fanne wrote:My understanding is that 42 SQ is just about enough from 1980s perspective when we have fought 1 full and 1/2 war on China front, where IAF probably did nothing much other than provide very shallow CAS and air dominance against non existent chicom air force so that transportation (planes and helicopter) can go unhindered.
What has changed since then is Chinese now have a legitimate air force of couple of sq and an airforce with many high performance fighter that they can be located in Tibet. In a hot war at least expect 100 Chinese air planes (against odd 30 as of now and almost 0 from 1980s/1990s). That will itself require, 200 high performance planes from IAF to counter (10 Sq). If anything we need additional 10+42=52 SQ air force. With TSPAF with 75-90 F-16s, some 100 odd JF-17 (and counting) and some another 200 other planes, we need 42 to dominate the air and be very effective on the ground and sea (unless IAF limits itself just to air dominance, then lower numbers are needed). With 150 or so Mig21/27 retiring in few years and 200 planes short at 42 sq (what to say about 52), we are short of 350 planes in the next decade (at least), no matter what you do, MMCRA-2, additional rafale, 2nd hand Mig 29, there is a scope of 200 LCAMK1/2/3 (and it will take 15 years for IAF/HAL/ADA/MOD to get there, it seams everyone is working against the LCA). There is no denying around that fact. that still leaves additional 150 to be filled- MMCRA-2, additional rafale, 2nd hand Mig 29 (SU30MKI is a bad choice, we have enough of it, we should spend money in upgrade, so that it can do what Rafale is supposed to do, good thing is it can, given the right upgrade)
I doubt IAF operates in 2020 from a 1980 perspective...
Back in 80s, India didn't have true multirole fighters except M2ks and BVR capability was barely available...
Things have changed a lot in terms of technology...
The radar technology, AWACs and SAMs have also improved a lot...
In the video I shared, Dhanoa ji repeatedly said that 42 squadrons is required for 'Full spectrum of operations on 2 fronts'...
With current strength of 31, they can overwhelm PAF while defending the Chinese front...
They have a carefully prepared operational document in place... And I'm pretty sure they took all contingencies into account while preparing it...
In another link shared by someone in previous page, IAF is planning to have full strength of 42 squadrons only by 2040...
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Anyways, sufficiency of Squadron strength can only be answered by ppl who have inside knowledge of operations of IAF...
I think all we Mango ppl can do is try to connect dots based on information available in public...
Nevertheless, the more the merrier...