Lok Sabha Elections 2024 - World's largest elections - Desh Ka Garv [World's envy]

[fanne]

I have been following YOYO since late 1980s. Something needs to be said about this salim and csds that he headed. CSDS has data going back t least 60-70 years.Not sure about the accuracy or the analytical value of it (if everyone was as smart as yoyo, then you may use those research paper to wipe your behind).
His logic was hilarious even to me as a teenager. Him, Praful Bidwai, dhat teri ke, after reading them there logic was simple, 1=1, 3=3 hence 1=3. If you presented a logic where a=b and b=c and hence A=C, unki nani mar jaati but they will not get that logic.

I don't know what to believe, YoYo is lying or his is a rank idiot to derive the conclusions that he does. That in fact goes with almost all the left liberal gang.

[fanne]

I have heard him saying that in his survey, he found high number of people saying the are voting for BJP, he had to dismiss those samples or discount them, ashe thought it was too high (he said exactly that once upon a time). He has been only right when BJP has lost, every election he has only 1 prediction, BJP is losing. If BJP loses, he is right, else he is wrong. Like a broken clock, that is also right twice a day.

[chetak]

Yoya is master of this statistic subterfuge. The ecosystem is full of piranhas feeding off each other. Sorrows gang hasn’t realised these shenanigans yet but then their $$ come off the printer so no bother to them either

Madhukar ji,


They are all laying the grounds to declare these elections as fraudulent after the results come out. That is why they are quoting such bombastic figures, knowing full well that the numbers are not true

India has boasted far too long about the reliability of the tamper proof EVMs, the smooth transfer of power and the non violent, peaceful conduct of elections. All these are true and shows the reality of strong on the ground evidence thus proving that India is a robust democracy but the dotty gang of nutters will create a perception of a fraudulent and stolen election, using state machinery to rig the numbers that the BIF and the soreass controlled gora press will amplify in the attempt to portray the Modi govt as illegitimate, openly subverting democracy, fascist, and dictatorial and a PM desperate to hold on to power at any cost

These scum, including the dynasts, are predicting impossible figures which they will swear later are the true numbers of their perfect seat prediction and calculations. Essentially, they are quoting the BJP figures as their own victory margins.

No "observers" have come from any major gora country. Those who did come are geopolitical minnows, using the opportunity to tour India on a GoI fully funded jamboree or junket. Most Reps and observers have come from SL, beediland, nepal, maldives, some afro countries et al

The odd nordic was also represented

[Amber G.]

Prime Minister Narendra Modi will meditate in Kanniyakumari for 24 hours from 30th May to 1st June.

He will mediate at the same spot where Swami Vivekananda meditated.

Last time after 2019 loksabha campaign, he spent few days in Uttarakhand.

All Exit Polls will be out on 1st June.

(Some say that .. Kanniyakumari seat BJP is going to win .. Hope there is a good omen and BJP will not just win that seat but also few more in TN)

Swami Vivekananda ... took India’s rich spiritual & cultural heritage across seven seas to the whole world. This perhaps is an indication of one of Modi’s key intents as Modi 3.0…revival of India as a ‘civilisational state’)

[Anujan]

Spoke to a bunch of people who have access to exit polls, survey data, demographic and economic forecast. Given the huge variance and unpredictability, in addiition to BJP win -- Straight up BJP loss, BJP minority government, BJP narrow victory -- all outcomes are in the table for 2029.

[VinodTK]

From Hindustan Times

Raghuram Rajan to join Congress? 'My wife doesn't want me to…'

Talking about Rahul Gandhi, Raghuram Rajan said, “I think that's such a wrong portrayal in the sense that you know he's smart, intelligent, and also brave."

Raghuram Rajan, former RBI Governor, said that his family does not want him to enter politics. He said, “I have said repeatedly and people still don't believe me. I am an academic, my business is not kissing babies. I have a family and a wife, who doesn't want me to enter politics for a good reason. So rather than enter politics what I would like to do is help guide where I can.”

Read more: Raghuram Rajan on wealth distribution: 'Elevate, rather than bringing the successful down'
On speculation of whether he would join the Congress, he said, “And that's what I try and do. So where I feel government policies are going off track regardless of whether I'm government or not - I talk about it.”
Unlock exclusive access to the latest news on India's general elections, only on the HT App. Download Now!

Talking about Rahul Gandhi and whether he advises the Congress leader, he said, “I think that's such a wrong portrayal in the sense that you know he's smart, intelligent, and also brave. I think what people discount - which they should not - is this is a family which has seen the grandmother assassinated, the father blown up.”

Read more: Raghuram Rajan on manufacturing: 'Not against making more in India, but...'
“To engage in politics, to be in the midst of crowds - if I had that experience I'd be hiding in a bed all the time. So I think there are a lot of attributes that are commendable and if you look at his record of what he's been saying on events. I think he's been right during Covid...(when he said) we need to do more preparation, we need to act early. It was the Congress calling off rallies which eventually led to the stopping politicking during the second wave,” he said.

Read more: Raghuram Rajan on ‘real issue’ that Indian economy faces: ‘No country can…’
Rahul Gandhi does not have all the answers, Raghuram Rajan said but “he is a very reasonable leader contrary to what has been portrayed. He has strong convictions, you have to debate those convictions if you disagree with them but he's perfectly willing to engage in that debate.”

[Tanaji]

There is an interview of Karen Thapar with Prashant Kishore on YouTube. One would ordinarily ignore this as the former has delusions of being David Frost / Dimbleby (when in reality is a puffed up pompous ass) talking with a political opportunist. But do watch the last 15 mins where PK takes the pompous ass to the cleaners… KT thought his fancy accent and sense of entitlement could bully PK but the latter wasn’t having any of it….

[rajsunder]

https://x.com/Antardrshti/status/1795156393206612383

2024 Probability Predictions of:

BJP > 400 - 0.0003%
BJP > 370 - 1.6432 %
BJP > 350 - 17.67%
BJP > 337 - 50.01%
BJP > 320 - 65.62%
BJP > 303 - 91.26%
BJP > 282 - 97.5%
BJP > 272 - 99.5%
BJP > 262 - 99.975%
BJP > 250 - 99.99972%
BJP > 240 - 99.99999%

Just going b 2019 election predictions and the final result, this time BJP should score between 360 and 370 and get 400+ for NDA.

[A_Gupta]

"Meaning of BJP dropping more & more sitting MPs in each poll, 43% now, or 142 of 300"
Shekhar Gupta has some interesting statistics, but, IMO, some lame conclusions.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCwtHX7LQ2Q

IMO the point of dropping sitting MPs is probably to winnow out non-performing MPs, and get fresh political talent while the risk is low because the Modi brand is winning for the BJP. But Modi won't be around forever; even if Modi's successor is popular the party's MPs will eventually have to win at least partly on their own strength.

[krithivas]

Union minister Smirti Irani chopper failed to land, BJP candidate accuses state govt for lapse

BATHINDA: Union minister Smirti Irani’ chopper failed to land at Mansa and she failed to address an election rally in support of BJP candidate Parampal Kaur Sidhu on Tuesday. As the chopper continued hovering in the sky for quite sometime while wanting to get signals to land at Mansa but returned to Bhisiana Airport near Bathinda from where she left for Chandigarh.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/un ... ef0e&ei=54
Remember the dirty trick DMK played when HM Amit Shah was to land at MAA (turned off all power), looks like AAP in Punjab is following suit. The I.N.D.I are ready to inflict mortal wound, NDA must just preempt them with a delayed first-strike.

[Vayutuvan]

There is an interview of Karen Thapar with Prashant Kishore on YouTube.

Karen Thapar ... Good one.

[sanman]

Kejriwal Latest Interview with Peenaz Tiyagi

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/j7E_dyzYjsk

All I can say is -- Bahahahahahaha! He just got Bobbit-ized by Peenaz!

[drnayar]

BIFs running riot !!

https://m.thewire.in/article/politics/g ... -in-up/amp

https://www.deccanherald.com/elections/ ... hi-3041967

[drnayar]

From Hindustan Times

Raghuram Rajan to join Congress? 'My wife doesn't want me to…'

lol how so convenient

[vijayk]

Spoke to a bunch of people who have access to exit polls, survey data, demographic and economic forecast. Given the huge variance and unpredictability, in addiition to BJP win -- Straight up BJP loss, BJP minority government, BJP narrow victory -- all outcomes are in the table for 2029.

20029?
Should we start dhoti shivering for 2029 already?

[Dilbu]

BJP will lose onlee.

[Sumeet]

Spoke to a bunch of people who have access to exit polls, survey data, demographic and economic forecast. Given the huge variance and unpredictability, in addiition to BJP win -- Straight up BJP loss, BJP minority government, BJP narrow victory -- all outcomes are in the table for 2029.

20029?
Should we start dhoti shivering for 2029 already?

I think its a typo, most likely he meant 2024

[Mukesh.Kumar]

Spoke to a bunch of people who have access to exit polls, survey data, demographic and economic forecast. Given the huge variance and unpredictability, in addiition to BJP win -- Straight up BJP loss, BJP minority government, BJP narrow victory -- all outcomes are in the table for 2029.

20029?
Should we start dhoti shivering for 2029 already?

20029- That sounds about right. By then our Youthia Leaderan should be about ready to become Prime Minister

[Sumeet]

How accurate are Satabazar reports ?

Sumeet ji,


Just like in any casino, things are gamed to ensure that the house always wins, despite some "lucky" punter breaking through once in a while to cash out "big".

There will also be a fair amount of punters, each making a little bit of money, just enough to get the others interested enough to keep coming back in the hope of a big win at the satta bazzar which is always gamed so that the people running it always win


satta bazzars are a mug's game, and the odds are continuously tailored to keep the house winning. When large numbers of punters bet in a particular way, the odds always drop significantly.

Thanks for this elaboration Chetak ji.

Sometimes I think that this is also a verdict on whether as a society on the whole do we deserve to sit at the high tables besides strong nations like US
& China.

National elections should be on parameters like:

Economic policy & growth
Defense modernization & indigenization
Infrastructure development & growth
Policies to promote STEM innovation
Education, Employment & Skill development
Low or No Corruption at the top
Pro India independent foreign policy & external affairs (including Muscular diplomacy as needed)
Soft Image projection
Cultural & Civilizational Development
Internal & External Security
Necessary Welfare schemes and delivery
Policy making and delivery of basic development needs -- Gas, Govt Aid, shelter, Food etc


For foreseeable future, there is no one better than PM Modi to deal with these challenges.

Instead in MH people are talking about teaching a lesson for breaking SS and NCP. Some other folks elsewhere want to vote along caste lines or take revenge for wrongful/ineffective local MP.

[Sumeet]

BJP will lose onlee.

Dilbu you are required to be present and apply your anti jinx medicine on a daily basis till 5 PM IST June 4th 2024.

[vijayk]

https://x.com/JP_Chadda/status/1795725902460121432

Look at the filthy garbage

[vijayk]

Spoke to a bunch of people who have access to exit polls, survey data, demographic and economic forecast. Given the huge variance and unpredictability, in addiition to BJP win -- Straight up BJP loss, BJP minority government, BJP narrow victory -- all outcomes are in the table for 2029.

Can you elaborate?

[Sachin]

Look at the filthy garbage

Parakkala Prabhakar would be the most toxic and petty minded husband who would surpass similar characters in Saas-Bahu serials. I am a bit surprised that shenanigans and past history of the Finance Minister's husband was not known among BJP higher leadership. Modi & A. Shah could sense the danger in Su.Swamy, Yashwant & Shatrughan Sinha etc and throw them out as hot potatos. But this fellow flew below the radar. And the seculars brought him in at the right time. Shameless and wile character.

[Anujan]

Spoke to a bunch of people who have access to exit polls, survey data, demographic and economic forecast. Given the huge variance and unpredictability, in addiition to BJP win -- Straight up BJP loss, BJP minority government, BJP narrow victory -- all outcomes are in the table for 2029.

Can you elaborate?

Started early on 2029 dhoti shiver saar

[vijayk]

Can you elaborate?

Started early on 2029 dhoti shiver saar

[Rakesh]

Rhona Dhona due to acceptance of fate...

https://x.com/khanumarfa/status/1795754563980734959 ---> With CAA, 370 & Temple Modi was hoping to create a hard Hindutva vote bank which’ll give him additional 100 seats. And he’ll be elected the 3rd time with zero challenge. He was wrong. Irrespective of what the result is on June 4,India’s fall into fascism isn’t going unchallenged.

[Rakesh]

This is a well orchestrated strategy to discredit the outcome of the election.

When the results come out and they do not win, then they will claim EVM fraud (among other things).

https://x.com/TimesAlgebraIND/status/17 ... 0664923453 ---> JAIRAM RAMESH - "We have already crossed 272 & we will win over 350 seats. INDIA Govt from next week."

VIDEO: https://x.com/OfficeOfDGP/status/1795757758446534890 ---> He is not warning, He is telling what they will do after June 4th. June 7th would be a critical day.

[vijayk]

IIFL Securities sees BJP gaining 17 seats over its 2019 tally

[naruto]

Here, Pallavi Ghosh of all, describes how callous Kolkata police deals with PM's security. It's dangerous. 7.30. - 20.00 min, interesting thing mentioned at ~12.30 min.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=BOGJ4Jxjfvk

[SaraLax]

Parakkala Prabhakar would be the most toxic and petty minded husband who would surpass similar characters in Saas-Bahu serials. I am a bit surprised that shenanigans and past history of the Finance Minister's husband was not known among BJP higher leadership. Modi & A. Shah could sense the danger in Su.Swamy, Yashwant & Shatrughan Sinha etc and throw them out as hot potatos. But this fellow flew below the radar. And the seculars brought him in at the right time. Shameless and wile character.

I have linked below video where Anand Ranganathan took out the sails from Parakkala Prabhakar on the topic of THE NEW INDIA PROJECT - a few months back in Odisha Lit Fest.



Just a Factoid - Parakkala Prabhakar seems to have been a communications advisor to the undependable Chandrababu Naidu in the past.

[Yagnasri]

Yes. He was. Earlier he was in Prajarajyam Party of Chiranjivi. Comes from the Congress party and part of the old Congress loyalist gangs. Also part of the Deeper old EJ fellows of Telugu lands.

There were rumours that he had not lived with NS for a long time. We do not know. She is better off without this kind of scum.

[A_Gupta]

VIDEO: https://x.com/OfficeOfDGP/status/1795757758446534890 ---> He is not warning, He is telling what they will do after June 4th. June 7th would be a critical day.

IMO, while the govt should be prepared for this, it is a whole lot of hot air. "If the BJP wins the match fixed election" -- it needs to be shown that it is match fixed; "and if they change the Constitution" -- I am under the impression that what PM Modi wants to do involves legislation, not changes to the Constitution, and in any case there won't be changes to the Constitution on June 7th ; "then the country will be on fire" ("but by that time I will be in Italy, especially if I lose both in Wayanad and Rae Bareilly".)

[Pratyush]

This is a straight forward threat.

These people are so convinced that Modi wins due to institutional capture. That the thought of him winning clean doesn't arise.

I think that if something is attempted. Then Amit Shah will clean up the house. Regardless of what anyone saying anything.

[Lisa]

VIDEO: https://x.com/OfficeOfDGP/status/1795757758446534890 ---> He is not warning, He is telling what they will do after June 4th. June 7th would be a critical day.

IMO, while the govt should be prepared for this, it is a whole lot of hot air. "If the BJP wins the match fixed election" -- it needs to be shown that it is match fixed; "and if they change the Constitution" -- I am under the impression that what PM Modi wants to do involves legislation, not changes to the Constitution, and in any case there won't be changes to the Constitution on June 7th ; "then the country will be on fire" ("but by that time I will be in Italy, especially if I lose both in Wayanad and Rae Bareilly".)

This is a prompt/incitement to insurrection/violence. Just like Trump. We must do what the left wing did to Trump, charge pappu and his cohorts.

P.S. People were also charged with disputing the actual count in the US. If they do the same here, they should again be charged.

[chetak]

This is a straight forward threat.

These people are so convinced that Modi wins due to institutional capture. That the thought of him winning clean doesn't arise.

I think that if something is attempted. Then Amit Shah will clean up the house. Regardless of what anyone saying anything.

Pratyush ji,

dimwit will quietly set the fire and decamp to foreign shores before the fertilizer hits the rotating apparatus fixed on the ceiling

He has never been in India when trouble and violence has broken out

self preservation is one of his more highly developed traits

[Yagnasri]

Nothing will happen. The BIF will try some dramas. But most of the critical states are under the BJP. In WB there will be attacks on BJP people like before. But this time I am told that CRPF will stay back for a few more days. Punjab will not burn as the CM of the pAAPis was already given strict instructions to behave or else by Amit Shah Garu.

[chetak]

More than 120 civil society organizations have gathered for the preparation of 4 June in Delhi.

This includes going to Supreme Court for cancellation of election.

Seems like they are sensing Modi coming back with a landslide victory



WATCH VIDEO


The video is about 0:27 minutes long

[vijayk]

Nothing will happen. The BIF will try some dramas. But most of the critical states are under the BJP. In WB there will be attacks on BJP people like before. But this time I am told that CRPF will stay back for a few more days. Punjab will not burn as the CM of the pAAPis was already given strict instructions to behave or else by Amit Shah Garu.

It is basically all the money from $oros ... They have ot show they are disrupting ... they will try. we have to see what the woke SC does. will they play role as Braqzilian SC did.

Till now, they have been careful except for Kejriwal release and Electoral bonds mainly to take air out of Modi not to disrupt India

[AshishA]

More than 120 civil society organizations have gathered for the preparation of 4 June in Delhi.

This includes going to Supreme Court for cancellation of election.

Seems like they are sensing Modi coming back with a landslide victory



WATCH VIDEO


The video is about 0:27 minutes long

Target rich environment imho. We must directly lift the sop from how the left dealt with Trump insurrectionists. Slap UAPA, Sedition etc etc left right center and put them in Jail. A message needs to be sent that there is no tolerance for this in the third term.

Actually from what I remember, the left and congi ecosystem were in mortal fear in 2014 because they thought Modi was going to come down on them hard. That fear needs to be created.

[williams]

VIDEO: https://x.com/OfficeOfDGP/status/1795757758446534890 ---> He is not warning, He is telling what they will do after June 4th. June 7th would be a critical day.

IMO, while the govt should be prepared for this, it is a whole lot of hot air. "If the BJP wins the match fixed election" -- it needs to be shown that it is match fixed; "and if they change the Constitution" -- I am under the impression that what PM Modi wants to do involves legislation, not changes to the Constitution, and in any case there won't be changes to the Constitution on June 7th ; "then the country will be on fire" ("but by that time I will be in Italy, especially if I lose both in Wayanad and Rae Bareilly".)

Yeah it is more of a wet dream of BIF gang. That won't fly for for the masses. For the Modi haters though everything is rigged until their wish gets fulfilled. So no point in Dhoti shivering on this issue. On the world forum, everyone has to come to the terms of the results if it has massive mandate. They would rather deal with the winner who has the power to do things for them. That said we need to build more international media houses with credibility. Once that happens the CNNs and BeeBees will be relegated to negligibility.