Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

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Manish_Sharma
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Manish_Sharma »

Mort Walker wrote:Should Killary win those on BRF will own it when US India relations go down the Pakistan.
These people's sophistry is unmatched, they will either come up with most ridiculous theories. Or simply keep away from threads.

Like Hkumar stayed away from 2 pages where lot of clear cut questions were posed to him. Then he came back with more irrelevant questions like BRF's position on jews. :roll:
Manish_Sharma
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Manish_Sharma »

chanakyaa wrote:Betting website odds of US Elections

HRC: 1/5 (83%)
DT: 4/1 (20%)
I am not familiar with betting systems.

What does it mean?
HRC wins = If you bet 5 dollars you get 1 dollar?
Trmp wins = If you bet 1 dollar you get 4 dollars?
Manish_Sharma
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Manish_Sharma »

Dipanker wrote: I wouldn't call it dhimmification or begging, I would call it being wise by not making an enemy of person who we have no proof of that she has been an enemy in the past.
Before Sith takes over, let me post this once more :
Rudradev wrote:
FWIW...

http://india-herald.com/indian-american ... 186-64.htm

The Clintons' Quarter-Century Record on India.

1991: Arkansas Governor and presidential candidate Bill Clinton delivers foreign policy speech and describes plans to interfere in “separatist efforts” in India and Yugoslavia .

1992: Arkansas Governor Bill Clinton promises during his presidential campaign that he will use Super 301, a law designed to impose trade sanctions impacting India

1992: US Trade Representative Carla Hills who turns out to be a Hillary Clinton supporter imposes trade sanctions on India under Super 301

1992: Joe Biden Amendment blocks sale of Russian Cryogenic engines to India

1993: Bill Clinton blocks sale of Cray Supercomputers to India

1993: Bill Clinton administration to sell Cray Supercomputer to China

1993: Bill Clinton supports terrorists in Punjab leading to protests in India outside US embassy (protests happened in early 1994 but support was in late 1993)

1993: Bill Clinton writes to Pakistan lobbyist and offers to work together on Kashmir

1993-94: Bill Clinton does not bother to appoint ambassador to India for more than a year in order to insult India

1994: Clinton’s close friend and Assistant Secretary of State Robin Raphel says Kashmir should not be part of India

1994: Bill Clinton supports Pakistan on Kashmir and accuses India of human rights violations

1994: Bill Clinton administration official sets fire to Indian skirt on TV and declares them a fire hazard hurting Indian textile sector and destroying livelihoods of millions of families who depend on the sector

1994: Bill Clinton targets Indian pharmaceutical industry for destruction by foisting TRIPS provisions as part of WTO

1994: Bill Clinton administration offers F-16 planes to Pakistan and Robin Raphel announces offer from Delhi

1994: Bill Clinton administration pursues carrot and stick policy (carrots for Pakistan, sticks for India): announces F-16s for Pakistan and threatens India with trade sanctions under Super 301

1995: Bill Clinton Appointee declares Indian scarves flammable and orders recall hurting Indian textile industry

1995: Bill Clinton administration foists bad Enron deal on India and forces Indian government to provide guarantees

1996: Bill Clinton sets up ‘Advisory Committee on Religious Freedom Abroad’ with aim of forcing Hindus in India to convert to Christianity and this Committee eventually recommends the creation of the hate group USCIRF

1997: Bill Clinton’s friend and Assistant Secretary of State Robin Raphel announces Clinton administration’s policy of opposing Russian collaboration with India for electricity generation and weapons of defense

1997: Bill Clinton’s Vice President Al Gore refers to Punjab as Khalistan

1998: Bill Clinton imposes sanctions on India

1998: Bill Clinton preaches to India on nuclear tests and simultaneously announces MFN status for China

1998: Bill Clinton’s Secretary of State Madeleine Albright spews vitriol on India and calls India’s actions “felony against the future.”

1999: Bill Clinton tries to impose stringent labor standards on India that would destroy Indian businesses and eliminate competition for Clinton’s cronies

2000: Bill Clinton administration interferes in India and organizes hearing on “human rights violations” based on fabrications about violations of religious freedom

2000: Bill Clinton visits Pakistan on India trip and thus equates India with Pakistan and confers legitimacy on Musharaff who took power in a coup

2001: Hillary Clinton does not oppose Senate vote to remove sanctions on Pakistan

2001: USCIRF, a hate group and creation of Bill Clinton administration, spews vitriol and stereotypes Hindus as “serious violators of religious freedom” and demands that US government ensure that [forced] conversions be permitted in India

2002: USCIRF, a hate group and a creation of Bill Clinton administration, attacks India and Hindus and uses terms like “communal violence” while blaming Hindus; it simultaneously praises Musharaff for curbing “violence in the name of religion” in Pakistan. Note the careful usage of words to describe religious violence in Pakistan.

2003: Democrat Tom Daschle appoints anti-Hindu zealot Preeta Bansal to USCIRF, the hate group created by the Clinton administration, and is cheered by anti-Hindu Christian activists including the violent terrorist Jayachand Pallekonda

2003: Hillary Clinton supporter and India baiter Madeleine Albright, who was Bill Clinton’s Secretary of State, calls for a plebiscite in Kashmir

2004: Hillary Clinton exhibits bigotry and claims Mahatma Gandhi ran a gas station in St. Louis

2005: Hillary Clinton causes outrage by calling for India to give up nuclear program and reconcile itself to non-proliferation treaty

2005: Bill Clinton calls for giving aid money to terror group LTTE

2006: Hillary Clinton who is part of the Senate India Caucus stabs India in the back and votes YEA on ‘killer amendment’ to bill in US Senate that deals with Indo-US Nuclear deal; the amendment is intended to kill the deal and set back Indo-US relations by 30 years

2007: Hillary Clinton booed when she defends Musharaff and attacks Senator Obama for saying he would attack Pakistan and take out Osama bin Laden

2007: Hillary Clinton’s fundraiser is organizer of LTTE Heroes Day which celebrates terrorists

2008: Hillary Clinton once again attacks Senator Obama for promising to act against Pakistan for supporting terrorists

2009: Hillary Clinton says she is proud to release report of anti-Hindu hate group USCIRF which was formed on the advice of a Committee consisting of Christians, Muslims and others but not Hindus (Click here to read about Hindus alone being excluded by Bill Clinton when the Office of Religious Freedom was created)

2009: Hillary Clinton backs talks with Taliban

2009-2012: Hillary Clinton carries on a get-Modi campaign against Narendra Modi

2012: Hillary Clinton declares ‘religious freedom,’ a euphemism for Christian proselytism (primarily in the Indian subcontinent), a foreign policy imperative

2013: Clinton Global Initiative partners with anti-Hindu evangelical Christian group World Vision

2014: Bill Clinton friend and former Assistant Secretary of State Robin Raphel investigated by FBI for spying for Pakistan

2015: Huma Abedin, a key member of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential campaign is the daughter of a Pakistani mother and her father worked for an Islamist in Saudi Arabia with ties to Al Qaeda

2015: Hillary Clinton’s running mate, Christian missionary and India-baiter Tim Kaine admits Pakistan has connections to terror group LeT but praises Pakistan for fighting terrorists and advises India to have a better relationship with Pakistan


2016: Clinton Foundation donor linked to Pakistani arrested for corruption and harboring terrorists

2016: Hillary Clinton picks Hindu-baiter and India hater Tim Kaine as VP running mate.
vijayk
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by vijayk »

Unless hordes of white Democrats going inside booths and voting for DT after lying to pollsters, probability of DT's win is abysmally low.

There are 2 explanations: there is this secret base which does not wan to openly say they are voting for DT or overall polls are skewed to create environment for Clinton. Both are unproven and will be proved invalid tomorrow. I am ready to eat humble pie if I am proved wrong.

DT surrounds himself with people of Briebart and National Enquirer types. They all live in LA LA land.

Now when Hillary takes over, immediately our traitorous scam kuttas of Delhi, AAPtard kuttas and mostly filthy American $cum Indian Liberal arts filth will use same tactics as they used first to influence Obama. Hitler, Fascist, Communal crazy Modi needs to be contained/assasinated.

It is not just Hillary but it is all these think tanks especially Democratic ones populated by several filthy Asian $cum American Liberal RATS. This filth lives on left over crumbs

Obama did fall for to and behaved like an idiot in Delhi. The despicable fellow spit in his host's dinner plate.

But in the end moron realized Modi is more hard working and sincere than most of the filthy Liberal RATS that surrounds DC looking for garbage bags. He also needed Modi to sell his crap or contain China.

He backed OFF but as soon as Killary comes and elections start in 5 states and I am guaranteeing the following:

1. There will be a co-ordinated Xians/Muslims under attack by rNDTV and AAP Kutta CrazyMadDog. He has been looking for dead bodies all over to scavenge and prey upon. Najib of JNU will be first victim in their murderous campaign. I heard he has been sent to Nepal.

2. As we all know trashy NYT/WaPo will give their hand to this campaign.

3. Soon human garbage of S Asian Liberal RATS led by Nobel Economist will jump in

4. There will be another PRESS freedom under attack and Award Wapasi drama

My only concern is MAD is so ill prepared and have no clue. Probably Arnab will spread his tentacles all over to fight the filth. But we need to see how the coming declaration of war by Killary will be tackled.
Dinesh S
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Dinesh S »

Slightly tangential to the topic , but notice how all leftwing supporters of the genocidal ghoul Hillary have no problems with her body count? Its a consequence of the commie thought process- ends justifying means and all that superior stuff. Their ****** up brain and morality will allow them to justify anything no matter how repugnant it is. Divorce a incident from political ideology, they would on the moral high horse screaming but give it a ideological base, they will justify it as "what needs to be done". Case in point- ask them whether they believe civilians as a collateral damage in fight againsy against terrorists - they will absolutely deny that it is ok. but they will have no problem with the 3 million civilians killed, displaced or wounded by the ghoul Killary in middle east ,when it doesn't even involve fight against terrorists. They are no better than the actual Nazis of Germany . After all, the body count of Commie /left wing cabal is unmatched even by Xtians or Muslims, least of all Nazis. But the worrying thing is, it is highly frowned upon to be identified as a Nazi while these morally bankrupt sad excuse of human existences can proudly identify as Marxists/socialists etc with no problem and claim to be morally superior. This is why soulless genocidal ghouls like Hillary can even be a front runner in a democratic country in 21 century , when in all objective measure of assessment, she is as bad as Hitler morally and ethically.

Don't know if it relevant or not but just my observation. This is something sane people here, who are watching this drama unfold, need to keep in mind when these rats come out of their burrows next time baiting indians and hindus on culture and ethics
TKiran
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by TKiran »

What will happen to pleet bhalala? Will there be any cavity search?
Philip
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Philip »

Last minute high jinks abound in the US.FBI Director assesses 65,000 emails in a week,clears "Crooked Hillary"! :rotfl:
Twitter down too,establishment on a full-court press?


Conspiracy theories abound as Twitter goes down after WikiLeaks 'DDoS attack'


http://www.independent.co.uk/life-style ... 02081.html
Some believe the 'attacks' are designed to suppress a new WikiLeaks release about the Clintons
Twitters users in Japan and across the US reported that the service was down on Monday morning, shortly after WikiLeaks claimed to have been the subject of a cyber-attack.

According to a Twitter status monitor, the outage began at around 6.45am GMT and continued for around half an hour, though reports suggested the impact varied from user to user.

Reports of the outage peaked at almost 14,000, according to Downdetector.com, which also suggested that many users were still experiencing problems in Japan more than a couple of hours later.

Twitter outages reported in Japan and across the US (Downdetector)
Twitter is yet to comment on the loss of service, and it has not been acknowledged via @twitter or @support.

But the incident came shortly after WikiLeaks posted a message to its Facebook account claiming an ongoing denial-of-service attack on its servers following reports of a brief outage

It said: "We are still under a DoS attack on our e-mail publication servers and it appears that Twitter is down as well, we are unable to confirm if this is an attack on twitter at this time."

Once they were able to get back on Twitter, some users were quick to link the two outages and the WikiLeaks release of a new set of hacked emails from the Democrat National Convention.
Dinesh S
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Dinesh S »

vijayk wrote:Unless hordes of white Democrats going inside booths and voting for DT after lying to pollsters, probability of DT's win is abysmally low.

There are 2 explanations: there is this secret base which does not wan to openly say they are voting for DT or overall polls are skewed to create environment for Clinton. Both are unproven and will be proved invalid tomorrow. I am ready to eat humble pie if I am proved wrong.

DT surrounds himself with people of Briebart and National Enquirer types. They all live in LA LA land.

Now when Hillary takes over, immediately our traitorous scam kuttas of Delhi, AAPtard kuttas and mostly filthy American $cum Indian Liberal arts filth will use same tactics as they used first to influence Obama. Hitler, Fascist, Communal crazy Modi needs to be contained/assasinated.

It is not just Hillary but it is all these think tanks especially Democratic ones populated by several filthy Asian $cum American Liberal RATS. This filth lives on left over crumbs

Obama did fall for to and behaved like an idiot in Delhi. The despicable fellow spit in his host's dinner plate.

But in the end moron realized Modi is more hard working and sincere than most of the filthy Liberal RATS that surrounds DC looking for garbage bags. He also needed Modi to sell his crap or contain China.

He backed OFF but as soon as Killary comes and elections start in 5 states and I am guaranteeing the following:

1. There will be a co-ordinated Xians/Muslims under attack by rNDTV and AAP Kutta CrazyMadDog. He has been looking for dead bodies all over to scavenge and prey upon. Najib of JNU will be first victim in their murderous campaign. I heard he has been sent to Nepal.

2. As we all know trashy NYT/WaPo will give their hand to this campaign.

3. Soon human garbage of S Asian Liberal RATS led by Nobel Economist will jump in

4. There will be another PRESS freedom under attack and Award Wapasi drama

My only concern is MAD is so ill prepared and have no clue. Probably Arnab will spread his tentacles all over to fight the filth. But we need to see how the coming declaration of war by Killary will be tackled.
I think anybody (sane) who has been following BRF for some time or realpolitik will agree with what you are presenting as the most likely scenario of what will happen if the soulless genocidal ghoul becomes the president
brar_w
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by brar_w »

brar_w wrote:Final Florida early voting and EVM (Mailed ballots keep coming in through Tuesday) numbers for Hispanics are still coming in, but based on partial Sunday numbers - 907,000* voted early or through mail. Roughly 326,000 (36%) of these did not vote early, through mail or on election day in 2012. In 2012 the total Hispanic turnout was 1.06 million (less than half voted early) of the roughly 1.6 Million eligible to vote. This time between 1.8 and 2 million are registered to vote. It remains to be seen what the turnout is on election day but it should be pretty safe to assume that between 1.2 million and 1.5 (20-50% more than 2012) million hispanics will vote in Florida when all of this is said and done.

As I had mentioned earlier, Florida Hispanic population (including Cuban Americans) split 60:39** in favor of Obama in 2012. In 2008 it was 57:42 in favor of Obama. Hispanics in Florida generally tend to vote republican at much higher levels than elsewhere in the US. However, the Hispanic vote share of the Democrats in the state has been steadily climbing and set a new record in 2012. Recent survey's have suggested a repeat of 2012 numbers with the democrats splitting the Hispanic vote 60:37. While Florida will be darn close as always and it all matters on how the and where the White vote comes from if the hispanic turnout is at or above the 1.2 million level it will a strong firewall for democrats. If it is close to 1.5 million I can even see a situation where the Republican senatorial candidate outperforms their presidential nominee, at least in 2 of the most populous counties in the state since he polls better than Trump even though he too is loosing the hispanic polls in the state (though by much smaller margins).

* Final Sunday numbers should be available later in the day but given that 3-4 of Florida's counties set single day early voting records yesterday actual 2016 EV numbers could exceed total EV+ED voting numbers for hispanics in 2012. That would be YUUUGGGEEEE!

** PEW
Update - Miami-Dade set both a single day early voting record (Sunday) and an all time early-voting record with more than 763,000 people choosing to vote early as of official close of early voting on Sunday night. Thats +338,000 (80% increase) from 2012 levels with 102% increase in in-preson early voting. Obama won this county by a margin of 23%. Between Broward and Miami-Dade Obama built a net 471,873 vote firewall against Romney..Expect that to be at a minimum 15-20% higher this time around. That is the gap trump needs to cover in North Florida. Overall the percentage of registered white voters is down 2% in FL compared to 2012, so he has to drive more out while also hopking that he polls better with them than he does nationally when it comes to those with a college degree and women.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CwojSLBUAAAdYl1.jpg

If you're rooting for Trump, time to pray that this is simply cannibalization of ED votes and not an increase in actual vote count from 2012 levels. That however is unlikely since around 870,000 people voted (early and on election day) in Dade in 2012 so at a minimum we will see a 20-30% increase in the county's total vote count. At this point its pretty safe to assume that it will easily surpass a million votes. Broward also set a single day record as of 6PM but the final tally is yet to be posted by the state election officials.
Last edited by brar_w on 07 Nov 2016 19:36, edited 3 times in total.
Lalmohan
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Lalmohan »

seems to me that both the pro-cheeto and pro-hillbilly camps on this dhaga are off their heads...

looking from the outside in, the trump option is worse than the Hillary option from every angle - neither gives a rat's mush about india and apart from vote banks, one hates NRI's the other doesn't really care much

NRI's voting should do so on the basis for what it will mean for their lives and their children's living in massa, not for what it might mean for india. in the trump option, I can see many many scenarios where it gets worse for india by default. it definitely gets worse for NRI's

still - you guys have a good time!
brar_w
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by brar_w »

Lalmohan wrote:seems to me that both the pro-cheeto and pro-hillbilly camps on this dhaga are off their heads...

looking from the outside in, the trump option is worse than the Hillary option from every angle - neither gives a rat's mush about india and apart from vote banks, one hates NRI's the other doesn't really care much

NRI's voting should do so on the basis for what it will mean for their lives and their children's living in massa, not for what it might mean for india. in the trump option, I can see many many scenarios where it gets worse for india by default. it definitely gets worse for NRI's

still - you guys have a good time!
Its quite clear that the US gets screwed either way even if the only thing one looks at is how unfavorably each candidate is viewed across all demographics. The real fight is to see whether there will be a legitimate 2 party system left at the Presidential level, since one party is stuck fighting elections as if this was still the 1980's while the other party can keep pushing unpopular candidates because their opponent keeps handing gift-wrapped elections to them.
Primus
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Primus »

Dinesh S wrote: After all, the body count of Commie /left wing cabal is unmatched even by Xtians or Muslims, least of all Nazis. But the worrying thing is, it is highly frowned upon to be identified as a Nazi while these morally bankrupt sad excuse of human existences can proudly identify as Marxists/socialists etc with no problem and claim to be morally superior. ...............
Will agree with this one for sure.

Definitely worth reading: Death By Government by Nobel peace prize nominee R.J. Rummel.

"Power kills; Absolute power kills absolutely".

From Table 1.4, page 8 "This Century's Bloodiest Megamurderers"

Numbers are in millions (rounded)

Joseph Stalin: 42.7
Mao Tse-Tung: 37.8
Adolf Hitler: 20.9
Chiang Kai-shek: 10.2
Vladimir Illich Lenin: 4.0
Tojo Hideki: 3.99
Pol Pot: 2.4
Yahya Khan: 1.5
Josip Tito: 1.17

From the above, it is evident that the commies killed almost 100 million people in the 20th century, most of them their own citizens. Pol Pot was the worst in terms of percentage, killing 8% of the population per year. Yet leftists are not just quiet on this but idolize the perpetrators as their heroes.

Strange world we live in.

OT for this thread, I know, apologies.
UlanBatori
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by UlanBatori »

er...
Dubya-1+Dubya2 have killed at least 5 million in Iraq+ another 3 or 4 million in post-Arab-Spring jollies. Let's not deny them their due in history.

Afghan wars since 1976 (Carter starts anti-socialist-govt Islamic Terror) have led to well over 3 million deaths. Whom do you blame other than those who started the destabilization and destruction of a (relatively very) civilized society?

Yugoslavia "civil" war was basically the same MO as Syria. The US/NATO version of Goebbels under Slick-Willie's able Democratic Genocideship pictured it as Communists Killing Innocent Muslims, but if you listen to the Indian General who quit as head of the UN peacekeeping force, he blamed it squarely on the deceit and utter treachery of the NATO/US types. Slowly, it has come out that it was all about disintegrating Yugoslavia and turning it into a bunch of dhimmistans with nice Adriatic beach resorts and ski resorts and mail-order brides, which is pretty-much accomplished now. Great breeding-grounds for ISIS.
Last edited by UlanBatori on 07 Nov 2016 19:56, edited 1 time in total.
komal
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by komal »

Primus wrote: From Table 1.4, page 8 "This Century's Bloodiest Megamurderers"

Numbers are in millions (rounded)

Joseph Stalin: 42.7
Mao Tse-Tung: 37.8
Adolf Hitler: 20.9
Chiang Kai-shek: 10.2
Vladimir Illich Lenin: 4.0
Tojo Hideki: 3.99
Pol Pot: 2.4
Yahya Khan: 1.5
Josip Tito: 1.17
I notice that Churchill is left out.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by brar_w »

Bloomberg's catching on to the high Miami-Dade Hispanic turnout and high turnout in general -

In Trump’s Most Important County, a Surge of Hispanic Voters
Donald Trump’s campaign has always understood that Florida is key to his electoral chances. At Trump’s data headquarters in San Antonio, staffers run daily simulations that weight and rank the importance of each state to building a path to 270 electoral votes. Florida is invariably on top. And within Florida, Trump’s analysts have pinpointed the area that’s most critical of all.

Miami-Dade County is the most important county in the country for Trump's chances, according to a campaign official familiar with the simulations.
Brad Parscale, Trump’s digital director, prefers the slightly broader measure of “designated market area,” but agrees Miami-Dade is “the most important DMA”—ground zero for the Trump campaign. “When I speak of importance,” Parscale said, “I am stating that we have large numbers of persuadable” voters there.

For weeks, both campaigns have fixated on the question of whether Miamians would turn out in force to vote—and, if so, who they’d vote for. The first question has already been answered with a resounding yes. Florida has seen a surge of early voting.

“It’s been just massive,” said University of Florida political scientist Daniel A. Smith. Whether Trump can win over enough voters in Miami-Dade is another question. Nothing will be settled until Election Day. But a study of Miami-Dade’s early voters that Smith conducted for Bloomberg Businessweek suggests Clinton is poised to benefit from an unprecedented surge of Hispanic voters.

There are 1.5 million registered voters in Miami-Dade county (56 percent of whom are Hispanic), including nearly 30,000 added during a last-minute voter-registration drive in October, after Democratic Party officials went to court to extend the deadline in the wake of Hurricane Matthew. Through Saturday, according to Smith, 707,844 county residents had already voted: 44 percent were Democrats, 30 percent Republican, and 25 percent had “no party affiliation," a group that tends to skew younger and Hispanic, and thus toward Clinton. The demographic mix of early voters also looks highly favorable to Clinton: 58 percent Hispanic, 17 percent African-American and 20 percent white.

But the late registrants, Smith says, give the clearest indication that sentiment in Miami-Dade is running strongly against Trump. Of the 29,657 voters who registered last month, 41 percent are Democrats, 44 percent are unaffiliated, and only 12.5 percent are Republicans. “That’s nuts,” said Smith. “These are the barometers that indicate the hostility toward the GOP candidate.”

Back in mid-October, Trump’s data officials noticed that African-American turnout in Miami-Dade was lagging behind its 2012 pace, a potentially worrisome sign for Clinton.

Trump’s campaign has directed targeted ads at African-American voters in the Little Haiti section of the county to depress enthusiasm for Clinton. But in recent days, turnout has picked up. “It doesn’t appear that black turnout is underperforming,” said Smith, who noted that Sunday, Nov. 6—for which data is not yet available—was likely to be the biggest voting day yet for African-American voters.

An important question about the surge of early votes is whether the increased numbers represents new voters or merely “cannibalizes” the votes of people who would have turned up at the polls anyway on Election Day. To find the answer, Smith used a database he’s built to compare this year’s early voters against a list of people who voted in 2012. His conclusion: hundreds of thousands of new black and Hispanic voters are casting ballots, an ominous sign for Trump. “Of the 707,844 voters in Miami-Dade, 201,000 did not vote in 2012—and 127,000 of them are Hispanic,” he says. “Hispanic voters are over-performing their share of the electorate.”

Among the 117,000 African Americans who voted early, 22,500 didn’t vote in 2012. “Basically, one in five blacks and one in three Hispanics didn’t vote in 2012 in Miami-Dade and have already cast a ballot,” said Smith. “I have a hard time believing that many of these first-time voters are in the Trump camp after his scorched earth campaign against immigrants and, specifically, Hispanics.”

Broadening the lens to Miami’s designated market area (which includes Broward and Monroe counties) doesn’t improve Trump’s performance. Of the area’s 1.3 million early voters, nearly 351,000 did not vote in 2012—and 47 percent are Hispanic. “The numbers are even worse for Trump,” said Smith.

Still, the Trump campaign is hoping that come Election Day, the profile of the voters who turn up at the polls will be more favorable to their candidate, enough to tilt this pivotal state into the Trump column. "It will be close," Parscale said. But even he can’t know for sure. “It’s like predicting your wife’s mood. You have no idea what you’re going to get until you get home.”
habal
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by habal »

>> Democratic Genocideship

a very apt word for the phenomenon.

btw suddenly every news is now fake. John Podesta involved in 'spirit cooking' is suddenly fake. Michael Brown 45, FBI agent killing is also fake.

So Michael Brown 45, is alive I presume, but there is no public statement to that fact from that man until yet. Why doesn't he open his mouth ?
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by UlanBatori »

What does it mean?
HRC wins = If you bet 5 dollars you get 1 dollar?
Trmp wins = If you bet 1 dollar you get 4 dollars?
Ah! Let UBCNews explain as a Public Service.

If the 'Zee win, and you bet 1 dollar, you get 4 dollars, plus the joy of watching several Analysts eating bugs. The IRS takes away 2.1 dollars.

If HiC/Humedin win, and you bet 5 dollars then you "get" 1 dollar, but your other 4 dollars go to fund a worthy Klinton Foundation project such as sending TOW missiles to the ISIS and operating the British websites of Syria Watch to make propaganda movies. Then the FBI takes the dollar that you got, and the IRS sends you a bill for $15 on the $5 that you bet.
UlanBatori
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by UlanBatori »

An important question about the surge of early votes is whether the increased numbers represents new voters or merely “cannibalizes” the votes of people who would have turned up at the polls anyway on Election Day.
Yup. I have a feeling that the hordes rushing in to vote after hours in Nevada and FL were using credentials supplied by the State Department - but not from their official passport and Naturalization Certificate printing presses. Probably from a printer tied to Humbedin's laptop computer in the New York Apartment.
Hurry Up!!! Why is this line moving so slowly? We would like to go home by midnight! Why are you looking at voters' ID cards and Naturalization Certificates like you've never seen them before? Are you some kind of Republican Racist?
The first US Election won by Mexicans. Long wait since The Alamo, hain?
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by habal »

A Mexican nation ruled by ze Police.

- USA
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by brar_w »

Cannibalization cannot explain the trends unless we have absolutely no lines or enthusiasm tomorrow in Dade and Broward. Folks that voted early or through mail in ballot account for nearly 90% of the total turnout in Dade (2012). You will see a minimum of a million overall votes cast there if not significantly more. This is SIGNIFICANT. Democrat or Republican, no Florida pollster was estimating anything above 950,000 for Dade prior to EV. My guess is 400,000 more votes on ED for a total close to 1.2 million. We'll know soon enough!

This should be good news for Trump if the Breitbart narrative that he will outperform the Romney hispanic vote by 'twice as much' is to be believed. :wink: If that is true, Trump should be getting approximately 78% of the total Hispanic vote (as per Walker saab). It would also mean that his candidacy is driving hispanic turnout at record numbers (subscribing to the same narrative this would mean they are comming in droves to elect him) since a lot of these folks sat out in 2012. Must be the Taco Bowl !

Meanwhile, FL Counties that set a single day early voting record yesterday :

- Miami Dade
- Orange County
- Hillsborough County
- Osceola County
- Broward County
- Palm Beach County
- Duval County
- Leon County
- Pinellas County

This is the first time in a while that Floridians have had two sunday's to vote early..Perhaps Trump needs to go after Rick Scott once he gets his twitter back?
Last edited by brar_w on 07 Nov 2016 21:19, edited 10 times in total.
IndraD
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by IndraD »

Deep relations between HC & Pakistan exposed :
Image
Manish_Sharma
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Manish_Sharma »

Lalmohan wrote:
NRI's voting should do so on the basis for what it will mean for their lives and their children's living in massa, not for what it might mean for india. in the trump option, I can see many many scenarios where it gets worse for india by default. !
Waah what sanctimonious post. No reason given on why Trump will be worse.

Just making a grand entrance by grand Wiseman chiding us idiots. You Lalmohan are so superior that you don't need to waste time in giving reasons.

Change the name to nri-rakshak.com please.

Whatever is good for you and your kids is good for Bharat itself. Kya baat hai... wah !

Bhagat Singh Chandrashekhar Azad should also have thought of families instead of Bharat.

But please don't stop posting your great contributions...
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by habal »

NRIs living in various parts of the globe at some level succumb to the pull of the narrative of local media.

this then creates a distance which later on becomes civilizational gap. Since this happens not openly but subconsciously, it is difficult to identify and oppose.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by HKumar »

Lalmohan wrote:seems to me that both the pro-cheeto and pro-hillbilly camps on this dhaga are off their heads...

looking from the outside in, the trump option is worse than the Hillary option from every angle - neither gives a rat's mush about india and apart from vote banks, one hates NRI's the other doesn't really care much

NRI's voting should do so on the basis for what it will mean for their lives and their children's living in massa, not for what it might mean for india. in the trump option, I can see many many scenarios where it gets worse for india by default. it definitely gets worse for NRI's

still - you guys have a good time!

true that !
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Viv S »

Primus wrote:Joseph Stalin: 42.7
Mao Tse-Tung: 37.8
Adolf Hitler: 20.9
Chiang Kai-shek: 10.2
Vladimir Illich Lenin: 4.0
Tojo Hideki: 3.99
Pol Pot: 2.4
Yahya Khan: 1.5
Josip Tito: 1.17

From the above, it is evident that the commies killed almost 100 million people in the 20th century, most of them their own citizens. Pol Pot was the worst in terms of percentage, killing 8% of the population per year. Yet leftists are not just quiet on this but idolize the perpetrators as their heroes.
Sorry to nitpick but the arithmetic seems a little off to me. You know Chiang Kai-shek & Tojo Hideki were nationalists right?

The commies do seem to have a 'healthy' 2:1 advantage over the Fascists on the body count stats.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Yayavar »

Is India just going to roll over? India has become stronger than before and even when weak did not roll-over to Johnson, Nixon-Kissinger, Carter, Bill C or other paki-pasand ones. Ombaba made some comments but distanced himself later. Modi has been on state visit to USA after all the no-visa kerfuffle. So who-ever comes will also live with the new reality. The past is not the only determinant of the future.

Hillary cannot boss over India unless Indians allow it.

Trump has made no policy statement other than on outsourcing where Indians are villains and 'ab ki bar' statement.It doesn't say anything of what he will do wrt India. We do know that his campaign has emboldened the racists and misogynists. No idea what he himself will do as the president. A few sensible comments on Putin or ISIS do not mean policy. Ombaba still has not been able to close Guantanamo bay for all of his stated intentions.

The real worry is the RNIs not NRIs. A strong India can easily weather any president or policy anywhere.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Yayavar »

I thought maut-se-nahin-tung had a count of 70 million; and Churchil prob 4million in Bengal famine itself.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Viv S »

brar_w wrote:Bloomberg's catching on to the high Miami-Dade Hispanic turnout and high turnout in general -

In Trump’s Most Important County, a Surge of Hispanic Voters
So weird. Almost as if Hispanics didn't appreciate being called criminals, drug dealers & rapists.

BTW great posts on the polls. Keep 'em coming. Just another day to go now.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by LokeshC »

Viv S wrote:Sorry to nitpick but the arithmetic seems a little off to me. You know Chiang Kai-shek & Tojo Hideki were nationalists right?
Nitpick. 'Coba' aka Stalin was a nationalist too, and a psychopath. So was ch000thchill
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by brar_w »

So weird. Almost as if Hispanics didn't appreciate being called criminals, drug dealers & rapists.
Shhhhh. Trump is going to double Romney's Hispanic numbers..Romney was at 27%, Trump should be right around 54% ;). If he isn't it will all be rigged :)

Anyhow, I think this tweet from the veteran Nevada reporter sums up the Hispanic turnout in his state (and elsewhere) the best -

Image
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Rudradev »

Manish_Sharma wrote:
chanakyaa wrote:Betting website odds of US Elections

HRC: 1/5 (83%)
DT: 4/1 (20%)
I am not familiar with betting systems.

What does it mean?
HRC wins = If you bet 5 dollars you get 1 dollar?
Trmp wins = If you bet 1 dollar you get 4 dollars?
It works like this.

These "Betting Odds" are always offered BY some institution (brokerage, casino, dalal, whatever).

So in this case the dalal website is saying
DT: 4/1 (20%)
They are betting 4/1 odds AGAINST a Donald Trump win. So if you bet $1 on a DT WINNING, and he does win, they will pay you $4. If he loses, you pay $1 to them.
HRC: 1/5 (83%)
They are betting 1/5 odds AGAINST (i.e. 5/1 odds FOR) a Hillary Clinton win. So if you bet $1 on HRC LOSING, and she does lose, they will pay you $5. If she wins you pay $1 to them.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by UlanBatori »

This whole Huge Turnout In Miami reminds me of our old Democracy dictum at PeeAref: Credit goes to Abhishekcc
Vote Early. Vote Often
Use a different User ID/ browser/ computer each time. 8)
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by brar_w »

People are saying each hispanic/Mexican is voting 10 times over. Don't ask for proof..but people are saying ;). But People are also saying that Trump would double Romney's #'s with hispanics which should put him at 54% nationally and a jaw-dropping 78% in Florida. Trump needs more Hispanics to come out or each to vote 20 time ;)

In reality however there are three efforts at play drawing higher hispanic turnout and one changing trend in how they vote -

- Trump (in a negative way)
- HRC/Obama/DNC GOTV
- Rubio's GOTV effort with Cuban and Peurto Rican Americans ( As they say - campaign in PR to win votes in FL)
- Cuban american shift from GOP to Democratic over the last 12 years (They still vote GOP but the gap has narrowed)

Interestingly, the Trump campaign was quite happy with the lower initial AA turnout in this area and don't seem to have had a strategy to depress hispanic turnout (sending high profile hispanic surrogates for example or high ad buy on Spanish tv/radio stations) . Come to think of it, he has very little GOTV effort outside of North Florida and the overall white voters in the Gingrich belt.

Despite of all this Florida will still be VERY close. Trump has plenty of opportunity to draw higher white turnout even though overall white's as a percentage of the overall registered electorate is lower this time around by 2%. One problematic area is the Dade and Broward turnout..Even democratic pollsters were not counting on this level and if the actual ED turnout is anywhere close to even 60-70% of 2012 levels we are looking at a 200,000+ net increase in Obama's firewall numbers. Give the fact that Trump does not poll favorably across every subgroup of White voters (college educated vs poorly educated for example..or Men v Women) the question is - Will there be enough white voters to bail him out?

As a reference, White's made up 67% of Florida's electorate in 2012 and Romney won by 24 points (61:37). If these trends with other demographics hold, Trump would need higher White turnout and probably widen the gap closer to a 70-30 split. It's still very much possible!.

I'm assuming that every GOP registered Hispanic still votes for both Rubio and Trump. Rubio has been big with GOTV in the Republican hispanic community and it is certainly possible that they vote for him and HRC or no presidential candidate at all. If that is the case than the D-R gap will be even wider in the registered party EV - and with it we'd be able to call florida around 9-10 EST tomorrow night.
Last edited by brar_w on 07 Nov 2016 22:41, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by UlanBatori »

If I were a White voter in FL and watching the news, seems like I would make sure to drive my beer buddies and family to the polling booth ASAP, hey? We are watching the historic tipping point where FL becomes Hispanic-ruled? If the Latino vote is a bloc vote and the whites and AA are split, seems like a powerful Latino wave is on the way. From what little I can imagine of the dynamics, the white (majority still?) should get their undies seriously in a knot about this development.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by brar_w »

If the Latino vote is a bloc vote and the whites and AA are split, seems like a powerful Latino wave is on the way. From what little I can imagine of the dynamics, the white (majority still?) should get their undies seriously in a knot about this development.
That is certainly a possibility but would be entirely the making of Trump. All the GOP had to do was improve Romney's numbers with hispanics from 39% to say 42% and Florida would have been won since the AA community is not expected to come out in the sort of numbers they came out for Obama. Even though the thought looks/sounds scary even Crazy Cruz could have managed that bouncing his father across the state channeling his inner jesus. As things are looking that 39% is likely to be closer to 30-35%.

It is almost as if someone read the GOP memo/autopsy on the 2012 defeat and said let's do the complete opposite of what they recommended.

I reckon the problems with the GOP have just started. I see three distinct yet dominant lines of argument emerging if Trump looses (based on the margin of the loss in purely EV terms compared to 2012) -

1) The votes were rigged - Look at our rallies (remember Romney filled 50,000 folks a week or so before the election in PA which he lost 'bigly'), this is a movement and we need to channel higher levels of nativism and draw more nationalists into the movement - This is the line most Trump 2.0's will use and we may even see a trump media empire based on this premise

2) Another would be that Trump was a pesudo conservative and not a 'pure-conservative' the sort that appeals to both the Koch's and the bible belt. Only a true conservative sent from the heavens above could look to win the sort of white vote required to win in an increasingly diverse electorate. This side will say (much like the Romney camp said prior to 2012) that the diversity amongst the 2016 electorate was a one off event, fueled by Trump and that the electorate in 2020 would not be as diverse. Folks using this argument will also play the anti-establishment crowd even though they are what I would call the anti-establishment establishment.

3) Add One + two - Claim that Trump was flawed but the message was pure

I see the let's expand the tent and prepare to contest a more diverse electorate voices being drowned by the other two side to a point where the GOP may even split. This sucks because in the absence of this Clinton was toast!
Last edited by brar_w on 07 Nov 2016 23:03, edited 5 times in total.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Viv S »

LokeshC wrote:Nitpick. 'Coba' aka Stalin was a nationalist too, and a psychopath. So was ch000thchill
While he had no qualms about employing nationalist themes for propaganda 1941-45, Stalin was actually an ethnic Georgian (born Iosef Dzugashvili) not a Russian.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by Gus »

Rudradev wrote:As I recall, the "argument" advanced by our Clintonistas was fairly typical: Hindu Americans should not call out Huma Abedin on her Paki and Saudi connections, but rather stay dhimmified in the hope of getting on her good side, because after all she is "1/2 Indian" (sic). It was not specified whether this was supposed to mean 1/2 Indian citizenship or 1/2 Indian descent.

*cutting out irrelevant stuff*

End of argument, until you saw fit to flog that poor dead Donkey once again... but don't let me interrupt your efforts
dead donkey, braying donkey...fact is, she has Indian descent. Whether that means she cannot be anti-Indian or not is not an argument I am making.

Her father was Indian. Born in 1928 in dilli. Probably moved to US for PhD..not clear. I am assuming he went to US on Indian passport sometime after 1950

Given that he was an Indian citizen, and never a citizen of Pak or BD - Huma would even qualify for OCI, if not for her mother who probably held paki citizenship - which excludes OCI eligibility.

https://passport.gov.in/oci/
A foreign national, - (i) who was a citizen of India at the time of, or at any time after 26th January, 1950; or (ii) who was eligible to become a citizen of India on 26th January, 1950; or (iii) who belonged to a territory that became part of India after 15th August, 1947; or (iv) who is a child or a grandchild or a great grandchild of such a citizen; or (v) who is a minor child of such persons mentioned above; or (vi) who is a minor child and whose both parents are citizens of India or one of the parents is a citizen of India - is eligible for registration as OCI cardholder.
..
However, no person, who or either of whose parents or grandparents or great grandparents is or had been a citizen of Pakistan, Bangladesh or such other country as the Central Government may, by notification in the Official Gazette, specify, shall be eligible for registration as an Overseas Citizen of India Cardholder.
If she tweets to Sushma Aunty, she might even get a waiver :P
I appreciate your pointing us to the conclusion that India allows "dual citizenship" to born US citizens, by the way... hadn't noticed this on the MEA website. You learn something new from Killary's fact-checkers every day :)
Aren't you letting your impatience get in the way of thinking through your chain of arguments? :P

You made the claim that how can any US born person be 1/n of any other country.

To which I said, US does allow dual citizenship with some countries. I did not mention India anywhere there.

And here you are making a ulta pulta statement attributing to me - "your pointing us to the conclusion that India allows "dual citizenship" to born US citizens"

I am very well aware of Jus Soli and Jus Sanguinis issues and India's non dual citizenship regime etc. :D
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by habal »

Whites should have built a wall much earlier, Latinos have simply become tools in the hands of the establishment. A race of workers and minions easily aroused and just as quickly put to sleep.
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by HKumar »

^ you do realize that you would be the other side of this wall ?
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Re: Understanding the United States of America (USA) - III

Post by HKumar »

This is funny. Nobody mocks Drumph better than Obama. Drumpf's twiter access was taken away by his campaign


https://www.cnet.com/news/obama-laughs- ... rivileges/
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