Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

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A_Gupta
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by A_Gupta »

If Pakistan produces 1 ton of wheat at 200 PKR with the Paki rupee at 200 PKR = 1 USD, then when the Paki rupee goes to 300 PKR = 1 USD, the 1 ton of wheat is now valued at 300 PKR (and that will be close to the internal price in Pakistan).

Anyway,
https://data.imf.org/regular.aspx?key=61545852

Per IMF, for Pakistan
Gross Domestic Product, Nominal, Domestic Currency, Millions

Code: Select all

Year	Nominal GDP	Rate (Dec 31)	GDP current USD
2017	 35,552,819.00 		
2018	 39,189,810.00 		
2019	 43,798,401.00 	154.85	 282,844.05 
2020	 47,540,409.00 	159.75	 297,592.54 
2021	 55,836,225.00 	177.97	 313,739.53 
2022	 66,639,671.87 	267.48	 249,138.90 
2023	 84,068,754.79 	276.20	 304,376.38 
Exchange rates from here:
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/dataset ... f-exchange
A_Gupta
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by A_Gupta »

From Yawn:

“ Over time, debt servicing costs have grown from 4.8pc of GDP in 2019 to 6.9pc last year. During the same period, debt payments have jumped from 51pc of the federal tax revenues to 81.4pc.”

Implicit in the above is federal revenues were 9.4% of GDP in 2019 and 8.48% last year - I.e., Pakistan continues to go in the wrong direction. Revenue to GDP is not rising.
chetak
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by chetak »

A_Gupta wrote: 02 Jun 2024 21:27 From Yawn:

“ Over time, debt servicing costs have grown from 4.8pc of GDP in 2019 to 6.9pc last year. During the same period, debt payments have jumped from 51pc of the federal tax revenues to 81.4pc.”

Implicit in the above is federal revenues were 9.4% of GDP in 2019 and 8.48% last year - I.e., Pakistan continues to go in the wrong direction. Revenue to GDP is not rising.

A_Gupta ji,


Its no wonder that they were so very desperate to "resume/revive trade" with India, as though it's a tap that the pakis could turn off and on at their own sweet will and wish

The IMF is squeezing the paki testimonials, meaning that the amrikis may be in the process of asking for something big from the the pakis as a hidden condition

The pakis, while clutching at straws, are eagerly quoting the IMF's suggestions in trying to open trade across the attari border (cheap and best in terms of costs and volumes) but in reality, the pakis have been trying to revive trade with India for the longest time now using the good offices of the gulf countries as geopolitical leverage but have been rebuffed so far as India is adamant to keep the pakis away

The meagre "trade" via the gulf continues in a haphazard fashion, aided by rogue Indian businessmen out to make a quick buck while operating in the gray zone.

The pakis are shell shocked at how low they have fallen in stature in the eyes of the Indian establishment, and are bewildered as to how their paltu kutas, the lootyens dilli led "aman ki tamasha" gang has utterly lost its mojo.
Pakistan a nation that is currently dealing with the worst economic crisis in its history is now apparently mulling reviving trade ties with India. Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar spoke about reviving trade ties with New Delhi while speaking at a press conference in London.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by vera_k »

In all this I wonder why Pakistan cannot trade with China.

Pak are meat eaters, so surely having to cook or eat the occasional bat is not what's getting in the way.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

vera_k wrote: 03 Jun 2024 04:02 In all this I wonder why Pakistan cannot trade with China.

Pak are meat eaters, so surely having to cook or eat the occasional bat is not what's getting in the way.
Their trade (official) with ummah birather Iran is eye-opener

Yawn - Pakistan, Iran fail to boost trade
Pakistan and Iran aim to boost trade to $10 billion, but the bilateral trade plummeted to almost zero during the first 10 months of the outgoing FY24.

The State Bank’s latest trade data showed a decade-long trade decline between the two countries, with exports and imports hitting zero in FY22. Trade picked up slightly in FY23 when exports were $75,000, but imports were zero, showing no interest from both sides despite great potential for trade.

Exports dropped to just $11,000 during the first 10 months of the current fiscal year compared to $74,000 in the same period last year.

Despite sanctions, India remained Iran’s biggest trade partner and benefited from low-priced oil imports and exports of Indian products. New Delhi refused to accept any pressure. :mrgreen: these evil cunning kaffir baniyas
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Neela »

Manish_P wrote: 03 Jun 2024 08:13

Exports dropped to just $11,000 during the first 10 months of the current fiscal year compared to $74,000 in the same period last year.
$11000. :rotfl: :rotfl:
That is probably one day's canteen budget for a Indian conglomerate factory.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Neela »

https://www.dawn.com/news/1837425/eu-ba ... -unchanged
EU bar on Pakistani airlines ‘unchanged’
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Neela »

This! The signs of deep rot setting in
My dream to see a Baakistan as dusty barren wasteland where corpses lie unheeded and mere skeletons walk like zombies unable to even walk will happen.

https://www.dawn.com/news/1837227/navig ... ent-waters
Navigating turbulent waters

Select quotes.
Pakistani microfinance banking sector has not fared well lately. It’s been five years since the industry’s fortunes began to change on the back of heavy net losses and a spike in bad debts — some big enough to wipe off all of the equity in certain cases
.
Similarly, the number of active borrowers reached a fresh peak of 9.4 million, thanks to continuous growth in individual lending. This is part of the industry’s broader shift towards nano finance led by telco-backed players like JazzCash and Easypaisa that began in 2021
According to the former, microfinance banks (MFBs) incurred a loss after tax of Rs8.1bn in 2023, making it the fifth straight year of negative net income. During the last 20 quarters, there has been only one period when MFBs didn’t post a loss, and that too was a solitary profit of Rs101m.
For example, HBL Microfinance, which boasts the largest gross loan portfolio (GLP), has received capital injections worth Rs10bn from sponsors in the last couple of years, including Rs6bn announced just a few weeks ago.
Notes:
- A large swell in the number of people applying for microfinance
- NPAs are increasing . Almost 19 Qtrs of losses means microfinance companies are struggling with customer repayments
- If customers arent repaying, it means revenue at grass roots level is dwindling.
- if companies cant get RoI , more cash injection is needed

Consequences;
- Microfinance companies rely on cash injection to sustain this business.
- At some point, it will dry up.
- At that stage avg Abduls will be left nowhere to go.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Aditya_V »

How does this all "MICRO FINANCE" work in a country where Interest is Haram, this goes against the very ethos this country was created.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by A_Gupta »

“ Being licensed has done nothing to ensure it’s less exploitative, with annualised interest rates running around 250pc.”

https://www.dawn.com/news/1758003/the-n ... ance-loans
chetak
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by chetak »

Aditya_V wrote: 03 Jun 2024 13:21 How does this all "MICRO FINANCE" work in a country where Interest is Haram, this goes against the very ethos this country was created.

Aditya ji,

The modern use of the expression "microfinancing" has roots in the 1970s when Grameen Bank of Bangladesh, founded by microfinance pioneer Muhammad Yunus, was starting and shaping the modern industry of microfinancing.

interest is not haram for the majority of the jihadis anywhere in the world.

they conveniently choose what suits and profits them the best.

4 wives:yes, hand cutting:no
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by bala »

xposting

Another astrology prediction by Kaartik Gor in Jaipur Dialogues.

Pakistan Will Cease To Exist! | Astrology Predication

No need to worry about Economic Stress!

Manish_P
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Neela wrote: 03 Jun 2024 13:09 ....
- At that stage avg Abduls will be left nowhere to go.
At long as they don't move eastwards it should be OK
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Aditya_V wrote: 03 Jun 2024 13:21 How does this all "MICRO FINANCE" work in a country where Interest is Haram, this goes against the very ethos this country was created.
Interest is haraam but profits (and sharing of them) are halal.

Islamic banking works on that principle, so Islamic micro finance probably does the same...
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

A-o-A

Will China accept donkeys instead of dollars?

Donkey population keeps growing in pakistan
The donkey population in the country has increased by another million during the previous fiscal year 2023-24, keeping the consistent upward trajectory, Pakistan's economic survey revealed on Tuesday.

In the broader economic landscape, the livestock sector has solidified its position as the primary driver of agricultural growth, comprising approximately 60.84% of the agricultural value added and 14.63% of the national GDP during FY2024.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by partha »

Recently a big delegation led by PM Shahbaz Shariff and Army chief Asim Munir went to China giving lot of publicity before departure back home about "CPEC 2.0" and multi billion dollar investment "wish list". The visit was a big failure right from the start where the PM was received by deputy mayor of Shenzen.

https://dailyausaf.com/en/opinion/pakis ... portunity/
Approximately 100 businessmen flew on a special chartered flight from Islamabad to Shenzhen, China, for the B2B sessions organized by the Embassy of Pakistan in China, at the Pakistan China Business Forum.

The Government delegation was headed by PM Shehbaz Sharif, accompanied by, Ishaq Dar (DPM & Foreign Minister), Khawaja Asif (Defense Minister), Mohammad Aurangzeb (Finance Minister), Ahsan Iqbal (Planning Minister), Jam Kamal Khan (Commerce Minister), Aleem Khan (BOI & Privatization Minister), Rana Tanveer (Industries Minister & MNFS&R), Dr. Mussadiq Malik (Minister for Petroleum), Shaza Fatima (Minister IT), Atta Tarar (Minister Information) Pakistan Ambassador to China, Trade Counsellor to China and other staff members of BOI, Ministry of Commerce and Information, who were greeted by Executive Mayor (Deputy Mayor) of Shenzhen and Ambassador of China to Pakistan.
Key failures of the trip:
No top-tier Chinese company attended the forum.

The companies that attended were mid-tier and their sales agents were looking for sales.

Some companies that couldn’t get much success in Pakistan were looking to meet government delegations to push for their past projects.

Pakistani PM Security annoyed the Chinese Business Community, as many were not allowed in the ballroom and were made to wait for over 2 hours for the security screen much to their dismay. The
Chinese businessmen were unaware of this pre-condition. One Chinese businessman was heard telling the Pakistani organizer not to bring their country’s problem to China as he had never heard of such protocols.
Deputy PM spoke about Pakistan missing the train and wasting the last 5 years with no economic growth. “Come and invest in Pakistan since we have SIFC there waiting for you,” came the bland message from Mr Dar which didn’t seem to impress the foreign community completely uninterested in Pakistan’s internal economic mess.
Pakis think mention of "SIFC" is enough for dollars to flow :rotfl:
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Both Shenzhen and Schengen have proven to be bust... :((

Yawn - Schengen states make millions off rejected visas
The United Kingdom and Schengen countries raised millions of pounds and euros in fees from rejected visa applications from Pakistan, new research published this month shows.

The analysis released by Lago Collective, a community of researchers, policymakers and designers, shows that Pakistanis spent £5.3 million on rejected UK visa applications, with close to 40 per cent applications rejected from Pakistan in 2023. In the same year, around 50pc of Schengen visas from Pakistan were also rejected, with €3.344m spent on applications.

The data was published in collaboration with the EUobserver, which reported that EU governments raked in €130m per year in rejected visa application fees, which were dubbed as ‘reverse remittances’. :rotfl:
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Deans »

Manish_P wrote: 12 Jun 2024 16:08 Both Shenzhen and Schengen have proven to be bust... :((
The United Kingdom and Schengen countries raised millions of pounds and euros in fees from rejected visa applications from Pakistan, new research published this month shows.

The analysis released by Lago Collective, a community of researchers, policymakers and designers, shows that Pakistanis spent £5.3 million on rejected UK visa applications, with close to 40 per cent applications rejected from Pakistan in 2023. In the same year, around 50pc of Schengen visas from Pakistan were also rejected, with €3.344m spent on applications.

The data was published in collaboration with the EUobserver, which reported that EU governments raked in €130m per year in rejected visa application fees, which were dubbed as ‘reverse remittances’. :rotfl:
The rejection rate for applications from India to UK and Schengen is 9 % (vs 50% for Pakistan). That pretty much sums it up.
Last edited by Deans on 13 Jun 2024 08:54, edited 1 time in total.
Manish_P
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Deans wrote: 12 Jun 2024 18:09 The rejection rate for applications for India to UK and Schengen is 9 % (vs 50% for Pakistan). That pretty much sums it up.
Pakis don't really need visas.... all they need are boats
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by R Charan »

Pakistan's 2024-25 Budget Allocated Nothing for Religious Minorities

Image

In a move that has sparked criticism and concern, Pakistan's recently unveiled federal budget for 2024-25 has completely omitted any allocation for the welfare of religious minority communities. This decision marks a stark departure from the previous year's budget, which had allocated 100 million Pakistani rupees (approximately $350,000 USD) for this purpose.

https://defence.in/threads/pakistans-20 ... ties.7414/
Manish_P
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Does this include the Fauji farmers hain?

What will happen to the prices of timatars and pyaaz hain? Can they be classified as phoren vegetables and given tax exemptions??

https://tribune.com.pk/story/2478706/im ... ure-income
As Pakistan seeks a multibillion-dollar bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to stabilise its chronically ailing economy, the global lender has suggested imposition of a standard individual income tax rate of up to 45% on agriculture income – something that may end the disparity in income tax regime without the need to amend the Constitution.

The condition is part of the structural benchmarks the IMF has defined for the next bailout programme that Pakistan is negotiating with the global lender, according to sources in the Ministry of Finance.

Subject to signing of the new agreement, the sources said that the global lender has set the October 2024 deadline to amend the existing provincial laws to bring them at par with the federal income tax law. The IMF has also asked for rescinding any income tax exemption for the livestock sector by October this year.
Manish_P
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Teach a man to fish and he will feed himself for life,
Teach pakis to fish, and they will continue begging all their life

Yawn - https://www.dawn.com/news/1854868/fishi ... wed-expert
Pakistan’s fishing industry holds an export potential worth $4 billion if it follows the proper procedure that India has adopted :mrgreen: , according to an expert.

“We export quite a bit of seafood in terms of volume, however, most of our trawlers don’t have proper processing on board and so what you get is essentially almost spoiled fish by the time we get to the harvest,”

As for cotton, when asked why textiles were still being imported, he said it was easier because “there was less trash”. :lol:
“It just makes so much more sense that you can solve these issues simultaneously, the quality of cotton, pricing of the cotton, and the availability of the cotton.
Genius Baki eggspurts universal solution - import everything
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Yesterday Paki papers were expressing hopes of new packages from the west and the east.

Todin...

Govt fails to secure $9b loan rollovers
An official report on disbursement of foreign loans confirmed on Tuesday that the government was unable to secure $9 billion in debt rollovers last month, receiving only $426 million from international lenders in July. :mrgreen:

The Ministry of Economic Affairs published its monthly disbursement report, revealing that no loans were secured from foreign commercial banks or bilateral creditors—sources the government is urgently trying to tap for the necessary foreign funding to stay afloat.

The rollover of Chinese, Saudi Arabian, and United Arab Emirates cash deposits, along with raising new loans from foreign commercial banks, are prerequisites for the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) approval of a $7 billion bailout package. The Ministry of Economic Affairs has listed $5 billion in Saudi Arabian debt and $4 billion in Chinese debt as part of the federal government's rollover plan. However, the $3 billion UAE deposit is accounted for on the central bank's balance sheet.

The report noted that no disbursements were made against these loans last month.

The IMF had initially scheduled the approval of the $7 billion programme for August 30 but deferred it due to the government's inability to secure the necessary rollovers. This marks the first official confirmation of the failure to materialise these transactions.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Najunamar »

https://youtu.be/IiP7nGVdPvc

Nothing new, window dressing in preparation for taking the katora to “International lenders”
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Now you know why the Pakis are always high when it comes to the economy

‘Everyone in the country is consuming hashish,’
Senate Finance Committee Chairman Saleem Mandviwalla remarked on the increasing use of cannabis in Pakistan on Friday, stating, "Everyone in the country is consuming hashish."

The remarks came during a Senate Finance Committee meeting, chaired by Mandviwalla, where officials from the Ministry of Science briefed members on the Hemp Control and Regulatory Authority Bill.

Mandviwalla raised concerns over whether hashish is harmful to health. Officials from the Ministry of Science and Technology responded, stating, "We need to assess the level of intoxication in it," adding that hashish, to some extent, falls under the category of entertainment. :lol:

Discussing the benefits of hemp, the officials highlighted that it can be used to produce cotton and improve soil fertility. Currently, hemp is cultivated on 50,000 acres in Pakistan.

The officials further noted, "If hashish is legalised, it could generate $5 billion in revenue." :mrgreen: They added that, at present, hemp can only be used for hashish production.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Al Bartannia to the rescue of Al Bakistan

Govt takes loan an at highest rate
The government has struck a $600 million commercial loan deal with a European bank at double-digit interest rate – the highest in the country's history – to qualify for approval of a $7 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout package.

The Ministry of Finance had to swallow the bitter pill of paying the highest-ever interest rate after it could not get any additional financing from the bilateral sovereign creditors, said government sources.

The government has accepted the term sheet of Standard Chartered Bank, London, for two loans totaling $600 million, according to the sources. The country would pay the highest interest rate of around 11%, they said.
If the UK demands repayment in future Bakistan can simply ask the uk bakis to start rioting in the streets
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Yesterday-

IMF board approves $7billion bailout for Pakistan; tranche of $1.1billion expected this month
“If the same hard work continues, God willing, this will be Pakistan’s last IMF programme,” Shehbaz said.

Today -

Pakistan looks to IMF again, seeking climate cash
Pakistan has requested the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to review the possibility of extending another $1 billion to $1.5 billion programme to meet the financing requirements for long-term reforms for mitigating the impacts of climate change.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by sanman »

Is this true?

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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Aditya_V »

As good as "Shocking If True"
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Dilbu »

Economic growth slows to 0.92%
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan's economy sharply slowed to just 0.92% during the first quarter of this fiscal year due to poor output from agriculture and industrial sectors, as people struggled to cope with the high cost of doing business and abrupt economic policy shifts.
This growth was far slower than the 2.3% achieved in the same period last fiscal year, according to the NAC's working paper. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif's government has set an ambitious annual growth target of 3.6% for the 2024-25 fiscal year.

In the previous quarter (April-June), economic growth stood at 3.3%. The 0.92% growth rate is also significantly below the population growth rate, highlighting the economy's inability to generate sufficient jobs to address the growing youth bulge.

However, the government does not have a fiscal space to stimulate growth and any attempt to grow by debt funding would again cause serious fiscal and external sector crises.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by drnayar »

Manish_P wrote: 14 Sep 2024 18:11 Al Bartannia to the rescue of Al Bakistan

Govt takes loan an at highest rate
The government has struck a $600 million commercial loan deal with a European bank at double-digit interest rate – the highest in the country's history – to qualify for approval of a $7 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout package.

The Ministry of Finance had to swallow the bitter pill of paying the highest-ever interest rate after it could not get any additional financing from the bilateral sovereign creditors, said government sources.

The government has accepted the term sheet of Standard Chartered Bank, London, for two loans totaling $600 million, according to the sources. The country would pay the highest interest rate of around 11%, they said.
If the UK demands repayment in future Bakistan can simply ask the uk bakis to start rioting in the streets
wonder what collateral they gave :roll:

also wonder if the gernails have their shady loot in the same bank !!!
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Deans »

vera_k wrote: 03 Jun 2024 04:02 In all this I wonder why Pakistan cannot trade with China.

Pak are meat eaters, so surely having to cook or eat the occasional bat is not what's getting in the way.
They exported the donkeys to China (the animals). Masterstroke, since it got them forex and left Pakistanis with grass to eat.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

Now they need to import even more cotton to wear

Yawn - Cotton production plunges over 33pc
Phutti or raw cotton arrivals registered a significant drop of over 33 per cent as of Dec 31, 2024, compared to the same period of the previous year, reveals the data released by the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA) on Friday.

The decline in phutti arrivals rings an alarm bell for the national economy, textile industry and financial stability of farmers because the country will need to import cotton worth over $2 billion to meet the needs of the domestic textile sector.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by williams »

sanman wrote: 27 Oct 2024 14:49 Is this true?

Yeah every now and then there will be news that will come where oil, gas or minerals found in Paki land. Problem is (even if it is true) somebody needs to take the risk and make the investment upward 10 billion dollars to start the exploitation in a land filled with people blowing up things now and then. Another issue is that it will take many years even decades before one can covert this into a profitable industry for the Paki's. Besides Khan has very good resolution satellite capability to detect such reserves. The fact that they ran out of this land in such hurry indicates, they don't have much use to stay there. Finally Pakis have the tendency to think that they can get freebees without doing any hard work.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

williams wrote: 04 Jan 2025 22:10
Yeah every now and then there will be news that will come where oil, gas or minerals found in Paki land...
Newest is Gold

Pakistan hits JACKPOT, discovers huge gold reserves worth billions in…, but cannot use it due to…. :lol:
Pakistan has struck gold, literally as massive reserves and deposits of the precious yellow metal have been discovered along the Indus River in Pakistan Punjab’s Attock region.

Ibrahim Hasan Murad, a Pakistani educationist who has served as a provincial minister in the caretaker government of Punjab, Pakistan, including Mines and Minerals, had announced that the Attock region contains estimated gold reserves of 2.8 million tolas (approximately 32.6 metric tons).

These gold deposits are said to be worth Rs 600 billion (Pakistani rupee). According to the reports, these reserves stretch across a 32-kilometer area from Attock to Tarbela and Mianwali and were identified through research conducted by the Geological Survey of Pakistan.

But there is a huge controversy over properly exploring and developing these resources which renders these promising findings futile as of now as senior officials in the Mines and Minerals Department have reportedly resisted efforts to for proper exploration and development of these resources.

Instead of exploring the gold, the senior officials are allegedly favouring allocation of these areas for stone and sand zinc mining operations. :mrgreen:
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Aditya_V »

I think Pakistan must take a fresh Loan of USD 60 Billion from CHina at 8% Interest rate to prove this. China can be repaid by selling Coal gas, Stones, Limestones to Kafir India, Aam Abduls should strive to live like 7th century Arabia.
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Dilbu »

World Bank flags flaw in Uraan plan
ISLAMABAD: The World Bank has detected a flaw in the recently launched Uraan Pakistan plan, pointing out that the national economic vision lacks the basic ingredient required to fix Pakistan's ailing economy: "sectoral plans," it emerged this week.
The report is part of a $20 billion framework that the World Bank approved for the next 10 years.

The government's 5E Framework promises to focus on exports, economic growth, energy, education, and equality. However, the World Bank argues it does not have detailed sectoral plans. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif had also engaged UK economist Stefan Dercon to prepare a home-grown plan. The PM launched the 5E Framework on December 31.
The government also engaged Kearney Consulting — a foreign consulting firm—to review the documents before publication. The firm will be paid a significant amount.

However, evidence of haste in launching the plan emerged when the new vision stated that by 2035, Pakistan's economy would be worth $1 billion—a glaring typo that remained in the document despite a quality check by Kearney Consulting and the Ministry of Planning and Development.


"The 5E Framework targets the economy to triple over the next decade to $1 billion," the Economic Transformation Agenda and Implementation Plan stated on the Prime Minister's Office website. The actual target is $1 trillion, as Pakistan's current GDP stands at approximately $375 billion.
Manish_P
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Manish_P »

^ maybe it was not a typo after all :lol:
Deans
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Re: Pakistani Economic Stress Watch

Post by Deans »

Manish_P wrote: 04 Jan 2025 20:21 Now they need to import even more cotton to wear
Phutti or raw cotton arrivals registered a significant drop of over 33 per cent as of Dec 31, 2024, compared to the same period of the previous year, reveals the data released by the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA) on Friday.

The decline in phutti arrivals rings an alarm bell for the national economy, textile industry and financial stability of farmers because the country will need to import cotton worth over $2 billion to meet the needs of the domestic textile sector.
Xinjiang province of China produces cotton. the problem they had was lack of access to markets.
With typical Pak strategic brilliance, the CPEC highway (paid for by Pak) will ensure Chinese cotton is shipped to a textile processing zone in
Pak, where Chinese companies, using cheap local labor and paying no tax will export to Pakistan's traditional export markets.
50% of Pak's foreign exchange comes from cotton textiles.
There is almost no reverse flow of goods from Pak to China along the highway.
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