Atmavik wrote: ↑03 Oct 2023 21:23
Prem Kumar wrote: ↑03 Oct 2023 18:09
At a more tactical level,
I dont think the ADMK-BJP split was a good idea. Annamali is overplaying his hand and the high command is allowing it. Even if there is a post-poll alliance, they will still stand against each other in many constituencies and split the Hindu vote. A better strategy would have been to let Annamalai play 2nd fiddle for 1 more year, let
ADMK-BJP hammer DMK on Sanatana Dharma and consolidate the Hindu vote. Then, they could have gone their own way for the assembly election
BJP had to back Annamalai in TN. In the long term this is a good move. I wished they did something similar in Telangana by backing Bandi Sanjay but sadly that’s not the case. They will be no 3 now in TS
Atmavik ji,
The problem for the ADMK is not the alliance but specifically Annamalai
Annamalai is the same caste (the powerful Kongu Vellalar Gounder community) as some the ADMK bigwigs and they do not want him around because of his popularity and his honest image
Annamalai has become too popular, too powerful, and risen too fast in TN politics for the ADMK to "manage" him. Besides, Annamalai has direct access to IB files at the center. Almost all these files go back to the LTTE and eelam war days
Also, Annamalai is aware of all the dirty inner secrets of each and every dravidian politico and that leaves them all very scared, not knowing what may come out when
The ADMK bigwigs wanted Annamalai to be their servant, one that they could use to run their errands in the BJP HQ in dilli but soon discovered that Annamalai was never going to be that servant.
They imagine(and insist) that they are the senior partners and Modi and the BJP should defer to them on every single issue
The DMK has filed corruption cases against the ADMK bigwigs to preempt the center from filing more cases against the DMK dynastic family. The ADMK wanted the Modi govt to stop the DMK from filing such cases against them but they were told in no uncertain terms that "the law will take its course".
Finally, the threat that the ADMK held out against the BJP that either totally remove annamalai from politics or we will break the alliance came to naught, because the BJP called their bluff and AS told them to go hop. The ADMK badly wanted to keep the alliance but get Annamalai out or clip his wings big-time. But instead, harsh reality was forcefully rammed up their nether regions by the BJP. Annamalai may just end up publicly releasing yet another edition of his scam files, the first two of which shook the dravidiya politicos very badly....
The break up was preplanned by the BJP. This was one of the planned outcomes of Annamalai's padayatra and it worked
Luckily, for them, the ADMK was the one that did the dirty and "forced" the break up
The ADMK are now up the creek without a paddle, and the desperate congis are looking to align with them because stalin has refused to give the congis more than just a couple of seats for the 2024 parliamentary elections
The BJP is actually sitting pretty because it has no expectations from TN for victory in 2024 parliamentary seats and if any seats do come, it will be a bonus for the BJP and indications are that some seats will surely come. The ADMK is hell bent on keeping the BJP away from those seats.
And most importantly, the DMK has oodles of money, and the ADMK is very low on funds, so they will be back just before 2024 to wrangle money from the BJP and also to see how many seats they can talk the BJP into leaving for them. Many ambitious or panicked ADMK "leaders" may well jump ship
Here are some of the Kongu Vellalar Gounder community leaders
Essentially, this is where the crux of the ADMK's problems lie
1. Eddapadi.K.Palaniswami - Leader of Opposition - ADMK
2. V.Senthil Balaji - Minister of Electricity & Prohibition and Excise
3. R.Sakkarapani - Minister for Food and Civil Supplies
4. S.Muthusamy - Minister for Housing and Urban Development
5. M.P.Saminathan- Minister for Information & Publicity
6. Annamalai K EX. IPS -Tamilnadu BJP President