BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Week 5 (revised): 35 40 25 0 0 0 0
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- BRF Oldie
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
B wk 6 0 0 0 0 80 20 0
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
ok from now on it is week 6, till may 16. You may revise after exit polls (in fact no reason why you shouldn't)
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Week 5 UPA
14 participants this week. Median remains stuck at 105. The mean is 112 and the weighted mean estimate is 110. Estimates have narrowed as the median confidence is at 76.
14 participants this week. Median remains stuck at 105. The mean is 112 and the weighted mean estimate is 110. Estimates have narrowed as the median confidence is at 76.
Code: Select all
JINGO UPA85 UPA105 UPA115 UPA125 UPA135 UPA145 UPA165 ESTIMATE CONFIDENCE
chaanakya 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 85 100
RamaY 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 85 100
Denis 75 25 0 0 0 0 0 90 87
Patni 65 35 0 0 0 0 0 92 85
panduranghari 65 25 10 0 0 0 0 93 77
Saral 60 40 0 0 0 0 0 93 84
KLPDubey 35 40 25 0 0 0 0 101 68
deejay 10 50 30 5 5 0 0 109 59
klaus 0 45 35 20 0 0 0 113 69
matrimc 0 5 10 30 40 10 5 132 43
brihaspati 0 0 0 60 20 20 0 132 74
Marten 0 0 0 20 30 40 10 140 57
AnandK 0 0 0 0 25 25 50 153 70
muraliravi 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 156 83
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Week 6 Pre-Exit poll (before Monday 6 pm IST)
Saral 35 35 30 0 0 0 0
Saral 35 35 30 0 0 0 0
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- BRF Oldie
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
65 25 10 0 0 0 0
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Week 6
Patni 25 60 15 0 0 0 0
Patni 25 60 15 0 0 0 0
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- BRF Oldie
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
RamaY week6: 0 50 50 0 0 0 0
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
deejay week6: 70 20 10 0 0 0 0
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
One and only prediction
UPA-130-140 (25%)
UPA-140-150 (50%)
UPA-150+ (25%)
UPA-130-140 (25%)
UPA-140-150 (50%)
UPA-150+ (25%)
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
closing time in about 30 mins.. after that post exit-polls
from now on please add "post exit-polls" to your forecasts.
Bonus: Also include a specific number for UPA as your best guess.
from now on please add "post exit-polls" to your forecasts.
Bonus: Also include a specific number for UPA as your best guess.
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- BRF Oldie
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
post exit : B
0 0 0 0 90 10 0
136 for number
0 0 0 0 90 10 0
136 for number
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
matrimc 0 5 45 45 5 0 0
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Post poll: 50 30 20 0 0 0 0
UPA: 100
UPA: 100
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- BRFite
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
50 45 5 0 0 0 post exit poll
98
98
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
deejay: 90 10 0 0 0 0 0
UPA: 93
UPA: 93
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Post Exit Polls
UPA 70-90
UPA 70-90
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Denis: 90 10 00 0 0 0
Post Exit Poll UPA prediction: 87
Con party: 66
Post Exit Poll UPA prediction: 87
Con party: 66
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
RamaY after exit polls: 0 50 50 0 0 0 0
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Post-exit polls
Saral 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
UPA: 86
Saral 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
UPA: 86
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Post exit polls :
B: 0 90 10 0 0 0 0
[without "outside" support]
Realized I was also tagging SP/BSP in UPA before and did not distinguish between "inner outside support" and" outer outside support".
My projection is that all the larger "outside" groupings will now support UPA : SP, BSP, TMC, left Front (whatever is left of it in LS), even AIADMK and band together against BJP. The very small regional groupings will tend to bargain with NDA.
For all of the larger regional satraps (even left is a regional power) rise of NM = inevitable slide towards presidential form+strong pan-India party which may swallow up ambitious and upcoming regional next gen, thereby finishing off these regional satraps.
So with these outside support UPA maybe virtually 150-190 strength as parliamentary grouping.
B: 0 90 10 0 0 0 0
[without "outside" support]
Realized I was also tagging SP/BSP in UPA before and did not distinguish between "inner outside support" and" outer outside support".
My projection is that all the larger "outside" groupings will now support UPA : SP, BSP, TMC, left Front (whatever is left of it in LS), even AIADMK and band together against BJP. The very small regional groupings will tend to bargain with NDA.
For all of the larger regional satraps (even left is a regional power) rise of NM = inevitable slide towards presidential form+strong pan-India party which may swallow up ambitious and upcoming regional next gen, thereby finishing off these regional satraps.
So with these outside support UPA maybe virtually 150-190 strength as parliamentary grouping.
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Post exit polls, for the pre-poll UPA,
Anand K: 0 0 0 25 25 25 25
Anand K: 0 0 0 25 25 25 25
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- BRF Oldie
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Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Do some have already info on EVM magic? If so they can give exact number planned for UPA?
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
My vote
0 0 0 0 0 0 100
0 0 0 0 0 0 100
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Post exit poll
Patni 60 40 0 0 0 0 0
Upa 90
Patni 60 40 0 0 0 0 0
Upa 90
Re: BRF GJP Trial-2: How many seats will UPA win?
Week 6 post exit.
0 0 35 45 20 0 0
0 0 35 45 20 0 0