Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

chaanakya
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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 13:51

Voter turnout at 1.00 PM
UP 36%
BH 38%
WB 56%

VNS 35%

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 13:53

Shamlee wrote:

What made them change their mind? The fact that UPA was not investigating Snoopgate?


The announcement will come on 1st June or so , it does not matter. New Govt will have to make announcement. In any case the proposed name seems to be quite qualified for the post.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby a_bharat » 12 May 2014 13:55

5forty3 says:
Yes Kejriwal is ahead in the race… the race to lose deposit in Varanasi!

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Denis » 12 May 2014 13:56

Dr. Praveen Patil @5Forty3
Yes! the incredible is happening, Kejriwal is ahead in the race! http://5forty3.in/2014/05/at-the-altar- ... -new-king/ … You must subscribe to read though ;)

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Kamal_raj » 12 May 2014 14:05

Denis, many here don't subscribe to to the site. What is the point of posting cryptic information and takleef to some of us who don't follow?

Sorry for :(( :(( :((


Regds....Kamalraj
Last edited by Kamal_raj on 12 May 2014 14:12, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby a_bharat » 12 May 2014 14:08

Muslim vote share in Varanasi (5forty3): Cong 46%, BJP 22%, AAP 20%, Others (BSP?) 12%

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Denis » 12 May 2014 14:11

Kamal_raj wrote:Denis, many here don't subscribe to to the site. What is the point of posting cryptic information and takleef to some of us who don't follow?


Regds....Kamalraj

OK. Point Taken. For All those who don't subscribe to Dr. Patil's website, All ic an say is that Ajay Rai and Arvind Kejriwal are in a race to lose deposit. Hope that takes care of the takleef caused :-)

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Nitesh » 12 May 2014 14:12

That was nasty denis, he he he. Kejriwal in racing ahead for losing deposit

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby RajeshA » 12 May 2014 14:13

The Muftis may have decided to support Kejriwal, but they may not be motivated enough to go about rounding up people and taking them to the booths.

The competition in Varanasi is for 2nd and 3rd position. Mukhtar Ansari had offered his support to Ajay Rai of Congress. Now Muftis saying lets support Kejriwal. Obviously the Muslims are torn between whom to support for 2nd or 3rd position. Seeing this dilemma, which Muslim in Varanasi is really going to go and make an effort to go and vote?

How does it affect the Muslims who comes 2nd or 3rd, and whether any of them get to save their deposit? So I expect the Muslims to sit this one out.

Yes the Shias and the Ansari weavers would be going out to vote for NaMo!

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Kamal_raj » 12 May 2014 14:13

Thanks Denis that helps :-)

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 14:13

Muslims voting 22% in favour of NaMo is a good sign.(Source 543). He will create record victory margin , I hope. APP member Rajesh Rishi is reportedly arrested for distributing money to Voters. (source IBN7)

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby member_27987 » 12 May 2014 14:14

a_bharat wrote:Muslim vote share in Varanasi (5forty3): Cong 46%, BJP 22%, AAP 20%, Others (BSP?) 12%


It will be interesting to see what the data looks like sliced and diced on Shia, Sunni, Profession, Locality dimensions.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby sum » 12 May 2014 14:23

^^
CSDS 2014 Exit Poll: Teasers: Despite an impressive rainbow alliance, NDA fails in TN. BJP may need @superstarrajini to trump Amma in 2016.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Rahul M » 12 May 2014 15:01

source ?

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby sum » 12 May 2014 15:03

^^ twitter onlee....The guy with the handle seems to be a CSDS employee/sources since his earlier tweets have indicated the same.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Shaktimaan » 12 May 2014 15:05

No source right now Rahul saar, only cryptic comments from nobodies on Twitter . I also saw a lot of rumors on Twitter, refrained from posting here since the actual exit polls will be out in a few hours anyway.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby sum » 12 May 2014 15:06

And the CSDS leaks keep coming:
Retweeted by Shrin™
Laissez-faire ‏@FCBtheChamps 2m

CSDS 2014: Saffronized: TN Vote share: ADMK: 29, DMK: 26, NDA: 16


CSDS 2014: Saffronized: Punjab VS: BJP+: 40, INC: 29, AAP: 21


CSDS 2014: Saffronized: Haryana VS: Will O P Dankar trump D @DeependerSHooda ? : BJP: 38, INC: 24, INLD: 20


Laissez-faire ‏@FCBtheChamps 22m

CSDS 2014 Exit Poll: Teasers: IH have some good reason to thank Aaaptards for. AAP splits the anti-SAD.NDA in Pun despite huge anti-incumb

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby sum » 12 May 2014 15:11

Laissez-faire ‏@FCBtheChamps May 10

If there a disappointment that needs to be searched in exit poll numbers, then it is BJP not reaching 272 on its own.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 15:11

Voter Turnout at 3 PM

UP 44.51%
BH 47.14%
WB 67%

VNS 45%

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 15:25

02:45 PM Terming Narendra Modi's video message on polling day as a violation of the model code of conduct, Congress asked the Election Commission to take cognizance of it.


http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/last ... 999170.cms

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby RajeshA » 12 May 2014 15:28

chaanakya wrote:02:45 PM Terming Narendra Modi's video message on polling day as a violation of the model code of conduct, Congress asked the Election Commission to take cognizance of it.


http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/last ... 999170.cms




Can it be considered a campaign speech if he is not asking for people's votes or telling them to go and vote for BJP? All NaMo is doing is asking voters to go out and vote!

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby IndraD » 12 May 2014 15:30

poor voting turnout except WB (rigging) is not comforting

^^ NaMo smart enough of take care of these chindi chors, channels are flashing his 2 min speech all over, he is sucking media O2 as usual. Trends from WB/Assam not in fav of NDA acc to twitter, Modi many trips to these places

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 15:53

RajeshA wrote:
Can it be considered a campaign speech if he is not asking for people's votes or telling them to go and vote for BJP? All NaMo is doing is asking voters to go out and vote!


I would say it is grey area.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Rahul M » 12 May 2014 15:55

@IndraD, bjp tripling voteshare in WB (at a minimum) is enough proof of a pro NDA wave.

I am not sure of the assam numbers, AGP should be higher and cong bjp very close IMO.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby IndraD » 12 May 2014 16:01

^^ which means neutral assembly election w central forces can usher in lotus challenge in Bengal!

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby SRoy » 12 May 2014 16:11

Rahul M wrote:@IndraD, bjp tripling voteshare in WB (at a minimum) is enough proof of a pro NDA wave.

I am not sure of the assam numbers, AGP should be higher and cong bjp very close IMO.


IndraD wrote:^^ which means neutral assembly election w central forces can usher in lotus challenge in Bengal!


15% is the numbers people are willing to admit that they've voted lotus in spite of TMC goondas loitering around. The numbers will be much higher, let the EC publish data.

And yes, I think the next assembly election lotus may bloom under heavy kendra sarkar bandobast.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby sum » 12 May 2014 16:12

^^ Such poor numbers for BJP in Assam?

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Denis » 12 May 2014 16:17

Dr. Praveen Patil @5Forty3
Here is the theory; the % of votes Modi gets in Varanasi = No: of BJP seats in UP. Current projection for Modi in Kashi = 54%

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Denis » 12 May 2014 16:17

.
Last edited by Denis on 12 May 2014 16:18, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Denis » 12 May 2014 16:18

Some glitch made it post thrice. Apologies
Last edited by Denis on 12 May 2014 16:19, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby krishnan » 12 May 2014 16:18

you posted that thrice :lol:

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Denis » 12 May 2014 16:22

.. :(

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby krishnan » 12 May 2014 16:25

strange theory

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby Rahul M » 12 May 2014 16:28

SRoy wrote:
Rahul M wrote:@IndraD, bjp tripling voteshare in WB (at a minimum) is enough proof of a pro NDA wave.

I am not sure of the assam numbers, AGP should be higher and cong bjp very close IMO.


IndraD wrote:^^ which means neutral assembly election w central forces can usher in lotus challenge in Bengal!


15% is the numbers people are willing to admit that they've voted lotus in spite of TMC goondas loitering around. The numbers will be much higher, let the EC publish data.

And yes, I think the next assembly election lotus may bloom under heavy kendra sarkar bandobast.

yup.

my post from last page.

Rahul M wrote:CSDS vote share figures out at https://twitter.com/FCBtheChamps

if they claim WB BJP VS is 15%, it's definitely higher since people would hide their real sympathies.


re: assam I would expect around 5 seats for bjp.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 16:46

IndraD wrote:poor voting turnout except WB (rigging) is not comforting

^^ NaMo smart enough of take care of these chindi chors, channels are flashing his 2 min speech all over, he is sucking media O2 as usual. Trends from WB/Assam not in fav of NDA acc to twitter, Modi many trips to these places

Turnout is higher this time then it was in 2009.

VNS was 42% in 2009. On an average there is 5 to10% increase in voter turnout constituency wise and state average.

WB is higher because it is do or die for Didi. BJP is not a major player and anything gained there plus voteshare is bonus for them.
Whole of Naarth , Central and western India is saffron. I doubt PB would vote for INC. HR will slip out of congis later in Assembly election as well. HP and UK, well few bjp candidates are supposed to lose. NE would have some surprises. BJP will open its account there. To be reinforced in 2019. Asm is polarised due to riots since 2012. AGP is a spent force with nominal cadre in their early oldage.
Congis have hope from there as well as Telangana and Kar, KL. Add up and see how much they would get. Despite doomsayrs , now, TN will see BJP and its alliance giving tough fight and get few seats in triangular contests mostly. It is liquor , money and kak biryani that TN voters relish. But this time NaMo effect would be there to see, not to be counted in BJP's overall tally though, and will pose serious challenge in 2019 to dravid based parties if AShah plays Gujju trick there.

We have to see if Congis are confined to 50-70 or 70-90 or 90-110 band. I think it is second band and will pose challenge to RaGa leadership in future.

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby suryag » 12 May 2014 16:48

am wonderign what is happening in South TN

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby chaanakya » 12 May 2014 17:00

Voter turnout at 5 PM

UP 51.24%
BH 53.82%
WB 77%

VNS 53% ( up 11% from 2009)
Last edited by chaanakya on 12 May 2014 17:30, edited 1 time in total.


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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby KLNMurthy » 12 May 2014 17:22

EswarPrakash wrote:
a_bharat wrote:Muslim vote share in Varanasi (5forty3): Cong 46%, BJP 22%, AAP 20%, Others (BSP?) 12%


It will be interesting to see what the data looks like sliced and diced on Shia, Sunni, Profession, Locality dimensions.

Is there any way to get a breakdown of ashraf vs non ashraf votes?

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Re: Narendra Modi vs the Dynasty: Contrasting Ideas of India

Postby ramana » 12 May 2014 17:24

chaanakya wrote:http://forums.bharat-rakshak.com/viewtopic.php?p=1646994#p1646994

Govt set to announce Lt Gen Suhag as next Army chief despite BJP objections


BJP should null the appointment when it takes office. Perfectly legal


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