Russian-Ukranian War: Geopolitical Fallout

[drnayar]

EU (andI take this as Europe rather than strict definition) is not monolithic, there are a few competing interests:

States like Poland and Latvia that were ex USSR and have grudges against Russia for historical reasons
Finland that has fought a skirmish with USSR and Norway that are nervous with Russia on its borders
UK that historically been against Russia since colonial times and love to do “unglee” and use it to ingratiate themselves to USA and have outsized influence
France and Germany are more open to cooperation but cannot be seen as kowtowing to Russia
Others that are largely indifferent or are not affected economically as much
Nato subsidises a lot of smaller nations defence and is there is no threat the raison d’être ceases to exist which means the smaller nations have to contribute significantly more to defence

All in all, UK and Poland are leading the call to keep fighting as they personally aren’t losing anything and are happy to see other people die if it hurts Russia

Absolutely the blood thirsty brits are something., to put it mildly. Boris the Johnson was apparently the one who persuaded zeesky and others to torpedo the peace deal which could have saved hundreds of thousands of lives

[bala]

Ok, Zel's complete U-turn has been predicted. In this YT, Zels has backtracked and is back to square A. Additionally, PGurus claim is that Hunter Biden and Fauci were involved in bioweapon research in Ukr with a company called MetaBiota funded by US dept of defense. Some money went to Ukr. Fauci was of course pardoned by Biden. Hunter used a firm called Rosemont Seneca to channel funds for Metabiota. Taxpayer's money was used to fuel such nefarious activity. Russia knows about this pretty well and the Russians have fingered G. Soreass behind such things. Many Dems were dipping into the funds. With the US stopping Ukraine aid money everything comes to a halt.

Zel's complete surrender!
in PGurus YT:
youtube.com/watch?v=p7xFrdjepfk

[Cyrano]

Yes Bala Saar,
There was a rather colourful Chilean - American living in Ukraine called Gonzalo Lira who exposed these nefarious links and a lot more in 22/23 itself.

SBU jailed him and tortured him in jail and he died there in 2024 I think. The shameful US state department did nothing to save him despite appeals. His yt videos may still be around.

[drnayar]

Yes Bala Saar,
There was a rather colourful Chilean - American living in Ukraine called Gonzalo Lira who exposed these nefarious links and a lot more in 22/23 itself.

SBU jailed him and tortured him in jail and he died there in 2024 I think. The shameful US state department did nothing to save him despite appeals. His yt videos may still be around.

the whole bunch is here

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCfUzUq ... GMVGbEBgkg

guy was right to the point.. 2 years back .. here https://youtu.be/pdUYtvk4sqE

[bala]

Andrei Martyanov Reveals:

UK military in ruins, Russia’s power unmatched and Europe is in total decline.

youtube.com/watch?v=84NlFVyqG0A

British public are finding out how hollow of nation they are, they are swiftly going down in all spheres. No one in the world pays any attention to anything British except to have a hearty laugh at the jokers in charge. Chatham house still thinks it is in charge of the world. Only the Brahman knows when they will totally disintegrate and become a jihadi nation (they have the jihadi people in droves!).

[bala]

Scott Ritter believes that what US has achieved so far is to convince the Euros that war (including nuclear threshold) is not an option and Zels is in line with that. However Russia is not convinced, that is why Kursk was taken back in double quick time. Now the mantra is both US and Euros/Ukr have tossed the ball into Russia' court Putin. But Russia is smart to realize the play and they will lob it back saying that without their conditions being met - de-militarization of Ukraine, no NATO for Ukraine, no Nazis running Ukraine, etc. Russia also is playing the minerals game by saying they are open to US investment in the Donbass/Lugansk region which is rich in minerals. The negotiations are going to be difficult and both the US and Russia are going to indulge in some world stage play. Russia is no fool in this complex game. Both superpowers will have to sacrifice Ukraine and write it off as co-lateral damage in their games. Don't know whether the US can recoup its money spent on the Ukraine adventure, Ukraine has lost a good number of its people in the war. Furthermore DJT wants to send the Ukrainians (250K in the US) who fled to the US as refugees back to Ukraine. Russia gains some prized territory and will be back to business as usual. The Euros will be on the hook to return the frozen assets, Russia will get it back somehow from the Eurotards. Britain will become more irrelevant in world affairs.

youtube.com/watch?v=pk-78DFyb8A

[drnayar]

There are reports of Ukraine giving control of 5 to 6 ports at the odessa region to the British

[Tanaji]

Deans ji needs to do another post given the changing ground situation in Kursk and the ceasefire initiative.

[nevin]

Now after the much hyped kursk adventure, now the Ukrainian elite soldiers trapped there are at the mercy of Putin. As usual Ukies deny it.

"Russia will spare the lives of Ukrainian soldiers in its western Kursk region if Kyiv tells them to surrender, President Vladimir Putin said on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump urged him to avoid a "horrible massacre" there.

Ukraine denied its men were encircled, describing that as a Russian fabrication, but President Volodymyr Zelenskiy called the situation "very difficult".

From Reuters

[bala]

Andrei Martyanov talks about Ceasefire that Ukraine is touting. There is a clip of Putin talking about the offer but reiterates Russian position - NovaRusia region which includes Donetsk, Lugansk, some territory upto River DNeipr, even Odessa. Russia wants no Nato, Zels to be removed, demilitarization of entire Ukraine, no foreign military presence, destruction of the Nazi faction of Ukraine. These are red flags, no negotiation for Russia. Andrei also provides some numbers of casualty in the Kursk takeover by Russia, the figures are mind boggling and Ukraine lost both men and ammo/weapons in the encounter. Russia will continue its military ops despite the ongoing talks. This has prompted the US to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine. This is one hell of a tricky negotiation and Russia is quite firm on their demands.

youtube.com/watch?v=onTzcYNb7HY

[bala]

Andrei Martyanov is at it again. I love his take. He says that the US is caught in its own hubris and DJT is bluffing with Ukraine. Nothing substantial has changed. The tiff DJT had with Zels caused Kursk to be taken back by Russians. Now there is intel sharing by the US but too late, kursk is gone. Russia is pressing ahead elsewhere. There is a deep antagonism between US and Russia which is never going to go away. DJT has been telling the world that the Ukraine Russian tussle would not have happened on his watch, but indirectly the US was prepping Ukraine to counter Russia. This did not stop on DJT's watch since the democles sword of Russia Gate hung over him in DJT V1.0. In DJT V2.0 he made grand stmts but that is about it. No movement really on the ground. Zels is still maniacal about crushing Russia and his backers have doubled down with him in charge. Russia does not care for such talk, their position hasn't changed at all, special operations continue on the battlefield. Europe has all the loony tunes of the world congregated together thinking they can change the outcome. Britshits are like a chuwawa dog, France with Macron at the helm are froggy gasbags and Germany is reduced to fighting radical islamists taking over their nation. Putin has apparently warned Russia that sanctions are never going away and asking his people to stiffen up and work hard. It is quite clear that Russia will press ahead despite DJT flamboyance on the world stage. No deal will be made. Russia will not give anything away, in fact it would insist on all objectives it set out against Ukraine. The stalemate will continue and the world will see Russia taking out Ukraine bit by bit.

youtube.com/watch?v=289QmyogSeg

[Cyrano]

[rajkumar]

Indian Components Found In Russian Weapons On Battlefield For First Time, Ukraine Says
by Tyler Durden
Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025 - 10:45 AM
Ukraine's military intelligence has said that an Indian-made component was identified in a Russian weapon system for the first time of the war, but added in the statement that all almost all American-made parts appear to have been phased out.

"For the first time, a component made in India — a clock buffer from Aura Semiconductor — was found in a Russian weapon," the statement from military intelligence (HUR) said, per a Monday Telegram post....

https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ ... raine-says

[bala]

Ukraine, US sign Minerals Agreement

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announces a deal signing between the US and Ukraine on mineral and other development in Ukraine including reconstruction.

youtube.com/watch?v=rMOr89PfMZo

[vimal]

^^ it’s not a deal it’s extortion by the USA in kind from Ukr for war time supplies.

[srai]

^^^
Now will the US protect its “asset”?

[Manish_P]

^^^
Now will the US protect its “asset”?

You mean it's 'Turf'...

IMVHO the big East European land grab will now move to it's final phase. Viz carving the territories to be under the 'protection' of the US and Russia respectively.

If the western Europeans want a piece of the pie, the great president will ask them fork out the cash for it. They might think better to commit to pay more towards NATO contribution till the end of term of Mr T.

The great actor will retire from the scene and his role will be given to someone else, someone who will be quietly content to play a non lead role.

[drnayar]

^^^
Now will the US protect its “asset”?

Pretty sure Russia has guaranteed the us minerals access as well !!.. but neither will disclose it at this point for obvious reasons

[srai]

^^^
Now will the US protect its “asset”?

You mean it's 'Turf'...

IMVHO the big East European land grab will now move to it's final phase. Viz carving the territories to be under the 'protection' of the US and Russia respectively.

If the western Europeans want a piece of the pie, the great president will ask them fork out the cash for it. They might think better to commit to pay more towards NATO contribution till the end of term of Mr T.

The great actor will retire from the scene and his role will be given to someone else, someone who will be quietly content to play a non lead role.

The main reason for Americans asking Europeans to contribute more is so that they buy more American defense products. Currently, Europeans buy 64% of their defense needs from the US. Many billions to be earned

[bala]

For both the US and Former Soviet Union/ aka Russia now, war making is net gain for their worldwide hegemony. In WWII the US walked away by billing the UK for expenses (which in turn shafted INDIAN Exchequer leaving India paupered as a nation) and taking the spoils on Germany/Japan. Former Soviet Union took East Germany and made Eurotards buy gas/oil from Rus. Only recently in Afghanistan, Iraq (maybe but DJT took some oil from there) US has faced some setback. There were others before like Vietnam and Korea. However US hegemony worldwide after WWII became supreme. Soviet Union did take some losses and then disintegrated. Now Russia is asserting itself again. The world is stuck with these two hegemons and China is now being shafted by the US. Ukraine is effectively divided between the US and Russia. Ukraine wanted war and this is what happens - US and Russia get the spoils, similar to Germany in WWII.

[srai]

America first policy. Some details on how the mineral deal works.

[srai]

^^^
Conveniently, US has now pulled out of “peace” negotiations

So much for ending the war in “24-hours”

[Vayutuvan]

^^^
Conveniently, US has now pulled out of “peace” negotiations

So much for ending the war in “24-hours”

US got the mineral deal. Take that into account before doing 108 x lol, hain ji?

[Arima]

^^^
Conveniently, US has now pulled out of “peace” negotiations

So much for ending the war in “24-hours”

both side do not have any common ground to cede terms and negotiate.
this war is not going to end unless Russia loss or They march and destroy Kiev with collateral damage.

[srai]

Xi and PLA March contingent at Russian Victory Day Parade


https://www.theglobeandmail.com/world/a ... de-moscow/

[drnayar]

^^^
Conveniently, US has now pulled out of “peace” negotiations

So much for ending the war in “24-hours”

they got the mineral deal and possibly a long time customer for weaponry.. America first remember ?

[srai]

^^^
Haha … you guys got it

[Vayutuvan]

^^^
Haha … you guys got it me

FTFY

[Tanaji]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy908n4vr0jo

Zelensky said only "additional sanctions targeting key sectors of the Russian economy" could push Moscow to agree to a ceasefire.

Language of Baniansky seems to have changed recently. No longer the dream of liberating Crimea and pushing back Russia I guess?