2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

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Yagnasri
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Yagnasri »

Think about the hidden targets. There is a massive effort to stop Central Vista at any cost. That is the main. Construction dust is the issue now. What can we say.
Varuna
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Varuna »

I've seen a lot of wokes doing namaste with a gap within their hands as if they are hiding something. Looks like such an effort.
Cain Marko
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Cain Marko »

disha wrote:
Cyrano wrote:There is a reason for the popularity of perfumes among Ms. Their prophet is said to have used perfumes generously. For the same reason European men used perfumes & powders (and wigs) in the 18th & 19th centuries.
The perfumes in Saudi Barbaria were imported from India. Long before biblical times and even before Roman times. Check out Frankincense and Myrh. There are several Frankincenses, but the largest came from B. Serrata which is extensive (at one time) in much of the Indian sub-continent. Check out the 3 gifts to bejesus. One of them being gold. The other two are Frankincense and Myrrh.

Due to the paucity of water in S. Barbaria and surrounding regions (all the way to Egypt or Babylonia), it was ordained that the bathing is Friday-to-Friday. Saves water. However, this creates other olfactory issues.

The science of perfumes was first articulated in text by Varahamira in 5th century AD. And just like all sciences went to Europe via Saudi Arabia from India via trade, so the science of perfume making.

Of course, the need to solve olfactory issues due to friday-to-friday ordinance in the book found a ready made solution and captive population in perfume making. And hence post Mughals, the entire trade became dominated by a particular community.
So now it is okay tho take potshots at others religious communities and their icons on BRF just because? I understand Hindu issues and phobia, really do. But this doesn't help. Unless people intend to make brf ...Hindu RF with no place for Indians of a different religious orientation.

Plus there is no such "ordinance" ..a recommended bath on Friday does not preclude bathing on other days. Bathing/ghusl is mandatory after sex and ejaculation, and menses. I've lived with Muslims, they are as clean as any Hindu at home, more or less. A daily bath habit is just as common in addition to a rather elaborate 5x ablution.

So stop the bokwas.
Last edited by Cain Marko on 14 Nov 2021 11:00, edited 1 time in total.
banrjeer
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by banrjeer »

Pratyush wrote:^^^

I am entering off topic territory.


Quite often I wonder what is the percentage of LGBTQ amongst other mammals.

Interms of evolution, the genetic propensity of developing into LGBTQ should be identical amongst other mammals. Or amongst members of the animal kingdom which have both males and females.
It will not stay at a uniform level. Epigenetics can skew traits , propensity to diabetes for e.g. . But does not seem to impact sex ratio of a species. LGBTQ are better networked and more vocal than before and
rsingh
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by rsingh »

Pratyush wrote:
chetak wrote:one sometimes despairs at the disastrous standards of education and its deleterious effects



Image

Is this because of what Delhi is doing. Or is this because of the stubble burning by the anndata's.
LATEST FROM HARYANA
A Tau getting ready to urinate out side shouting
" Be careful O Delhiwalo I am unrinating,Do not complain that we were not warned about flood." :rotfl:
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

one more dimension has been added



Farmers are forced to burn it. Government should fix MSP on this, buy it from farmers and use it for other purposes like power generation: Haryana LoP and Congress leader Bhupinder Singh Hooda on stubble burning (13.11)
via@ANI · 1h
Manish_Sharma
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Manish_Sharma »

TWITTER

@JoeAgneya:

Taliban requests food aid from India. A kind Pakistan 'offers' to allow Indian wheat through its territory to help 'Afghan brothers'. A confused/stunned India, after the colossal waste of $ billions over a decade, complies to help stabilize Taliban rule. Layers & layers of irony.

https://twitter.com/JoeAgneya/status/14 ... BlH6A&s=19
SRajesh
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

banrjeer wrote:
Pratyush wrote:^^^

I am entering off topic territory.


Quite often I wonder what is the percentage of LGBTQ amongst other mammals.

Interms of evolution, the genetic propensity of developing into LGBTQ should be identical amongst other mammals. Or amongst members of the animal kingdom which have both males and females.
It will not stay at a uniform level. Epigenetics can skew traits , propensity to diabetes for e.g. . But does not seem to impact sex ratio of a species. LGBTQ are better networked and more vocal than before and
Bonobo Monkey(chimps) are only ones indulging in LGBT activities
The theory put forth is that they have swapped aggression/anger/fights for sex
So when stressed indulge in the act of sex with one next regardless of the gender as per Animal channel docu!
In some reptiles and insects as well as fish, the females can turn into male when no male species available for propagation but not true LGBT activity!
SRajesh
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

New history book about Islamic rule in India:
Arabs defended the Somnath temple from destruction by Ghazni who was not true Arab?? :eek: :eek:
Delhi Sultanate saved India from Mongol Invasion and destruction, so be grateful to the Sultans!! :shock:
https://thewire.in/history/hinduism-dha ... m-hindutva
All from VardhaBhai's Chan-Hole :lol:
Last edited by SRajesh on 14 Nov 2021 21:30, edited 1 time in total.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

This was more than a year after the congi lie of so called independence on August 15, 1947...........

and neverwho's "tryst with destiny" speech


For dominion India, real independence did not come in 1947
India became independent on August 15, 1947, or did it? Jawaharlal Nehru’s famous speech, ‘tryst with destiny’ delivered on the midnight of August 15, is remembered as the moment a new nation was born thereon. In reality though, that was the moment when India and Pakistan acquired dominion status. While India remained a dominion till 1950, Pakistan retained the status till 1956.

In simpler words, dominions were autonomous communities within the British Empire which were “equal in status” but had an “allegiance to the Crown”. What it meant was that King George VI continued to reign as the Emperor of India and Lord Mountbatten was the first Governor-General of the country. Nehru was sworn in as the premier, but served on the command of the British Governor-General, and unelected Indian nationalist leaders were administered oaths in the name of the British King-Emperor. What it also meant was that a British field marshall led the Indian army and judges appointed by the British continued to be part of the high courts and the federal court.
no wonder Kangana Ranaut was spot on


Image

They have got mountbattens decorations and honors absolutely right.

It includes P.C. == prime cuckold
Tanaji
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Tanaji »

Looks like the peacefuls are getting it in Amravati in Maharashtra. Curfew and Internet snapped since 3 days.

Reza academy has long been a instigator in such types of protests, from the one in mumbai where the peacefuls sexually assaulted a female police Constable to this. Their modus operandi seems to be to create a trumped up issue, take out a protest, burn Hindu properties or monuments and when the blowback happens claim victimhood in true peaceful style.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Tanaji wrote:Looks like the peacefuls are getting it in Amravati in Maharashtra. Curfew and Internet snapped since 3 days.

Reza academy has long been a instigator in such types of protests, from the one in mumbai where the peacefuls sexually assaulted a female police Constable to this. Their modus operandi seems to be to create a trumped up issue, take out a protest, burn Hindu properties or monuments and when the blowback happens claim victimhood in true peaceful style.
AIMIM and the sena have aligned with each other for the amravati municipal elections

looks like a fixed match is in play
vijayk
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by vijayk »

Is anyone from UP? How is BJP's position? I see predictions for Tonti chor AKALless 150 seats... little concerning
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

roly poly afghan auntie shukria barakzai is so brazenly entitled and shamelessly demanding

maybe if she shovelled a little less food into her gaping maw, there would be more to go around for the others.

despite her name, there is no evidence of shukria in her demeanour

what exactly do we owe these afghans, does anyone know.......... apart from sinking a great deal of Indian taxpayer money into that hell hole and building infrastructure which no afghan fought to even protect.

history and heritage is the very first card that the ummah often play with India and roly poly auntie is following the ummah playbook to the letter

I think that she tried to enter India from turkey and was turned back of some such thing happened to this whining fatso



Afghanistan MP says India turned its back on people of Afghanistan


Afghanistan MP says India turned its back on people of Afghanistan

Jagriti Chandra
NEW DELHI, NOVEMBER 12, 2021


Image
Former Afghanistan MP Shukria Barakzai. | Photo Credit: AP

She was responding to to recently concluded regional level talks spearheaded by NSA Doval calling for urgent humanitarian assistance

India turned its back on the people of Afghanistan in their most difficult hour and instead of empty speeches, it is time to take action, says former Afghanistan MP Shukria Barakzai in response to the recently concluded regional level talks spearheaded by National Security Adviser (NSA) Ajit Doval calling for urgent humanitarian assistance.

“We have no clue what India wants to deliver through the NSA meet on Afghanistan. There is an immediate need for humanitarian aid, but it is disappointing that various countries are speaking about it but there is no action”, notes Ms. Barakzai in an interview to The Hindu from London.

Earlier this week, she was part of Reykjavík Global Forum Women Leaders co-hosted by Women Political Leaders and Government of Iceland.

“India can at least send a few charters to Afghanistan with aid, or send them through the Red Cross or other international agency. We are fed up of empty speeches.” she observes.

She points out that India had been a natural ally of Afghanistan, but betrayed its neighbour in the aftermath of the U.S. pull-out and Taliban takeover. She recounts how India cancelled visa-free entry permitted for Afghan diplomatic passport holders when they were fleeing from Taliban.

“India was silently watching, while Uzbekistan, Tajikistan have opened themselves for Afghans. India can atleast offer space to politicians, journalists, activists. That’s the expectation one has from friends. Ours is a friendship based on history and heritage. But this bad memory may remain in our mind for a very long time," she states.
Vips
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Vips »

chetak wrote:


Afghanistan MP says India turned its back on people of Afghanistan


Afghanistan MP says India turned its back on people of Afghanistan

“India was silently watching, while Uzbekistan, Tajikistan have opened themselves for Afghans. India can atleast offer space to politicians, journalists, activists. That’s the expectation one has from friends. Ours is a friendship based on history and heritage. But this bad memory may remain in our mind for a very long time," she states.[/color]
And Ungrateful Bitch what will you do about the Bad memory?

Oh sorry i forgot you always have the option of Going to Pakistan and wear a designer tent under the Taliban :rotfl:
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

afghanistan has been having a "bad memory" of India for many centuries now.

nothing new or anything even remotely enlightening has been revealed by this fatso except that this extremely well upholstered and roly poly auntie wants to be wined and dined for free in India because she has a"diplomatic" passport which she imagines entitles her to lifelong free boarding and lodging because of "history and heritage".

BTW, when the afghan govt ran away from kabul, what exactly is the legitimacy of her "diplomatic" passport.

all said and done, the taliban are primarily afghan and nothing is going to change that fact

we don't have a dog in their fight

and we also have a very good idea of the afghan savage "history" as well as their uncultured "heritage", having experienced both firsthand and from very close quarters.

Just imagine, that even in 2021, these afghan clowns cannot manage to build roads and schools for themselves.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

not shown are mumtaz banoo and her nephew


Image
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

This is the cartoon that won Kerala Lalitha Kala Akademi Award this year.


awarded by the same commie government that was crying 24X7 for the vaccine from Modi's Central Government and couldn't manage the pandemic on its own.


Image
sanjaykumar
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by sanjaykumar »

It’s not that it’s not even funny, it’s plain stoopid.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

sanjaykumar wrote:It’s not that it’s not even funny, it’s plain stoopid.


The failure and international exposure of the rank incompetence of a self styled and allegedly intellectual commie govt brings about a glimpse into the very core of a vengeful and spiteful neanderthal organization, already discarded and dumped the world over but leading a diseased life in "sickular" India.
la.khan
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by la.khan »

chetak wrote:This is the cartoon that won Kerala Lalitha Kala Akademi Award this year.


awarded by the same commie government that was crying 24X7 for the vaccine from Modi's Central Government and couldn't manage the pandemic on its own.


Image
I have a slightly different take on the cartoon. A cow from India, wearing saffron robes & a tilak, is good enough to sit & hobnob with others, at the high table. As an equal :P Maybe, the Indian cow/bull/whatever can handle covid better than the rest of the world :lol:
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

guess who said this : The Guardian of the UK, on 18 May, 2014 (the worst of the britshit hate India presstitutes gang)

This is also what kangana ranaut said last week and she was right on the dot


Image


India: another tryst with destiny

Editorial This article is more than 7 years old


India: another tryst with destiny


It should be obvious that underlying changes in Indian society have brought us Mr Modi and not the other way round

Sun 18 May 2014

Today, 18 May 2014, may well go down in history as the day when Britain finally left India. Narendra Modi's victory in the elections marks the end of a long era in which the structures of power did not differ greatly from those through which Britain ruled the subcontinent. India under the Congress party was in many ways a continuation of the British Raj by other means. The last of midnight's children are now a dwindling handful of almost 70-year-olds, but it is not the passing of the independence generation that makes the difference.

The India those men and women lived in was one that, like its predecessor, was centralised, garrisoned, culturally constricted, and ruled by a relatively small English-speaking elite whose attitude toward the masses was alternately benevolent and exploitative but never inclusive. Universal suffrage gave Indians a vote but not, at least for much of the time, a voice. When that voice was occasionally heard, as it was in 1977 in the elections that followed the disastrously unpopular Emergency declared by prime minister Indira Gandhi, there could be a sudden sense of its almost volcanic capacity to remake the political landscape, but such moments were rare.

Now that voice has been heard again. It has endorsed a new kind of leader in the shape of Mr Modi. He is from the lower castes. He is not a natural English speaker. He has no truck with the secular and socialist traditions that shaped Congress.
But, more important, that voice has announced a new kind of India. In the old India the poor were there to be helped, when the elite remembered to do so or when they needed to seek or, in effect, to buy votes. The middling classes were taken for granted and sometimes snubbed. The new India, most observers agree, is not interested in handouts, and refuses to be snubbed.

Instead it wants the obstacles it sees as impeding its aspirations swept away. It has discarded the deference it displayed toward the Gandhi family and toward the Anglicised or, these days, Americanised top levels of society. Whether in its older and purer socialist guise or in its later embrace of the market, Congress has lost its magic, even though the party includes some profoundly decent and well-intentioned people. The core constituency of the Bharatiya Janata party, meanwhile, never shared the non-sectarian values that Congress imperfectly upheld and wants an India where its version of Hinduism has unchallenged primacy.

It should be obvious that these underlying changes in Indian society have brought us Mr Modi and not the other way round. He sensed a great shift in mood and played to it. Nevertheless it matters enormously what kind of man he is. The answer is that we really do not know. It is not only that the question of what role he played in the Gujarat massacres of 2002 remains unresolved. Nor that his personality is rather closed, reserved, even secretive. It is more that the balance in his character between pragmatism and the extremist ideology with which he has been associated since he was a young man is not clear. Pragmatism would lead him to avoid sharp confrontation with Indian Muslims, perhaps offsetting any trouble at home by a peace-seeking diplomacy with Pakistan. It would temper any savage cuts in the subsidy programmes vital to many Indians on the breadline. It would put a measurable distance between the party and the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh movement. And pragmatism would lead to caution in a man who has never held national office before. He has an unexpectedly large mandate, but India is not Gujarat. It is a very big ship to steer, and he will need all the help he can get.

He knows that the aspirations that have swept him to power must be satisfied in part – they could never be satisfied in full – if his new beginning is not to flounder in a morass of disappointment and recrimination from which the temptation might be to take a extreme nationalist way out. Whatever else he is or is not, Mr Modi is a gifted politician. We must hope that he understands that his new India will sooner or later hold him to account.

This article was amended on 19 May 2014 because an earlier version gave a date of 18 March 2014 when it should have said 18 May 2014.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

no wonder this virdas pile of excrement is a congi, djinnah pasandis and woke favorite


Image



Image
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

something is seriously wrong

the wire is actually reporting the truth about the amravati violence against the Hindus

and this is on a day when, as usual, Hindu groups/BJP were held responsible for the carnage.
"Policemen lathicharge mob as stones hurled during saffron bandh in Maharashtra’s Amravati" - The Hindu

"BJP bandh turns violent in Amravati" - Deccan Herald

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Manish_P
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Manish_P »

This was in the offing chetak sir.

I had observed similar fear in a media outlet close to my work place and mentioned it in these forums a year or so back.

For one, in this age of social news with everyone sporting Mobiles, the old thekedaars of news can't choose to show only what they want to show (as per their agenda). Secondly the law against fake news with arrests of journos is beginning to tell. The guys on the ground and the bottom rungs know that the editors and owners won't back them up in a vendetta war.

Third, In the case of the Print and the likes, the readers are overwhelmingly Hindus. Vast majority of Peacefuls do not subscribe to English media, especially paid. They are seeing their user base getting eroded..

As a personal observation - even before the lock down I myself witnessed some choice arguments between the reporters and the editorial teams. In fact even the Advert sales team now puts pressure to report correctly saying that they won't be responsible for loss of revenue if the site/publication łooses advertisers when they see the number of consumers/visitors drop.
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

@RatanSharda55 · 13h

Does #Congress have anything to say to cover up this huge embarrassment?

Image 9:02 am · 17 Nov 2021
Rudradev
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Rudradev »

chetak wrote:something is seriously wrong

the wire is actually reporting the truth about the amravati violence against the Hindus

and this is on a day when, as usual, Hindu groups/BJP were held responsible for the carnage.
Nothing "wrong". They have just decided to become a little cleverer. Not surprising, given that Siddharth Vardarajan is a US-trained political propagandist and undoubtedly can avail of expert consultants on demand.

The situation now is that the BIF meta-narrative (Hindus/Modi are fascist and evil, Muslims are victims) has been firmly established. NYTimes, Guardian, Al-Jazeera, TRT, everyone repeats it all the time. It already forms the overarching context under which all other MSM stories about India are consumed.

But at the level of granular narratives, cell-phone video and on-the-spot eyewitness reports make it impossible to completely misrepresent specific events (without publishing an easily falsifiable story that can destroy your credibility).

Amateurs like The Deccan Herald and Alt News haven't realized this yet (or maybe they are viewed by BIF sponsors as tactical assets, to be paid by the word, and their long-term credibility is considered expendable).

The Wire does recognize it. So what they have started do is report semi-accurately, at least on granular narratives. This is for articles in the "news" section of their portal, which they hope will gain credibility among "neutral" consumers as a result.

At the very least, social-media denizens will not be able to point to a particular article about Amravati riots as proof of the Wire's outright Hinduphobic bias. And if necessary, BIF social-media operatives can link to such an article to show that the Wire does also report on violence against Hindus.

So there are benefits to be gained by sometimes publishing even-handed or accurate granular narratives, because credibility then accrues to your portal as a source of meta-narratives. The cost is not very high because citizen journalism and cell-phone videos have already established the truth of the Amravati situation (in this case) anyway.

But the thing is, granular narratives (and the incidents that sparked them) fade out of public memory within weeks if not days. By that time, the granular narrative of Amravati can be subsumed into the meta-narrative as "Hindus are fascist, Muslims are victimized but angry and resisting in some cases." Followed by "Modi's authoritarian, divisive fascism is destroying the secular fabric of India".

The meta-narrative, which belongs in the "opinions" or "commentary" section of the portal, is what the BIFs are really paying for. The granular-narrative report on Amravati may even quietly disappear from the Wire's website after a judicious interval. But the meta-narrative commentary will remain forever as a "resource" for NYTimes, WaPo, BBC, Guardian et al to link to when claiming "Hindu fascist violence against Muslims is on the rise in India".

I too have noticed this subtle change among the smarter, better-funded BIF portals. I wonder if it dates back to the post-Shaheenbagh Delhi riots, when the coverage was all about Muslim victimization, while the vast preponderance of evidence (from cell phone videos, eyewitness reports, investigations etc.) demonstrated that the violence was 100% Muslim-driven. That instance of overreach damaged the credibility of BIF portals among many "neutrals". The wiser among them have decided to insure themselves against such a thing happening again.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Rudradev »

This has the potential to become very powerful.

Remember this: the vast majority of news-consuming, middle-plus-class Hindus are apolitical and would rather be neutral in most circumstances. Think of your aunt, cousin-brother, neighbour, colleague, former schoolmate, or whoever that's just trying to make a living and raise their family.

They don't like controversy. They don't like being angry all the time. They want to believe in the essentially good nature of all human beings.

They stay out of group WhatsApp conversations that become politically charged. They just want to say good morning and happy diwali, maybe send the odd joke... not hear about the kinds of things we discuss on BRF.

Because they are mostly silent, we underestimate their numbers, but they constitute the vast majority of the urban and small-town electorate.

It was the barrage of outright lies from the media on Balakot, CAA, Article 370, etc. that pushed this silent majority of urban, middle-class-plus Hindus into taking a political position-- forced them to recognize, grudgingly, that the media is heavily biased against Hindus and the Modi government. The evidence was just too shrill and too constant to ignore.

But-- again, these are just like the people you know. They "don't want a fight". Why to fight, baba. All they want is to feel that they're not always being maligned and blamed, that sometimes their suffering as a community is acknowledged as well. They really WANT to believe in a secular, sab-ka-saath India and will jump at any opportunity to reinforce that belief. They are so hungry to forgive and forget that if BIF voices appear to give even an inch of consideration to the Hindu side, they will give back a mile and cover it with marigold petals.

When they see the Wire and Scroll and the Hindu at least acknowledging, in some granular-narrative reports, that Hindus are sometimes also victims... it has a very, very powerful effect on them.

We should not underestimate this.
V_Raman
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by V_Raman »

There is a speech by Yogendra Yadav about BJP victory - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQPgoW6sdHc - on this where the sentiment among the electorate is like "yeh kuch zyada ho gaya" feeling. If that is addressed - then the playing field will level.
KLNMurthy
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by KLNMurthy »

Astute analysis Rudradev.

Standard operating practice for developed-country media: keep the news mostly neutral’ objective and use the edit & oped pages for the larger narrative. How else would you grow your audience?

We see this with WSJ. NYT etc. all the time. In case of their India coverage they are more free to exhibit bias because potential for pushback is less.

Likewise spot-on about the aversion to fighting on the part of normie Hindus.
Atmavik
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Atmavik »

V_Raman wrote:There is a speech by Yogendra Yadav about BJP victory - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQPgoW6sdHc - on this where the sentiment among the electorate is like "yeh kuch zyada ho gaya" feeling. If that is addressed - then the playing field will level.

I stopped after the first few mins. What an entitled sob this guy is. Calling his voters idiots for voting in modi.
KL Dubey
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by KL Dubey »

UP assembly elections:

To avoid general "fishing" questions ("what's going to happen?"), first take a look at the 2017 and 2022 election opinion polls and result stats:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Utta ... y_election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Utta ... y_election

In 2017 no opinion poll predicted more than 25-35% vote share and 120-202 seats for BJP. The party got 40% share with 300+ seats in the election result.

For 2022, all opinion polls are consistently showing 40+% BJP vote share...even before campaigning ramps up.

If these numbers hold, and given SP, BSP, and UPA (Congis) are all contesting independently, a massive NDA victory is a foregone conclusion. The main questions are:

(1) what will be the margin of victory.

(2) how the remaining seats will be distributed among SP/BSP/UPA.

If the greens vote as a bloc for SP, Congis will draw blanks in most seats.

The brahman and other FC vote is heavily leaning BJP.

OBCs will be split between BJP and SP. SC/STs split between BJP and BSP.

The common factor is that BJP is getting a large share of votes of almost every group, except greens. Seems very difficult to beat Yogi.
Cyrano
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Cyrano »

Excellent posts Rudradev ji.
SRajesh
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by SRajesh »

https://theprint.in/theprint-essential/ ... ab/767357/
Sorry for going back on Stubble burning and air pollution.
Just heard on a discussion that air pollution levels are consistently getting worse across the gangetic belt from west to east
Is this exclusively due to stubble burning which personally i find difficult to understand.
I am sure fair amount if not equal amount of paddy cultivation happens in the Kaveri/Krishna/Narmada belt
Why not heard much of stubble burning down south.
Is this more to do with smoke belching old industrial belt spread across the northern belt??
bad infrastructure/dusty roads?? what is the cause
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

The ONLY reason that India is not on this list is that the ameriki deep state is unable to gauge India's reaction and the inescapable consequences that are bound to follow.

We must continue to consolidate economically and militarily to ensure that the fear of repercussions persists and the risks of an unpalatable geopolitical fallout in the aftermath of such targeted racism will never cease to singe their colonial white supremacist backsides.


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nandakumar
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by nandakumar »

Rsatchi wrote:https://theprint.in/theprint-essential/ ... ab/767357/
Sorry for going back on Stubble burning and air pollution.
Just heard on a discussion that air pollution levels are consistently getting worse across the gangetic belt from west to east
Is this exclusively due to stubble burning which personally i find difficult to understand.
I am sure fair amount if not equal amount of paddy cultivation happens in the Kaveri/Krishna/Narmada belt
Why not heard much of stubble burning down south.
Is this more to do with smoke belching old industrial belt spread across the northern belt??
bad infrastructure/dusty roads?? what is the cause
I can't say about about other Southern States. But Tamil Nadu farmers bundle the paddy straw and stored it which is then used to feed their cattle till the next crop arrives. In my mother's village I and my cousins have played hide and seek, used it as a slide or generally rolled about on it.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Dumal »

stubble burning
Not an expert at this, but having had similar doubts, the clarity I got from reading about the details are this:

It is not about the straw. As much of the "stem" that can be sliced down by their harvesting machines will be cut off and removed from the fields alongwith the grains and will be re-used as cattle feed or whatever else.

The problem is the stubble that is a few centimetres of the lower part of the stem attached to the soil by the roots. In other parts of the country, it will be just ploughed in mostly and will become composted over the intervening period before the next planting season.

However, in the problem areas, especially Punjab, apparently the planting seasons are such that they can plant and harvest two crops with very little time in between, such as a couple of weeks or at most a month. This doesn't allow enough time for allowing the stubble to work itself into compost etc. So, ever since the short crop cycles began to catch on, the farmers resorted to the short-cut clearance of their fields by just burning the stubble.

Just what I understood...
chetak
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by chetak »

Dumal wrote:
stubble burning
Not an expert at this, but having had similar doubts, the clarity I got from reading about the details are this:

It is not about the straw. As much of the "stem" that can be sliced down by their harvesting machines will be cut off and removed from the fields alongwith the grains and will be re-used as cattle feed or whatever else.

The problem is the stubble that is a few centimetres of the lower part of the stem attached to the soil by the roots. In other parts of the country, it will be just ploughed in mostly and will become composted over the intervening period before the next planting season.

However, in the problem areas, especially Punjab, apparently the planting seasons are such that they can plant and harvest two crops with very little time in between, such as a couple of weeks or at most a month. This doesn't allow enough time for allowing the stubble to work itself into compost etc. So, ever since the short crop cycles began to catch on, the farmers resorted to the short-cut clearance of their fields by just burning the stubble.

Just what I understood...
Apart from a decidedly political colorization, this stubble burning activity has now acquired all the characteristics of a blackmailing strategy, just like the "farmer's protests" and this is another tactical foray in a long line of such tactical adventures leading up to the crucial UP elections

every viable solution offered to them to reduce or eliminate the stubble burning has been rejected outright and each time they have come back with even more outrageous demands

the pollution over dilli is the economic threat that they are holding out because publicity generating embassies and international presstitutes operate out of dilli, thus ensuring that this visible and deliberately created pollution sends out a strong message that is publicized on the many anti India fora which are more than happy to showcase this

The stubble burnings are media coordinated, activist driven, and FFNGO funded just like the "farmer's agitations" are.
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Re: 2021 Strategic and Political Analysis-1

Post by Tanaji »

Werent they demanding MSP for the stubble itself? So government collects from each field and they get money for it?
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