Russian-Ukrainian War: Combat Tactics & Strategy

[Manish_P]

MiG-29 flying treetops executing a rapid pull-up for tossing 2 x AASM-250 before a turning loop descending back to treetops.

Less than 20 seconds in all. Around 5 seconds exposure at the highest altitude points prior/after launch. Very little time for air defenses to react.
...

Tree top height flying has its own risks.. especially near urban centers. Bird strike, power lines,...

IAF have lost aircraft and pilots.

One more reason to have VLO aircrafts.

[srai]

Plenty of manpower still left

4.7 million Ukrainians update their military registration

Since the mobilization reform law came into force on May 18, 4,690,496 draft-eligible Ukrainian citizens have updated their military registration, Defense Ministry announced on July 17.

According to the ministry, 3,028,066 people updated their data through the government’s Reserve+ app, with 1,152,227 doing so in-person via Administrative Service Centers.

The least popular approach was to go through the military recruitment centers— only 510,203 people went this route.

As of July 16, the two-month deadline has passed for adult male Ukrainians aged 18-60 to update their registration.

[drnayar]

More likely Trump will put an end to this stupid war.

[Garooda]

More likely Trump will put an end to this stupid war.

Regardless whoever puts an end to this conflict, who is going to rebuild the war torn regions ? If Russia wins, they have to. If Russia loses or agrees to a peace deal, then what ?

[srai]

MANPAD shooting down a Su-25. Clear footage from launch to target hit.

[sanman]

MANPAD shooting down a Su-25. Clear footage from launch to target hit.

I think Russians should just stick with these glide bombs. Not only that, they should come up with a cheap mass-produceable drone aircraft specifically designed to carry these bombs toward the target.

[Yogi_G]

MANPAD shooting down a Su-25. Clear footage from launch to target hit.

I am really surprised by the fact that no flares were let out. It should be a matter of instinct for the pilot.

[sanjayc]

^^ The pilot parachuted out

[sanman]

Zelensky seems to be panicking, as Biden steps down
Would there even be continuity of current Biden team (Sullivan, etc) if Kamala somehow wins the election?

India's assistance as a peace broker could definitely be useful for him

Prof John Mearsheimer:



Mearsheimer states that in 1991 when it left USSR, Ukraine had a population of 52 million people.
He then cites a UN report which predicts that in 2100, Ukraine will have a population of 15 million people.

[sanman]

Ex-CIA Director and Former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo says Ukraine should be given a Lend-Lease program like Britain got in WW2
He wants it to be worth $500 Billion

https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-trump-pe ... y-926348cf

[srai]

MANPAD shooting down a Su-25. Clear footage from launch to target hit.

This is what it would be like for the Su-25 pilot after getting hit. Very few seconds to eject and survive.

[sanman]

Drone strike destroys Russian Tu-223M bomber at arctic base

[Pratyush]

I had been expecting the deployment of NLOS fiber optic guided weapons in Ukraine. Due to the proliferation of cheap jamming capabilities in theatre.

An experimental form of such system was deployed as a part of a quad copter drone several months ago.

https://www.twz.com/news-features/north ... in-ukraine

North Korean Anti-Tank Missile-Toting Vehicle Appears To Be Operating In Ukraine

Published on July 30th 2024.

This should make the Russians battlefield precision strike capacity more robust.

[srai]

https://x.com/visegrad24/status/1818939705213280314

It’s now confirmed that F-16 fighter jets are flying over Ukraine.

This picture from Lviv shows a F-16 fighter jet of the Ukrainian Air Force flying over the city.

[srai]

Anna from Ukraine

Ukraine signed the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons in 1991 and the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances in 1994—decisions that are often questioned by Ukrainians today. The country was obliged to eliminate the world's third-largest nuclear arsenal.
In this video from our friends ‪@UNITED24media‬, we will explore a unique site where the last remaining command post and a missile silo have been preserved as museum exhibits, to learn better on kind of power, Ukrainian arsenal once possessed.

Check the video https://youtu.be/gnZYuvc1rYE

http://youtube.com/post/UgkxulXffzW2BE0 ... ure=shared



Lesson for countries… don’t give up your nuclear weapons

[srai]

^^^

Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances (1994)

[prahaar]

This is quoting half the guarantees. The reciprocal guarantees of neutrality have been gladly skipped by US SD. Nothing surprising.

[Amber G.]

Zelensky confirms F-16s are now in action in Ukraine.

[srai]

10 x F-16s in the first batch. Another 10 by the end of the year.

Rest of the F-16s (65) will arrive in batches in 2025/26. Countries donating are Belgium, Denmark, Netherlands, and Norway. They have over 200 x F-16s in service. These countries are replacing their F-16s with F-35.

Ukraine has asked for 130 x F-16s.

[sanman]

Will Ukraine attempt to hang on and mount at least one more big offensive?

Is Modi's peace initiative in vain?

[sanman]

F-16 won't radically change progress of war

[pravula]

Will Ukraine attempt to hang on and mount at least one more big offensive?

Is Modi's peace initiative in vain?

What? Why this “itch” to make Modi another Nehru?

[sanman]

What? Why this “itch” to make Modi another Nehru?

I don't get your Nehru reference. Are you asking why I'm skeptical about the benefits of Modi's trip to Ukraine?
Or are you yourself asking why Modi's even bothering to go to Ukraine?

Russians may bite their lip and humour Modi's desire to look like an international statesman -- but I don't think they appreciate our attempt to barge into their bilateral dispute any more than we'd appreciate some outsider barging into our bilateral dispute on Kashmir.

Perhaps the only thing Russians might find useful from Modi's visit to Ukraine is for him to pass on messages from Russia to them.

Otherwise, I think the Russians intend to use tangible gains on the ground to bargain for what they want.

[sanman]

[Rakesh]

VIDEO: https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/18 ... 1149910035 ---> A video appeared online of a Russian pilot who was shot down but managed to eject. He filmed his and his aircraft's fall on his phone. As the ejection occurred above the clouds and at a considerable altitude, it could either be the pilot of a Su-30/Su-35 fighter or a Su-34 bomber. Judging by the calm behavior of the pilot, the plane was shot down deep in the Russian rear.

[srai]

Ukraine “invades” Russia in the Kursk region … peace deal would be land swaps. Let’s see how far it goes.

[Pratyush]

Let's see if the Ukrainians are more successful than the Germans.

[sanman]

Let's see if the Ukrainians are more successful than the Germans.

Bah, fat chance of that.
I want to see how long it takes before they lose their precious F16s

[drnayar]

Let's see if the Ukrainians are more successful than the Germans.

[Yogi_G]

F-16 can never be "shot" down. We know, we know!

[srai]

AI swarm drones will be soon common on the battlefield



Has a footage of a drone strike on a flying Mi-28 attack helo!

[srai]

Day 2 & 3 Ukrainian offensive in Kursk




https://www.understandingwar.org/backgr ... ust-8-2024

[tandav]

AI swarm drones will be soon common on the battlefield

Has a footage of a drone strike on a flying Mi-28 attack helo!

Indian Armed forces better be prepared for PLA drone swarms. China is far ahead in all drone technologies, manufacturing capabilities, optics, AI, that Ukraine or Russia has deployed so far.

Capital Assets such as Tanks, Su30, Rafales, Attack Helicopter are vulnerable to cheap drones. Worse is the our advantage in infantry is vulnerable to precision drones swarms.

[YashG]

^^^
Indian armed forces will buy 30 drones for 3 billion dollars so MoD babus get their money. And china will produce 300K small drones in same money and then more.

Unless the MoD babus get their flesh, they will not let any mass production and orders for drone manufacturing take off. MoD babus should step up the orders for the killer drone swarm program that newspace is working on. They have to provide a order for stocks & manufacturing for a 3 year war now with requirement of upto 10K drones per day. that is 365 x 3 x 10K = 10 Million drones.

Every infantry battalion has to have their own FPV drone op unit + deeper independent drone brigades operating larger drones like lancet/surveillance drones. I.

[Deans]

I have a e-book `The Russian way of war' by Jacques Baud.
It deals with the early part of the Ukraine war has good info on Russian hardware and is his second book on the subject.
Though it seems pro Russia, the author is a retired Col. who spent years in NATO, studying Russia and knows what he is talking about.

If you DM or e-mail me ( [email protected] ) , I can send you a free copy.

I would appreciate if in return you visit my blog https://rpdeans.blogspot.com/ and forward to anyone interested. I post on
Indian national security, current conflicts and startups. Its a free blog and I do not seek ads or subscribers.

[Tanaji]

Deansji , can you please comment on the recent excursion into Russia by Ukraine? What strategic advantage does that effort confer , or is it an attempt to capture the nuclear power plant nearby?

[sanman]

Deansji , can you please comment on the recent excursion into Russia by Ukraine? What strategic advantage does that effort confer , or is it an attempt to capture the nuclear power plant nearby?

Looks like a desperate PR stunt. They've sent their best troops to do a Kargil, and meanwhile their main warfront is falling apart.

They're only going to lose these troops, and meanwhile the Russians are inexorably advancing on the main fronts.

Same with their F-16 'wonder-weapon" mentality. 3rd Reich also put its faith in small numbers of wonder-weapons. Me-262 never turned the tide of battle.

[srai]

Good details on how Ukrainian forces broke through Kursk





https://www.understandingwar.org/backgr ... st-11-2024


Apparently, Ukraine has employed around 4 brigades so far.

[sanman]

Is it true that Ukes did a drone strike on the Zaporizia nuclear power plant?

Are they trying to create a crisis by triggering a nuclear meltdown?

[Deans]

Is it true that Ukes did a drone strike on the Zaporizia nuclear power plant?

Are they trying to create a crisis by triggering a nuclear meltdown?

Yes. The cooling tower of the plant was hit by a drone.
There is relatively less danger as the plant is not operational.
I think the Ukrainians were trying double blackmail - show that they can damage Zaparozhye and also seize an actual nuvlear plant in
Russia at Kursk and the storage site for nuclear weapons at Kruchatov (near Kursk) which seems to be the objective of their advance into
the Kursk region. Possible use that as an attempt to force Russia to negotiate peace on terms more favorable to Ukraine.