'Make in India' Single engined fighter

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Cain Marko
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Cain Marko »

Viv S wrote:While of course calling the F-16 obsolete is an exaggeration, favourable head-to-head comparisons with the J-10B mask the basic issue i.e. numerical strength.

The Chengdu is delivered 3 J-10s per month to the PLAAF. That's 36 fighters annually. (Plus another two dozen Flanker variants, nearly as many JH-7s.)

Between today and four years from now (when off-the-shelf F-16 deliveries commence), the PLAAF will have already received nearly 150 J-10Bs. Now the F-16 may be a lot better, which I wouldn't be too confident about, but those are still some godawful numerical odds it faces.

At roughly the same time (i.e. 2020) the J-20 will be entering high rate production and that will definitely be superior to the F-16. If they can sort through the inevitable reliability & software hurdles it faces, it'll be superior to the Rafale as well.

We desperately need a solution to even those scales. One limb is clearly the Tejas, which is cheap enough be produced & inducted in high numbers for the grunt work. The other limb cannot be the F-16, which will be squeezing into the same trouser leg as the Tejas.
Viv,
The problem(s) as I mentioned earlier has to do with urgent deliveries of a non Russian fighter at a decent cost because for whatever reason, LCA cannot be produced any faster/earlier, and possibly because GOI wants to create a private alternative to HAL monopoly .

Under the above conditions what options does MP/Modi have?
F-35 would be great but would probly not meet 3 of the above criteria - cost, delivery speed, and local production.

Gripen is a possibility but I doubt it can meet the speed criterion.

Viper seems only choice left.
LM was able to start deliveries within 2 years of contract signature for the Iraqis (and that was a two part order seperated by one year). I would hardly be surprised if they diverted some existing orders towards India and started delivering faster than the above two year buildup. Moreover, concurrent training and familiarization can happen by transferring a sqd or two directly from USAF ala Su-30K.
Last edited by Cain Marko on 01 Nov 2016 22:58, edited 1 time in total.
chola
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by chola »

Obviously if we can get production of the F35 it would be my dream come true! But the F35 has not been put on the table. The F16 has.

And doing American production won't be anything like screwing Russian crap like the MiG-21,-27 or the MKI together.

Look at South Korea and their successful T50. They learnt their craft producing the KF-16.

Screwdrive Russian crap, learn crap. We need a fresh start with an American production line for a change. Seriously, read up on South Korea and their KF-16 and the T/A-50.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Cain Marko »

^ Production methods might be archaic, whether this be due to Soviet model or institutional laziness or structural issues or whatever, this is probably one reason why LCA is not coming fast enough. And MP is trying to address this issue by getting the private sector to tie up with an established phoren player like LM. Although whether this will actually address the issue is debatable.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by shiv »

We want India to be like China and make its own planes? But what's all that about the F-35? Non local jingoism for Areeka as opposed to "local jingos?" Just sayin..
chola wrote:
Neshant wrote:While China unveils its domestically produced and increasingly advanced fighter planes,
IAF is trying as hard as it can to destroy the LCA program
and keep India dependant on foreign fighter plane imports.

Careful, Neshant. I mention the same a few months ago and was blasted by the our local jingos for whining and supporting prc commie propaganda. I do not want the same for you.
chola wrote:Obviously if we can get production of the F35 it would be my dream come true!.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Viv S »

Cain Marko wrote:Viv,
The problem(s) as I mentioned earlier has to do with urgent deliveries of a non Russian fighter at a decent cost because for whatever reason, LCA cannot be produced any faster/earlier, and possibly because GOI wants to create a private alternative to HAL monopoly .

Under the above conditions what options does MP/Modi have?
F-35 would be great but would probly not meet 3 of the above criteria - cost, delivery speed, and local production.
CM,

The F-35 program has oodles of capacity and none of its customers are desperate for early deliveries. Most NATO states are in a comfortable position and happy to receive the F-35s in a steady trickle. The only exceptions are the UK which needs its first 40 jets for the QE fairly quick, and the USMC who's F-18s are badly flogged out.

The rate at which we can get the aircraft is really only limited by the pace at which we can negotiate a satisfactory contract. I imagine the Americans wouldn't be averse to diverting existing orders to fulfill an Indian order, if need be. 'Too much business' is not really a problem for any manufacturer today.


F-35 Production Set to Quadruple As Massive Factory Retools

After years of delays, the Joint Strike Fighter program is finally ready to hit the afterburner.
FORT WORTH, Texas — As green-skinned, half-assembled F-35 Joint Strike Fighters take shape, this massive factory that once cranked out thousands of World War II bombers is preparing to get real busy again.

F-35 production is slated to hit full steam in 2019, and Lockheed Martin is reshaping its final assembly line to get ready. Not far from the nine assembly stations where the stealthy jets are coming together, wooden walls and plastic sheeting rise dozens of feet to the ceiling, blocking off large portions of the plant where new laser-leveled concrete is being poured. Lowered air pressure behind the screens helps keep dust and debris away from the sensitive airframes. Elsewhere, scaffolding is being erected for seven new assembly stations to come.

“I came to work here eight years ago,” said Lockheed spokesman Mike Rein. “Nothing in this building right here, apart from the walls and the ceiling, looks the same.”

For all of the F-35’s early developmental troubles and the various bugs still being squashed, production of the stealthy jet has been slowly rising since the first one flew in 2006. Earlier plans called for full production by now, but that was delayed by problems that ultimately added billions of dollars to the cost. But now, production is poised to explode. This year, Lockheed will build 53 F-35s here and at another assembly facility in Italy, pushing the worldwide total past 200. That’s more than the Air Force has F-22 Raptors.

By 2020, one year after the Fort Worth plant hits its full 17-jet-per-month stride, there will be more than 600 F-35s, including nearly 180 sent to U.S. allies.
Last edited by Viv S on 01 Nov 2016 23:22, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Viv S »

chola wrote:Obviously if we can get production of the F35 it would be my dream come true! But the F35 has not been put on the table. The F16 has.
Its on the menu. Available should we want it.


There is nothing on our side, no principle which bars Indian participation in the Joint Strike Fighter. The decision to pursue the F-35 is India’s alone. - Ashton Carter, US DefSec
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Manish_Sharma »

:roll:
Mighty generous of carter bhaiyya to have no objection, no bar in taking our billions and also taking control of big chunk of our airforce too...
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by chola »

Viv S wrote:
chola wrote:Obviously if we can get production of the F35 it would be my dream come true! But the F35 has not been put on the table. The F16 has.
Its on the menu. Available should we want it.


There is nothing on our side, no principle which bars Indian participation in the Joint Strike Fighter. The decision to pursue the F-35 is India’s alone. - Ashton Carter, US DefSec

But I don't believe that will be a full line like the F-16. We will be contributing parts to the F35 core manufacturers (mainly in the US, and possibly later on the UK.)

I want F-35 but the US will not give up manufacturing on it. The F-16 they will because it is "obsolete" to them. But obsolete to Unkil only not us.

I would take F-16 and the line over the F-35 of that were truly the case. The end goal should still be creating our industrial base.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Viv S »

chola wrote:But I don't believe that will be a full line like the F-16. We will be contributing parts to the F35 core manufacturers (mainly in the US, and possibly later on the UK.)

I want F-35 but the US will not give up manufacturing on it. The F-16 they will because it is "obsolete" to them. But obsolete to Unkil only not us.

I would take F-16 and the line over the F-35 of that were truly the case. The end goal should still be creating our industrial base.
The F-16 will not be a full production line to start with either. We'll just be assembling it from SKD/CKDs for a while. Later we can build the airframe and perhaps assemble the engines, but bulk of the value-addition will still remain in the US.

We have the option of progressively manufacturing the airframe for the F-35 as well, but from a primarily economic perspective high volume component production coupled with an assembly line (which can also serve as a centre for assembly/overhaul for regional operators as well) is a more sensible prospect.

More importantly, we cannot disassociate the combat capability of the aircraft from its cost. And the cold hard fact is that while the F-16 may be somewhat cheaper than the F-35, there is a huge gulf between them when it comes to capability. And given the current (bad) and future (worse) equation between the IAF & PLAAF, that matters. A lot.

For expanded production know-how, the best alternative would be for ADA to partner with LM, Boeing or BAE on a TASL production line for the Mk1A along with the development of the Mk2 (which, make no mistake, the F-16 will decisively kill off).
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by RohitAM »

The F-16 will not be a full production line to start with either. We'll just be assembling it from SKD/CKDs for a while. Later we can build the airframe and perhaps assemble the engines, but bulk of the value-addition will still remain in the US.

We have the option of progressively manufacturing the airframe for the F-35 as well, but from a primarily economic perspective high volume component production coupled with an assembly line (which can also serve as a centre for assembly/overhaul for regional operators as well) is a more sensible prospect.

More importantly, we cannot disassociate the combat capability of the aircraft from its cost. And the cold hard fact is that while the F-16 may be somewhat cheaper than the F-35, there is a huge gulf between them when it comes to capability. And given the current (bad) and future (worse) equation between the IAF & PLAAF, that matters. A lot.

For expanded production know-how, the best alternative would be for ADA to partner with LM, Boeing or BAE on a TASL production line for the Mk1A along with the development of the Mk2 (which, make no mistake, the F-16 will decisively kill off).
I'm believe this is the first time we are getting the option of a full-blown manufacturing line for any aircraft we have selected (the MKI line comes close, but it is still essentially an assembly line). This can easily be used for full blown production of the concerned aircraft (without the tech-limited components such as the AESA, which would still be imported), though it is right to presume that while the tooling is put into place, this will still start off as an assembly line. Additionally, the problem with getting the F-35 right now, ahead of the F-16, is that it will definitely kill the AMCA - the IAF will not settle for anything less, ensuring that the AMCA is caught in a perpetual cycle of prototypes (hopefully) and constant design changes. That would end the dream of a domestic R&D aerospace setup and fully indigenous manufacturing potential.

If we are committed to the LCA, there will always be an option for a later fleet upgrade from an Mk1 to an Mk1A to an Mk2 - the final fully capable product would not be ruled out, even if it takes years altogether to be decided upon. Additionally, I still have faith in the fact that we might very well end up handing over an LCA/AMCA production line to a private manufacturer, and pair them up with ADA to help manufacture new and qualitatively improve existing LCA's. HAL just might become a niche manufacturer, especially for helicopters, given their relative successes with legacy upgrades as well as new development and production such as the Dhruv family and the upcoming LCH. They might also remain deeply involved in legacy upgrades such as MKI's, early manufacture LCA's, and the transport and auxiliary fleet. We can add the development and manufacturing of support aircrafts such as the CAB AEW aircrafts and UAV's to the HAL portfolio as well.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by ramana »

From MSN Money:

In mid-October, the government of India kicked off a new program to attract foreign aircraft makers to build military fighter jets for the Indian Air Force in India using the foreign companies' technology. India is dangling an initial quantity of some 200 single-engine fighter planes, with the possibility of hundreds more.

According to a report at Defense News, the Indian Ministry of Defense has invited "some overseas participants" to bid on the program. India reportedly would prefer a government-to-government transaction based on pricing and trials from invited vendors.


The United States, Sweden and Russia are allegedly the leading contenders, with Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), Saab and, probably, Russia's United Aircraft as the expected bidders.

In late September, India signed an agreement with France to acquire 36 Dassault Rafale fighter jets for a reported $8.85 billion. According to a report from Reuters, the deal with Dassault was originally supposed to include 126 of the twin-engine Rafale's, but no agreement could be reached on the terms of production in India.

Lockheed Martin has offered to transfer the entire production of its F-16 fighter to India, making the country the exclusive producer of the single-engine F-16. Saab, makers of the Gripen single-engine fighter, has also said that it is ready and able to produce the planes in India.

Defense News reported that the new fighter program is intended to replace 11 squadrons Russian MiG 21s and MiG 27s that are being retired over the next 10 years. Each squadron consists of 18 planes each, for a total of 198 aircraft. The total could go much higher however:

The Indian Air Force is already facing shortage of combat jets as it has around 33-34 operational fighter squadrons, while officials believe they would need 45 squadrons in a hypothetical confrontation with China or Pakistan.

Forty-five squadrons equal 810 aircraft.

The F-16, the Gripen and the Rafale are fourth-generation fighters. The U.S. Air Force's single-engine F-35 Joint Strike Fighter is a fifth-generation aircraft, as is the twin-engine Russian Sukhoi T-50 PAK-FA that is expected to begin deliveries to the Russian Air Force next year. India and Russia signed an agreement in 2007 to develop a fifth-generation fighter based on the PAK-FA, but the deal has foundered on disagreements over technology transfer, costs and the number of aircraft to be built.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Kartik »

brar_w wrote:It will probably come down to cost. Neither of these deals will be cheap (still cheaper than the rafale would have been with similar MII level) simply due to the other aspects such as licensed production, technology access, and offset obligations. Gripen E/F will find it tough to compete with an F-16V derivative on cost simply because the Viper has little to no development to do, and relies on mostly stable (cost) technology. The Gripen E isn't even ready and won't in its totality until well into the next decade. It is tough to go very low on cost when there is some RDT&E still left on the program. Moreover, SAAB has to balance its TOT and production commitments to Brazil and look at the Swedish Air Force's interest.

Almost everything on the Gripen E is new (avionics) and still in development, developmental testing and/or pre-integration stage. On the F-16V you have two sets of new mission computers..one has already flown and is plug and play, while the other may also have flown and is entirely company funded. On top of this you have the Israeli mission computers as well. The radar is flying at the moment..The IRST sensor has been ready and flying on various operational platforms for many years. There are two US, and one Israeli EW suits integrated. The only part that is left is the IAF specific changes. Israel even has SATCOM integrated iirc.

The advantages for Gripen will be technology given that SAAB has some very new systems going in. Another advantage is that its not a US system outside of propulsion and few other systems. With everything else I see an advantage for the Viper, but rest assured with all these things factored in, this deal will not be cheap...
Agree on all the points you've mentioned, brar_w. Good post!
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Cain Marko »

Viv S wrote:The F-16 will not be a full production line to start with either. We'll just be assembling it from SKD/CKDs for a while. Later we can build the airframe and perhaps assemble the engines, but bulk of the value-addition will still remain in the US.
But isn't the 16 line more likely to make the private industry more robust with the possibility of developing tier 2/3 suppliers locally? I can see the merit of what you are saying, and to an extent, it might make more sense to just buy the F-35 with limited local input so long as it can be delivered fast enough. In the meanwhile private players can be brought into play for the LCA manufacture - slow as this process might be. Perhaps a second line for the Mk2 set up with an initial intent of another 126 units. Of course the issue of cost remains. They are talking of 125-200 numbers for $ 10-15 billion, can the F-35 fit this price point?
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Prem »

With Theresa May coming to India , may be sound her out for EJ200 type engine by RR on Sweed-dish to make it real sweet .
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by brar_w »

Prem wrote:With Theresa May coming to India , may be sound her out for EJ200 type engine by RR on Sweed-dish to make it real sweet .
Let's also think of other ways to make this even more expensive! :)
They are talking of 125-200 numbers for $ 10-15 billion, can the F-35 fit this price point?
Not even close.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by JayS »

Viv S wrote:[
I suggest you check Google again. $40 billion is the program cost for Japan's
Ah. Indeed. I misread something.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by JayS »

RohitAM wrote: I'm believe this is the first time we are getting the option of a full-blown manufacturing line for any aircraft we have selected (the MKI line comes close, but it is still essentially an assembly line).
Nope, we are not getting "Full blown Manufacturing Line", whatever that means. LM can only send assembly line, because thats the only thing they own. They cannot force all 00's of suppliers to go to India. If LM has to take all the pain in taking off all the parts from US suppliers and give it to Indian companies, not only it will take long time but also it will not be economical for LM. FOr a lot of seemingly low tech parts it may not be even practical to change suppliers. Take their marketing pitch with pinch of salt only.

BTW we would have got it for M2K as well if the entire tamasha for MMRCA had not happened.

And Su-30MKI line is not mere assembly line. We make majority components, even for engine, (by part count, not necessarily by value) from raw material right here in India. HAL has replaced some of the parts with alternatives as well, wherever they could. I daresay, we will never reach that kind of level with F16, given the kind of suppliers foot print western aircrafts tend to have.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Amoghvarsha »

200 F 35 for 15bn?Is this even possibe?

It may be the best solution,but is it feasible?

What about the Super Advanced Hornet?Can we afford that?
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Viv S »

RohitAM wrote:I'm believe this is the first time we are getting the option of a full-blown manufacturing line for any aircraft we have selected (the MKI line comes close, but it is still essentially an assembly line). This can easily be used for full blown production of the concerned aircraft (without the tech-limited components such as the AESA, which would still be imported), though it is right to presume that while the tooling is put into place, this will still start off as an assembly line.
We already have an aircraft for which we're carrying out full-blown manufacturing i.e. the Tejas. Technologically, there's nothing that the F-16 production delivers that would be radically new or different. Also if necessary, we still have the option of getting a foreign consultant to assist with the production ramp-up.

The F-16 will take years to get to the level of domestic content that the Su-30MKI program is currently at. For the foreseeable future, Make-in-India = Assemble-in-India. Which is also why the LCA program is so crucial to domestic efforts.
Additionally, the problem with getting the F-35 right now, ahead of the F-16, is that it will definitely kill the AMCA - the IAF will not settle for anything less, ensuring that the AMCA is caught in a perpetual cycle of prototypes (hopefully) and constant design changes. That would end the dream of a domestic R&D aerospace setup and fully indigenous manufacturing potential.
Three points here.

1. The AMCA will in all likelihood IOC around 2035. I think it would be reasonable to expect it to match a 2020s F-35A.

2. F-16 or F-35, the space for the AMCA in the IAF inventory would remain the same. It would be replacing retiring Su-30s rather than MiG-27s.

3. The success of the AMCA will be determined to a great extent by the success of the LCA program. And the F-35, fortunately, isn't really a threat to the Tejas. But if the F-16 or Gripen E enters the picture, we may as well forget about any production increment and forget about the Mk2 entirely. The IAF's position will be blunt - we have this, it does the same job, does it well and does it reliably... so why bother?
Last edited by Viv S on 02 Nov 2016 02:23, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Viv S »

Cain Marko wrote:But isn't the 16 line more likely to make the private industry more robust with the possibility of developing tier 2/3 suppliers locally? I can see the merit of what you are saying, and to an extent, it might make more sense to just buy the F-35 with limited local input so long as it can be delivered fast enough. In the meanwhile private players can be brought into play for the LCA manufacture - slow as this process might be. Perhaps a second line for the Mk2 set up with an initial intent of another 126 units. Of course the issue of cost remains.
We may not push for full spectrum production with the F-35 (the short term price for that will be very steep) but in economic terms its a better deal thanks to higher volumes. That's how the F-35 model functions and why its beating the EF/Rafale on price, and why it'll match the F-16/Gripen E when its at full rate production. Specialize and build in volume. But if we start A-to-Z low volume local production of the airframe, the cost will go through the roof.

One might say that the learning element is worth it, but I'd argue that with a veritable horde of J-10s, J-11s & J-20s at our doorstep, that's a luxury, especially given that we have the Tejas available for the same function.

Meanwhile, companies like TASL and M&M will be well positioned to out-price other suppliers on future LM production contracts (for the entire duration of the program). Keep in mind, the F-35 is scheduled to remain in production till 2037. And if its fortunes are anything like the F-16, probably a good bit longer.
They are talking of 125-200 numbers for $ 10-15 billion, can the F-35 fit this price point?
$75-80 mil/unit acquisition cost. No way. Neither can the F-16. Or Gripen. Or Rafale. Or the Su-30MKI, for that matter.

I don't know what world they're living in. The only aircraft that can be acquired in that budget is the Tejas, which they're soft-pedaling at the moment.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Mihir »

brar_w wrote:
Prem wrote:With Theresa May coming to India , may be sound her out for EJ200 type engine by RR on Sweed-dish to make it real sweet .
Let's also think of other ways to make this even more expensive! :)
R-77 and R-73 integration. Ability to switch out the Raven radar for Zhuk-AE in a BRD. The ability to carry a nuclear-capable 200-m diameter Akash. And a turquoise coloured cockpit.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by JayS »

Viv S wrote:
Additionally, the problem with getting the F-35 right now, ahead of the F-16, is that it will definitely kill the AMCA - the IAF will not settle for anything less, ensuring that the AMCA is caught in a perpetual cycle of prototypes (hopefully) and constant design changes. That would end the dream of a domestic R&D aerospace setup and fully indigenous manufacturing potential.
Three points here.

1. The AMCA will in all likelihood IOC around 2035. I think it would be reasonable to expect it to match a 2020s F-35A.

2. F-16 or F-35, the space for the AMCA in the IAF inventory would remain the same. It would be replacing retiring Su-30s rather than MiG-27s.

3. The success of the AMCA will be determined to a great extent by the success of the LCA program. And the F-35, fortunately, isn't really a threat to the Tejas. But if the F-16 or Gripen E enters the picture, we may as well forget about any production increment and forget about the Mk2 entirely. The IAF's position will be blunt - we have this, it does the same job, does it well and does it reliably... so why bother?
Actually FGFA are suppose to replace Su-30 which joined in the first batch (heavy to heavy replacement - AMCA not heavy enough). AMCA suppose to replace Jaguars/Mig29/M2K in medium class. Other Su-30MKI will remain in service for quite long time. F16/LCA will replace all retiring MiGs. Let alone F35, even F16 is a valid threat for AMCA, that it could replace the medium class jets, leaving AMCA not much space unless sanctioned squadron strength is increased. Going by the speed and paltry funding for AMCA, it may get delayed to 2035 and would ready to replace retiring Jaguars/Mig29/M2K in time, We would have a F16 line going cold asking for more orders. LCA will not be picked up for sure citing weight class argument. So its either F16 or F35.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Kartik »

shiv wrote:Ok let me simply make "off the cuff" remarks - to provoke, if necessary. Conformal fuel tanks are useless for Indian usage. Amreeka has fought all its wars far away from far away bases and its hawai jahazes have to fly long distances to get to drop a bomb on slanteyes/commies and other enemies of freedom and democracy. The F 16 gets more loiter time with those ugly shoulder pads and loiter time was useful in hanging out over Iraq and Afghanistan enforcing a no fly zone. An air to air refuelling probe makes much more sense.

Conformal tanks increase drag. Cannot be discarded and above all look ugly - which is something we lay great premium on on BRF. That which does not look good can't be good ergo conformal tanks are useless.
I don't agree with you on this Shiv saab.

CFTs allow for 2 innermost hard points that are usually rated to carry the highest weight, to be free for weapons. And in many loadout scenarios, carrying very heavy stores means that those innermost hardpoints need to be used, which means only a centerline drop tank, but that means lower range and possibly, dependence on a tanker. In the Indian scenario, where the IAF has very few aerial refueling assets, this becomes a serious concern.

During peacetime training, one could safely say that the CFTs need not be carried on most average sorties and since these are bolt-on, they can be removed in under 2 hours or so by trained crew with the right equipment. Supposed to be not the easiest thing to do for maintainers (unlike what is advertised by LM) but is definitely doable.

Under certain circumstances, the ability to be able to carry your fuel while retaining 9G ability could be a boon, rather than dropping your tanks and with it half your fuel load as well, since fighters are severely g loads restricted with full drop tanks.

CFTs will increase drag, but marginally since overall, they are designed to keep the area ruling somewhat intact. For sure they'll increase drag less than a drop tank with its pylon. RCS signature of a CFT equipped fighter will also be lower than for a fighter with large stores hanging off the wing.

I would hazard that the ability to maintain CAP for longer periods, or to have larger numbers of fighters able to go deep into enemy territory, without being dependent on a tanker to be able to recover safely with some margin, is worth it.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Kartik »

BTW, here's a surprise- the 2 MiG-35 pre-production prototypes that are being built currently, will likely feature a mechanically scanning array radar. Possibly the Zhuk radar, similar to that on the MiG-29K. Not even an outside chance of getting into the IAF for this bird. Had they managed to get it into service with the configuration that they advertised back during the MRCA days, it at least had a shot at this MII tender.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Kartik »

Amoghvarsha wrote:200 F 35 for 15bn?Is this even possibe?

It may be the best solution,but is it feasible?

What about the Super Advanced Hornet?Can we afford that?
F-35 and Make In India don't go together. If an off-the-shelf purchase with some workshare is what the IAF and GoI want, then F-35 would be available to India, if interest was expressed.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by RohitAM »

Three points here.

1. The AMCA will in all likelihood IOC around 2035. I think it would be reasonable to expect it to match a 2020s F-35A.

2. F-16 or F-35, the space for the AMCA in the IAF inventory would remain the same. It would be replacing retiring Su-30s rather than MiG-27s.

3. The success of the AMCA will be determined to a great extent by the success of the LCA program. And the F-35, fortunately, isn't really a threat to the Tejas. But if the F-16 or Gripen E enters the picture, we may as well forget about any production increment and forget about the Mk2 entirely. The IAF's position will be blunt - we have this, it does the same job, does it well and does it reliably... so why bother?
1. Going by the IAF and IA's fairly lackadaisical attitude towards domestic products and constant requests for imported "allegedly" top-of-the-line systems, expecting the IAF to settle for an AMCA which matches an early tranche F-35A is being unrealistic - they will keep asking for the AMCA to include tech which matches the best out there in the medium weight category, and at that time, it will mean that their brochure-based benchmark would be the latest upgraded F-35 rolling off the production line in Fort Worth, Texas, which I'm quite sure, LM will offer to us quite graciously with manufacturing offsets and India-specific customization, and "apparently" no strings attached.

2. The AMCA cannot replace the MKI's, since they are not in the same weight class. Two fighters globally can be expected to replace the MKI's in 2035, if available - the F-22 and the FGFA. Since we won't get the Raptor, the FGFA it is (at least I am hoping it is).

3. Expecting the LCA orders to get close to 200 across all tranches is pushing it, to be very honest, whether that's Mk.I, Mk.IA, or the Mk.II. I would be extremely happy to see that happen, especially since a large LCA force can easily be deployed to handle almost everything the Pakis can throw at them, leaving the medium's and the heavies for the Chinese front. At this point of time, with the GOI and possibly the IAF wanting to commit to the F-16, and that too for numbers crossing 200+, it will take a lot of pushing and tear-wiping before the inherent bureaucratic inertia against domestic products can be resolved, and the best we can hope is a firm 120-unit order for the LCA, culminating in the Mk.II upgrade across the force once the Mk.II's actually start rolling out. When will that happen, well, your guess is as good as mine. But since it is the IAF which apparently wants the heavy-medium-light mix, unless they are committing to the Gripen-E, they can't really back away from the LCA, at least not at this point in time, and I'm fairly confident we won't be producing 120 F-16's and 120 Gripens together, whatever happens.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Neshant »

Once we abandon domestic innovation for foreign imports of all significant aerospace products, we have effectively seceded our national sovereignty and independence of action. Worse yet, it destroys opportunities for technological development through military R&D.

Is any of that taken into account at any level when hurriedly sending out requests for 200 foreign fighter planes.

Unless this RFI is cancelled, there is no hope for a domestic aerospace industry beyond screwdriver giri.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Kartik »

brar_w wrote:
Now, regarding the air to air and air to ground modes being viewed in a single display, is that capability in existence anywhere else?
The capability exists on all AESA equipped fighters that have air to air and air to ground modes. Gripen E, Rafale, F-15E, F-16, F-35, and F-22 with Increment 3.2.
The capability to view both modes in a single page? That exists already on existing AESA equipped fighters? News to me..Is that the same as interleaved modes on the Super Hornet's APG-79?
brar_w wrote: The JSF has a very different architecture and the way the sensors are fused. It is even different from the F-22 and Super Hornet in the way it is set up. You won't be able to replicate on the F-16 w/o paying F-35 prices. The F-16V is a result of USAF's system analysis that looked at the maximum capability at the most affordable price point. Add more capability and it becomes less cost effective. One may want different capability as in Israeli EW suite instead of the Raytheon system offered for the original IN's, but capability wise that is really a sweet spot that looks at the cost and what you get in return for that.

The F-16 V has a Raytheon or Boeing mission computers that support growth, AESA and utilizes OMS. It has an AESA radar upfront, and a podded IRST. It lacks a CFT but that is mostly an add on so won't change anything substantial. That is probably the capability one needs to look at if one were looking at fielding a lot of aircraft at something even remotely affordable.

yes, well the whole point of this acquisition is to get a cost effective 4th gen fighter that is upgradable and ticks most of the boxes for what is considered just about cutting edge today. Being able to "talk" to the F-35 and F-22 should mean that the fused picture of the battlespace should be possible to be displayed on the F-16V's center pedestal display, apart from sharing target coordinates, maps, pictures, etc..Not sure about USAF requirements, but the IAF will want its fighter to have sensor fusion from the onboard sensors - IRST, RWR and AESA radar. If it is not to the level that the IAF wants, LM will have to develop it to that extent.
In other words, no CFT's = No IFR which means if you've configured the fleet for different roles the aircraft that may need IFR the most (those w/o CFT's) won't have it available unless you change the tankers.

Image
the CFT would be standard fit for all the F-16s if the IAF procures them. Procured as additional equipment of course, but a set for each fighter will be procured nonetheless. I would not expect F-16s to be flown into battle without CFTs since no specific roles demand that the CFTs not be carried or that they be replaced with drop tanks. Drop tanks could be supplemental, to add to the range. So, while the CARTS system is not ideal, as on the Gripen with its telescopic refueling probe, it is unlikely that it won't be available since the CFTs will in most cases, not be taken off. All pilots want as much fuel as they can get.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by brar_w »

The capability to view both modes in a single page?
That's how the radar operates. This is a radar enabled capability and all the aircraft that present information form the radar in a unified form get that. The ability to have your radar show concurrent air to air and air to ground modes is enabled by the sensor bump and all the aircraft that get it are able to do it. The MMI on upgraded F-16's, Rhinos, Rafale's, typhoons and F-22's are quite advanced and in some if not many areas more so than what is possible with reasonable investment on the Viper.
s that the same as interleaved modes on the Super Hornet's APG-79?
Yes. Its something the AESA enables.
Being able to "talk" to the F-35 and F-22 should mean that the fused picture of the battlespace should be possible to be displayed on the F-16V's center pedestal display, apart from sharing target coordinates, maps, pictures, etc..
F-35 and F-22 interoperability does not mean that. It means that you exchange data based on the Link-16 interface just as you would with another F-16 or F-15. It will be the same if an F-16 flies with a Rafale for example.

If the IAF asks for F-35 level of integration, it will end up paying the cost of the F-35 or at least the Rafale. Sensor fusion means different things to different architectures so you have to define what sort of interaction you want. his is just scratching the surface and the L-16 enables that. Its deliberately kept to a minimum because Link-16 is a long range system that can exchange over distance and with lots of platforms. The way F-22's IFDL or F-35's MADL exchanges data is complete integration with sensors in which each aircraft's sensors are adjusting themselves in a cooperating scenario..so you could have a radar track on a target from one F-35, and 2 Electro Optical tracks from another in the four ship while all combine ESM data to triangulate a threat. The F-35 can't do this with F-16's, and the F-16's can't do this with each other to the same level. The limiting factor is Link-16 because its built for bulk and not for what the IFDL or MADL accomplish.
the CFT would be standard fit for all the F-16s if the IAF procures them. Procured as additional equipment of course, but a set for each fighter will be procured nonetheless. I would not expect F-16s to be flown into battle without CFTs since no specific roles demand that the CFTs not be carried or that they be replaced with drop tanks. Drop tanks could be supplemental, to add to the range. So, while the CARTS system is not ideal, as on the Gripen with its telescopic refueling probe, it is unlikely that it won't be available since the CFTs will in most cases, not be taken off. All pilots want as much fuel as they can get.
On what basis are you making these assumption?
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Amoghvarsha »

Kartik wrote:
Amoghvarsha wrote:200 F 35 for 15bn?Is this even possibe?

It may be the best solution,but is it feasible?

What about the Super Advanced Hornet?Can we afford that?
F-35 and Make In India don't go together. If an off-the-shelf purchase with some workshare is what the IAF and GoI want, then F-35 would be available to India, if interest was expressed.
What about the Super Advanced Hornet?
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Kartik »

Viv S wrote:
Kartik wrote:talking about becoming obsolete by 2030 or so, the F-16 Block 60 is itself more up-to-date in technology terms today, than certain other 4th generation fighters being offered or entering service. Our neighbours to the west are looking to add F-16s of any vintage that they can get their hands on and subject some to an upgrade that will bring them partially to the Block 50 level. And then they'll pin their future hopes on the FC-31 that they'll want to "co-develop" with SAC, like the JF-17.

the IAF plans on keeping its Jaguars in service till 2035 at least, so I doubt that the most capable F-16 variant ever, will be anywhere near obsolete by then. With the exponential cost growth in acquiring new generation fighters, most air forces will struggle to just about retain their existing 4th generation fighter capability. And so the F-16s in service today, especially the Block 50/52, which was exported quite a bit, will continue to serve till 2040-50 at least, that too likely without major upgrades.

looking to our east, the Block 60 is way more capable than the J-10A and the J-10B is just entering service now with an AESA radar and IRST and I doubt it will have the level of refinement or capability of the Block 60. it certainly will take a while before it is mature and all its systems are bug free. JF-17 of any block will not be a match.
While of course calling the F-16 obsolete is an exaggeration, favourable head-to-head comparisons with the J-10B mask the basic issue i.e. numerical strength.

The Chengdu is delivered 3 J-10s per month to the PLAAF. That's 36 fighters annually. (Plus another two dozen Flanker variants, nearly as many JH-7s.)

Between today and four years from now (when off-the-shelf F-16 deliveries commence), the PLAAF will have already received nearly 150 J-10Bs. Now the F-16 may be a lot better, which I wouldn't be too confident about, but those are still some godawful numerical odds it faces.

At roughly the same time (i.e. 2020) the J-20 will be entering high rate production and that will definitely be superior to the F-16. If they can sort through the inevitable reliability & software hurdles it faces, it'll be superior to the Rafale as well.

We desperately need a solution to even those scales. One limb is clearly the Tejas, which is cheap enough be produced & inducted in high numbers for the grunt work. The other limb cannot be the F-16, which will be squeezing into the same trouser leg as the Tejas.
Numerical odds don't take into account that China still doesn't have that many airfields in Tibet that can be used for fighter ops and from those rarified air airfields, payload restrictions exist. The bulk of the PLAAF and PLAN airplane fleet and airfields are on its southern and coastal flanks, and they cannot leave those facing Taiwan and Japan defenceless and put them all on the Indian front. Just as the IAF wants to cater to a two-front war, the PLAAF has to cater in the possibility of others opening up fronts against them, however unlikely that may seem.

Regarding face to face comparison, with the F-16, I have a feeling that the original J-10A was a bit underwhelming and if the J-10B was up to scratch, rest assured the PAF would've been out with a begging bowl asking for J-10Bs. J-10Bs won't cost more than the F-16 Block 52s, and China would have been willing to give easy credit for that first export order. But even the beggars are looking for second hand F-16s. Or, they're willing to spend scarce resources on F-16 Block 52s and even look at Su-35S. That says a lot.

The J-20 from most reports looks like it has been designed for long range interception. Maneuverability seems ok for a large fighter (see latest airshow demo), but it is no PAK-FA, MKI or Rafale in that department. And Chinese avionics, while reportedly good (and reported so by Pakis, who have a skin in snagging some exports for the JF-17 with Chinese avionics), are still lagging behind Western avionics. The PLAAF will take a while before the J-20 is inducted in hundreds of numbers. Till then, numerically, it is the J-10A and Su-27 knockoffs that will form the bulk of the PLAAF.

As things stand, this obsession with getting the best out there without bothering to also check if they were affordable in more than a few dozen numbers, led to the choice of the Rafale and Typhoon as the last two standing, and has led to this situation where we'll likely end up with 2 types for the same MRCA requirement with next to nill probability of the chosen MRCA winner being built in India. Rafale is not affordable, not in the numbers the IAF wants. It costs $91 million flyaway, built in a French facility that already has built over a hundred Rafales. Extrapolate that to an Indian facility with all its other non-recurring costs for setting it up and you have a fighter that simply isn't affordable. Not unless the IAF lets go of this 42 squadron fantasy. There's a good article by Bill Sweetman out there somewhere, that talks about this ever escalating cost curve.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Kartik »

brar_w wrote: F-35 and F-22 interoperability does not mean that. It means that you exchange data based on the Link-16 interface just as you would with another F-16 or F-15. It will be the same if an F-16 flies with a Rafale for example.
Link-16 is slow and lacks the bandwidth to share large files - its more like a text message. So its limited data sharing at best if that's all the USAF wants for its upgraded F-16s to be able to share with the F-35 and F-22 fleet.
If the IAF asks for F-35 level of integration, it will end up paying the cost of the F-35 or at least the Rafale. Sensor fusion means different things to different architectures so you have to define what sort of interaction you want. his is just scratching the surface and the L-16 enables that. Its deliberately kept to a minimum because Link-16 is a long range system that can exchange over distance and with lots of platforms. The way F-22's IFDL or F-35's MADL exchanges data is complete integration with sensors in which each aircraft's sensors are adjusting themselves in a cooperating scenario..so you could have a radar track on a target from one F-35, and 2 Electro Optical tracks from another in the four ship while all combine ESM data to triangulate a threat. The F-35 can't do this with F-16's, and the F-16's can't do this with each other to the same level. The limiting factor is Link-16 because its built for bulk and not for what the IFDL or MADL accomplish.
But surely threat and target data can be shared otherwise just what the heck were LM officials talking about when they say that the F-16Vs would be able to "talk to" and operate alongside F-35s.

if the USAF's requirements are just to get some level of inter-operability at the lowest price point and hence they get just some Link-16 data sharing capability, it won't be very useful for the IAF. Unfortunately, we know very little about the IAF's ODL system, and what level of data sharing it entails. Don't even know how the Rafale and Su-30MKI or the rest of the IAF's fleet will share data, if at all.
On what basis are you making these assumption?
On the basis that all Block 50/52 and Block 60 F-16s are plumbed for and have the structural provisions for fitting CFTs. All operators of the Block 50/52 and 60 use these and it is a lower drag option than the drop tanks that doesn't impinge on the fighter's performance.

link to article
Flight testing with aerodynamic shapes was conducted on an F-16C at Eglin Air Force Base, Fla., from March through August. A total of 24 test flights and 65 flight test hours were accomplished, and testing involved loads, flutter, and stability and control.

Lockheed Martin puts a lot of effort to it in response to international market demands for more range and payload. CFTs have become a very popular option in recent orders and new business pursuits.

Lockheed Martin began F-16 flight demonstration of an initial CFT shape in 1994 to investigate performance and handling quality characteristics. Subsequent wind tunnel testing led to the current external lines, which were initially validated in flight testing of high angle-of-attack handling characteristics at Edwards AFB, Calif., last year.

"The flying qualities of the F-16 with CFTs are essentially unchanged when compared to a non-CFT equipped airplane," said Stephen W. Barter, chief F-16 test pilot and company CFT project pilot. "For most combat flight conditions, it's as if the CFTs are not even there. The surest way for me to tell if CFTs are installed is to look over my shoulder."

"The CFTs have very little adverse affect on the F-16's renowned performance," said Maj. Timothy S. McDonald, U.S. Air Force project pilot for CFT testing at Eglin. "The aircraft retains its full 9-g capability and flight envelope with the CFTs installed. The drag impact is very small - less than one percent in combat configuration at cruise conditions."


..

A shipset of two CFTs provide a total of 440 U.S. gal, or approximately 3,000 lbs of additional fuel for the F-16. The extra fuel can significantly extend mission range, time on station or time engaged in combat. This range/persistence enhancement is very valuable for countries that do not have tankers for aerial refueling. For countries that do have tankers, CFTs can reduce the tanker offload demand and extend the fighter's penetration distance

CFTs also increase the F-16's payload flexibility. For medium range air-to-surface missions, CFTs can eliminate the need for wing tanks. This allows doubling the F-16's primary weapon capacity and flying with two, rather than one, types of large weapons in a balanced configuration.


F-16 CFTs are located on the upper fuselage surface, which significantly reduces stores recertification requirements and the associated costs. The upper surface arrangement allows the CFTs to be relatively light weight because nothing is suspended from them. The CFTs do not interfere with daily inspections and servicing and can be removed or installed in about two hours.
..
The only Block 50/52 user that doesn't use the CFTs, is the USAF and they claim the reason behind that is that they have adequate tanker support.

link
..

From what I have gathered over the years on the topic via talking to pilots directly and seeing mentions of the decision in publications from time to time, the USAF justifies not procuring CFTs because it already has so many tanker aircraft. Additionally, in a major air battle they don’t need the extra weapons stations freed up by the inclusion of CFTs as a great advantage because they can simply assign more F-16s to target set. For longer-range strike missions they can use the F-15E or even a bomber.
..
And a lot of rationale behind why it makes a lot of sense to fit CFTs. It's a no-brainer really. No affect on the jet's performance, flexibility of payload, higher warload, none to less dependance on tankers, and the difference in cost for av-gas from a tanker versus av-gas on the ground. All versus the maintainers having to spend a couple of hours to remove them for routine maintenance every month or so.
..

F-16 CFTs are designed for the jet’s full flight envelope, up to 9 g’s, maximum angle of attack, sideslip and maximum roll rate and they have almost no impact on maneuverability or speed below mach one, where fighters spend the vast majority of their time. Even above mach one, they have less performance impact and carry more fuel then a centerline drop tank.

While Israel, Turkey, Poland, Greece, Morocco, Pakistan, Oman, Singapore and the UAE all actively use CFTs on their F-16 fleets, the U.S. has bypassed the option all together.

..

Now let’s take a closer look at this rationale. It is true that the U.S. has a dizzying amount of tanker aircraft, about 450 in total, with 59 being KC-10 Extenders and the rest being KC-135R Stratotankers. These aircraft can also be used for cargo missions but mainly they provide refueling for thirsty U.S. and allied military aircraft. Meanwhile, the F-16 still represents the backbone of the USAF’s tactical air combat capability, with over 900 units still in service even after many squadrons have been shuttered due to budgetary cuts.

Over 250 of these aircraft are Block 50/52 F-16CJs that were delivered optimized for CFTs. In other words, around 30 percent of the USAF most advanced and youngest F-16s could easily be fitted with CFTs, many of which have the challenging “Wild Weasel” Suppression of Enemy Air Defense/Destruction of Enemy Air Defenses (SEAD/DEAD) mission. This demanding mission is a critical support capability that is needed to ensure the safety of both short-ranged and long-ranged aircraft against an enemy with even a rudimentary air defense system.

The F-16, with its limited range and “work in progress” Harm Targeting System (HTS), has never been ideally suited for this mission, only really coming into its own in it after key avionics and weapons upgrades over the last decade or so. The addition of another 40 percent or so of internal fuel would help make the jet the best Wild Weasel it could possibly be, and give it the legs it needs to work anti-aircraft systems over while strike and counter-air aircraft accomplish their missions in enemy airspace.

Adding close to 50 percent internal fuel to 25 percent of the USAF’s existing F-16 fleet offers a slew of benefits, both tactically and strategically. First off, greatly enhanced loiter time and range. This will allow these F-16s to not be as closely tethered to aerial tankers as they are today, having to depart roughly every hour to refuel while over the combat area, which greatly complicates planning and can leave a hole over a key area of the battlefield. This is especially when executing critical close air support (CAS) and Wild Weasel missions.

On medium and short range missions, CFTs mean more maneuverability, less drag penalty and more weapons available per aircraft when compared to flying an F-16 with cumbersome under-wing tanks. On long-range missions, where underwing drop tanks are paired with CFTs, it means enhanced range and on station time.

..

Then there is the tanker vulnerability issue, as they are large targets incapable of defending themselves, and tasked with operating within a few hundred miles of their short-legged fighter dependents. During a war against an enemy with anti-access and area-denial capabilities, this could mean long ‘tanker bridges’ shuffling fighters from far away bases to the front lines. It also means that the tankers themselves will be far-forward deployed. As such, they will be vulnerable to enemy attack, especially during swarming enemy operations, or those where advanced low-observable enemy aircraft are being used. Thus, the farther these tankers can be pushed back by increasing our combat aircraft’s organic range the safer they will be during such a conflict conflict.

Also keep in mind that over the vast reaches of the Pacific, during even a limited near peer-state conflict, if the enemy kills the tanker, they may also have killed all the fighters dependent on that tanker as they would have to divert to bases vulnerable to enemy attack or run out of fuel and ditch in the ocean.

Finally, you have cost. Tanker gas costs anywhere from $25-$35 per gallon (some claim it is closer to $50) when you factor in the costs associated with aerial refueling. This is in comparison to about $5 to $6 when an aircraft is fueled on the ground. During sustained low-intensity warfare operations or during training, relying more on ground-based fuel than on tankers is a much more economical way to go about the fighter business. It will also offer more time per sortie during training when aerial refueling assets are not used. This means less aircraft “turns” and much greater efficiency when getting pilots their required training hours. Less sorties, but longer ones, is also easier on the hardware.

The best part about the CFTs is that they are removable. For certain operations, if they are deemed unnecessary, the aircraft can be left stripped of them, and for other missions they can be fitted. For instance, over Afghanistan, where persistence during CAS missions was key and there was no air-to-air or advanced surface-to-air threat, hauling some 40 percent more gas while being able to carry more weapons seems like a pretty logical advantage. Yet even during combat operations, where there is a robust surface-to-air and air-to-air thrust, any slight hinderance the CFTs cause to agility, which apparently is almost nothing, is overcome by being able to stay in the fight longer at higher thrust settings.
Last edited by Kartik on 03 Nov 2016 00:16, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by ShauryaT »

Gutting the Tejas or Seventies’ fighter for 21st Century IAF zindabad! - Bharat Karnad
The Narendra Modi-led BJP government has waxed “nationalistic” but almost every step and decision it has taken in the defence industrial sector to-date has not only regressed the possibility of India emerging as a military aviation and aerospace power but pretty much guaranteed India will remain the biggest importer of armaments in the world and an arms dependency....
....
“Make in India” is different from the more significant “Made in India”, which GOI has not cottoned to, despite the fact that at the heart of the latter concept is the designing aspect. Designing the Tejas is of the greatest significance, not the fact that it has foreign-sourced components. No major weapons platform used by the Indian military are, by this definition, “Made” in India. But a large number of them fit the category of “Make” in India involving the same old, same old — the Meccano level screwdriver technology of assembling aircraft, Bofors guns, whatever, as per the design blueprint and the SKD (semi knock down) kits and CKD (completely knocked down) kits given by the supplier, that HAL and our Ordnance factories are a cock-a-hoop about. This is the same old scheme of licensed manufacture dressed up in new “Make” in India rhetoric. Except, instead of the Defence Public Sector Units doing the assembling, private sector companies, such Tata, L&T, and Reliance Aerospace, will now also do it, with no more likelihood than in the past of these companies ingesting imported technologies to the point where they are able to innovate the technology. And India will be left marching in place.....

In fact, the Swedish firm Saab in competition with Lockheed Martin with its F-15 and Boeing’s F-18 to sell the Gripen NG as MiG-21 replacement has been more honest than the American majors in stating publicly that the final negotiated unit price of their aircraft will depend upon how much indigenization India wants, the higher the Indian content, the steeper the price....

The talk is Modi is going American and buying the F-16, and soon Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar will sign an agreement with LH to produce the F-16 fighter aircraft involving a local partner, likely Tata (Dassault of France hoping the 38 aircraft deal will lead to buying another 90 Rafales, has chosen the politically well-connected Gujarati firm of Reliance Aerospace to advance this aim). LH and Boeing began shaping their offers around the time Modi visited the US and President Barack Obama for the first time in Oct 2014, when the US President is reported to have impressed on Modi the desirability of buying the F-16/F-18. That’s when Modi’s calculation firmed up that buying expensive military hardware would concurrently buy the goodwill of the Western country he was visiting at any time. A few months later in April 2015, he pulled the Rafale rabbit out of his metaphorical hat to the great delight and acclaim of President Francoise Hollande and his entourage in Paris....

The aged and worn out F-16 assembly line from Fort Worth, Texas, will be moved to India. Factoring in the costs of setting up this antique production facility here and a maintenance infrastructure in India, will mean F-16 per plane cost of around $280 million, without weapons. This for an almost fifty year old aircraft! By the time, you factor the weapon cost, a “Make” in India F-16 unit cost will be upwards of $350 million — the price of the cost-prohibitive Rafale! Boeing, trying to be clever, has promised establishing an entirely new and more modern production line, except India will pay lots more for it. The unit cost of the F-18, in the event , is anyone’s guess. F-18’s selling point is it is also a carrier aircraft, yes, but requiring gigantic boats of 90,000+ tonnes of displacement, which can be blown out of the water by supersonic and the even more deadly hypersonic cruise missiles (homing in, broadsides, at seven times the speed of sound). But we Indians believe in afterlife and the Indian carrier hosting F-18s will have one too!....

That such a great home grown aircraft as Tejas is thus being slowly, and with great deliberation, strangled by the Indian govt and IAF, just as these two entities had in the 1970s killed the other Indian MADE and extraordinary supersonic combat aircraft the Marut HF-24 Mk-II (also known as the HF-73), reveals just how devoid of strategic vision and will, of confidence and faith in India’s capabilities and in self-respect, the Modi govt is. That the imports-happy IAF never felt even a twinge of self-doubt when flying foreign aircraft when desi aircraft were there for its nurturing, is by now an old story. $30 billion in the Tejas programme would result in a 5th-gen combat aircraft that would wipe the floor with the competition in the global market, especially in Africa and Latin America. But that would mean NO repeated pleasure trips to the IAF brass and MOD officials to the US and to oola la! – Paris, etc., no Green cards, no offshore accounts, no palatial residences for CASs after retirement, no, etc. etc.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by brar_w »

Link-16 is slow and lacks the bandwidth to share large files - its more like a text message. So its limited data sharing at best if that's all the USAF wants for its upgraded F-16s to be able to share with the F-35 and F-22 fleet.
Its not what the USAF demands. All of NATO uses a Link-16 backbone/standard. The French use it on the Rafale, and the Eurofigther on the Typhoon. Its a standard!.

The upgrades are planned so that the there is something to act as a gatekeeper for non L-16 data and aggregate it to distribute some information to L-16 compatible fleet without the stealth aircraft utilizing L-16 transmit which is omnidirectional and as I had explained earlier, its very nature/requirement runs counter to staying hidden. There were a few ways to do this across the fleet. The simplest, and cheapest was to give Link-16 transmit capability to the F-22 (it already has passive/receive capability) but that ran counter to how the aircraft is employed.

But surely threat and target data can be shared otherwise just what the heck were LM officials talking about when they say that the F-16Vs would be able to "talk to" and operate alongside F-35s.
Both the F-16 and F-35 have both transmit and receive capability through Link-16. That's how the F-35 communicates with the Rafale, Typhoon or all NATO aircraft.
if the USAF's requirements are just to get some level of inter-operability at the lowest price point and hence they get just some Link-16 data sharing capability, it won't be very useful for the IAF.
IAF is likely to get its existing data-links incorporated. Again, you aren't going to get some exotic high performance waveform such as MADL or IFDL but simply taking IAF standard DLs and swapping those in within the CSWaP. Any similar data-link application will run into the same issues (as L-16) when it comes to multi-ship sensor fusion, the likes of which the F-35 achieves. There is a reason why the F-35's use a different multi-ship data link for its fusion..the characteristics there run counter to the roles cross-fleet systems like L-16 perform. Unless you can claim decades of superiority in data-link technology you aren't going to get directional, wideband, jam-resistant data-volume data links while at the same time utilizing the same for long range, high relay information sharing (what the L-16 does). There's a reason why the F-22 has IFDL+L16(1way) and why the F-35 has MADL+Link-16, and why the USN has its own layer of TTNT as a bridge.

Let's be realistic here. The F-16 is no F-35 or anywhere close to it when it comes to sensor fusion. Even the F-22 isn't. One could argue that the best 4.5 generation US integration and sensor-fusion roadmap that is actually funded is on the block changes the USN has in the pipeline for the Super Hornet particularly when it comes to some of the ESM and EW capability that Raytheon has planed ahead.
Unfortunately, we know very little about the IAF's ODL system, and what level of data sharing it entails. Don't even know how the Rafale and Su-30MKI or the rest of the IAF's fleet will share data, if at all.
Think sandboxing and you'll be about right. Most layered data-links allow you to share basic information and pass it along. You aren't going to get latency free cross matching interoperability where you have the same avionics architecture communicate with the something that is exactly the same. That's how the F-35 does it but even there its taken quite an effort to get everything to line up since they were running into issues when it came to cooperative geolocation of threat based on multiple sensor-input. As I've said, you aren not going to get that level between F-35 and F-16 leave alone F-16 and F-16 unless you get to work and completely revamp the avionics architect in which case may as well buy the more expensive fighters options.
On the basis that all Block 50/52 and Block 60 F-16s are plumbed for and have the structural provisions for fitting CFTs.
What does have to do with what requirements the IAF has, and what way it plans to utilize the aircraft?
The only Block 50/52 user that doesn't use the CFTs, is the USAF and they claim the reason behind that is that they have adequate tanker support.
You've made an assumption based entirely on how others use an aircraft. That's a sweeping assumption to make without any grounds or using anything even remotely relevant to the IAF, how it views this platform, and what the requirements are.
No affect on the jet's performance,
Really, no effect? You're own link shows otherwise -
have almost no impact on maneuverability or speed below mach one, where fighters spend the vast majority of their time. Even above mach one, they have less performance impact and carry more fuel then a centerline drop tank.
Speaking nothing of how much the performance suffers within the limit even if it can achieve all that it can w/o it in certain envelopes.
All versus the maintainers having to spend a couple of hours to remove them for routine maintenance every month or so.
The problem isn't with removing them or swapping them out. It's with them being a necessary addition if you want to retain IFR w/o upgrades to the tankers. That's an inherent disadvantage that will persist with this design if Lockheed indeed pitches it. There are no ways around it. CFT's are a positive thing on block 50 onwards, but the point isn't that they are useful, but the fact that if you want to retain IFR you have to retain CFT. That's a trade and something that has to factor into any analysis just as other things.
Last edited by brar_w on 02 Nov 2016 07:43, edited 4 times in total.
Cosmo_R
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Cosmo_R »

^^"Not unless the IAF lets go of this 42 squadron fantasy. "

Which in turn is based on a 'strategic independence'

That option vanished long ago with stupid economic and political decisions. So how do we deal with the remains of the day?

Lemons>>Lemonade
Cosmo_R
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Cosmo_R »

That BK article. Phew! He is fighting the ghosts of Xmas' past. We are related (in the usual Indian sense of gotra) and we've met but not seen eye to eye.

The J-20 show at Zhuhai should at least alert us to the folly of teaming up with the Russians who will help us deliver (profitably) a FGFA that is the rough equivalent of the J-20, by 2030-35.

The IAF is tasked with a job. They don't need to be weighted down by science projects that leave them with flying obsolete a/c because someone who does not have to fight decides 'indegenization' is more important.

The failure to induct the lCA today is the result of a failed process that has not changed and will not which is why we are buying the Rafales and (soon) the F-16s
shiv
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by shiv »

Viv S wrote: We may not push for full spectrum production with the F-35 (the short term price for that will be very steep) but in economic terms its a better deal thanks to higher volumes. That's how the F-35 model functions and why its beating the EF/Rafale on price, and why it'll match the F-16/Gripen E when its at full rate production. Specialize and build in volume. But if we start A-to-Z low volume local production of the airframe, the cost will go through the roof.
The F-35 is not going to join the IAF anytime soon. This is a prediction I am making. Not because it lacks its claimed but controversial capabilities but the F-35 is a symbol of continuation of American dominance, which evokes deep resentment among a significant fraction of Indians.

But of course the discussions and rationalizations are interesting. We needed something to fill the gap when the GoI tried to kill BRF by actually doing a Rafale deal. #intolerance
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by shiv »

Kartik wrote:"The flying qualities of the F-16 with CFTs are essentially unchanged when compared to a non-CFT equipped airplane," said Stephen W. Barter, chief F-16 test pilot and company CFT project pilot. "For most combat flight conditions, it's as if the CFTs are not even there. The surest way for me to tell if CFTs are installed is to look over my shoulder."

"The CFTs have very little adverse affect on the F-16's renowned performance," said Maj. Timothy S. McDonald, U.S. Air Force project pilot for CFT testing at Eglin. "The aircraft retains its full 9-g capability and flight envelope with the CFTs installed. The drag impact is very small - less than one percent in combat configuration at cruise conditions."[/b]
I am not the expert, but to me. personally this sounds like a sales pitch with the degree of slickness that I would like to see appear from Indian mouths some day.

To my "anpadh" mind G forces are dependent on mass, velocity and time. G force is mass times acceleration. The same G forces get generated if the mass is lower, but the acceleration is higher and vice versa - i.e higher mass lower acceleration. So an F-16 carrying conformal tanks that are full can turn at a slower rate than one without conformals and still generate the same G forces as the lighter one. But it is turning slower.

It is a different argument that "combat conditions" may not require that faster turn rate that can be achieved by a lighter F-16. But combat conditions depend on which side of a war you are on. If one is being targeted by a BVR missile from a high tech air force one may want to do some nifty manoeuvring before hitting the eject button. Putting myself on the American side I don't care. But putting myself on a side which faces American weapons as they are advertised - I think some agility might be useful

Maybe this is my imagination..
brar_w
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by brar_w »

Maybe this is my imagination..
You are correct and this is what I was referring to as well. Technically the F-16 is a 9G fighter, and so is the F-22, but that doesn't mean they are both equal in performance. Similarly, CFT's have advantages in many instances, particularly so when compared to EFT's that limit G, and other performance. However, under many conditions carrying them causes performance degradation so it really depends upon what you value in terms of performance. For a lot of the operators that use the aircraft as a medium-heavy configured multi-role strike fighter, it is a no brainer but its an operator dependent condition. What works for UAE, or Israel may not be how the IAF plans on using it.

Perhaps the IAF likes the extra range/payload that comes with them. Perhaps they value that you can go distance, w/o reliance on tankers and have stores to carry more weapons. But that may not apply to all missions and definitly brings a disadvantage when you can't get rid of them because your IFR capability goes with it. The F-16 may still be preffered compared to the Gripen despite of this, and the CFT benefits may still outweighs the tradeoffs in the IAF's eyes, but there's no way for us to see how the IAF evaluates this particular feature. We can't go by how others have done.
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Re: Indian Single Engined Multi Role Fighter with Transfer of Manufacturing Technology

Post by Neshant »

Bharat Karnad paints a frightening picture of how ad hoc decision making is destroying all prospects of India ever having an aerospace industry.

Randomly importing expensive wares from here and there, screwdriver giri passed off as transfer of technology and a procurement strategy which guarantees to sink any domestic aerospace project is a disaster for the country.

There is an urgent need to formulate a national strategy on how to develop the aerospace industry.

The spending of hundreds of billions of defense dollars ordering stuff out of a foreign catalog while destroying domestic R&D base carries with it a huge opportunity cost (loss) for the nation.

There will be no domestic aerospace industry despite hundreds of billions in expenditure in 10 years. No private company will ever want to invest years of effort and put up funds for indigenous projects that keep getting shit canned the moment an IAF chief reaches for a foreign catalog.
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