Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

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vijayk
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by vijayk »

https://www.asianstudies.org/publicatio ... nd-beyond/
The Middle Class in India: From 1947 to the Present and Beyond

Lot of good analysis

https://www.asianstudies.org/wp-content ... beyond.pdf


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Table 2 Expected Middle Class Consumption in the Top 10 Countries Source: Adapted from Homi Kharas 2010, OECD Working Paper No. 285.
vijayk
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by vijayk »

nam
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by nam »

The graph tells us why "over population" is good. You might have lot of poor people, but the sheer size will drive consumption.

Consumption in turn will reduce poverty, which in turn will drive consumption..

So we should have a large population. A very greedy population which wants to consume.
Suraj
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

vijayk wrote:Image
This cumulative distribution graph is fascinating to me. It expresses how society progressively grows wealthier across all segments of population. The 2005 line shows 40% of population earning <$2.25 a day, i.e. the extremely poor. It's not clear how accurate the 2015 one is since it only reports data to 2014, but you can tell how the extremely poor population drops off dramatically. This is seen in another graph this way:
Image
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by VinodTK »

From The Wire: India's 2021-22 Defence Budget Needs Honest Financial Reckoning, Not Empty Rhetoric
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Pompous pronouncements

Over decades, successive finance ministers have routinely promised that there will be no shortage of funds for the armed forces, and all additional monies which they may require will be provided. Totally disregarding reality, then defence minister Nirmala Sitharaman had unbelievingly declared in July 2018 that there was neither a shortage of funds nor of ammunition, when there was a paucity of both. The minister’s optimism, in fact, was in direct contrast to the Defence Parliamentary Standing Committee on Defence (SCoD) that had publicly affirmed a shortage of funds for the military.

Sitharaman’s declaration was as ironic as it was surprising, as in the financial year 2018-19 there was a yawning gap of Rs 1,12, 137 crore between the requirement projected by the services and the funds allotted to them. Of this, Rs 76,766 crore was the shortfall in allocation for capital expenditure that largely caters for force modernisation. What the then Indian Army’s vice-chief Lieutenant General Sarath Chand had told the SCoD that year is more telling.

“It (the budget) is barely enough to cater to the rise in expenses on account of inflation and does not even cater for taxes,” Lieutenant General Chand had told the Committee. He had stated that Rs 21,338 crore capital allocation for the army’s modernisation was “insufficient to cater for the committed payment” of Rs 29,033 crore for 125 ongoing schemes and for ammunition and equipment procurement”.


The vice chief had further revealed that 68% of the army’s equipment was in the ‘vintage category’, 24% in the current and 8% in the state of art grouping, and consequently, insufficient funds were certainly not going to remedy this worrying state of affairs.

The Committee’s prescient warning that the shortage of funds could lead to a default in payment for equipment to vendors, proved true in January 2019. This was when the ministry of defence (MoD) withheld payment of about Rs 20,000 crore to the state-owned Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) in order to pay overseas vendors and obviate punitive contractual provisions. Nobody asked, and no explanations were given, as to how the situation was managed the following year when the allocation to the services again fell short of their requirement by Rs 92,412 crore.

The recurring financial crisis to sustain the country’s military is as much on account of the government’s inability to meet the services’ financial requirement, as on account of the failure to acknowledge that finances will always be finite. Therefore, financially unviable, and disjointed expenditure plans continue to be made, with each service independently pursuing its own vision of the future.

The Chief of Defence Staff (CDS) General Bipin Rawat appointed exactly a year ago as head of the all-powerful department of military affairs (DMA) was expected to ensure service jointness and prioritisation in defence planning, especially with regard to financing, but the situation remains unaltered.
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For 2021-2022 budget, I hope GOI will up the defense allocation to give some purchasing power to the armed forces. If you look at the majority of the discussions / topics on BRF, they invariably ends with: "there is no money"
vijayk
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by vijayk »

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... 232615.cms

Real GDP to grow at 11 per cent in FY22: Report
The report by domestic rating agency Brickwork Ratings said economic activities are slowly reaching pre-COVID levels following the relaxation of the lockdown, except in sectors that remain affected by social distancing norms.
we expect the real GDP to grow at 11 per cent in FY22, from the estimated contraction of 7 per cent to 7.5 per cent in FY21," the agency said.
Suraj
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

Exports grow 16% in first week of January
Merchandise exports grew 16.2%, year on year, in the first week of January, while imports rose 1.1%, a senior commerce ministry official said on Monday.

Engineering goods exports rose as much as 51.8%, accounting for over 75% of the incremental exports between January 1 and 7. Petroleum exports rose by 17.3%. However, exports from some of the labour-intensive sectors continued to bleed. For instance, exports of garments dropped by 26% and yarn by 22% in the first week of January. Chemicals (both organic and inorganic) exports also dropped, by 5.5%.
nam
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by nam »

VinodTK wrote: For 2021-2022 budget, I hope GOI will up the defense allocation to give some purchasing power to the armed forces. If you look at the majority of the discussions / topics on BRF, they invariably ends with: "there is no money"
I don't know if the Mods will allow the discussion on this topic here, however let me state, more than money, Indian military procurement is utterly inefficient. The Chinese defence budget in 2006, when they were 2.8T GDP, was 35B. They had a bigger force level in 2006, than current Indian force level.

Extra budget for defence will not make major difference, other than orders to foreign companies.
yensoy
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by yensoy »

^^^^ Chinese defence budget... a lot of that is under wraps and other classifications. Besides the PLA like the Pakis runs a lot of (monopoly) businesses that are profit centers which presumably fund or add to the retirement/personnel/entertainment budgets.

I agree that we need to order domestically. We also need to get our manpower costs down effectively.
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

Retail inflation drops to 4.59 per cent in December
Retail inflation fell sharply to 4.59 per cent in December, mainly due to declining food prices, government data showed on Tuesday.

Retail inflation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 6.93 per cent in November.

Food inflation declined to 3.41 per cent in December in 2020, compared to 9.5 per cent in the previous month, according to the data released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation.
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

nam wrote:
VinodTK wrote: For 2021-2022 budget, I hope GOI will up the defense allocation to give some purchasing power to the armed forces.
Extra budget for defence will not make major difference, other than orders to foreign companies.
There will be an unprecedented hike esp geared to indigenous weaponry. Just like infrastructure a 5 to 10 year plan on enhancing the "depth" of capability for a sustained conflict. Expect a beefier Mil Ind complex with private sector getting a good share
nam
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by nam »

I am not too hopeful. We buy roughly 11-12 billion worth of kit from local source every year. Out of that 9-10B is from DPSU/OFB empire.

Just imagine the amount of growth of Indian MIC, if even 50% of that is bought from private companies. They would get the scale to compete internationally.

DPSU shipyards have an order book of 1 lakh+ crore. Private shipyard 500 crore. While Chinese, Korean shipyards have massive orders and are able to dominate with efficiency and tech.

But Alas.. Every one likes a sakari naukri and will do anything to safeguard it. :roll:
Suraj
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

This is not the right thread or subforum for defence acquisition discussions. It's fine to post about budgetary allocations, but please discuss acquisition plans in the right subforum.
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

CSO/MOSPI Advance Estimate GDP for 2020-21 (PDF)
The interesting part is the sector wise performance (statement 3). The largest drop in absolute terms is in the services industry - trade/hotels etc. While mining also has a double digit drop, it’s a much smaller contributor to the economy. Manufacturing has seen only a single digit drop. Clearly a lot of factors are in place for an accelerated V shaped recovery, as the vaccine enables service industries to revive and the industry benefits from PLI, the DFC and of course the low base effect.
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

Suraj
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

Continuing my efforts to keep with the Jal Jeevan Mission every month:
15 Jan 2021
Image
33.4% coverage now. All of southern/southwestern India now in blue. same for the smaller northern states. UP remains a laggard with <10% while neighboring Bihar is is at >60% now. You can see per state figures by hovering over them in the link below.

Here is the live dashboard. Click on the toggle button to see change since inception of the program.

Prior statuses:
18 Dec 2020
15 Nov 2020
October 15 2020
September 20 2020
August 15 2020
A Nandy
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by A Nandy »

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/ind ... 302348.cms
LUCKNOW: India would soon kick start the coronavirus vaccine export programme, defence minister Rajanth Singh announced on Saturday. Rajnath made the announcement after laying the foundation stone of a new Central Command Hospital in Lucknow.
Commenting on existing healthcare facilities across the country, Rajnath said, "We acknowledge that there are still shortage of hospitals, bed in healthcare system, but it has also improved after Independence. We are going to increase expenditure on health sector.
He said, "Health insurance for all was unimaginable thing, but in last two years over 2.5 crore people have benefited from Ayushman Bharat program. This is unparalleled health insurance system in the world. People get Rs 5 lakh health cover which renews every year." "As a part of healthcare system improvement, 22 news AIIMS were opened and we are want to open medical college and post graduate medical college in every district. Medical commission has been opened to promote more research, development in health sector. The commission also focues to evaluate hospitals in order to improve the facilities, he added."
kit
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/01/12/in ... t-economy/

Bengaluru Is the New Shenzhen as Apps Displace Devices
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Cyrano »

Suraj wrote:Continuing my efforts to keep with the Jal Jeevan Mission every month:
15 Jan 2021
Image
A very nice video on how this was achieved in Telangana state. Added bonus is the deployment of fibre optic network along with the water pipeline network !



Lot more amazing videos on this YT channel !
kit
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

kit
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

kit
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

kit
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

chetak
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by chetak »

This should be interesting

especially if whatsApp and facebook share data

wonder if amazon will go for arbitration once again

Swarajya@SwarajyaMag·3h

Mukesh Ambani Led Reliance To Integrate JioMart Into WhatsApp To Tap Into Its 400 Million User Base
vijayk
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by vijayk »

kit wrote:
Remember NDTV filed complaints before several tribunals to block this project
kit
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

vijayk wrote:
kit wrote:[
Remember NDTV filed complaints before several tribunals to block this project
What exactly was their problem ? They are a news channel ?!!
kit
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

Vadivel
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Vadivel »

kit wrote:
vijayk wrote:
Remember NDTV filed complaints before several tribunals to block this project
What exactly was their problem ? They are a news channel ?!!

https://www.business-standard.com/artic ... 795_1.html

https://www.opindia.com/2016/09/ndtv-st ... for-india/
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by kit »

deleted
Last edited by kit on 19 Jan 2021 01:38, edited 1 time in total.
Suraj
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

Stay on topic folks , no politics here .
Mollick.R
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Mollick.R »

Power demand touches all-time high of 185.82 GW, says Secretary S N Sahai
PTI Last Updated: Jan 20, 2021, 02:14 PM IST

All-India power demand on Wednesday morning touched a record high of 185.82 gigawatts (GW), said Power Secretary S N Sahai. "Power demand continues to surge. Yet another record - all India demand : 185.82 GW ie 185, 822 MW at 09:35hrs today ie 20/01/21. It has crossed previous all India demand of 182.89 GW i.e. 182, 888 MW on 30th December, 2020", Sahai said in a tweet.

On December 30, 2020, all-India power demand had touched 182.89 GW. According to data from the power ministry, the peak power demand met (the highest supply in a day) during January last year stood at 170.97 GW.

Read more at:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/in ... content=23
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Mollick.R »

Central trade unions want ministry to put on hold four labour codes & re-start discussions

By Yogima Seth Sharma, ET Bureau Last Updated: Jan 20, 2021, 02:29 PM IST

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... content=23
Mollick.R
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Mollick.R »

Finally Long Due relief/ clarification came...............

Analysis | SC ruling on IBC augurs well for bad loans-hit banks

DINESH UNNIKRISHNAN JANUARY 20, 2021 / 02:35 PM IST

Why should the new owner of a bankrupt company bear the brunt of the legal problems pertaining to the old regime? That’s a question that haunted the potential buyers of bankrupt companies, making them sceptical about the whole insolvency and bankruptcy code (IBC) process.
But, the Supreme Court has finally brought in much-needed clarity on this question. On January 19, the apex court upheld Section 32A of the IBC granting statutory immunity to successful resolution applicant from prosecution.

“A bankrupt company and its assets cannot face criminal proceedings once it is sold to new owners,” ANI quoted a bench of the apex court headed by Justice Rohinton Fali Nariman.

“Imperative needs to attract resolution applicants who would not shy away from offering reasonable and fair value. Legislature thought it is necessary to provide legal immunity to corporate debtor, provision is well thought out,” said the court.

Essentially, the court’s ruling says that new owners will not face legal troubles or probes linked to the old cases faced by previous promoters.


Read Full Article at Money Control
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/busin ... 70451.html
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Kaivalya »

Sensex performance historical and pre-covid/post-covid

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/bus ... 379497.cms

2014 to 2020 - Sensex went from 25000 to 50000
IT and Pharma stocks were the major gainers post covid
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by dsreedhar »

Is there any good article on impact of GST on Indian economy, the various sectors and where it stands today?
A friend (accounting) making a complaint on GST and still lacking clarity on GST.
Kaivalya
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Kaivalya »

dsreedhar wrote:Is there any good article on impact of GST on Indian economy, the various sectors and where it stands today?
A friend (accounting) making a complaint on GST and still lacking clarity on GST.
Let us look at the following statistics and key indicators to know how successful this historical tax reform has been in achieving its desired objectives:

Increase in tax base: After its implementation on 1 July 2017, over 38 lakh taxpayers migrated into the GST regime. This number had further increased to more than 64 lakh in September 2017. Also, with an addition of new GST registrations of over 58 lakh, this number has increased by almost 90 percent and we had total (new plus migrated) 1.23 crore active GST registrations, as on 31 March 2020. This growth indicates a significant increase in tax base and a change in taxpayers’ compliance behaviour.


Revenue collections:
While the first nine months of FY 18 saw a revenue collection of ~INR 7.4 lakh crore, FY 19 witnessed healthy growth with the government collecting ~INR 11.7 lakh crore. On the other hand, in the backdrop of rate reduction/ rationalisation over several products, the collections during FY 20 were below estimates and marginally grew at ~4 percent over FY 19 to reach INR 12.2 lakh crore.

Introduction of e-way bill system: Barring the initial technical glitches, the e-way bill system has been largely streamlined. The total number of e-way bills (inter-state as well as intra-state) generated during FY 19 were ~56 crore; and with ~13% growth, this number increased to ~63 crore during FY 20.

Rate rationalisation
: The government continued to focus on rationalising GST rates. Although the overall rate structure remained same, a significant progress has been made in bringing down GST rates for various products. On 1 July 2017, ~19 percent items were under the 28 percent GST rate bracket; currently only 3 percent are subject to 28 percent GST. Now about 50 percent items are under the 18 percent bracket, ~21 percent face 12 percent, and ~25 percent are subject to 5 percent GST.

Source : https://www2.deloitte.com/in/en/pages/t ... f-gst.html#

Sector wise discussion on GST impacts
https://blog.ipleaders.in/sectoral-impact-gst/
Cyrano
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Cyrano »

Details are emerging of massive swindling of funds in the Polavaram project by TRS govt, whose Baghirathi video is posted above. PILs filed have revealed some data. Just within 4 out of 28 work packages that were allocated, evidence of prices quoted by vendors like BHEL etc overstated by several x fold in govt expenditure details, and a gigantic scam of several 10xthousands of crores is being revealed.

If the centre has even partially funded the project, don't they have a right & duty of oversight to prevent such corruption?

Lack of credible political opposition in TS means this will largely go unchecked and unpunished. :(
dsreedhar
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by dsreedhar »

Thanks Kaivalya. I read the Deloitte article.
It seems people are frustrated with the filing and compliance issues. The input tax credit processing seems complex and challenging.
Hope govt is working on solutions and easing on these.
Kaivalya
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Kaivalya »

dsreedhar wrote:Thanks Kaivalya. I read the Deloitte article.
It seems people are frustrated with the filing and compliance issues. The input tax credit processing seems complex and challenging.
Hope govt is working on solutions and easing on these.
Sure sir - Some folks have issues with the gst rate in their sector and have relative grievances in comparison with another sector. Because of the GST council organization it is not always straightforward . Hence the sector wise discussion in the second link.

You might want to look at compliance discussion ( Page 12 ) and the 2 opportunities listed here :

https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/D ... -noexp.pdf

Since we started with very little data in terms of benchmarks - the current system started putting the onus of compliance on the taxpayer. Also the tax paying base was/is abysmal and the rates were high. Slowly we have multiple sources of data correlated to remove unnecessary transactions from the reporting and then negation by the tax payer.

Again to stress, if we have no data, we cannot do any of this. Soon enough our tax paying entity base and financial transparency will lead to easier compliance requirements. For example see our tax payments compared to Australia and Canada
Last edited by Kaivalya on 22 Jan 2021 23:29, edited 1 time in total.
Suraj
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Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

Post by Suraj »

Please note that there's an existing thread for GST:
GST: Discussion on all aspects
Please go through it since you're looking for detail, and add any feedback or fresh information in there.
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