Re: Statewide and National runup to 2014 General elections

Supratik
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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Supratik » 14 May 2014 21:37

Karimganj more likely. The INC nos include BPF. So next AE should be interesting.

vivek.rao
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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby vivek.rao » 14 May 2014 21:37

It is just DIEnasty TV which is setting up for manipulation. They condition people and CON DIEnasty operates from behind

Victor
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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Victor » 14 May 2014 21:38

nageshks wrote:
Victor wrote:NDTV showing Assam BJP 6, Cong 6, AUDF 2. This would be a disaster, putting peaceful vote at 8 vs 6.


BJP was really contesting only 9 out of 14 (Does BJP even exist in Diphu? That EJ militant hit tribal region is hard to figure out). So 6/9 is great going I would say. Also 6, for Cong, 2 for AIUDF means they are winning either Karimganj or Barpeta. Which do you think it is?

I would guess Barpeta in which peaceful are almost 60% and non-peaceful are fractured. Karimganj peaceful are 50% and non are more likely to have voted en bloc.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby milindc » 14 May 2014 21:40

ramana wrote:So milind, Can you share what you concluded on recent electionis in just general way? Or do you want us to die of agony with rNDTV type water torture?



BJP states (Chhattisgarh + Gujarat + MP + Rajasthan + Goa : 100 seats ) : expected 88-94
United UP (UP + Bihar + Jharkhand + Uttarakhand : 139 seats) : expected 92 - 100
Other (Haryana + Punjab + Maharashtra + Delhi + Himachal + AP + Assam + Karnataka + Arunachal) : expected 57 - 67

Total expected (per my opinion) : 237 - 261

Either way there will NaMo led NDA

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Rahul M » 14 May 2014 21:40

nageshks wrote:
Victor wrote:NDTV showing Assam BJP 6, Cong 6, AUDF 2. This would be a disaster, putting peaceful vote at 8 vs 6.


BJP was really contesting only 9 out of 14 (Does BJP even exist in Diphu? That EJ militant hit tribal region is hard to figure out). So 6/9 is great going I would say. Also 6, for Cong, 2 for AIUDF means they are winning either Karimganj or Barpeta. Which do you think it is?

highly doubt they would win barpeta.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Sanku » 14 May 2014 21:42

milindc wrote:Either way there will NaMo led NDA


Are these BJP numbers or NDA ?

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Santosh » 14 May 2014 21:43

Rndtv so far 365 seats: Nda 165 upa 69 others 131. So con+others are at 200. Adding bjd into Nda gives 178/69/118. So Nda is projected to end at 245. So predictable of rndtv. Even with bjd that is 258 and short of majority by 14 seats. So st bedt Con may try to cobble a turd front if stars align. Or they may make life difficult for NaMo at worst.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby milindc » 14 May 2014 21:43

Sanku wrote:
milindc wrote:Either way there will NaMo led NDA


Are these BJP numbers or NDA ?


Only BJP

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Shaktimaan » 14 May 2014 21:43

Prannoy Roy is looking very nervous and he's saying "Uh...uh..." quite a lot, unlike his usual seasoned style.

He is putting out every poor numbers for the BJP. Some Magic is in the air...

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby vivek.rao » 14 May 2014 21:43

NDTV Now
Total: 463 NDA:223 UPDA: 99 Others: 131

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Shanmukh » 14 May 2014 21:45

Haryana NDTV Exit Poll

BJP+ - 7 (40%)
Cong - 2 (25%)
INLD - 1

Jharkhand NDTV Exit Poll
BJP - 12 (55%)
Cong+ - 1 (25%)
Others - 1

Bihar NDTV Exit Poll
BJP+ - 22 (35%)
Cong+ - 14 (29%)
JD (U) - 4 (16%)

Smaller States NDTV Exit Poll
BJP+ - 17
Cong+ - 13
Others - 4
Last edited by Shanmukh on 14 May 2014 21:47, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby member_28352 » 14 May 2014 21:46

vivek.rao wrote:NDTV Now
Total: 463 NDA:223 UPDA: 99 Others: 131

^^Freudian error? United Progressive Dalal Alliance?

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby gandharva » 14 May 2014 21:47

ShankarCag wrote:
vivek.rao wrote:NDTV Now
Total: 463 NDA:223 UPDA: 99 Others: 131

^^Freudian error? United Progressive Dalal Alliance?


UP is yet to come. Add 50-55 to above numbers of BJP.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby member_28352 » 14 May 2014 21:49

Only state remaining for rNDTV to comment on is UP with 80. Even with a figure of 50/80 for BJP NDA has 273 in rNDTV's poll also. Anyways zor se bolo Namo will lose onlee. :(( :(( :((

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Shanmukh » 14 May 2014 21:49

Rahul M wrote:
nageshks wrote:BJP was really contesting only 9 out of 14 (Does BJP even exist in Diphu? That EJ militant hit tribal region is hard to figure out). So 6/9 is great going I would say. Also 6, for Cong, 2 for AIUDF means they are winning either Karimganj or Barpeta. Which do you think it is?

highly doubt they would win barpeta.


Sorry if I was unclear. I meant - is the Cong winning Barpeta or Karimganj? AIUDF has only 3 possibilities for victory (Karimganj, Dhubri (almost sure) and Barpeta). If they are winning only 2 of 3, then AIUDF is losing either Barpeta or Karimganj.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Chandragupta » 14 May 2014 21:51

Giving BJP+ 250 seats only out of 543. 56 in UP.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby krishnan » 14 May 2014 21:51

Total: 463 NDA:223 UPDA: 99 Others: 131 is 453

bhere is the rest 10 seats ???

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby member_27718 » 14 May 2014 21:52

NDTV Now
Total: 543 NDA:250 UPA: 89 Others: 156

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby krishnan » 14 May 2014 21:53

that still is only 495 seats, they didnt include phase 9 election ??
Last edited by krishnan on 14 May 2014 21:53, edited 1 time in total.

SaiK
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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby SaiK » 14 May 2014 21:53

One thing is splitting my hairs for nationhood and development, "the others" number is a chaddie shibber! heck, can't we route them for nation sake? why is that people of desh can't think alike for their own benefits and future?

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby krishnan » 14 May 2014 21:55

then everyone should have given a walk over to modi , why have this big election and waste of money :mrgreen: :P

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Chandragupta » 14 May 2014 21:56

Thats only 495, where are the rest?

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Chandragupta » 14 May 2014 21:56

Okay, they have revised :

NDA : 279
Cong : 103
Others : 161

We're home comfortable. But Modi will lose onlee. :((
Last edited by Chandragupta on 14 May 2014 21:57, edited 1 time in total.

SaiK
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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby SaiK » 14 May 2014 21:57

they did that for rajib ji na? did waste the money

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Ashok Sarraff » 14 May 2014 21:58

UP: BJP 56

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Suraj » 14 May 2014 21:59

Prepoll NDA exceeding UPA + others is the 2nd most ideal condition. The ideal would be BJP exceeding 50% all by itself.

Time to update the poll of polls result with undieTV data.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby vivek.rao » 14 May 2014 21:59

Total: 543 NDA:279 UPA:103 Other:161

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby vivek.rao » 14 May 2014 22:01

I am still hoping for BJP to win majority on its own.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Shanmukh » 14 May 2014 22:02

UP NDTV Exit poll

BJP+ - 56 (40%)
SP - 12 (23%)
BSP - 8 (21%)
Cong - 4 (7%)

Overall
BJP - 279
Cong - 103
Others - 161

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Santosh » 14 May 2014 22:04

vivek.rao wrote:Total: 543 NDA:279 UPA:103 Other:161

Adding BJD numbers: Nda+ 292 upa 103 others 148.
So does this mean mafia and their handlers have thrown in the towel?

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby muraliravi » 14 May 2014 22:05

So more than one poll is giving bjp 40% in UP. If they really get 40%, no way they will get just 56, they will easily hit early 60's. With just 35% they got 58/85 in undivided UP.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Singha » 14 May 2014 22:06

it seems so . NDA > UPA + others 279 vs 264

and of the others, JJ + Patnaik will be 40.

while one is not yet allowed to drink anything, time to loosen the corks on bottles me thinks :D maybe sniff the alcohol a little just to make sure its good.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby SaiK » 14 May 2014 22:06

so, do we have the % deviation of these exit poll prediction to actual of 2009 (for all pollers). that can be the weight factor to deduct or add for 2014.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Raja » 14 May 2014 22:09

Santosh wrote:
vivek.rao wrote:Total: 543 NDA:279 UPA:103 Other:161

Adding BJD numbers: Nda+ 292 upa 103 others 148.
So does this mean mafia and their handlers have thrown in the towel?


Or maybe it means thats mafia is not all powerful as we think and there is no "evm magic" to be wielded (this time atleast).

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby vivek.rao » 14 May 2014 22:11

I expect UP to be in the range of 65

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby gandharva » 14 May 2014 22:13

Congress decimation NaMo style!

Image
Last edited by gandharva on 14 May 2014 22:14, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby nachiket » 14 May 2014 22:14

^^Behenji is not even in the list. :rotfl:

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby SaiK » 14 May 2014 22:15

10.36 pm: NDTV gives BJP 279 seats on its own, 103 for Congress
fp

begin your shibbernatics!

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Victor » 14 May 2014 22:17

Singha wrote:while one is not yet allowed to drink anything, time to [b]loosen the corks on bottles me thinks :D maybe sniff the alcohol a little [/b]just to make sure its good.

Sacrilege! For a once-in-a-lifetime event like this, we must throw the cap away once unscrewed.

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Re: Exit Polls & Discussion 2014 Elections

Postby Singha » 14 May 2014 22:19

total demolition job in UP by Namo & Amit shah if this comes true

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ty-38mFUr-E

in bihar ndtv claims 70% of muslims and 70% of yadavs went together to vote for RJD.

can someone educate us on the history of the UP-Bihar yadavs, their link if any to the old dwaraka yadavs and why they persist in still being the caste bandwagon when everyone else seems pro-development ?


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