Elections Modi 3.0

[V_Raman]

So what will happen in Bengal - Governor will dissolve the current assembly on May 7 and invite BJP to form govt after that? Is it as simple as that?

[g.sarkar]

https://sundayguardianlive.com/india/wh ... 64-189638/
What Happens If a Chief Minister Refuses to Resign After Losing Majority? Mamata Banerjee Row Triggers Big Constitutional Debate — Understanding Article 164
Sumit Kumar, May 6, 2026
Mamata Refused to Resign: A fresh political debate has erupted in West Bengal after Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee refused to step down despite her party losing the Assembly elections in 2026. Her remarks have raised an important constitutional question: what if a Chief Minister refuses to resign even after losing majority support?
The controversy began after the Bharatiya Janata Party secured a decisive victory, winning over 200 seats in the 294-member Assembly. Meanwhile, Mamata Banerjee alleged that the results did not reflect the people’s mandate and blamed the Election Commission of India for irregularities.
Mamata Banerjee Refuses to Resign, Calls Result a ‘Conspiracy’
Addressing a press conference in Kolkata, Mamata Banerjee made her stance clear and questioned the legitimacy of the results.
......
What if CM refused to resign-Is it Legal?
A Chief Minister refusing to resign after losing majority support may be politically dramatic, but it does not hold much legal ground under India’s constitutional system. The Constitution of India makes it clear that a government can function only as long as it enjoys the confidence of the legislative assembly.
In simple terms, a refusal to resign is not “illegal” by itself, but it also does not allow the Chief Minister to continue in power indefinitely. Once doubts arise about the majority, the Governor can step in and ask the Chief Minister to prove support through a floor test. If the Chief Minister fails to demonstrate majority, they can be dismissed, and another leader with sufficient support can be invited to form the government.
So, even if a Chief Minister chooses not to resign voluntarily, constitutional mechanisms ensure that the will of the majority ultimately prevails.
What does the Constitution say?
The answer lies in the Constitution of India, particularly Article 164. According to this provision, a Chief Minister can remain in office only as long as they enjoy the confidence of the legislative assembly.
Once a government loses a majority, it becomes constitutionally unsustainable. Even if a CM refuses to resign, they cannot legally continue in power without proving majority support.
What is Article 164?
India’s constitutional system requires a Chief Minister to retain the confidence of the State Legislative Assembly to stay in office. While no single provision lays out every step in detail, the core principle is straightforward: a government cannot continue without majority support.
Under Article 164 of the Constitution of India, ministers hold office “during the pleasure of the Governor.” In practical terms, this works as follows:
If election results show that the ruling party has lost its majority, the Chief Minister is expected to step down. If they do not, the Governor can intervene.
The Governor may direct the Chief Minister to prove their majority through a floor test in the Assembly, where MLAs formally vote to show support.
If the Chief Minister fails to secure a majority, the Governor can dismiss the government and invite another party or alliance with sufficient numbers to form the new government.
This process ensures that authority ultimately rests with the elected majority rather than any single individual.
Can the Governor Remove a Chief Minister?
Yes, the Governor has the authority to act in such situations, and under Article 164, the Chief Minister and Council of Ministers hold office at the “pleasure of the Governor.” However, this power is not arbitrary.
The Governor typically asks the Chief Minister to prove their majority on the Assembly floor. If the CM fails to do so, the Governor can dismiss the government and invite the majority party, in this case, the BJP, to form a new government.
Does Refusal to Resign Delay Government Formation?
No. A Chief Minister’s refusal does not block the democratic process. Once election results are officially notified and a clear majority emerges, the formation of a new government proceeds as per constitutional norms.
In West Bengal’s case, the term of the current Assembly ends on 7 May 2026. After this, Mamata Banerjee will automatically cease to hold office, regardless of her refusal.
While political statements may challenge election outcomes, constitutional provisions leave little room for ambiguity. A Chief Minister cannot continue without majority support, and refusal to resign does not alter the legal process.
......
Gautam

[V_Raman]

All these are speculation right
- gov might ask to prove majority
- gov might dismiss and impose presidents rule

what about gap in power - caretaker CM - what is mamta refuses to be caretake CM - etc...

if presidents rule is promulgated for the interim period till swearing-in - what happens to validity of the election results in these scenarios? any impact at all? can that be challenged in SC?

simplest seems to be May 7 1:59PM - assembly term ends -> May 8 -> 12:01AM -> new govt sworn in -> CM + N ministers quickly sworn in at raj bhavan without much fanfare.

this will further fuel mamta to saying this is a illegal govt - precisely what she wants to happen. i am not clear of other options available.

[g.sarkar]

However, following the BJP’s victory in West Bengal, the temple was finally reopened by the public—this time, without fear.

It was fun to watch some feeds coming in social media. Bhodrolok commies posting pictures of them taking back their (CPI(M))party offices from TMC, as if they did all the "revolution". These idiots could do nothing when TMC is in power, and now that some one else did all the heavy lifting now comes back with their cheap propaganda.

Sirji,
BJP(207 seats) not only defeated TMC (80 seats), it also routed the left front (2 seats) and INC (2 seats). The communists are a spent force in WB. Now, when TMC defeated CPM and came to power, the CPM goons slowly shifted from CPM to TMC. This has created the wide spread culture of corruption. I am sure they will try to repeat this again with BJP.
Gautam

[SRajesh]

To people from TN or people in the know how about TN politics
Is this piece of news true ( I received some interesting info via WhatsApp group)
DMK are upset with Congress for backstabbing them and running to TVK.
I believe they are in touch with ADMK and left and rest of the combo to counter TVK Congi combine.
This is an ineresting development given that Governor has asked Vijay to come back with 118 legislature support which he doesnt have!!
What will BJP do if the two Dravida mainstay parties agree to share power and come together to form a government!!

[V_Raman]

yes it is true - ADMK+DMK alliance is being discussed - all other parties with 1/2 seats were aligned with ADMK/DMK pre-election - only INC broke ranks with DMK. Otherwise - TN is in a stalemate at this point. BJP will support the govt - they have supported DMK before and ADMK is NDA. They have only one seat anyway and does not really matter in this case.

[Rudradev]

Of course TVK is a BIF/external forces plant like Kejriwal. Maybe even more so.

- Comes out of nowhere
- Dominates what has been a two-way contest between established parties for a very long time
- Leadership has no track record in governance, but is associated with traditional media (film) and tailor-made for a social media presence with "Gen Y/Z" appeal
- Policies are "we want change" (as nebulous as possible) and "we tell you what you want to hear" (per market research findings, no doubt)
- Overtly Church connected

[S_Madhukar]

Suvendhu Adhikari’s PA shot dead.

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/bjp-lea ... _topscroll

Time to clean up the state !

[Mukesh.Kumar]

Suvendhu Adhikari’s PA shot dead.

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/bjp-lea ... _topscroll

Time to clean up the state !

Followed by another one. Imagine what would have happened if TMC won.

These guys are not giving up, they re going to create a ruckus. Good in a way, people's opinion will swing decisively towards punishing these idiots.

https://x.com/saket71/status/2052104114084216850

[SRajesh]

And the other thing is the freebie’s assured by TVK
It will bankrupt the government
I am beginning to realise that this is a hatchet job by colourful revolution people
As he is church connected probably heavy routing of funds via usual route
And no wonder Pappu is insisting on supporting
I wonder if the BIF’s Manipur forage failed or was it a deliberate smokescreen just for this revolution
Like Kejiriwal he will ruin TN
Hmm TN may become BIMARU
Congress in Karnataka, UDF in Kerala, TVK in TN and Congress in Telangana
This group in 5-8 yrs of mismanagement will be the next BIMARU states
And will be ideal for fomenting separatist ideas and BIF’s will achieve their goals

[Jay]

Suvendhu Adhikari’s PA shot dead.

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/bjp-lea ... _topscroll

Time to clean up the state !

Followed by another one. Imagine what would have happened if TMC won.

These guys are not giving up, they re going to create a ruckus. Good in a way, people's opinion will swing decisively towards punishing these idiots.

https://x.com/saket71/status/2052104114084216850

Time to deploy the encounter specialist in WB. There is no peace for Bharat with these guys sticking around. There should be one and only goonda and that's the establishment which cares about peace and prosperity and judicious violence is its tool. Now is the time.

[uddu]

https://x.com/i/status/2051980061604225244
@RajeswariAiyer
Decoding Joseph Vijay's win & Rise to power !!

The church needed a new political front because the DMK-VCK model had become too aggressive and counterproductive. Open attacks on Sanatana Dharma, temple festivals, and visible missionary alignment began awakening even rural Hindus in Tamil Nadu to the dangers of organized conversions. Resistance started growing, including anti-conversion narratives in films, podcasts, and grassroots discussions.

Missionaries traditionally operate subtly — through institutions, influence, and narrative control — not through open confrontation. Conversions are systematic, well-funded operations, and the church cannot afford rising Hindu resistance disrupting that ecosystem. Hence, Joseph Vijay emerged as the softer, more acceptable face.

Unlike DMK and VCK leaders, Vijay avoids openly abusing Hinduism. He projects tolerance, visits temples, greets Hindus on festivals, and carefully curates his public image. This lowers Hindu suspicion while ideologically remaining aligned with Dravidian politics — opposing NEET, Hindi, and Hindutva, while appealing strongly to minorities. Christians do not shift voting patterns collectively without church direction, and support for TVK became evident when Vijay shared platforms with missionaries from multiple denominations during events like the 2025 Equality Christmas meeting.

TVK’s promises and freebies are unrealistic, and eventual failures would likely be blamed on the Centre and Modi, further fueling separatist narratives while missionary activities continue expanding under reduced scrutiny.

Temple visits or belief in astrology do not make Vijay Hindu. Many Christians retain such cultural practices. Vijay himself publicly identified as a “devout Christian,” and his father’s earlier remarks mocking temple offerings revealed the mindset clearly.

The excitement over a few Tamil Brahmin TVK MLAs is also misplaced. Their presence neither advances Hindu interests nor changes TVK’s ideological alignment. Historically, Brahmins played advisory and knowledge-based roles in society, not representative ones. Their inclusion today serves electoral optics, not Hindu welfare.

Also Vijay is just a front face as CM - The people behind them are Loterry Martin group, Chruch and Deep State

Credit goes to FB Fame Kalavai Venkat
https://facebook.com/share/p/1HVmZpMdUJ/

[uddu]

There is nothing joke about it. This was expected and politics. This is where the BJP Honchos lost the reality of the ground, which is known to one and only Annamalai. Put him in command. In 5 years, he will be CM.
https://x.com/i/status/2052081846834598069
@RajeswariAiyer
So What's happening in Tamil Nadu now?!
DMK + AIADMK to form alliance - Stalin to meet EPS
Tamilnadu has become joke nationally
Is this not predicted by Annamalai Ji already?
For this even his own party cadres condemned!

[chetak]

All these are speculation right
- gov might ask to prove majority
- gov might dismiss and impose presidents rule

what about gap in power - caretaker CM - what is mamta refuses to be caretake CM - etc...

if presidents rule is promulgated for the interim period till swearing-in - what happens to validity of the election results in these scenarios? any impact at all? can that be challenged in SC?

simplest seems to be May 7 1:59PM - assembly term ends -> May 8 -> 12:01AM -> new govt sworn in -> CM + N ministers quickly sworn in at raj bhavan without much fanfare.

this will further fuel mamta to saying this is a illegal govt - precisely what she wants to happen. i am not clear of other options available.

V_Raman ji,

One thinks that when the term of the current house ends on 7 may, there is will be no govt in the sense that we are used to, meaning it's either president's rule, however brief it may be, followed by the leader of the largest party, post elections, staking claim and being invited to form the govt


everywhere you see, the BIF have started to openly interfere, moving from covert to overt, creating chaos and mayhem, while wilfully stressing the system, confident that the BJP will not retaliate on the streets

in TN, the BIF have done exactly what they did with khujliwal in dilli, and per rumours, the padres are playing both sides by supporting the dravidas as well as the TVK

with the congis "aligning" with the TVK, two border states have gone under the sway of these outsiders, if things work out per their designs

khujli too, came out of the blue, with nil administrative experience and depended on scum like yeshwant sinha to formulate the budget

no one knows exactly where khujli came from and how he was shoe horned into the ecosystem, but at the time, among other players, he was backed by the congis and the commies. The BJP reacted ponderously and in an inspired move removed the police machinery from khujli's control, and de fanged him

today, "khalistani" khujli has clogged up the legal system and "greater bangladesh" mumtaz has clogged up the constitutional system by refusing to resign

The ploy is to push for the countermanding of these elections, restore the electoral rolls to the ante SIR status, keep the central forces out of the reckoning, as far as maintenance of the law and order goes.

or extracting international publicity by maligning Modi ji's reputation on a global stage

joseph and papooze are bad news for TN and India

the BIF seems to have sidelined the eelam project for the moment, and joseph's parents, both converted catholics are being shown in the media as making rounds of various Hindu temples, sporting prominent tilaks and what not, and BTW, the mafioso are as catholic as they come.....

the dravida parties are protestant, so a new predator seems to have entered the TN separatist ecosystem.


In so far as the Hindu's are concerned, nothing has changed

Meet SA Chandrasekhar, the converted Catholic father of TVK politician Joseph Vijay.

In 2018, he said: "Offering at Tirupati hundi was like a bribe to the deity and one cannot pass the exam by simply making offering to a deity.

If the offering to deity can help you pass the exams, you don't need to write the exams, and sit at home."

Why didn't he say, tithing at church is bribing Jesus for miracles.

Police registered an FIR against Chandrasekhar after a complaint filed by the Hindu Munnani.

[uddu]

Impose president's rule in TN and govern for 6 months. Start imposing rules and cleanup the state.

[uddu]

Sirji,
BJP(207 seats) not only defeated TMC (80 seats), it also routed the left front (2 seats) and INC (2 seats). The communists are a spent force in WB. Now, when TMC defeated CPM and came to power, the CPM goons slowly shifted from CPM to TMC. This has created the wide spread culture of corruption. I am sure they will try to repeat this again with BJP.
Gautam

Instructions issued from BJP, not to take any TMC men. Also BJP local leaders are asked to identify the TMC goodndas who now is turning into BJP and creating chaos to send them to jail.

[uddu]

Good in a way, people's opinion will swing decisively towards punishing these idiots.

People's opinion has swung decisively and given the Danda in the hands of BJP government. Now it's BJP that need to utilize that and ensure law and order like in UP. Otherwise people will look for alternatives.

[uddu]

https://x.com/i/status/2052185051216199700
@OfficeOfDGP
I am not worried even if Mamata Banerjee does not resign.

I will swear in the new Chief Minister.

The old Chief Minister's post will be
automatically taken away"

- R.N. Ravi, West Bengal Governor

[Manish_Sharma]

Sirji,
BJP(207 seats) not only defeated TMC (80 seats), it also routed the left front (2 seats) and INC (2 seats). The communists are a spent force in WB. Now, when TMC defeated CPM and came to power, the CPM goons slowly shifted from CPM to TMC. This has created the wide spread culture of corruption. I am sure they will try to repeat this again with BJP.
Gautam

Instructions issued from BJP, not to take any TMC men. Also BJP local leaders are asked to identify the TMC goodndas who now is turning into BJP and creating chaos to send them to jail.

https://x.com/PoornimaNimo/status/20520 ... 79231?s=20

Did you notice this ??
West Bengal

BJP : 207 candidates won. ALL candidates Hindu. No muslim candidate fielded.

TMC : 80 candidates won. 32 Muslims.

Congress : 2 candidates won. Both Muslims.

Left : One candidate won. Muslim !!

ISF : One candidate one. He is Muslim.

Humayun Kabir's party : 2 candidates won. Both Muslims.

I rest my case.

[chetak]

Look at this blatant hypocrisy!

After a massive victory in the Tamil Nadu elections, Joseph Vijay Thalapathy took out a roadshow… holding a photo of jesus in his hand and roaming around!

The libtards' tears just won't stop… a flood of emotions is flowing

But if a BJP worker here even chants "Jai Shri Ram"… they immediately start screaming — "The Constitution is in danger!"

What amazing double standards!

How long will this double standard go on?

What do you say?

watch video


https://x.com/i/status/2051904932635418708

Joseph Vijay‘s father visits temple and offers prayers, even as Vijay heads towards victory

All have to take shelter of SANATAN DHARMA

TAMILNADU Hindu population is 87%

watch video


https://x.com/i/status/2051199681561284864

[chetak]

Aren’t they talking to each other any more

[chetak]

Listen up, Babur's son Humayun Kabir, from your brother,

It was the stubbornness over Babri Masjid that defeated you from Bengal

If you'd just chanted "Jai Shri Ram," maybe you'd have won


watch video


https://x.com/i/status/2052209118522593621



In Bengal, out of 83 TMC, 31 are muslim,

Out of 2 Congress, 2 are muslim,

Out of 207 BJP, 207 have become (Hindu) MLAs..

*That's why BJP is in the heart*

[chetak]

Stop "Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas."

Those who are with us, we are with them

Jai Shri Ram

Suvendu Adhikari

watch video


https://x.com/i/status/2051521573740552564

[chetak]

he seems to have very conveniently left out murderous naxalism, genocidal islamism, and rabid christianity including their toxic and intolerant conversion brigades hell bent on cultural genocide of all except their own ideology.

all these are unmistakably political movements with their own distinctive doctrines, creed, and dogma

Left and Communism

I have seen many people claiming that, after the Kerala election results, India is now free from left-wing political rule. This is a completely incorrect observation.

Except BJP, all political parties in India can be broadly categorized as left parties. In fact, even BJP is also a centrist party, exhibiting a mix of both right- and left-wing traits. There is no purely right-wing party in India.

The “Left” is a broad umbrella encompassing multiple ideologies, including communism, socialism, progressivism, feminism, wokism etc

Therefore, a more accurate conclusion would be: It is not the end of left-wing rule in India, but rather the end of communist rule in India

[williams]

I was about to say. From the western construct PoV. BJP also has a liberal outlook in many areas.

[V_Raman]

@ChetakJi - that video is from campaigning roadshow - not after results. twitter post is wrong.

[Cyrano]

[chetak]

@ChetakJi - that video is from campaigning roadshow - not after results. twitter post is wrong.

V_Raman ji,


It's the message that counts

suvendu is carrying a lot of baggage from his tmc days

he cannot un-say what he has already said

and of course, he has to be more catholic than the pope

[Manish_P]

....
My lived experience is that Hinduism is pretty casual/diminished in rest of India while it is pretty serious in TN - it is rest of India that needs to catch up. This is why BJP finds it hard to play its brand of politics in TN. Tamils say we are already as Hindu as one can get - what are you even talking about?!
...

Talking about not voting anti hindus to power

...
You folks should watch Tamil mega serials to see the Hinduness of TN.
...

Despite which tamils have voted a non-hindu filum star to power

[williams]

Despite which tamils have voted a non-hindu filum star to power

What choice of genuine leadership did BJP provide for the TN people to vote? Nainar Nagendran (need to google to find out) in place of K Annamalai who was even denied a seat run in this election. All this because of a dying dravidian party ADMK's insistence.

[Manish_P]

....Nainar Nagendran (need to google to find out) in place of K Annamalai who was even denied a seat run in this election. All this because of a dying dravidian party ADMK's insistence.
...

Do tamils need to Google to find out who he is?

Do abrahamics vote for non-abrahamics because they were not given the choice of who they wanted?

[chetak]

Despite which tamils have voted a non-hindu filum star to power

What choice of genuine leadership did BJP provide for the TN people to vote? Nainar Nagendran (need to google to find out) in place of K Annamalai who was even denied a seat run in this election. All this because of a dying dravidian party ADMK's insistence.

williams ji,


didn't they make a similar mistake when they side lined Bandi Sanjay Kumar in telengana

[g.sarkar]

https://www.telegraphindia.com/opinion/ ... id/2159368
Red fade: Editorial on the shrinking political space for the Left in India
The Kerala model of switching between LDF and UDF every election may be the Left’s only lifeline; more so when the space for Opposition politics has shrunk with the BJP appropriating every issue
The Editorial Board, 07.05.26
Given the cyclical nature of Kerala’s politics, it may be premature to write off the Left Democratic Front in the state after the resounding defeat in this assembly election. This is the first time in almost 50 years that the Left has no state government in the country. But Kerala has seen both the LDF and the Congress-led United Democratic Front — the winner in 2026 — bounce back from similar setbacks. If anything, periodic defeats have kept them fighting fit. And since the verdict is seen as a personal blow to the outgoing chief minister, Pinarayi Vijayan, this may be a good opportunity for the Communist Party of India (Marxist) to convince him to loosen his grip on the Kerala unit and, by extension, on the entire party organisation.
......
Gautam

[g.sarkar]

https://www.thestatesman.com/india/amit ... 91038.html
Amit Shah: The strategist who redrew Bengal’s electoral map
It is Amit Shah who can be credited for reshaping Bengal’s political map, not with a sudden magician’s flourish, but with the steady hand of a strategist who chose calculated moves over high stakes gamble.
Jayanta Roy Chowdhury, May 7, 2026
On May 4, when BJP finally managed to paint Bengal in saffron, the party’s stunning victory came wrapped in the quiet efficiency of a plan executed almost exactly as designed. An occurrence rare in Indian politics and rarer in the eastern state which historically has defied all pan-India trends and gone its own way much to the consternation of leaders from Delhi.
At the centre of that plan stood Amit Shah, whose imprint on the Bharatiya Janata Party’s 2026 breakthrough was at once methodical and deeply personal in style and outcomes.
“He worked with consistency, built up a core team, oversaw the structure which would deliver us results and kept interacting with us at the ground level to make changes wherever necessary,” said a top Kolkata-based BJP functionary, who had a ringside view of how the plan unfolded over the last several months.
Since the heydays of Hindu Mahasabha when Syama Prasad Mookerjee fought elections from Bengal, the right-wing organisation’s ambitions in Bengal had been thwarted by the state’s stubborn political culture.
First the Left-off-Centre Congress, then the Marxists and finally the Left democrats in the Trinamool Congress under Mamata Banerjee appeared to have entranced the populace with a blend of welfare politics, regional pride and wily organisational agility.
However, what Shah recognised, and acted upon, was that the BJP’s earlier approach, reliant on defectors and headline-grabbing momentum, had reached its limits. He also recognised that local cultural sensibilities had to be worked into the plan to make it yield dividend.
.......
Gautam

[bala]

Bengal Governor N Ravi Dismisses Mamata Banerjee Cabinet

Link

[chetak]

Party Wise Results

Party Won Leading Total

Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam - TVK 108 0 108
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam - DMK 59 0 59
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam - ADMK 47 0 47
Indian National Congress - INC 5 0 5
Pattali Makkal Katchi - PMK 4 0 4
Indian Union Muslim League - IUML 2 0 2
Communist Party of India - CPI 2 0 2
Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi - VCK 2 0 2
Communist Party of India (Marxist) - CPI(M) 2 0 2
Bharatiya Janata Party - BJP 1 0 1
Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam - DMDK 1 0 1
Amma Makkal Munnettra Kazagam - AMMKMNKZ 1 0 1

Total 234 0 234



TVK will be reduced to 106 (joseph fought on 2 seats, so one will go and they will lose one more seat for speaker who cannot vote unless there is a tie = 106

DMK + AIDMK = 59+ 47 = 106

DMK will not go along with AIDMK and both are controlled by protestant padres, while the TVK is controlled by catholic padres

So the AIDMK is the only safe option numbers wise, and trusting the chunnu munnus is very risky because even if one leaves, the govt may fall

AIDMK guys are all holed up in a resort in puducherry, one half insisting on going with the TVK while the other half is refusing to do so

chunnu munnu parties, including the congis are the other option but all these guys are greedy and are striking very hard bargains for the loaves and fishes of office, huge chunks of cash, unheard of privileges and plum ATM ministries

so no one is giving the required letters of support to TVK, unless the demanded loot is disbursed and hauled away

the governor is not budging without the TVK giving him the letters of support prior to staking claim to the cm's gaddi................


the ball(s) seem to be in the padres' court


Options: the TVK can go to the supreme court, or try and cobble up the support, or let it go for presidents rule

[williams]

....Nainar Nagendran (need to google to find out) in place of K Annamalai who was even denied a seat run in this election. All this because of a dying dravidian party ADMK's insistence.
...

Do tamils need to Google to find out who he is?

Do abrahamics vote for non-abrahamics because they were not given the choice of who they wanted?

The answer to the first question is big yes. The answer to the second question is hard to prove empirically. However based on the data we have for that one seat in TN where BJP won: https://results.eci.gov.in/ResultAcGenM ... S22108.htm. It sounds like BJP candidate won that seat narrowly against an Abrahamic candidate. And there is a ~35% Abrahamic demography here.

My point is BJP needs to nurture, empower and trust the local leadership. Central command and control with broad-based ideology will not work in the south. And hence the second question is a moot point if you want to create real political movement.

[williams]

Party Wise Results

Party Won Leading Total

Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam - TVK 108 0 108
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam - DMK 59 0 59
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam - ADMK 47 0 47
Indian National Congress - INC 5 0 5
Pattali Makkal Katchi - PMK 4 0 4
Indian Union Muslim League - IUML 2 0 2
Communist Party of India - CPI 2 0 2
Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi - VCK 2 0 2
Communist Party of India (Marxist) - CPI(M) 2 0 2
Bharatiya Janata Party - BJP 1 0 1
Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam - DMDK 1 0 1
Amma Makkal Munnettra Kazagam - AMMKMNKZ 1 0 1

Total 234 0 234



TVK will be reduced to 106 (joseph fought on 2 seats, so one will go and they will lose one more seat for speaker who cannot vote unless there is a tie = 106

DMK + AIDMK = 59+ 47 = 106

DMK will not go along with AIDMK and both are controlled by protestant padres, while the TVK is controlled by catholic padres

So the AIDMK is the only safe option numbers wise, and trusting the chunnu munnus is very risky because even if one leaves, the govt may fall

AIDMK guys are all holed up in a resort in puducherry, one half insisting on going with the TVK while the other half is refusing to do so

chunnu munnu parties, including the congis are the other option but all these guys are greedy and are striking very hard bargains for the loaves and fishes of office, huge chunks of cash, unheard of privileges and plum ATM ministries

so no one is giving the required letters of support to TVK, unless the demanded loot is disbursed and hauled away

the governor is not budging without the TVK giving him the letters of support prior to staking claim to the cm's gaddi................


the ball(s) seem to be in the padres' court


Options: the TVK can go to the supreme court, or try and cobble up the support, or let it go for presidents rule

Yeah, I am not sure how ADMK will cobble up support. I think it is going to go President's rule unless there are large defections from major parties. However post Presidents rule, TVK may consolidate more votes and finish the old Dravidian parties.

[chetak]

Bengal Governor N Ravi Dismisses Mamata Banerjee Cabinet

Link

bala saar,


she is not of the calibre to go up against someone like R. N. Ravi

[bala]

Anyone know who are the likely candidates for CM of Bengal from BJP.