2019 General Elections News and Discussion

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hanumadu
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby hanumadu » 19 May 2019 22:12

RKumar wrote:I wish "Arnab Goswami" gets mature, he should stop shouting his lungs out and let others respond. I can understand he got limited time but it will make discussion more entertaining.


He has limited time because he invites unlimited guests.

RKumar
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby RKumar » 19 May 2019 22:14

Sir, if anti-jinxs do not work then feel free to ban us for life ;)

pankajs
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 22:15

Opposition delays meet!

Bhat ij there to meet hain?

Peregrine
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2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Peregrine » 19 May 2019 22:17

Fully Posted on the Terroristan Thread

NSA appointment on the cards to revive ‘backchannel’ with India - Kamran Yousaf

I'm the Dim expected to appoint Prospective Terroristani NSA preparing his Back-Channel for India.

Cheers Image

KL Dubey
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 22:18

@VDPAssociates

NDA-333
BJP-281
NDA Allies-52
UPA-115
Cong-64
UPA Allies-51
Others-94

VDPAssociates Data Analytics Team has added 18 MP seats where there is rather close contest between BJP and Opposition parties(Maharashtra-1,Karnataka-3,MP-1,UP-5,Bihar-1,Bengal-1,Odisha-1,CG-1 and few other seats) to Opposition tally giving Opposition benefit of doubt

If Modi is able to swing them NDA figure from 333 could go further up.361 is number required for 2/3rd majority.

ShyamSP
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby ShyamSP » 19 May 2019 22:18

This collected some "Exit" polls
https://www.indiatvnews.com/news/india- ... tes-521030

Code: Select all

Pollster          NDA        UPA        Others    BJP    INC  MGB
Times Now         306        132        104                       
Republic-Cvoter   287        128        87                    40
Chanakya          340        70         133                       
IndiaTV-CNX       290-310    115-125    116-128        


AP-MPs           TDP      YCP       Others   
TimesNow         7        18           
Republic-Cvoter  14       11        0
Chanakya         17       8         0
IndiaTV-CNX                              
Lagadapati       15       10        0
Last edited by ShyamSP on 19 May 2019 23:24, edited 2 times in total.

Ardeshir
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Ardeshir » 19 May 2019 22:20

pankajs wrote:Opposition delays meet!

Bhat ij there to meet hain?

Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 May :rotfl:

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby RKumar » 19 May 2019 22:22

Pak will have to wait another 5 years to talk with India!! Till than either they have to stop terrorist activities or get daily beating on the border. Even they might have to hand over PoK to India.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 22:22

According to *Ornob...."ek vyakti", who is "not a serious politician", is leaving for London tonight.....

Karan M
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Karan M » 19 May 2019 22:23

disha wrote:On twitter there are at least two journos from the pseudo-liberal elitist gang complaining about their family kicking them out of their WA group. ]


Who? Time to savor unicorn tears, they are delish. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

ShyamSP
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby ShyamSP » 19 May 2019 22:23

Ardeshir wrote:
pankajs wrote:Opposition delays meet!

Bhat ij there to meet hain?

Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 May :rotfl:


CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 8) . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 22:25

disha wrote:
Dilbu wrote:Reporting for duty sir.


^What took you so long?

*Others have put in their anti-jinxes. However if their anti-jinx'es do not work, I am recommending they they all be banned for 5 days.


IMO he has a valid reason: Anti-jinxes only are needed when you are almost sure of winning and want to prevent a jinx. I guess that situation started today after the polling is over.

disha
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby disha » 19 May 2019 22:25

KL Dubey wrote:Just FYI...the exit poll results are already being compiled on Wikipedia for ready reference:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exit_polls_for_the_2019_Indian_general_election

IndiaTV-CNX has taken too long with their program, but they are just done. Prediction is NDA 300 and UPA 120.


Some quick thumb calc - Average across all for NDA is 303. Median is 305. Max is 352 and Min is 242. Taking out the outliers (350 and 242), the average and the median are the same (305).

Mukesh.Kumar
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Mukesh.Kumar » 19 May 2019 22:27

ShyamSP wrote:
Ardeshir wrote:Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 May :rotfl:


CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 8) . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.



Kalam!!????!!!

You mean President Kovind

darshan
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby darshan » 19 May 2019 22:28

India Speaks Daily is for NDA on exit polls: https://youtu.be/-pLAopKrD74

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby disha » 19 May 2019 22:29

Suraj wrote:So both Axis and Today’s Chanakya give NDA 350+ . And multiple others over 300 . Time for a poll of exit polls now that everyone’s numbers are out .


From Dubey'jis wiki link.

Some quick thumb calc - Average across all for NDA is 303. Median is 305. Max is 352 and Min is 242. Taking out the outliers (352 and 242), the average and the median are the same (305).

kit
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby kit » 19 May 2019 22:29

RKumar wrote:Pak will have to wait another 5 years to talk with India!! Till than either they have to stop terrorist activities or get daily beating on the border. Even they might have to hand over PoK to India.


Handing over POK is the easiest way out of their misery .. and a realization perhaps that they are their own worst enemy

Karthik S
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Karthik S » 19 May 2019 22:30

OG Saffron @OGSaffron
Following Following @OGSaffron
More
Exit polls reveal what the future holds and it's beautiful.


Image

kit
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby kit » 19 May 2019 22:31

Mukesh.Kumar wrote:
ShyamSP wrote:
CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 8) . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.



Kalam!!????!!!

You mean President Kovind


No he is right :(( ..

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby kittoo » 19 May 2019 22:37

I'd still caution us to not have pre-mature celebrations. I hope with all my heart that BJP wins on 23rd and that exit polls are in right direction. I am surely glad with exit polls, but lets first wait for 23rd I believe. Just my humble 2 cents.

Singha
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Singha » 19 May 2019 22:38

mihir swaroop sharma who is usually highly critical of namo, has suddenly executed a U-turn
https://www.ndtv.com/opinion/if-exit-po ... topstories

pankajs
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 22:38

ShyamSP wrote:
Ardeshir wrote:Postponed UPA PM selection from May 24 to '24 May :rotfl:


CVoter predicts UPA-MGB 170 8) . They can easily pull in 100 more. Sonia is planning to to meet Kalam and bid for PM.

Sonia can take her request with Kalam. Why would BJP/Modi/India/myself mind?

A_Gupta
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby A_Gupta » 19 May 2019 22:39

Which pollster was most accurate in 2014?

Nalla Baalu
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Nalla Baalu » 19 May 2019 22:40

A_Gupta wrote:Which pollster was most accurate in 2014?


Today's Chanakya

disha
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby disha » 19 May 2019 22:40

Have to quote the full tweet from #DoltEconomist* (the IndiaNoMix book was first published in 2012 and Rupa married Vivek Dehejia after the book. Both of them are dolts in their own right. On a different note, #DoltEconomist was taken in by tweets from #BrownBrumby a Baki/ISI handle from Oz - #DoltEconomist wanted to have coffee with #BrownBrumby in SoBo).

Ardeshir wrote:Chaddi Subramanya needs Burnol on her Musharraf. :rotfl:
https://twitter.com/rupasubramanya/stat ... 4291639296
If these trends hold from the exit polls,my hunch Modi would come back big despite what all the conventional wisdom says will have been proved right. I expected him to do at least as well as 2014 but this is even beyond that. Statistically implausible but mathematically possible.

11 replies 3 retweets 23 likes


Notice how she keeps sprinkling her tweets with 'Statistically' and 'Mathematically'. Arybhatta's direct descendant, alumus of the Choudhary Charan Singh University of Kaneda. :lol:


Isn't Statistics a branch of Mathematics? What #DoltEconomist is trying to say that she did not calculate the chance of Modi winning a second term with an even bigger mandate! What an idiot!

*I called her out as underwear economist and she blocked me (or was it calling out that she got hots for the Baki Brumby from Oz?).

ShyamSP
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby ShyamSP » 19 May 2019 22:41

kit wrote:
Mukesh.Kumar wrote:

Kalam!!????!!!

You mean President Kovind


No he is right :(( ..


No sense of dilbu :((

> Republic-Cvoter 287 128 87 40

With 10% error
NDA 258 (-10%)
UPA+MGB+Others 280 (+10%)
Last edited by ShyamSP on 19 May 2019 22:46, edited 1 time in total.

KL Dubey
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 22:41

disha wrote:
Suraj wrote:So both Axis and Today’s Chanakya give NDA 350+ . And multiple others over 300 . Time for a poll of exit polls now that everyone’s numbers are out .


From Dubey'jis wiki link.

Some quick thumb calc - Average across all for NDA is 303. Median is 305. Max is 352 and Min is 242. Taking out the outliers (352 and 242), the average and the median are the same (305).


Similarly in 2014:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Indian_general_election#Exit_polls

The average was 283. Max was 340 and Min was 249. Taking out these outliers, the average was 278 and the median was 276 (practically the same).

Actual result was 336 (about 60 higher than the mean/median prediction).



Scenario 1: The exit polls have gotten much better/more intelligent than 2014. So the actual result would be close to the median: 300-310.

Scenario 2: The accuracy of the polls remains similar, and the NaMo wave manages to tilt several of the tossup seats so that the upper outlier is closer to the actual result. In this case, it would be 345-355.

Scenario 3: All exit polls have fawked up this time and gone in the wrong direction. BJP down to 180 seats. NDA at 220. Urmila Matondkar becomes PM of milawati sarkar.

I think it will be Scenario 3 :(( :((

Ardeshir
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Ardeshir » 19 May 2019 22:41

Some Congress Netas on my Chehra Kitaab are trying to keep their chin up. Apparently this is their internal poll:

Image

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Rahul M » 19 May 2019 22:43

Dilbu wrote:Lungi uthao zor se shiver karo aur bolo.
BJP will lose onlee :(( :(( :((

Where were you ? I even sent a couple of ekhats to the account s I know of.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 22:43

Karan M wrote:
disha wrote:On twitter there are at least two journos from the pseudo-liberal elitist gang complaining about their family kicking them out of their WA group. ]


Who? Time to savor unicorn tears, they are delish. :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

Yes please ... with links to save us time. :P

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 22:44

^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby A_Gupta » 19 May 2019 22:45

UlanBatori wrote:There u go: Time for Lungi-Shiver
BJP 5 seats shy of magic number according to ABP-Nielsen Survey
The ABP-Nielsen Survey has predicted no clear majority for any alliance.
ABP-Nielsen exit pollAlliance Seats
NDA 267
UPA 127
Others 148


Gora hath fa*ted. Please note for future reference.


What Gora said in 2014, pre-poll
https://www.outlookindia.com/blog/story ... a-119/3216

9 March 2014
ABP News-Nielsen Op Poll: BJP 209, Cong 91; NDA 233, UPA 119

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Ardeshir » 19 May 2019 22:46

KL Dubey wrote:^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....

What credibility, hainjee? :lol:

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby A_Gupta » 19 May 2019 22:47

The Gora revises:
https://www.thequint.com/elections/niel ... prediction


ABP News-Nielsen exit poll has predicted that the BJP-led NDA will cross the halfway mark and get 277 seats of the 542 seats. The UPA is expected to win 130 seats.

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Singha » 19 May 2019 22:49

Alhilesh is the new mahdi since the old mahdi has feet of clay. note the sly sentence in the end.

barkha dutt
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Whatever the result one neta who can be optimistic is @yadavakhilesh - he hunkered down & focused on a non-bllitzy, grounded campaign & kept ego aside. Even Modi voters I met say they will vote for him in assembly

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Rahul M » 19 May 2019 22:50

Suraj wrote:So both Axis and Today’s Chanakya give NDA 350+ . And multiple others over 300 . Time for a poll of exit polls now that everyone’s numbers are out .

PP is giving 304 to BJP .

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby KL Dubey » 19 May 2019 22:51

Aayegi To Urmila Hi !

Certainly seems like an "acceptable face". :(( :((

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urmila_Matondkar#/media/File:Urmila_at_kjo_bday.jpg

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby pankajs » 19 May 2019 22:53

Ardeshir wrote:
KL Dubey wrote:^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....

What credibility, hainjee? :lol:

Nahi ... nahi ... Notice "conducted by #WIthRG Volunteers"

Pappu volunteers conducting poll within themselves and their family ... is the bestest way to conduct an "impartial* polls.
Last edited by pankajs on 19 May 2019 22:58, edited 1 time in total.

Nalla Baalu
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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Nalla Baalu » 19 May 2019 22:55

Ardeshir wrote:
KL Dubey wrote:^^LOL, at least they could have removed the headline logo "India with RG" to project credibility....

What credibility, hainjee? :lol:


For why is NDA placed on top of the table in withRG exit poll? What order is it?

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Re: 2019 General Elections News and Discussion

Postby Atmavik » 19 May 2019 22:57

Now that rona-e-dhona has started we need a dedicated thread to document there croc tiers


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