by **Yagnasri** » 11 May 2014 16:54

rvishwak wrote:BJP office raided in Varanasi by EC!

Seems to be all out war now. With this all Hindus going to vote will get mighty angry. Take revenge by voting brothers and sisters.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 11 May 2014 16:54

Race in Varanasi is for second place

http://www.sunday-guardian.com/news/rac ... cond-place

f there is a race in Varanasi, it is for the second place. The winner, as locals say, was decided on 24 April, the day Narendra Modi filed his nomination papers amidst a surge of saffron. One of the two, either Arvind Kejriwal or Congress' Ajai Rai, a local MLA, will have an "honourable defeat" provided Muslims vote for him en masse, they say. The talk is about Modi's victory margin, with his most virulent critics hoping that it will be a lowly 50,000.

"If the victory margin is below one lakh, it cannot be considered a great win for a man of Narendra Modi's stature," asserts a Sikh shopkeeper, Kulwant Singh at Pappu Chai Dukan (Pappu teashop), a popular haunt for local politicians near Assi Ghat.

MODI 'WAVE'

The evening debate at the 100-year-old Pappu Chai Dukan is loud but good humoured. Two Aam Aadmi Party volunteers' attempt to sway the gathering in Kejriwal's favour is met with strong resistance. "There is no doubt that Kejriwal is a good man, but does he have any organisation in Varanasi? You are over ambitious, you are not committed," Harshvardhan Rai admonishes AAP's Ankush Chaudhry, who has come from Meerut to canvass for his leader. In a pincer movement, a NaMo T-shirt wearing "Engineer Surendra Dev" quarrels, "You talk only against the BJP, but not against Congress' misdeeds."

"Iss baar to sab Modi pe ja rahein hai (This time everyone is going to Modi)," is the common refrain in both the modern and ancient parts of this holy city.

Inside the serpentine Kachauri Gali leading up to Manikarnika Ghat and Kashi Vishwanath temple, the majority support is for BJP, with a smattering of Ajai Rai followers expressing their loyalty to the local man by hanging Congress flags from their shops. Strains of Modi's speech waft inside the dank lane as shopkeepers watch news on their 14-inch TV sets. Paneer-seller Ajay Yadav says that he voted for the Samajwadi Party in the 2012 Assembly elections, but will vote for Modi this time "because we have to think of the country as well and not just caste".

CASTE-AWAY

"Caste barriers are breaking down in these elections. Mulayam Singh Yadav and Mayawati are losing their hold on voters because they do not have a national agenda," says Professor R.P. Pathak, who teaches political science at the Banaras Hindu University. He estimates Mayawati to hold on to her core Dalit base, while losing her Brahmin voters to the BJP. AAP may get some votes from the downtrodden, apart from Muslims, he says.

AAP seems to have found support among the residents of a Dalit colony near Pandepur. However, similar support is not visible in the Malin (a caste of dhobis) settlement of Indrapur Dhobiyan, where the villagers are vocal about the greatness of Behenji.

The decision by the Janata Dal (United) to support AAP has not got the latter any traction among Kurmi voters, who number over 1.5 lakh in this constituency of 17 lakh voters. JDU's Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar is a Kurmi but so is Apna Dal's Anupriya Patel, who is now a BJP ally. But even Patel's name does not evoke any response among the youngsters of Laskar Gaon, a village of Patels and a few Rajbhars. "We went to the city to see Modi's road show. We saw him," says first-time voter Deepak. "Our village is totally with Modi. If you want to meet AAP supporters, try the two Sikh families over there," he points at a distance to a clutch of buildings.

THE MUSLIM FACTOR

In the Muslim majority locality of Adampur in Varanasi city, one does not have to go hunting for an AAP supporter. A large section of the crowd gathered at the entrance of a lane is voluble in their support for Kejriwal. They say they are against "Congress corruption and BJP communalism".

"But these guys were never Congress supporters. They were with SP and BSP," complains the Congress section of the crowd.

The mood among a large section of Muslims is distinctly pro-AAP. When asked about the diktat by Jama Masjid's Imam Bukhari that Muslims should vote for secular forces (read, Congress), Abdul Mugni is curt: "Bikau maal hai (he is sold out)." Mugni and his fellow trustees of Madrasa Mazhrul-Uloom say that Bukhari was with the SP but shifted allegiance when his son-in-law was not made a minister in Uttar Pradesh. "The man cannot even control his own home, how will he control Muslims?"

The dean of BHU, Prof Kumar Pankaj says that Muslims will decide who to vote for only a day before the elections.

OH BROTHER

The Congress candidate, the bahubali (strongman) Ajai Rai, MLA from Pindra, tells this newspaper that Muslims will come around and support him on the day of voting. Rai, who was MLA with BJP, joined SP when he was denied a Lok Sabha ticket by his party in 2009. He lost that election and is now with the Congress. When asked about Rai, the common refrain among voters is, "Badlu hai (he is a turncoat)." But Rai has a bigger problem. He has joined hands with Quami Ekta Dal of Mukhtar Ansari, the don who is in jail for murdering Rai's brother.

"How can anyone support a man like that?" asks an indignant restaurant hostess, Amrita.

Rai, who has spent a large part of his adult life fighting Ansari, looks away when told about the anger on the ground. "It was a decision taken at the central level (Delhi) and was done for the party," he replies quietly.

Even the staunchest of BJP supporters say that Rai, who is rooted to the ground, had a good chance of winning if he was not fighting against Modi. But that is in the domain of speculation. For the time being, the BJP is claiming that Rai, because he joined hands with Ansari, is losing a large section of his fellow Bhumihar vote to Modi.

CADRE

At the BJP office in a brand new building in Rathyatra, Sudhir Mishra, the party's Varanasi secretary, talks of booth level mobilisation. The party has panna pramukhs, or page in-charges to monitor every page of the electoral roll. Varanasi has a little over 1,600 booths, and the BJP hopes to mobilise around 32,000 polling agents for 12 May, 20 agents per booth.

At Sigra, where Congress leaders Mohan Prakash and Nirmala Sawant are holding a meeting with their party workers, the talk is all about booth management. Ajai Rai tells this newspaper that he, being a local, has thousands of workers for polling day, unlike BJP "which is bringing workers from outside".

A BJP worker scoffs when his attention is drawn to the smart young men and women going around in tees, jeans and white caps, campaigning for AAP: "They are outsiders and all of them will have to leave on 10 May. What happens then?"

The last lap will not be easy for AAP.

At AAP's Lok Sabha office in Shivaji Nagar, Raj Kiran, an iPhone toting engineer and MBA from Bangalore puts the total AAP strength in Varanasi on a regular day to around 800, half of whom are locals. Their target is to recruit around 1,000-1,200 local volunteers by 12 May, so that they have some presence on the ground on voting day.

KRANTI?

Dhruv, a young national award winning theatre artist from Mumbai and an AAP member says he will go to jail but will not leave Varanasi before voting. "I am an Indian citizen. No law can throw me out," he smiles, while sitting on a rickety bench outside Hathua market. He says he believes in kranti, and that there will be revolution one day and India will see a better future under Kejriwal.

On the BHU campus, a group of students, all Modi supporters, talk of civil service examinations and a secure future of jobs and a good life.

Kranti, AAP style, is not starting from Varanasi.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 11 May 2014 17:03

dna ‏@dna 57m

Gujarat Police had only termed the rally venue 'complicated': Arun Jaitley http://dnai.in/ccIp

Dr. Praveen Patil ‏@5Forty3 1h

The end game of 2014 http://5forty3.in/2014/05/the-end-game- ... of-trends/ … May 7th phase and some of our bold projections from heartland..

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 11 May 2014 17:18

AP looks like goner

TDP+BJP -14 and YSRC - 11

Assembly might go to Jagan 44%-42%

If these numbers are true, ITALIANMAFIA's plan kind of succeeded. Stupid Telugu people fall for these tricks again and again

They limited NDA to 15-20 in AP and captured power thru proxies in both states.

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 11 May 2014 17:40

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 11 May 2014 17:44

that political party guy's site is projecting 300+ for NDA?

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 11 May 2014 17:46

http://www.sunday-guardian.com/news/bjp ... n-nw-india

Here are some headwinds

Haryana appears to have voted against the Congress on 10 April in the Lok Sabha elections. However, the mood in Punjab appears to be against the Akali Dal-BJP alliance. Himachal Pradesh is equally poised. The fight in Chandigarh appears between BJP's Kirron Kher and Aam Aadmi Party candidate Gul Panag. There is confusion in Chandigarh as to who could finally emerge victor.

Intelligence sources believe that the Congress can be sure of a victory in Rohtak (Haryana), and may also have an edge in Sonepat.

The margin of victory will, however, drastically come down.

The Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) is expected to do well in the Sirsa and Hisar constituencies. INLD chief Om Prakash Chautala's 25-year-old grandson Dushyant Chautala hopes to enter Parliament for the first time. He is contesting against Haryana Janhit Congress (HJC) president Kuldeep Bishnoi.

The BJP is comfortably placed in Ambala and Faridabad constituencies and may also win from Kurukshetra, Bhiwani and Gurgaon. The party is fighting against INLD in these three seats. The Congress won these seats in the last general elections. Intelligence sources, however, have refused to predict what may happen in Karnal. It appears that the fight in Karnal is between the BJP and the Congress. The Congress held 9 out of ten Lok Sabha seats in the 2009 elections in Haryana.

Sources in intelligence agencies believe that the Congress and BJP will win 2 seats each in Himachal Pradesh. Chief Minister Virbhadra Singh's wife, Pratibha Singh, who won from Mandi in the last general elections is expected to retain the seat. The Congress may win from the Shimla seat. Anurag Thakur from Hamirpur and Shanta Kumar from Kangra may emerge winners for the BJP. Because the margin is close, the final tally is likely to change. In 2009, the BJP won three seats and one went to the Congress.

Punjab may go against the state government. The Akalis may lose from Bathinda, Khadur Sahib, and Jalandhar. They have given a strong fight to the Congress in Ferozepore against Congress Legislative Party leader Sunil Jakhar.

The BJP may win from Gurdaspur with BJP's Vinod Khanna appearing ahead of the Punjab Pradesh Congress Committee president Partap Bajwa.

The AAP may spring a surprise by winning at least the two seats of Sangrur and Faridkot.

Congress stalwarts Captain Amarinder Singh and Ambika Soni appear to be ahead of their rivals. The Congress is poised to get at least seven seats in Punjab out of the state's 13 seats. The Akalis at the most may get three seats and the BJP one. AAP may get around 20 per cent of the vote share in Punjab, pollsters say.

This is pretty much close to 5forty3

HP 2:2
Haryana, cong 3, BJP 5, INLD 2, HJC 0
PB: Cong 7, Akali 3, BJP 1, AAP 2

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 11 May 2014 17:48

vivek.rao wrote:AP looks like goner

TDP+BJP -14 and YSRC - 11

Assembly might go to Jagan 44%-42%

If these numbers are true, ITALIANMAFIA's plan kind of succeeded. Stupid Telugu people fall for these tricks again and again

They limited NDA to 15-20 in AP and captured power thru proxies in both states.

If Modi does indeed become the PM, he will use TRS in TG and Jagan in Andhra (if Jagan become CM) like SP and BSP have been used by Cong. This is of course if NDA needs Jagan's MP's. If not he will just throw Jagan to the bins of history in 6 months

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 11 May 2014 17:49

AAP getting up to a dozen seat is a nightmare

Supratik · Post by **Supratik** » 11 May 2014 17:54

We have to see. In last AE in Punjab most opinion polls were claiming a victory for INC.

muraliravi · Post by **muraliravi** » 11 May 2014 18:23

IndraD wrote:AAP getting up to a dozen seat is a nightmare

I dont think they will get more than 6 seats

krishnan · Post by **krishnan** » 11 May 2014 18:48

Vikas · Post by **Vikas** » 11 May 2014 18:51

^ 6 seats ? so many ? From where Saar?
Other than C'garh and KK seat, where else are they even in play ?
Can't see them getting more than 3 seats and that is a very brave estimate.

Vikas · Post by **Vikas** » 11 May 2014 18:51

My Tweet...

The way #EC is acting, looks like they will join UPA-3 if congress is voted to power.

pankajs · Post by **pankajs** » 11 May 2014 19:05

NDTV ‏@ndtv 14m

Election Commission decides to "close" matter related poll material seized from BJP's Varanasi office: Press Trust of India #Elections2014

Dilbu · Post by **Dilbu** » 11 May 2014 19:11

Wtf is there to close? Is keeping poll material in campaign office a crime? EC has seriously lost it this time.

SwamyG · Post by **SwamyG** » 11 May 2014 19:12

Is Arnab conducting a postmortem already

So everyone knows is acknowledging Congress is losing, and BJP is winning. It boils down to how many seats BJP wins.

By the way, this Rahul Narvekar is pathetic.