2024 Lok Sabha Elections Exit Polls & Results

[Mort Walker]

ECI is showing BJP leading in 239 and 1 unopposed = 240.

[nits]

If BJP goes below 250 - i feel TDP and JDU may turn around and go to India alliance

[vimal]

BJP netas put very little effort on the ground for Lok Sabha elections. Here in Uttarakhand, although all seats are going to BJP, there was zero election campaigning, at least in Haridwar and Dehradun. BJP netas think they will win simply due to Modi name. And whatever election funds they collect through customary extortion (which any party does), is simply used to fill their own pockets instead of spending it on campaigning.

Contrast this with Vidhan Sabha elections, where candidates put in a lot of fight and it really felt like election season with heavy campaigning.

I can attest to this. Zero effort from local leadership just Modi posters and hope for votes.

[Vayutuvan]

There is a very good possibility I.N.D.I alliance will win this election. Only about 10-15% votes are counted and NDA is trending lower and lower.

EVMs are counted in a randomized order, right? If the randomization is good, 10-15% is a good enough sample.

[Cain Marko]

NDA will likely win but Modi and his clout will not.i think in their hubris, they alienated too many.

Gadkari is the man who can keep BJP in power, they need to get behind him quick. He might just get uddhav, Jd, pawar and tdp behind him.

[Mort Walker]

If BJP goes below 250 - i feel TDP and JDU may turn around and go to India alliance

Then it's back to the old 1990s days of money bags moving around around.

[Sumeet]

If BJP goes below 250 - i feel TDP and JDU may turn around and go to India alliance

They will be of far more value in NDA than in Indi Alliance in terms of what they can get as reward.

[nits]

how can things go so wrong that party which was aiming for 400 cant get simple majority

[Vayutuvan]

Modi should have guessed that people want freebies. The women voters voted more than men and looks like intention was only the 8500 per month. May be reduce the PLI kitty and distribute 4000 per month to the ladies. They did not learn anything from Karnataka and Telangana elections. people need free money. We should distribute it till the country fails.

@kvraghav gaaru, good catch. DMK/AIADMK honed that "strategy" for the past 5 decades. So did our dear NTR.

[Pratyush]

NDA will likely win but Modi and his clout will not.i think in their hubris, they alienated too many. Gadkari is the man who can keep BJP in power, they need to get behind him quick.

Modi is the man who has won 2 straight elections. He has not been defeated even once. Even in this election. It's not a defeat, if he is the leader of the single largest party in the parliament.

[AkshaySG]

The only thing still giving some hope is that the vote share for BJP is still around 39.4% and higher than last time so one would assume that as more votes come in some of the close races start turning to BJP

However that doesn't necessarily translate to seats especially if opposition is able to thread the needle in key UP/MH seats

SP in particular has lots of leads in the 2k-15k margin

Down to 39.1% right now and dropping

Unfortunately it seems things are likely to stay the same or get marginally worse with BJP gaining a few seats but also losing others

[nits]

deleted

[Vayutuvan]

It's not a defeat, if he is the leader of the single largest party in the parliament.

If BJP alone gets 272+, then he is golden. Is Modi ji flexible enough like PV saab?

[Cain Marko]

NDA will likely win but Modi and his clout will not.i think in their hubris, they alienated too many. Gadkari is the man who can keep BJP in power, they need to get behind him quick.

Modi is the man who has won 2 straight elections. He has not been defeated even once. Even in this election. It's not a defeat, if he is the leader of the single largest party in the parliament.

He is hated by too many right now and they will not see him as pm. Moreover, all those that mad bought off from SS and others, they are likely to desert him.

This is a damned delicate situation for the country.

[putnanja]

BJP had good relations with BJD at one time. BJD might still help out BJP, have to see if they can jointly form govt in Odisha in exchange for support at center

[Mort Walker]

It's not a defeat, if he is the leader of the single largest party in the parliament.

If BJP alone gets 272+, then he is golden. Is Modi ji flexible enough like PV saab?

That's not happening. 240 max.

[Mukesh.Kumar]

Throwing in my dhoti guys..with it goes UCC, PoK and a lot more! It was a great 10years since 2014..we wont see those days again for a long long time. I always thought Modi was the Hemu of modern India and he did a lot better!

Ohe nanha mujhahid, remember the battle is not over. And more importantly, this is a civilizational fight. Win or lose there's much work to do.

कर्मण्येवाधिकारस्ते मा फलेषु कदाचन।
मा कर्मफलहेतुर्भूर्मा ते सङ्गोऽस्त्वकर्मणि॥

If the worst comes to worst, and the Dotty Alliance come to power, then it means that we still carry on. The more they appease, the more will Hindu's awaken. I would love it if they try a stunt like shutting down Ram Mandir or rolling back CAA.

Let's see. Win or lose, the fight will go on.

If there is an area I would criticize the Modi government on, it would be not taking the fight to the finish in reforming judiciary and prosecuting the corrupt opposition. They had them on the ropes, and thought, 'Naw, let me finish them off in the next round.'

[Sumeet]

how can things go so wrong that party which was aiming for 400 cant get simple majority

Admitting random people from everywhere despite their past record
Creating unnecessary enemies by giving up on allies who have been with them
Randomly resurrecting parties like NCP
Cadre confused
People complacent due to PM Modi 400 paar (this played out the most in UP -- I cannot understand otherwise how did SP managed to pull this off)
Same complacency rubbed into Exit polls

[Mort Walker]

BJP had good relations with BJD at one time. BJD might still help out BJP, have to see if they can jointly form govt in Odisha in exchange for support at center

It's all horse trading from here on out.

[Sumeet]

If BJP alone gets 272+, then he is golden. Is Modi ji flexible enough like PV saab?

That's not happening. 240 max.

Was watching Rahul on India Today.

17 seats in UP are close contest < 5000 margin. So it could be worse or better depending on how they go.

At this point it would be nice if BJP gets 250 by itself

[vimal]

Irony is that BJP is trailing in Ayodhya seat which comes under Faizabad seat. Ram mandir anyone!!
Smrit Irani is trailing by 46000 votes, done deal.

[Mort Walker]

Sonia will be reaching out to Nitesh later today. May have foreign funds to help out.

[sanman]

This looks like a good outcome from the viewpoint of foreign meddler countries.

Divide-and-Rule strategy has succeeded.

[sajo]

Irony is that BJP is trailing in Ayodhya seat which comes under Faizabad seat. Ram mandir anyone!!

Abrasive chemicals rubbed with a grater on the wound. This is just shameful for the collective Hindu fold.

[nits]

how can things go so wrong that party which was aiming for 400 cant get simple majority

Admitting random people from everywhere despite their past record
Creating unnecessary enemies by giving up on allies who have been with them
Randomly resurrecting parties like NCP
Cadre confused
People complacent due to PM Modi 400 paar (this played out the most in UP -- I cannot understand otherwise how did SP managed to pull this off)
Same complacency rubbed into Exit polls

But Sir UP itself not resonating with Ram Mandir - how is that feasible. its either less Voting % of 400 par letting over confidence set in

[sanman]

Irony is that BJP is trailing in Ayodhya seat which comes under Faizabad seat. Ram mandir anyone!!

Vote Bank captured the district through their Samajwadi stooges.

Haha - only proves to me how any mandir was destroyed in the first place.

[Vayutuvan]

That's not happening. 240 max.

I am going to bed now. I am hoping this a bad dream and tomorrow I will wake up to a "ab kee baar chaar sau paar"

[S_Madhukar]

It means bulk of our voter base is still not capable of the kind of economy Bharat is trying to become. That is why when the snakes were on the back foot they should have been crushed . My worry is next election will we reverse the gains of the decade ?

[Cain Marko]

It's not a defeat, if he is the leader of the single largest party in the parliament.

If BJP alone gets 272+, then he is golden. Is Modi ji flexible enough like PV saab?

I think that's been his problem for sometime now. Time for BJP to find a compromise candidate.

[Arima]

Will Modi ji will be willing to lead a alliance govt.
asking this with heavy heart.

[S_Madhukar]

Have the EVMs been ??? No wonder opposition was crying crocodile tears

[Sumeet]

If BJP alone gets 272+, then he is golden. Is Modi ji flexible enough like PV saab?

I think that's been his problem for sometime now. Time for BJP to find a compromise candidate.

CM ji for now PM Modi should lead. They should hand it to someone else only in the lead up to next general election.

[Sumeet]

Will Modi ji will be willing to lead a alliance govt.
asking this with heavy heart.

For the sake of Bharat yes.

[Dilbu]

BJP will lose onlee.

[hanumadu]

BJP had good relations with BJD at one time. BJD might still help out BJP, have to see if they can jointly form govt in Odisha in exchange for support at center

BJD is hardly winning any lok sabha seats. In fact ,Odisha is the one state which is saving BJP. BJP 18 - BJD 2 leading. BJD can't help much even if it wants to.

[Vayutuvan]

BJD is hardly winning any lok sabha seats. In fact ,Odisha is the one state which is saving BJP. BJP 18 - BJD 2 leading. BJD can't help much even if it wants to.

@hanumadu gaaru,TDp is going to call the shots to some extent then.

[vnms]

Based on the current trends, CBN is the biggest winner in the entire country.

He has complete control in AP and a whole lot of leverage over BJP.

[sajo]

Even if these trends hold and do not go downhill further, its impossible to prevent horsetrading at this point. The BIF would soon be awash with foreign funds (if not already), does not look like an easy phase for Bharat Mata.

[Aditya_V]

Look our expectations have gone up, in 2014 if BJP won 235 seats we would have been happy. Now the BJP has to put core issues on the Back burner and focus on some freebees to their voters in carefully crafted schemes like how the INC does. INC will empty the Khazana like 2004 and come back.

[vimal]

Caste >>>> Religion

Hence proved