Iran News and Discussions

[chanakyaa]

No one want to keep their Navy under U.S Navy and under Trump. Eventually they have to come, to patrol and protect their assets and they will do it independently.
….

Japanese are trying their best to cut their reliance on petroleum. The 2035 plan could get a boost with the current war.

I’ll wait for trump-Sanae Takaichi meet on Thursday before believing any claims. Japanese have no choice in these matters. And, Japan can’t stop reliance on petroleum usage. For less than 10% of India’s population Japan consumes as much energy as India. Think about it. Not sure how relevant QUAD is, but the question is what will India do if Japan asks India to join to keep strait free and open?

[Cyrano]

QUAD is dead, at least until end of 47

[uddu]

No one want to keep their Navy under U.S Navy and under Trump. Eventually they have to come, to patrol and protect their assets and they will do it independently.
….

Japanese are trying their best to cut their reliance on petroleum. The 2035 plan could get a boost with the current war.

I’ll wait for trump-Sanae Takaichi meet on Thursday before believing any claims. Japanese have no choice in these matters. And, Japan can’t stop reliance on petroleum usage. For less than 10% of India’s population Japan consumes as much energy as India. Think about it. Not sure how relevant QUAD is, but the question is what will India do if Japan asks India to join to keep strait free and open?

Japanese will never want to be part of clueless Trump led initiative whatever it is with regard to Iran. They could talk to Iran directly or though intermediaries like India and do an independent escort operation like what India is doing. Dr.Subbu's Multi polar world in the Making.

[bala]

Israel Envoy Reuven Azar On Iran War, Netanyahu Rumours And Escalating Conflict

Israel’s Ambassador to India, Reuven Azar, speaks out on the intensifying Iran war, Israel’s military strategy, and the growing tensions across West Asia. Addressing viral rumours around Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s status, the envoy dismisses speculation and underscores Israel’s continued leadership during the conflict. Azar defends Israel’s military actions, stating that the primary objective remains dismantling Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities, while warning of Tehran’s regional ambitions and proxy networks. He also outlines Israel’s coordination with the United States and signals that operations are far from over, as the conflict enters a more complex and unpredictable phase.

// please excuse rajdeep s shouting incoherent questioning

[bala]

This is How President Trump Rebuilt the American Military into the World’s Most Formidable Force

Lt. Gen Raj Shukla has a different take on what US and Israel did in the IRan War. DJT has empowered the US armed forces to the next level. The Iran airforce, navy etc were taken out immediately. Top leadership of Iran are gone and the next level are being targeted.

[Dilbu]

The offensive capability of US forces are impressive but the intelligence network of Israel is what is making these strikes decisive. They have penetrated every avenue of Iranian public life and even third layer potential leaders are being kept under constant watch by Israeli agents. The moment a decapitation strike is authorised, it is only a matter of hours before it is carried out.

[chetak]

The offensive capability of US forces are impressive but the intelligence network of Israel is what is making these strikes decisive. They have penetrated every avenue of Iranian public life and even third layer potential leaders are being kept under constant watch by Israeli agents. The moment a decapitation strike is authorised, it is only a matter of hours before it is carried out.

Dilbu ji,


The pakis are building a very similar network in India and the buggers already have many assets and video surveillance networks in place feeding live video inputs to paki handlers across the border

Several paki assets in dilli have been arrested and some hidden video networks have been unearthed




BTW, one amriki mercenary along with several ukrainain "associates" have been taken alive. Their objective was to "destabilize and liberate" the NE from India by assisting anti India insurgent groups

A major espionage network with alleged links to Pakistan has been exposed. Police say operatives filmed sensitive sites and installed a hidden camera at Delhi Cantonment railway station to relay live footage. Six accused have been arrested as agencies intensify the investigation.

Ghaziabad police arrests Pakistan spies for sending CCTV footage of Indian troops movement in Delhi Cantt to Pakistan

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... s?from=mdr

[Manish_P]

The offensive capability of US forces are impressive but the intelligence network of Israel is what is making these strikes decisive. They have penetrated every avenue of Iranian public life and even third layer potential leaders are being kept under constant watch by Israeli agents. The moment a decapitation strike is authorised, it is only a matter of hours before it is carried out.

The pakis are building a very similar network in India and the buggers already have many assets and video surveillance networks in place feeding live video inputs to paki handlers across the border

Several paki assets in dilli have been arrested and some hidden video networks have been unearthed

....

A very sobering reality for us. Combine the proliferation of cheap mobile devices/security cameras with cheaper data costs and even more cheaper 0.5 front foot soldiers ever ready & willing to damage India and the americans, the chinese and their lackeys are armed with a deep, near real time intelligence network up and running all across the length and breadth of our country.

[Cyrano]

This is How President Trump Rebuilt the American Military into the World’s Most Formidable Force

Lt. Gen Raj Shukla has a different take on what US and Israel did in the IRan War. DJT has empowered the US armed forces to the next level. The Iran airforce, navy etc were taken out immediately. Top leadership of Iran are gone and the next level are being targeted.

A very obvious and superficial analysis by the good general. In a war, both sides exaggerate their success and hide/downplay their losses. Truth is the first casualty.

Trump and his lota gang are clueless as to what to do next, so they will keep bombing all over the place, hoping something will happen that will give them advantage.

[bala]

Whatever the analysis, DJT is executing Culinery institute's plan. Oil has always been US top priority - Iraq, Libya, Venezeula, kuwait,... and controlling oil in $$$$ is primary for the US. Iran has been denuded in military capability and the only remaining issue is the 350 kg of purified iranian uranium storage. Israel's ground intelligence has been used to the tilt in this war. Once again the war has exposed how hollow the Arab world minions are in governing their little patch of desert land. Ummah unity is a myth. Iranian grit is on display with all the attacks. But the question one needs to ask is how long is this counter attack going to last.

[drnayar]

This is How President Trump Rebuilt the American Military into the World’s Most Formidable Force

Lt. Gen Raj Shukla has a different take on what US and Israel did in the IRan War. DJT has empowered the US armed forces to the next level. The Iran airforce, navy etc were taken out immediately. Top leadership of Iran are gone and the next level are being targeted.

[youtube]1BMKyuUX_BE[/youtube

He empowered the US military into a more decisive one. He didn't do much "rebuilding" .. his plans of "doubling" military expenditure hit the American fiscal "great wall of deficit"

[g.sarkar]

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/1 ... -suffering
Iran announces arrests, says US and Israel suffering ‘defeats’
Hundreds have been arrested as Iran cracks down on 'traitors' following killing of Larijani, Soleimani.
18 Mar 2026
Iranian authorities have announced hundreds more arrests across the country, as well as operations to counter what they describe as “traitors” aligned with the interests of the United States and Israel.
The Ministry of Intelligence said in a statement that 111 “pro-monarchy cells” in 26 of Iran’s 31 provinces were stopped overnight into Wednesday from launching acts opposing the country’s theocratic establishment that toppled a US-backed monarchy in a 1979 Islamic revolution.
Iranians have for millennia celebrated the eve of the last Wednesday of the year with a fire festival called Chaharshanbe Suri, which welcomes Nowruz, the Persian New Year. But authorities urged pro-establishment backers this year to take to the streets and retain control while security forces arrest any dissidents, amid the US-Israel war on Iran.
The ministry claimed that a number of weapons were also discovered from arrested individuals, and renewed its call on the public to report any suspicious activity.
As Iran imposes a total internet shutdown on more than 92 million people for a third week, the ministry said 21 people were arrested specifically for sending videos to “terrorist” media outlets outside the country. It said two shipments containing 350 Starlink satellite internet terminals were confiscated while being smuggled into Iran.
The state-run Fars news agency said some of the dozens arrested in the city of Karaj near Tehran had “burned images of and insulted the martyred supreme leader”, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed at the start of the war on February 28. Khamenei’s son Mojtaba Khamenei has since been picked as Iran’s new supreme leader.
Meanwhile, Iran’s medical emergency service said on Wednesday that two people were killed and nearly 1,000 injured while handling fireworks and explosives linked with Chaharshanbe Suri, and that the numbers were much lower than last year since fewer people had access to fireworks this year amid the war.
State media continued to show supporters and armed forces congregating in mosques, main city squares and streets in Tehran and cities across the country overnight.
Motorcades broadcasting religious slogans and pro-state chants from loudspeakers roamed the streets at night, and state security forces maintained heavily armed patrols and checkpoints.
......
Gautam

[bala]

https://x.com/visegrad24/status/2034245764394746286

Reports of massive damages of airstrikes today against the South Pars Natural Gas Field, which is the world’s largest gas field.

80% of Iran’s electric grid is gas-powered.

Qatar and Iran have long had an agreement through with Qatar more gas from the shared gas field under the Persian Gulf and sells it on behalf in Iran to help it circumvent international sanctions.

It’s just one of many ways which Qatar has been helping the Islamic regime in Iran. Turns out it wasn’t enough to be spared from attacks by Iranian suicide drones and ballistic missiles in the end.

[pravula]

https://x.com/visegrad24/status/2034245764394746286

Reports of massive damages of airstrikes today against the South Pars Natural Gas Field, which is the world’s largest gas field.

80% of Iran’s electric grid is gas-powered.

Qatar and Iran have long had an agreement through with Qatar more gas from the shared gas field under the Persian Gulf and sells it on behalf in Iran to help it circumvent international sanctions.

It’s just one of many ways which Qatar has been helping the Islamic regime in Iran. Turns out it wasn’t enough to be spared from attacks by Iranian suicide drones and ballistic missiles in the end.

Most news channels are reporting it as an Israel strike.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... facilities

[bala]

Another round up by Lt. Gen P R Shankar...

Iran War Day 18: Larijani dead, Basij chief gone; Pezeshkian blocked from Mojtaba? • Lt Gen Shankar

Iran War Day 18 brings major developments inside Iran’s power structure. Reports indicate Ali Larijani is dead and the Basij leadership has been hit. At the same time, President Masoud Pezeshkian is reportedly unable to meet Mojtaba Khamenei - raising serious questions about internal control, succession dynamics, and who is actually calling the shots in Tehran.

[vsunder]

The bench in Iran is very thin now. The prime target is Ahmad Vahidi who is leading the war effort and was implicated in the 1994 bombing of the synagogue and Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Vahidi headed the Quds force and also the IRGC and he is the last of those people who had relations with the proxies like Hezbollah and Houthis. If Vahidi goes the regime will be dealt a death blow. Next is Mohamed Bagher Ghalibaf. He was an Airbus pilot and headed the IRGC aerospace division. He was a speaker of parliament but because of the leadership crisis has been brought back to run the war. He has stood for President many times and lost. I think the relations between Vahidi and Ghalibaf are not cordial. Mohsen Rezaei at 72 is another "old man" to run the war in the last days. Mojtaba appointed him as the military advisor.
These three are the junta running Iran's war. Rezaei dates from the founding of the Islamic Republic. The joke in Iran is they could not find anyone else so they dragged this fellow. Rezaei and Vahidi are under red Interpol notices since 20 years. Rezaei stood for president many times and lost coming 4th behind Ghalibaf who was once a runner up and then third etc.

The only other person left from the theocracy is Mohseni-Ezei who is a jurist and initiated the massive arrests and killings in Jan 2026. Ezei was on the 3 person Interim Leadership council with the lightweight Pezeshkian. This council operated till Mojtaba was elected. Ezei also is a member of the committee of experts.
After this comes the police chief Radan and lightweights like Hatami who is the commander of the regular army the Artesh. But it is the first 4 names Vahidi, Ghalibaf, Rezaei, Ezei who I am sure have a big X painted on them with Vahidi leading the list. If these 4 are not on the scene the regime will crumble and after that comes nameless, faceless junior guys with no experience and very likely to make errors.

Livestock feed in Iran that is corn and soyabean is at an epic low, just under 2 months of supply and due to the collapse of the currency, if at all found, selling at astronomical prices. So much so that poultry has started to cannibalize one another and kill and eat each other.Feed for the livestock comes through the Straits of Hormuz, so its closure is a double edged sword. Iran has 7 million tonnes of wheat currently and consumes 1.4 million tonnes a month. The government has prioritized wheat over livestock feed and forced livestock farmers to cull herds so there is a glut of meat though very exorbitant. The nett result is that if hatcheries and so on run out of feed there will be a serious protein deficiency in Iran which is a meat eating nation. Iranians also eat a lot of rice which is imported from Thailand and India, 77% of rice is imported. All the ships are held up at their home ports and will not go through the Straits of Horuz. Iran also imports fertilizer and needs "top dressing fertilizer" around harvest which is about now and the war and the block at the straits of Hormuz has prevented ships from bringing the fertilizer. Lot of levers here and do not forget if they start bombing the wheat silos, bread riots will surely take place, and what will the IRGC and mullahs say "let them eat cake".

[uddu]

Strait of Hormuz | Will 5,000 lb Bunker Buster Bombs End the Standoff?

[williams]

It is the oldest game in the book. You lure the powerful enemy into the narrowest area possible and then saturate them with 1000s of attack vectors. A amphibious assault will cause world war 2 type casualties no matter the technology or air power. You will have to take the Islands and part of the Shore to make the sea lane safe. 2 Brigades of Marines in USS Tripoli with all its airpower bells and whistles will not be enough. That will still not make the Iranian regime to surrender. Common Abduls will obviously suffer but Iran will make the whole thing into a quagmire for 6 months. in Today's social media driven society that is political suicide for not just Trump but to the whole republican party. All the parties in the conflict know this. While Trump may carry some of the MAGA support, independents will vote for the other party and and working class republicans will simply stay home. If Trump loses the congress in November then impeachment, lawsuits, investigations will follow. So I am expecting weird off ramp and withdrawal in the next few weeks.

[bala]

The war outcome will be hinging on who controls the strait of Hormuz. The moment US and its allies secure the area of hormuz, Iran loses. UAE has already said that they will band with the US to free hormuz. Meanwhile the US has already said that it does not need others like the Euros and Anglos. After a good hammering with US bunker busters, Iran's missiles/drones targeting ships and neighbors will be gone. The US marines are waiting to secure the area and free up ship traffic. Ostensibly Iran will be broken up and the mullah regime will go kaput. China is cutting a pathetic picture and their oil supply from Iran has dried up.

[V_Raman]

I would not be surprised if USA mounts a full scale assault with casualties to get Hormuz under control. That will secure Pax Americana for another century atleast with a very small price to pay compared to WWII.

Trump is very capable of that IMO and they have the perfect situation for that - Russia or China cannot lift a finger!

[uddu]

By ensuring they have no other choice, he is forcing the Arab states to attack Iran.

[williams]

I would not be surprised if USA mounts a full scale assault with casualties to get Hormuz under control. That will secure Pax Americana for another century atleast with a very small price to pay compared to WWII.

Trump is very capable of that IMO and they have the perfect situation for that - Russia or China cannot lift a finger!

If US with the European allies can supply Ukraine for a 5 year long attrition war. Russia can supply a low intensity insurgency through the Caspian sea. Hence Hormuz is just one part of the puzzle. Iranian people have no where to run. Trump has a small time window to get something to work in Hormuz. You need 3:1 ratio to do a amphibious invasion. Even if that is a limited op, The 4k MEU that is on the way is not enough. Air superiority is important but that does not mean it is a walk over job. Already Pentagon is asking for additional 200 billion for the operation. It is a thin republican congress. So not easy to get funds for a large force. Especially with no international backing. War is politics by other means. Trump does not have the political backing like the Bushs' in the previous gulf wars.

[chetak]

This is How President Trump Rebuilt the American Military into the World’s Most Formidable Force

Lt. Gen Raj Shukla has a different take on what US and Israel did in the IRan War. DJT has empowered the US armed forces to the next level. The Iran airforce, navy etc were taken out immediately. Top leadership of Iran are gone and the next level are being targeted.

[youtube]1BMKyuUX_BE[/youtube

He empowered the US military into a more decisive one. He didn't do much "rebuilding" .. his plans of "doubling" military expenditure hit the American fiscal "great wall of deficit"

drnayar ji,


That is probably so many fires on board the amriki aircraft carrier gerald r ford are being "investigated"

That is also why a great many of the carrier's toilets were also sabotaged err "clogged"

and again, that is also the reason why the crew morale is so low

[chetak]

from the net

The USS Gerald R. Ford has been at sea for 241 days.

Her deployment has been extended twice. She is now heading back toward the Middle East for a third time, and the Wall Street Journal just published what the Pentagon does not want you to read.

Sailors are missing funerals. Missing births. Missing their children’s first steps. The ship’s sewage system is failing, requiring maintenance calls every single day and acid flushes costing $400,000 each.

Crew members are telling reporters they want to quit the Navy. Morale is described in terms that defense journalists have not used since Vietnam-era reporting.

This deployment is on track to reach 11 months. The post-Vietnam record is 294 days, set by the USS Abraham Lincoln during COVID in 2020. The Ford will break it. And she is not coming home.

Here is what the human toll tells you about the strike calculus that no OSINT flight tracker can.

The United States Navy operates 11 aircraft carriers. The Ford carries approximately 5,000 sailors and over 75 aircraft. Extending her deployment twice, at enormous cost to crew retention, family stability, and mechanical readiness, is not something the Navy does for leverage.

The Navy fights extensions. Carrier strike group commanders fight extensions. The families lobby Congress against extensions.

Extensions happen over institutional resistance when the mission authority, in this case the Commander in Chief, has determined that the asset cannot leave theater.

The Ford cannot leave theater because nothing has replaced her and the mission she was sent to support has not been completed or cancelled.

Think about what “extended twice” means operationally. The first extension signals that the original timeline was optimistic. The second extension signals that the mission itself has changed.

You do not burn through crew morale, defer scheduled maintenance, and risk retention crises across your most advanced warship for a contingency. You do it for a commitment.

Now connect the dots.

The Ford crossed into the Mediterranean on February 20, adding her air wing to the 500-plus aircraft already in theater. Nine C-17s carrying 700 tonnes of munitions are en route. Hundreds of personnel evacuated from Al Udeid. A P-8A is mapping the Strait of Hormuz.

The IRGC is massing at the Iraqi border. Khamenei has activated shadow government protocols.

Graham is lobbying for strikes. Trump’s deadline expires in days. And Witkoff just told Fox that Iran is one week from bomb-making material.

The Ford’s sailors are paying the human cost of a decision that has already been made in everything but name.

You do not break a post-Vietnam deployment record, destroy your crew’s families, and risk the readiness of your most expensive warship to park it in the Mediterranean as a prop.

The $13.3 billion ship is not a negotiating tactic. She is a weapons delivery platform.

And she has been held in place, at extraordinary cost, because someone in the chain of command has determined she will be needed.

Sailors do not miss their children’s births for bluffs.

The stage is not being set. The stage was set weeks ago. What you are watching now is the cost of holding the curtain.

[V_Raman]

I don’t think Russia.will intervene. It is busy replenishing the coffers with oil sales to India.

Who has a single crew for a ship? Maybe idk how these things work - can’t they rotate the crew and continue to operate the carrier?

[uddu]

https://x.com/Chopsyturvey/status/2034582238952862111
The Strait of Hormuz (named after the Zoroastrian God Ahura Mazda or Hormuzd) has been a choke point in the current war against Iran. But this also happened to be a passage from where a couple of thousand Parsis left the shores of Iran over 1,200 years ago for India. It is believed that sometime in the late 8th century AD, the Parsis departed in boats from Bandar Abbas and traversed through the Strait of Hormuz, making their first landfall at Diu in Saurashtra. The Kisseh-i-Sanjan—an account of the arrival of Parsis, written four centuries ago by a Navsari priest Bahman Kaikobad—records that the refugees remained in Diu for 19 years. After that they set out again and reached Sanjan after a harrowing journey by sea.
The only reason they left Iran was to protect and preserve their ancient faith. And India was the only, repeat only country, where they could do so.
By Nauzer Bharucha

[sanjaykumar]

Many Iranis are thoroughly disillusioned with Islam.

One fellow recently told me, in polite terms, that they accepted Islam believing they could civilise it. They clearly believe arabs to be uncivilised.

He seemed to think that iranis want to return to their ancestral religion and that Indian Muslims aspire to be arabs.

[chetak]

I don’t think Russia.will intervene. It is busy replenishing the coffers with oil sales to India.

Who has a single crew for a ship? Maybe idk how these things work - can’t they rotate the crew and continue to operate the carrier?

V_Raman ji,


Rotate over 5000 people at one go...........


No navy in the world has that kind of flexibility or resources to spare

[uddu]

I don’t think Russia.will intervene. It is busy replenishing the coffers with oil sales to India.

Who has a single crew for a ship? Maybe idk how these things work - can’t they rotate the crew and continue to operate the carrier?

Russia cannot interfere like they interfered in Syria. Here it's a direct fight rather than with proxies and will come against the U.S and Israel if they intervene with military on the ground. There will be other type of collaboration including intelligence sharing, weapon shipment etc, which even the Chinese did before the start of the war.
Russia will win in the short run. If Iran is finished, they will lose in the long run.

[uddu]

https://x.com/MeghUpdates/status/2034890801168490547
@MeghUpdates
SHOCKER! Iran executes 19-year-old wrestler Saleh Mohammadi in public hanging with two others in Qom over protest-linked charges

Rights groups allege torture and sham trials.

[uddu]

U.S using tactics it learned from Op Sindoor
Coastal Tunnels of Iran Have Been COLLAPSED! Hundreds of Coastal Missiles Stuck in Tunnels
For ten years, Iran built heavily fortified, underwater, and underground "Missile Cities" along its coastline to trap and sink the U.S. Navy in the Strait of Hormuz. But in a single night, the U.S. Air Force turned that trap into a tomb! Debuting the brand-new 5,000-pound GBU-72 Bunker Buster bomb, B-1B bombers and F-15E Strike Eagles systematically collapsed the exits to Iran's tunnel network, turning billion-dollar missiles into useless scrap metal trapped underground.

But how did the U.S. find these hidden bases? Through a terrifying combination of Iranian propaganda blunders and U.S. Artificial Intelligence programs like Project Maven.

In this video, we analyze the revolutionary tactics and technology that destroyed Iran's coastal defense doctrine:

THE GBU-72 DEBUT: How the U.S. Air Force used its newest 5,000-pound bomb to collapse tunnel doors and trap Iranian missiles 50 meters underground.

THE HORMUZ TRAP: Iran's master plan to bait U.S. aircraft carriers into the narrow 21-mile strait and overwhelm them with Qader 380 cruise missiles.

AI TARGET DETECTION: How Project Maven and KH-11 satellites analyzed concrete pouring and heat signatures to find hidden bases the human eye missed.

THE PROPAGANDA BLUNDER: How Iran's own boastful military videos gave U.S. intelligence the exact dimensions and blueprints of their secret tunnels.

CHINA'S PANIC: Why Beijing is watching this strike closely and rushing to dig its own nuclear bunkers even deeper.

[V_Raman]

There is no way this operation is a overnight Trump tantrum - curious if NaMo was given a heads up during his Israel visit.

I wonder if they crossed a point of certainty with the location of the underground bases that made this operation viable.

[Cain Marko]

By ensuring they have no other choice, he is forcing the Arab states to attack Iran.

If this drags on, the euros will also be forced into action. I think Trump is counting on it.

[V_Raman]

I don’t think Russia.will intervene. It is busy replenishing the coffers with oil sales to India.

Who has a single crew for a ship? Maybe idk how these things work - can’t they rotate the crew and continue to operate the carrier?

V_Raman ji,


Rotate over 5000 people at one go...........


No navy in the world has that kind of flexibility or resources to spare

Well it is the massa navy we are taking about Chetak ji - - I mean no navy has 11 active CSGs nearing insanity!

[Cain Marko]

I would not be surprised if USA mounts a full scale assault with casualties to get Hormuz under control. That will secure Pax Americana for another century atleast with a very small price to pay compared to WWII.

Trump is very capable of that IMO and they have the perfect situation for that - Russia or China cannot lift a finger!

If US with the European allies can supply Ukraine for a 5 year long attrition war. Russia can supply a low intensity insurgency through the Caspian sea. Hence Hormuz is just one part of the puzzle. Iranian people have no where to run. Trump has a small time window to get something to work in Hormuz. You need 3:1 ratio to do a amphibious invasion. Even if that is a limited op, The 4k MEU that is on the way is not enough. Air superiority is important but that does not mean it is a walk over job. Already Pentagon is asking for additional 200 billion for the operation. It is a thin republican congress. So not easy to get funds for a large force. Especially with no international backing. War is politics by other means. Trump does not have the political backing like the Bushs' in the previous gulf wars.

He does have the board of peace for a reason. Expect boots on the ground by state controlled mercenaries aka tspa.

[williams]

If US with the European allies can supply Ukraine for a 5 year long attrition war. Russia can supply a low intensity insurgency through the Caspian sea. Hence Hormuz is just one part of the puzzle. Iranian people have no where to run. Trump has a small time window to get something to work in Hormuz. You need 3:1 ratio to do a amphibious invasion. Even if that is a limited op, The 4k MEU that is on the way is not enough. Air superiority is important but that does not mean it is a walk over job. Already Pentagon is asking for additional 200 billion for the operation. It is a thin republican congress. So not easy to get funds for a large force. Especially with no international backing. War is politics by other means. Trump does not have the political backing like the Bushs' in the previous gulf wars.

He does have the board of peace for a reason. Expect boots on the ground by state controlled mercenaries aka tspa.

Board of peace with countries with Mongolia and Vietnam is really a joke. No one is going to provide cannon fodder for this Iran adventure. It is going to be the good old GI Joes that is going to be deployed. There is a troop deployment report that got leaked. Pentagon has said that they need 10 divisions for 2 years with the expected casualties of 15k.

[bala]

This could be a detour from IRAN but Japan and US got together in the US and herein DJT is talking about Iran war..

Japan i guess is on board with the US. Trump Meets Japan PM Takaichi as Iran War Raises Pressure on Allies. Discussions address alliance reinforcement, Indo-Pacific security, economic & security cooperation, Iran war implications, Strait of Hormuz, rare earths and implications of the Iran war.

[uddu]

These are in similar category of our VSHORADS missiles. But when we place order it's going to be 100 launchers and 200 missiles. And our DM Rajnath Singh goes and gives a speech.. to speed up development, but nothing gets inducted.

Iranian Majid Short-Range Air Defence System Identified as Weapon Used in Strike on U.S. F-35 Lightning II
https://www.thedefensenews.com/news-det ... htning-II/
Date:2026-03-20 17:03:33


Majid (AD-08) Air Defense System
The Majid system is produced by Iran’s Defense Industry Organization under the Armed Forces Logistics Department and was first publicly displayed on April 18, 2021. It is designed as a short-range, point-defense air defense system rather than a wide-area coverage platform.

Key characteristics include:

Engagement range: up to 8 kilometers (minimum approximately 700 meters)

Altitude ceiling: up to 6 kilometers

Detection range: up to 15 kilometers using electro-optical systems

Coverage: 360-degree azimuth with elevation from 0 to 12 degrees

Target tracking: capability to track up to four targets simultaneously

Target speed: engagement of targets traveling up to Mach 2

The system uses passive electro-optical and thermal sensors combined with infrared-guided missiles, allowing it to operate without emitting radar signals. This reduces its detectability and prevents activation of standard radar warning receivers on targeted aircraft.

The AD-08 missile associated with the system has a diameter of 156 mm, a length of 2,670 mm, and a weight of approximately 75 kilograms. It uses a passive imaging infrared seeker designed to track heat signatures.

Footage from the engagement suggests that only a single missile was launched, which analysts assess may reflect either tactical choice or limited ready-to-fire inventory.

Expansion of Short-Range Air Defense Capabilities
Iran has continued to invest in short-range air defense modernization. Leaked documents from February 2026 indicate that the Iranian Ministry of Defence signed a $580 million agreement with Russia for the procurement of 9K333 Verba man-portable air defense systems (MANPADS).

The reported acquisition includes:

500 launchers

2,500 9M336 missiles

The Verba system has an engagement range of 500 meters to 6.5 kilometers and an altitude ceiling of 4.5 kilometers. It is equipped with a three-spectral seeker operating in ultraviolet, near-infrared, and mid-infrared bands, enhancing resistance to countermeasures such as flares and directional infrared jamming systems.

The relatively short training requirements for Verba operators could allow rapid deployment if deliveries proceed during ongoing hostilities.

How an F-35 Got Hit by Iranian Missile in Operation Epic Fury

[uddu]

Mauritius must call Iran diplomat and issue a strong protest over targeting their territory. Also ask U.S diplomat and ask them to vacate Chagos islands.
Iran FIRES at UK-US base in Diego Garcia with TWO ballistic missiles- ’DIRECT attack at the UK’

[ashthor]

Iran is still firing. But according to the reports the launchers, the missiles and the drones are in low stock.
Tunnels collapsed and openings closed. Looks like when they were looking at london while the weapons were being
stored in tokyo.

Just as they said about Russia during the earlier days of the Ukraine war.