2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

[asgkhan]

Nothing can wake up Jabdakar and Prasad from their deep slumber. These OTT platforms are laser like focused on using Freedom of expression nonsense to keep insulting hindoos.

Good to see mamaji from MP and Kapil Mishra finally taking it up seriously.

That jihadi saif and other assorted katuas have issued a half hearted apology. Hope they use the SC/ST act on these duffers. Tab maza aayega.

[darshan]

15 sleeping migrant labourers crushed under truck In Surat, PM condoles deaths
https://www.deshgujarat.com/2021/01/19/ ... es-deaths/
Surat: A moving dumper truck crushed 19 persons who were sleeping on road side in Kosamba village early in the morning today.15 of them are dead. The Prime Minister and State Chief Minister each have announced Rs.2 lakh to kin of each person who died an Rs. 50,000 to each injured person. Six persons injured including driver and assistant of truck are under medical treatment at SMIMER Surat.

Kosamba village is located at around 60 km from Surat. A dumper truck ran over the sleeping labourers on the Kim-Mandvi road killing 12 on the spot. All the victims were from Banswada in Rajasthan

The truck driver apparently lost control of the vehicle after it hit sugarcane hanging out of the tractor trolley coming from the opposite direction.

“The truck’s front window pane shattered on impact, which blocked the driver’s vision. The truck then veered off the road and crashed into the sleeping labourer,” Surat SP Usha Rada said. The driver has been arrested.
....

[darshan]

Yogi needed in GJ.

Gujarat VHP leader detained while holding dharna against arrests of ‘innocents’
https://www.deshgujarat.com/2021/01/19/ ... innocents/
Gandhidham: Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP) Gujarat leader Ashok Raval was detained by police at Gandhidham in Kutch. Raval was here to stage dharna opposite the district police office, protesting the arrests of ‘innocent’ persons in connection with violence in Kidana village where a procession of VHP was attacked in Masjid Chowk area.

VHP leaders had organized a procession to collect funds for construction of Ram Janmabhumi mandir in Ayodhya. A mob of Muslims in Masjid chowk area pelted stones over this procession following which, Hindu community people also gathered there. In a communal clash that sparked off, two groups, each in size of 200 persons pelted stone, involved in arson and also used sticks. Police Sub Inspector GB Majirana suffered leg injury. Other police men, driver Talib Malvant, Durgadan Avaldan, Devraj Kana who were in bandobast also suffered injuries. Five police vehicles were damaged by rioters. A rickshaw and Chhakdo vehicle were torched.

Sub Inspector Majirana later filed complaint under sections 188, 143, 147, 148, 149, 151, 436, 332, 337, 338, 324, 427 in addition to sections 3, 7 and 135.

As per a complaint filed by Vipul Dhanji Zaru, resident of Ahirvas, a procession recahed Kidana from Bharapar and passed through Muslim populated area. 200 Muslims gathered against the procession. They included taluka panchayat former vice president Iqbal Hussain Chavda, Paniwala, Ibrahim, Kasam Kakkal, former Sarpanch Hussain Khamisha Chavda, his son Salman Hussain Chavda among others. They issued threat and against passing of procession and later started stone pelting. They broke Bhagwan Ram’s picture and hurt religious sentiments. They also looted the cash that was put on the feet of Bhagwan Ram’s picture. They also used sharp weapons including swords. In this attack, Vipul Zaru, Dipak Sathwara, Shashi Chaudhary were injured and hospitalized.
....

[vimal]

Annnnd NYT is back with an article against the Hindoo nationalists who dare challenge Amazon Prime’s Tandav.

[chetak]

He started his career as Cricket "historian".
Then Italian ecosystem made him "eminent historian".
He doesn't even record normal sporting events without taking jibes at his pet hates.
As usual fell flat on his face

via@iMac_too

Ramachandra Guha@Ram_Guha · Dec 20, 2020

36/9: World didn’t end but maybe new India needs an old lesson https://indianexpress.com/article/sport ... n-7111735/

[vijayk]

Annnnd NYT is back with an article against the Hindoo nationalists who dare challenge Amazon Prime’s Tandav.

Looks like Tandav will be back. Unbelievable! We have no shame to let these ba$tards of COMMIEs/Jinhadis to crap on us and move on as if nothing happened

[vimal]

Annnnd NYT is back with an article against the Hindoo nationalists who dare challenge Amazon Prime’s Tandav.

Looks like Tandav will be back. Unbelievable! We have no shame to let these ba$tards of COMMIEs/Jinhadis to crap on us and move on as if nothing happened

I left a 1 star review for it on Prime. You should too; thats the least you can do.

[KLNMurthy]

He started his career as Cricket "historian".
Then Italian ecosystem made him "eminent historian".
He doesn't even record normal sporting events without taking jibes at his pet hates.
As usual fell flat on his face

via@iMac_too

Ramachandra Guha@Ram_Guha · Dec 20, 2020

36/9: World didn’t end but maybe new India needs an old lesson https://indianexpress.com/article/sport ... n-7111735/

That didn't age well, did it.

The old negativity represented by Guha is everywhere, but 21st Century democratic India pays it no attention.

Mogambo is very khush today.

[vera_k]

Disha, if the entire episode was culinary institute + SD, then with this new admin (no India friendly Pompeo, but Burns and SD back to default programming), we can expect a few more biscuits thrown the way of this lady, to compensate for all the grief she suffered over this one. After all, Ravish even got a Magsaysay.

If it was anything more than a fly by night scam, and connected with Indian politics, it is likely to have Chinese origin. Deeply cultivated connections between Harvard and China have been under particular scrutiny in 2020. Maybe the Chinese decided to fund a position but then had to back out.

The End of the Harvard Century

[disha]

https://swarajyamag.com/insta/blow-to-a ... r-alliance

Jammu and Kashmir’s Gupkar Alliance has faced its first major jolt as the Sajad Lone-led J&K People’s Conference (JKPC) has walked out of the coalition, India Today reports.

Lone alleged in a letter to National Conference (NC) supremo Farooq Abdullah that other parties had fielded proxy candidates against JKPC in the recently held DDC polls. Apparently, the 53-year-old succumbed to insistence within his party to pull out of the alliance. Leaders of the JKPC conducted a meeting in Srinagar and decided to put an end to any electoral tie-up with the Gupkar Alliance from hereon.

And I thought the unraveling of the Guptkar Rogue alliance will take a couple of quarters if not months!

[SRajesh]

The old negativity represented by Guha is everywhere, but 21st Century democratic India pays it no attention.

Mogambo is very khush today
Sir if I remember correctly his PhD thesis was 'History of Social Forestry' specifically on 'Chipko Movement'
From there he jumped to Kirket History to Never-who History

[rsingh]

Congratulation to all Brites on India's strategic win over Australia. Aussie are boxed and demoralized. Vededh Mantri kush hue.

[chetak]

Central trade unions want ministry to put on hold four labour codes & re-start discussions

By Yogima Seth Sharma, ET Bureau Last Updated: Jan 20, 2021, 02:29 PM IST

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... content=23

this was bound to happen

we know who is responsible for this and it is what the BIF want

just like the "farmers", central trade unions represent a very miniscule segment of the labor and only those in the "pampered" organised sectors in India. The vast majority of the rest are unrepresented and will have no say in these alleged "discussions"

looks like another goonda gang is getting ready to lay siege to dilli

The unions have also made a written submission to labour minister Santosh Kumar Gangwar saying they outrightly reject the labour ministry's move to frame Rules on the Labour Codes which have been passed by the Parliament without any discussion following a boycott by the opposition.

[chetak]

yes, indeed.

by all means he is welcome, but only as a religious leader and not as a head of state.

and as a "religious leader", which is exactly what he is, he really does not need any invitation.

He only needs a visa or maybe, not even that, if he comes on a duly accredited diplomatic passport, just like the archbishop of canterbury, another "religious leader" did when he "visited" India.

however, the archbishop of canterbury "apologised" for jalianwallabagh, even though the person who should apologise is the queen so it really doesn't count.

let's see how many inquisitions/atrocities/genocides in India the pope will apologise for



Cardinals meet PM Modi, urge him to invite Pope Francis

Cardinals said they have been asking for an invite to the Pope for quite some time and expressed hope it will be realised soon. In 2018 there was a growing demand for the Pope to be invited to the country when he visited two Asian neighbours, Bangladesh and Myanmar. “It is overdue. We expect a decision from the PM soon,” said Cardinal George Alancherry. He said they requested the PM about an equitable distribution of the minority funds.

[darshan]

Should not the person from Rome go and heal china before India?

[chetak]

Should not the person from Rome go and heal china before India?

Indeed.

Also, should they not invite Modi to the vatican first

[SRajesh]

yes, indeed.

by all means he is welcome, but only as a religious leader and not as a head of state.

Cardinals meet PM Modi, urge him to invite Pope Francis

Cardinals said they have been asking for an invite to the Pope for quite some time and expressed hope it will be realised soon. In 2018 there was a growing demand for the Pope to be invited to the country when he visited two Asian neighbours, Bangladesh and Myanmar. “It is overdue. We expect a decision from the PM soon,” said Cardinal George Alancherry. He said they requested the PM about an equitable distribution of the minority funds.

Chetakji
that is the crux of the problem as he both : Religious leader and Head of the State of Vatican(which is an independent state) as per Protocol he can only?? visit as Head of State after an invitation.
Well as a quid pro quo we should extract an apology from the Pope for the excesses of the Portugal Inquisition.
Otherwise it would be meaningless
When the Cardinals and the Church elsewhere are openly apologising for the paedophilia which was kind of institutionalised in the old system, Why not come to India and heal the wounds so to say!! by apologising for past sins.

[sanjaykumar]

The pope in India? Preposterous.

[kit]

The pope in India? Preposterous.

and do what ? ..talk trade ?

[bharathp]

The unions have also made a written submission to labour minister Santosh Kumar Gangwar saying they outrightly reject the labour ministry's move to frame Rules on the Labour Codes which have been passed by the Parliament without any discussion following a boycott by the opposition.

the above part is very sinister.
unions rejected the rules on labour codes because parliament passed it without discussion with opposition
the parliament passed the codes without any discussion because the opposition boycotted

so by that logic the opposition boycotts and no laws should be passed?

[m_saini]

and do what ? ..talk trade ?

the trade being the kilos of rice per soul

[sanjaykumar]

I should think China Russia Saudi Arabia are in a more dire need of this man’s travels.

In fact why not tour Ireland again. They seem to have been positively underwhelmed by the last film flam show. And they's Catholics.

[chetak]

yes, indeed.

by all means he is welcome, but only as a religious leader and not as a head of state.

Cardinals meet PM Modi, urge him to invite Pope Francis

Chetakji
that is the crux of the problem as he both : Religious leader and Head of the State of Vatican(which is an independent state) as per Protocol he can only?? visit as Head of State after an invitation.
Well as a quid pro quo we should extract an apology from the Pope for the excesses of the Portugal Inquisition.
Otherwise it would be meaningless
When the Cardinals and the Church elsewhere are openly apologising for the paedophilia which was kind of institutionalised in the old system, Why not come to India and heal the wounds so to say!! by apologising for past sins.

Rsatchi ji

they want him to be invited to visit as head of state and that goes into another dimension altogether.

if he is a head of state, then what are the bishops -- foreign consul generals who openly disregard the Indian constitution and profess fealty, loyalty and allegiance to another state

India does not recognise dual citizenship.

so, who then, are these people, exactly

none of these padres or their flock of sheep are ever going to vote Modi and they have opposed the CAA, again rather hypocritically.

they have been told repeatedly that he can come and visit just like the archbishop of canterbury came and visited, as a religious leader, period.



the britshits also tried very hard for many years to insist that the bishop should also be accorded state visit status but finally had to take what was on offer.

So, he came, he saw, he prostrated hypocritically (actually prostrated physically at jallianwallabagh) and left, where as the queen has never ever mentioned it and she should apologise.

He was not allowed anywhere the PM or president or ministers where as for a head of state the president and PM will be doing the honors during his entire stay and that is what the padres want.

they are miffed that the saudi prince was accorded honors which they feel that the pope is more entitled to.

also, some political messaging and signalling is going on from KER because of local schisms in the churches there and their internal politics and hence the timing of their visit to Modi.

their visit has been arranged by the governor of mizoram, P.S Sreedharan Pillai who is a BJP politician from KER.

wheels within wheels, Rsatchi ji.

the pope will not come to heal brownskins or apologise.

He will do what obama did on the orders of the same church (spit and scoot), but on a much larger and logarithmic scale and he will deliver a global anti Modi snub from India while visiting as a state guest.

[Ambar]

Government proposes holding off the new farm bills for an year to year and a half (meaning permanently).

https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/union-g ... 1-5-years/

BIF - 2. Govt - 0.

[rsingh]

Vatican herself is not important. It is the christian countries. People who think that Europe is secular are fooling themselves.Yes law of the land are secular but people are not. Mercenaries are highly regarded here.One such visit can help our diplomacy in western countries. Italy and Poland are diehards.
We are a country for all religions after all. It will show the world secularism of India. Christians are living and flourishing in India. I wish world religious leaders be invited on Inauguration of Ram Mandir.

[Tanaji]

Government proposes holding off the new farm bills for an year to year and a half (meaning permanently).

https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/union-g ... 1-5-years/

BIF - 2. Govt - 0.

The government has no alternative really with the Supreme Court censuring it. The longer the “farmers” stay, more the likelihood of things going wrong. Besides this government will only pick fights it knows it can win or appear to win. It is also the reason why RTE is not a priority.

The drawback of the above is that people will test its limits constantly as they know it can keep pushing boundaries. At some point the government will have to stand for itself.

[SRajesh]

Chetakji
Archbishop stunts in Jallianwallah Bagh was probably with an oblique angle at harvesting Panjabi souls.
Of late there has been quite a bit of Christian work ?? attempt at luring to the true faith in Punjab just like in Andhra
In the OBC/Dalit the Anglican Church is more active and successful than the Catholics!!
Given the present Jat Controlled Punjab, the others are feeling left out with no land, money or power and lure of Church with a promise of job abroad/visa is a powerful attractant,

[disha]

Government proposes holding off the new farm bills for an year to year and a half (meaning permanently).

https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/union-g ... 1-5-years/

BIF - 2. Govt - 0.

I think GOI is playing a test series here. MudiWhoMustRezine is becoming the Pujara of the GOI.

I will posit my thoughts here, but I see a pyrrhic tactical victory for Zamindars, open defecators, sexual harassers, Khalistani supporters while strategically I think they are losing the game.

[Ambar]

Government proposes holding off the new farm bills for an year to year and a half (meaning permanently).

https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/union-g ... 1-5-years/

BIF - 2. Govt - 0.

The government has no alternative really with the Supreme Court censuring it. The longer the “farmers” stay, more the likelihood of things going wrong. Besides this government will only pick fights it knows it can win or appear to win. It is also the reason why RTE is not a priority.

The drawback of the above is that people will test its limits constantly as they know it can keep pushing boundaries. At some point the government will have to stand for itself.

Modi personally needs to take a long and hard look at his cabinet. Cabinets are usually refreshed and reshuffled every couple of years but here some ministers have continued into 2nd term. The current government is already into two out of its five year term, and they don't have endless time on their hands. Several states go into polls beginning this year, add to the problem of BJP governments in two important and wealthy states of Karnataka and Haryana are on shaky grounds. With so little time and so much at stake Modi needs to decide what brings the most benefit quickly to the people, especially the middle class who form the bulk of BJP's voters. Passing bills like CAA or Farm laws only to invite chaos and endless protests and no material changes on ground is akin to shooting oneself in the foot. With just over 3 yrs left in the term the government needs to bring in some fresh blood into the cabinet, rapidly improve the administration, bureaucracy and be clever in policy implementation where you can benefit people without having to pass lightning rods like bills.

[vimal]

Government proposes holding off the new farm bills for an year to year and a half (meaning permanently).

https://www.opindia.com/2021/01/union-g ... 1-5-years/

BIF - 2. Govt - 0.

Down in that report.

Farmers already reject the proposal

However, although the farmer unions have said that they will discuss the govt’s proposal tomorrow, it appears that the protestors already continuing with their hard stand on the issue. One farmer leader said that farmers have said that there is no point in suspending laws and made it clear that they only want the repeal of the laws.

So its just a game of cat and mouse. It will just continue like this for some time till one party runs out of patience/money or both.

[manjgu]

The government has no alternative really with the Supreme Court censuring it. The longer the “farmers” stay, more the likelihood of things going wrong. Besides this government will only pick fights it knows it can win or appear to win. It is also the reason why RTE is not a priority.

The drawback of the above is that people will test its limits constantly as they know it can keep pushing boundaries. At some point the government will have to stand for itself.

Modi personally needs to take a long and hard look at his cabinet. Cabinets are usually refreshed and reshuffled every couple of years but here some ministers have continued into 2nd term. The current government is already into two out of its five year term, and they don't have endless time on their hands. Several states go into polls beginning this year, add to the problem of BJP governments in two important and wealthy states of Karnataka and Haryana are on shaky grounds. With so little time and so much at stake Modi needs to decide what brings the most benefit quickly to the people, especially the middle class who form the bulk of BJP's voters. Passing bills like CAA or Farm laws only to invite chaos and endless protests and no material changes on ground is akin to shooting oneself in the foot. With just over 3 yrs left in the term the government needs to bring in some fresh blood into the cabinet, rapidly improve the administration, bureaucracy and be clever in policy implementation where you can benefit people without having to pass lightning rods like bills.

Thats a very jaundiced view of things. 1) farm bill finds great support amongst all classes more so the middle class and farmers as well ( except punjab/haryana). in a 4 cornered contest in punjab ( AAP, BJp, COngress, Akalis) , BJP might come out trumps. while every seat is imp, punjab, Haryana do not figure v importantly in BJP's electoral calculation. 2) while elections are important but not everything. if the country is being steered in right directions with CAA, farm bills, triple talaq then its good and will find support. country is bigger than party. CAA, TT has brought middle class strongly in Modis corner. chaos and protests are part of our chaotic democracy. 3) opposing everything that Modi does is work of congress/opposition. strong decisions will bring protests,chaos but then this is the price country has to pay. 4) Did abolition of 370 bring any relief to middle class ..NO. but yet there is strong support for it. so please dont underestimate Modi. 5) everybody is for improving adminsitration, bureaucracy, clever policy implementaiton..thats a no brainer.

[Sachin]

10th round of Govt-farmer talks begins seeking a solution.
In my humble opinion; this move from GoI is going to cause further fissures amongst the farmer broker gang. GoI has put an option that it can hold back the implementation of the laws for 1 year (why such a hard stop for one year?; perhaps GoI has other options which they can roll out within a year?). The SC organized commission has been given two months to give their report, and things are stalled any ways. So looks like GoI plan is to allow the next harvest season to come up and put their laws to test at that point of time, perhaps in the states which are ruled by BJP. As per this news report in Malayalam GoI has asked the farmer broker gang to approach the Supreme Court if they want the laws to be abrogated. GoI will not abrogate the law by itself. What GoI has promised is that it can with hold the implementation of the act for a year; provided that the farmer-broker gang forms a committee which is willing for negotiations.

As of now; I feel GoI is allowing the farmer broker gang to paint themselves into a corner. .

[Sachin]

By 4:1 majority, SC dismisses pleas seeking review of 2018 of Aadhaar verdict.
Focusing on the farmer-broker gang let us NOT miss on the above court verdict. Aadhaar is going to stay. .

[chetak]

Chetakji
Archbishop stunts in Jallianwallah Bagh was probably with an oblique angle at harvesting Panjabi souls.
Of late there has been quite a bit of Christian work ?? attempt at luring to the true faith in Punjab just like in Andhra
In the OBC/Dalit the Anglican Church is more active and successful than the Catholics!!
Given the present Jat Controlled Punjab, the others are feeling left out with no land, money or power and lure of Church with a promise of job abroad/visa is a powerful attractant,

why do you think that they want their pope to be received as the head of state

they want to make a hero out of him and garner more souls and moolah, demand repeal of FCRA, and as a bonus, humiliate and shame "intolerant" Modi.

at the lower strata, there is a fair bit of cross conversions going on

[vijayk]

ANI
@ANI
· 3h
During discussions, we said that govt is ready to put on hold the farm laws for one or one and half year. I'm happy that farmer unions have taken this very seriously & said that they would consider it tomorrow & convey their decision on Jan 22: Union Agriculture Minister NS Tomar

Pathetic

[vijayk]

By 4:1 majority, SC dismisses pleas seeking review of 2018 of Aadhaar verdict.
Focusing on the farmer-broker gang let us NOT miss on the above court verdict. Aadhaar is going to stay. .

However, Justice D.Y. Chandrachud, one of the five-judges on the bench, dissented with this majority verdict. "The present batch of review petitions s...

[Tanaji]

@Sachinji,

There is no corner or they were already in one depending on how you look at it. The farmers broker position has been unchanging and unyielding: it is repeal or nothing. The whole impasse has been due to this.

I don’t think there is any 4D chess happening here. GoI has no options and it is kicking the can down the road. Some may call it chanakya niti but it is what it is.

[Ambar]

Thats a very jaundiced view of things. 1) farm bill finds great support amongst all classes more so the middle class and farmers as well ( except punjab/haryana). in a 4 cornered contest in punjab ( AAP, BJp, COngress, Akalis) , BJP might come out trumps. while every seat is imp, punjab, Haryana do not figure v importantly in BJP's electoral calculation. 2) while elections are important but not everything. if the country is being steered in right directions with CAA, farm bills, triple talaq then its good and will find support. country is bigger than party. CAA, TT has brought middle class strongly in Modis corner. chaos and protests are part of our chaotic democracy. 3) opposing everything that Modi does is work of congress/opposition. strong decisions will bring protests,chaos but then this is the price country has to pay. 4) Did abolition of 370 bring any relief to middle class ..NO. but yet there is strong support for it. so please dont underestimate Modi. 5) everybody is for improving adminsitration, bureaucracy, clever policy implementaiton..thats a no brainer.

You are assuming Congress is naïve and won't reverse the laws the minute they come to power. Also, the chances of BJP winning PJ in a 4 way or even a two way contest is slimmer than Pakis ruling the ummah from the moon (TM Zaid Zaman Hamid). Haryana has Khattar who is as lackluster as Yeddiyurappa in KA, even if the coalition survives the chances of him coming to power again is nill. The government needs to be clever and adapt to the environment they are operating in. Reshuffle the already long in the tooth cabinet, continuously improve the administrative efficiency , cut bureaucracy and don't expend political capital on things which you are unsure about implementing . By bringing in the farm act and now trying hard to reverse it the government has only managed to lose both its face and those farmers who supported these bills in all but 2 states.

[vijayk]

Is this Govt. capitulating just to have a smooth Republic day celebration?

[kit]

Is this Govt. capitulating just to have a smooth Republic day celebration?

play along., keep them guessing, looks like a poker game