jamwal wrote:Muppalla wrote:In 1st phase of UP elections BJP will get 6 or more out of 8. They may even capture all 8 seats.
Pardon my scepticism, but i beleived your predictions in 2009 elections. Didn't turn out so well.
That's okay yaar. I was 10 years younger in 2009. Think that your kid got it wrong about a decade ago.
In my view skepticism is fine but dhoti shiver is not. There is no single predictor including the multi billion dollar earning Nate Silver that can be right allways.
Regarding PP, he got mostly right but as like any other human he has failures. If you read his article on Rajasthan, he said he is basing on base data. Also all his failures are inside 2% margin of error. How can you be accurate in a poll like that of MP where BJP needed only 300 votes more across 10 constituencies to cross the mark. The difference between Cong and BJP in Rajathan was few lakh votes. He surely like many other got wrong on Chattisgargh because they are all giving weightage to the base data. The base data they built was some 10 years worth.