General Elections 2014 : RESULTS thread

sudarshan · Post by **sudarshan** » 18 May 2014 01:41

Oh that's right, major blow to Modi. He's been unseated from Gujarat. How did NDTV miss that one?

Muppalla · Post by **Muppalla** » 18 May 2014 01:42

IndraD wrote:I am in conversation with an AAPtard who was told AAP candidates lost deposit in 400 seats including their leaders Viswas, Shazia & Yogendra. He is reminding me BJP started from 2 seats only in 84 and AAP has done better than that in first go. ha ha

With no offence to NCR, Haryana and Punjab folks, there is something that there are many in this region who think AAP is next alternative in Indian politics. They cite that BJP also grew like this only. For several BJP is not a party that should be long term. On a local radio show (that I was asked to do talk show for couple of hrs) when I called it a rouge party the sardar friends around me got upset.

India really needs to find a way to get rid of this anti-national bunch. otherwise we remove one congress and we get another rising.

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 18 May 2014 01:43

Article proves beyond doubt that T0I is on US side than Modi our PM http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home ... 271636.cms

RamaY · Post by **RamaY** » 18 May 2014 01:45

Singha wrote:
Prasad wrote:So what was BJP/NDA strike rate this election? What is the Win/Contested seats ratio?
I believe the NDA contested around 500 seats and won 340.

BJP contested 427 seats & won 282. That is 66% strike rate.

Muppalla · Post by **Muppalla** » 18 May 2014 01:45

SanjayC wrote:MMS finally got revenge for 1984 Sikh genocide by destroying Congress in 2014, while Congress finally had its dream come true of unseating Modi in Gujarat.

A coincidence cannot be spinned in favor of MMS. All I wish MMS is a rot in hell for destroying the nation for 10 years. In fact it will be fitting tribute if he is sent to Tihar by finding him as complicit in Coal scam. Our India pahappi jhappi crowd very quickly forgets and forgives the criminals and wrong doers too fast.

VikramS · Post by **VikramS** » 18 May 2014 01:47

IndraD wrote:I am in conversation with an AAPtard who was told AAP candidates lost deposit in 400 seats including their leaders Viswas, Shazia & Yogendra. He is reminding me BJP started from 2 seats only in 84 and AAP has done better than that in first go. ha ha

AAP Tards like Mahesh Murthy are spinning it as a great day... This 2 seats stuff is directly from his FB posts.

RamaY · Post by **RamaY** » 18 May 2014 01:51

SwamyG wrote:Do Hindus pray at whatever remains of that temple?

Harbans tweet that foto.

No sir. I visited Viswanatha temple in 2001 the last time.

Hindus are not allowed into that area. When you go to the back side of Viswanatha temple, you will see a 20-30 foot steel barricade. You can see the well the priests threw the original Viswanatha lingam into to save it from Mlechas. You can only see the Hindu walls present in the mosque from that vantage point.

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 18 May 2014 01:53

One thing is for sure, every one attacking Modi also has worked in line of compelling underdog theory, in our fav.

Virupaksha · Post by **Virupaksha** » 18 May 2014 02:07

In UP, mayawati's vote bank is safe. Its just that her and mulayam's vote bank calculations work with a 50% turnout (2009 was 47% turnout), but those get thrown into dustbin with 58.29% turnout which we got in 2014. It is that extra 11% vote which went entirely to modi which made all the difference.

http://adrindia.org/images/uttar%20pradesh.pdf

In 2009
Party - Total votes - % of votes cast - % of total voters - seats won
BSP - 15,191,044 - 27.4% - 13.1% - 20
SP - 12,884,968 - 23.3% - 11.1% - 23
INC - 10,113,553 - 18.3% - 8.7% - 21
BJP - 9,696,024 - 17.5% - 8.4% - 10
Other - 7,521,518 - 13.6% - 6.4% - 6

In 2014

Party - Total votes - % of votes cast - % of total voters - seats won
BSP - 15,914,044 - 19.6% - 11.4% - 0
SP - 17,988,792 - 22.2% - 12.9% - 5
INC - 6,061,236 - 7.5% - 4.4% - 2
BJP - 34,318,576 - 42.3% - 24.6% - 71
Other - ~ 6,788,500 - 8.4% - 4.9% - 2

i) BSP vote count has increased around 8 lakh which is just around the usual population increase range. So BSP has neither lost nor gained any vote.
ii) Congress vote count decreased by 40 lakhs, which with the population increase means it has lost around 45 lakh.
iii) SP vote count increased by 50 lakhs, which with population increase means it gained 45 lakh. This is the entire 45 lakh which congress lost. So about 40% of vote of congress was seamlessly transferred to SP. I would render a guess that this is the consolidation of muslim and yadav vote to SP.
iv) The others lost numerically around 8 lakh votes which with population increase can be estimated to be around 12 lakhs. As of now, if there was the same voter turnout as in 2009, there is only a floating vote of 12 lakhs.
v) What threw everything of those perfect caste calculations and consolidations in the spanner? It is the 11% increase in votes polled. This 11% went entirely to BJP. BJP had a oping increase of 2 crore 47 lakh voters. With 12 lakhs of others and 8 lakhs of usual population increase taking out, it results in a stupendous increase of 2 crores 27 lakh new voters getting off their a$$es and ALL of them voting for BJP.

So reading the results will imply that that the SP, BSPs are still going strong and have suffered no setback. Infact SP actually gained.

But as with any casteist party, their whole calculus goes down the drain the moment voter turnout hits around 60%.

This gives rise to a very simple solution to defeat the casteist parties. Get the people to vote.

Edit: recalculated some figures. The numbers are decent enough for twitter, lots of rounding off took place

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 18 May 2014 02:12

NEW DELHI: After its drubbing in Lok Sabha elections in the national capital, some AAP MLAs on Saturday mooted the proposal for the party to once again form the government in Delhi, with support from either the BJP

or Congress.

At a meeting of its top leaders, including Arvind Kejriwal, some AAP legislators, who claimed to be around 20 in number, are said to have conveyed to the leadership that the party should make a fresh attempt at forming the government.

AAP MLAs urge AK to form govt in Delhi again http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home ... 271013.cms

Ashok Sarraff · Post by **Ashok Sarraff** » 18 May 2014 02:35

I don't have a twitter account, but I would like Sagarika to ask Saudi Arabians maulvis and The Roman Catholic Pope to recite Vishnu Sahasranam four times a day. let us export secularism.

KLNMurthy · Post by **KLNMurthy** » 18 May 2014 02:39

Picklu wrote:Vibrant Indian democracy is when the same party wins -
Ladakh and Kanyakumari
Dilli and Patliputra
Kashi and Ajmer

Take that Sar-Dard-Le-Aai

Gujarat and Andamans

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 18 May 2014 02:59

Virupaksha ji,

thanks for the analysis.

my reaction

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 18 May 2014 03:01

IndraD wrote:NEW DELHI: After its drubbing in Lok Sabha elections in the national capital, some AAP MLAs on Saturday mooted the proposal for the party to once again form the government in Delhi, with support from either the BJP or Congress.

At a meeting of its top leaders, including Arvind Kejriwal, some AAP legislators, who claimed to be around 20 in number, are said to have conveyed to the leadership that the party should make a fresh attempt at forming the government.

AAP MLAs urge AK to form govt in Delhi again http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home ... 271013.cms

I had spoken about this plan of AAP even before they had formed the govt. in Delhi. It was their plan all along. LS 2014 elections were supposed to be "election leave" for AAP, to go and stop NaMo. After the elections, the govt. was supposed to be reanimated.

ashish raval · Post by **ashish raval** » 18 May 2014 03:05

pankajs wrote:
Rahul Kanwal ‏@rahulkanwal 2h

Nitish Kumar was among CMs who did not call up @narendramodi to wish him on his victory. Had no plans of working with new PM. Ego clash

Why does NiKu think namo gives a cr@p who calls him. He has hundred works to keep him busy than to think about an tinpot calling him. Does elephant care if dogs are barking ?

hanumadu · Post by **hanumadu** » 18 May 2014 03:09

SanjayC wrote:Congress finally had its dream come true of unseating Modi in Gujarat.

Tweetable.

ashish raval · Post by **ashish raval** » 18 May 2014 03:09

sooraj wrote:India's PM-elect Modi may make his 1st overseas visit to Japan
http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news ... as-visit-j

India's Prime Minister-elect Narendra Modi may make Japan the first country he visits, with negotiations underway between his Bharatiya Janata Party and Japanese government officials, senior BJP sources said Saturday.

Indeed the way to go. Need Japanese tenacity, perseverance and their legendary teamworking spirit in every bhartiya.

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 18 May 2014 03:17

then China, Russia, Brazil, finally US after 2 years

guru log is there no way of breaking this M-Y equation in UP?

sudarshan · Post by **sudarshan** » 18 May 2014 03:35

With such a strong mandate, Kejru's dreams of street agitations leading to riots leading to government collapse and reelections with Congress (or AAP) back in power must be dust, surely? His handlers must be going back to the drawing board on this. The immediate danger of this scenario playing out - say within the next six months to a year - is past, by God's grace.

No Kiev redux in India for the moment.

RamaY · Post by **RamaY** » 18 May 2014 03:36

^^ prop up a Dharmic Yadav.

IndraD · Post by **IndraD** » 18 May 2014 03:38

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home ... 275950.cms

Did multiple ‘secular’ options split Muslim vote in west UP?

This is my response in comment section

Articles like these are inflammatory in nature and promote communal politics, I have saved acreen shot and email copy to PMO now when Modi is PM communal journalism by Times, NDTV shd be curbed

RamaY · Post by **RamaY** » 18 May 2014 03:38

sudarshan wrote:With such a strong mandate, Kejru's dreams of street agitations leading to riots leading to government collapse and reelections with Congress (or AAP) back in power must be dust, surely? His handlers must be going back to the drawing board on this. The immediate danger of this scenario playing out - say within the next six months to a year - is past, by God's grace.

No Kiev redux in India for the moment.

This is true. BJP with simple majority is a different ball game.
I need to regame this scenario.

Kejri will die a natural death in the hands of its father Media.
The game goes international now, IMHO.

Looking forward to some chess moves by forefathers.

RamaY · Post by **RamaY** » 18 May 2014 03:40

IndraD wrote:http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home ... 275950.cms

Did multiple ‘secular’ options split Muslim vote in west UP?

This is my response in comment section
Articles like these are inflammatory in nature and promote communal politics, I have saved acreen shot and email copy to PMO now when Modi is PM communal journalism by Times, NDTV shd be curbed

These Seculars are idiots.

As and when the Secular minorities can come under one option, why do they need Leftists with Hindu names? It will be Omars, Owaisis and Khans...

RajeshA · Post by **RajeshA** » 18 May 2014 04:24

Rajasthan - Barmer

COL. SONA RAM Bharatiya Janata Party 488747
JASWANT SINGH Independent 401286

Jasoo Mithaiwala also becomes history!

I must say that BJP CMs have truly delivered.

GJ - Narendra Modi: 26/26
RJ - Vasundara Raje Scindia: 25/25
MP - Shivraj Singh Chouhan: 27/29
CG - Dr. Raman Singh: 10/11
GA - Manohar Parrikar: 2/2

Fantastic Performance!

Vayutuvan · Post by **Vayutuvan** » 18 May 2014 04:50

sudarshan wrote:No Kiev redux in ~~India~~ Delhi for the moment.

FTFY.

India is too big to fall to a color revulsion. Only color reforms would succeed.
om shanti shanti shanti hi.

Sidd · Post by **Sidd** » 18 May 2014 04:56

IndraD wrote:I am in conversation with an AAPtard who was told AAP candidates lost deposit in 400 seats including their leaders Viswas, Shazia & Yogendra. He is reminding me BJP started from 2 seats only in 84 and AAP has done better than that in first go. ha ha

Tell him they are on the right path. Next step is for Kejri to take out a rath yatra for Ram Temple in Ayodhya.

RamaY · Post by **RamaY** » 18 May 2014 05:16

Ramanaji,

Revelation 5:16 might come true

Telugu Desam Party president Nara Chandrababu Naidu may take oath as the Chief Minister of residuary State of Andhra Pradesh in the temple town of Tirupati. According to sources, Naidu is considering taking oath on June 2, the Appointed Day, at Tirupati as he considers the town as lucky for him.

- See more at: http://www.greatandhra.com/politics/gos ... Uqfih.dpuf

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 18 May 2014 05:31

Which revelation 5:16 is this?

Are you talking about our phone conversation on the 16th!!!
Thats top secret and undar ki baat.

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 18 May 2014 05:32

BTW need to deconstruct Telugu casteist media and dismantle it. They have not learnt one thing even after the division. A pox on them.

Cosmo_R · Post by **Cosmo_R** » 18 May 2014 05:34

Sidd wrote:
IndraD wrote:I am in conversation with an AAPtard who was told AAP candidates lost deposit in 400 seats including their leaders Viswas, Shazia & Yogendra. He is reminding me BJP started from 2 seats only in 84 and AAP has done better than that in first go. ha ha
Tell him they are on the right path. Next step is for Kejri to take out a rath yatra for Ram Temple in Ayodhya.

+1

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 18 May 2014 05:37

Is it time to unlock the NaMo and the AP threads? We can merge this in the 2014 elections thread for archive purposes.

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 18 May 2014 05:38

Looks like Saral has joined Rahul Baba and is missing!!!!

KJo · Post by **KJo** » 18 May 2014 05:39

Does BRF have any Congress supporters?

I used to be one when Rajiv Gandhi was alive and later even during the PVN years. Now firmly on the Hindutva wagon-e-band.

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 18 May 2014 05:41

We still have vina.
Nothing changes him.

vivek.rao · Post by **vivek.rao** » 18 May 2014 05:46

Most of the projects have to be implemented by State Govts.

Right now WB,Bihar,UP,MH are not in hands of BJP.

How does Modi get any thing done there if they don't get it?

He can't wait until UP,Bihar,WB,MH Govt are handed over to BJP.
One Idea is to implement these projects/policies in MP/RJ/GJ/CGH and put pressure on rest of the Govts.

What could be the top 5 priorities for the Narendra Modi-led government?

Mr Narendra Modi has been very clear in putting forth his views and he has already outlined five big issues.

http://www.rediff.com/news/interview/ls ... 140517.htm

Checking price rise
Putting the economy back on track
Making India an investment-attractive destination for investors from around the globe
Looking into internal security issues and terrorism
Women security, which is, of course, a very key issue and
Lastly, to effectively strengthen our defence paraphernalia

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 18 May 2014 05:49

He needs to incentivise those states to vote for BJP/NDA. And he can do that by a firm rewards policy. Where ever NDA is in power all the schemes should be implemented to show case what was missed.
Trouble comes in states where there is partial sweep.

I think Karnataka govt should be brought back into fold in a fair manner.

KJo · Post by **KJo** » 18 May 2014 05:53

Karnataka is actually easy for the BJP. The BJP Govt under Yeddy was just too awful and in a way deserved to lose. But looks like this fellow will be back. Modi will have a task to make sure the man doesn't go back the Bangarappa days.

fanne · Post by **fanne** » 18 May 2014 05:55

Great analysis,
The ususal suspects are further analyzing what you have written.
Thanks,

Virupaksha wrote:In UP, mayawati's vote bank is safe. Its just that her and mulayam's vote bank calculations work with a 50% turnout (2009 was 47% turnout), but those get thrown into dustbin with 58.29% turnout which we got in 2014. It is that extra 11% vote which went entirely to modi which made all the difference.

http://adrindia.org/images/uttar%20pradesh.pdf

In 2009
Party - Total votes - % of votes cast - % of total voters - seats won
BSP - 15,191,044 - 27.4% - 13.1% - 20
SP - 12,884,968 - 23.3% - 11.1% - 23
INC - 10,113,553 - 18.3% - 8.7% - 21
BJP - 9,696,024 - 17.5% - 8.4% - 10
Other - 7,521,518 - 13.6% - 6.4% - 6

In 2014

Party - Total votes - % of votes cast - % of total voters - seats won
BSP - 15,914,044 - 19.6% - 11.4% - 0
SP - 17,988,792 - 22.2% - 12.9% - 5
INC - 6,061,236 - 7.5% - 4.4% - 2
BJP - 34,318,576 - 42.3% - 24.6% - 71
Other - ~ 6,788,500 - 8.4% - 4.9% - 2

i) BSP vote count has increased around 8 lakh which is just around the usual population increase range. So BSP has neither lost nor gained any vote.
ii) Congress vote count decreased by 40 lakhs, which with the population increase means it has lost around 45 lakh.
iii) SP vote count increased by 50 lakhs, which with population increase means it gained 45 lakh. This is the entire 45 lakh which congress lost. So about 40% of vote of congress was seamlessly transferred to SP. I would render a guess that this is the consolidation of muslim and yadav vote to SP.
iv) The others lost numerically around 8 lakh votes which with population increase can be estimated to be around 12 lakhs. As of now, if there was the same voter turnout as in 2009, there is only a floating vote of 12 lakhs.
v) What threw everything of those perfect caste calculations and consolidations in the spanner? It is the 11% increase in votes polled. This 11% went entirely to BJP. BJP had a oping increase of 2 crore 47 lakh voters. With 12 lakhs of others and 8 lakhs of usual population increase taking out, it results in a stupendous increase of 2 crores 27 lakh new voters getting off their a$$es and ALL of them voting for BJP.

So reading the results will imply that that the SP, BSPs are still going strong and have suffered no setback. Infact SP actually gained. But as with any casteist party, their whole calculus goes down the drain the moment voter turnout hits around 60%.

This gives rise to a very simple solution to defeat the casteist parties. Get the people to vote.

Edit: recalculated some figures. The numbers are decent enough for twitter, lots of rounding off took place

abhishek_sharma · Post by **abhishek_sharma** » 18 May 2014 06:24

So Indian Express reports that Nitish Kumar and Lalu Yadav talked after the resignation. It appears that they could form an alliance to keep BJP out.

Mort Walker · Post by **Mort Walker** » 18 May 2014 06:27

KJoishy wrote:Does BRF have any Congress supporters?

I used to be one when Rajiv Gandhi was alive and later even during the PVN years. Now firmly on the Hindutva wagon-e-band.

I've been Jang Sangh since the 1971 war.