

and read on.....
Pakistan is close to the brink, perhaps not to a meltdown of the government, but to a permanent state of anarchy, as the Islamist revolutionaries led by the Taliban and their many allies take more territory, and state power shrinks. There will be no mass revolutionary uprising like in Iran in 1979 or storming of the citadels of power as in Vietnam and Cambodia; rather we can expect a slow, insidious, long-burning fuse of fear, terror, and paralysis that the Taliban have lit and that the state is unable, and partly unwilling, to douse.
In northern Pakistan, where the Taliban and their allies are largely in control, the situation is critical. State institutions are paralyzed, and over one million people have fled their homes. The provincial government of North-West Frontier Province (NWFP) has gone into hiding, and law and order have collapsed, with 180 kidnappings for ransom in the NWFP capital of Peshawar in the first months of this year alone. The overall economy is crashing, with drastic power cuts across the country as industry shuts down. Joblessness and lack of access to schools among the young are widespread, creating a new source of recruits to the Taliban. Zar-dari and Gilani have spent the past year battling their political rivals instead of facing up to the Taliban threat and the economic crisis.
According to the Islamabad columnist Farrukh Saleem, 11 percent of Pakistan's territory is either directly controlled or contested by the Taliban. Ten percent of Balochistan province, in the southwest of the country, is a no-go area because of another raging insurgency led by Baloch separatists. Karachi, the port city of 17 million people, is an ethnic and sectarian tinderbox waiting to explode. In the last days of April thirty-six people were killed there in ethnic violence. The Taliban are now penetrating into Punjab, Pakistan's political and economic heartland where the major cities of Islamabad and Lahore are located and where 60 percent of the country's 170 million people live. Fear is gripping the population there.
The Taliban have taken advantage of the vacuum of governance by carrying out spectacular suicide bombings in major cities across the country. They are generating fear, rumor, and also support from countless unemployed youth, some of whom are willing to kill themselves to advance the Taliban cause. The mean age for a suicide bomber is now just sixteen.
American officials are in a concealed state of panic, as I observed during a recent visit to Washington at the time when 17,000 additional troops were being dispatched to Afghanistan. The Obama administration unveiled its new Afghan strategy on March 27, only to discover that Pakistan is the much larger security challenge, while US options there are far more limited. The real US fear was bluntly addressed by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in Baghdad on April 25:
One of our concerns...is that if the worst, the unthinkable were to happen, and this advancing Taliban...were to essentially topple the government for failure to beat them back, then they would have the keys to the nuclear arsenal of Pakistan.... We can't even contemplate that.
Pakistan has between sixty and one hundred nuclear weapons, and they are mostly housed in western Punjab where the Taliban have made some inroads; but they are under the control of the army, which remains united and disciplined if ineffective against terrorism. In his press conference on April 29, President Obama made statements intended to be reassuring after the specter of Pakistani weakness evoked by Clinton, saying, "I feel confident that that nuclear arsenal will remain out of militant hands."
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They can always burn the drones when they are parked in PAF hangars. Like those "NATO-bali" they do every month at supply depots serving Afghanistan. But whatever keeps the street abdul happy in his filth and misery....
NRao wrote:The snake (Islamists) is eating the frog (Government of Pakistan/US/China/etc) (already in the mouth of the snake) and while being swallowed the frog (Gov of Pakistan in specific and to some extent the US too) is looking for a fly (India) for dinner!!
Maya.
Going according to plan - MS Project.
No wonder he knows a thing or two about Paki army tacticsThree years earlier, in 2004, Maulana Fazlullah ... who was at the time an unknown former ski-lift operator ...
But the local tribes do not want either the army or the Taliban in the area.
"If the army comes in, the Taliban will follow, and vice versa," says an influential tribal elder and former member of parliament, Malik Saeed Ahmad.
So this article more or less confesses what the entire world knows Taliban=Pak Army=well funded by American taxpayer moneyThere is also a widespread belief that the Taliban are the creation of the army and are being used for the army's "secret" aims.
The tribes are proposing to raise their own tribal force to check possible incursions by the Taliban, who have bases in the neighbouring Swat district to the west.
But officials think such a force is unlikely to match the Taliban's equipment, training and discipline.![]()
These "chinese hydro-power projects" that dot all over the paki landscape are a matter of concern. Why are the chinese and pakistanis doggedly going ahead with these, despite the local unpleasantness? Is it because these massive civil works can mask military constructions like bunker storage for weapons and tunnels into mountain sides for parking TELs etc?But their chief concern at the moment is the security of a Chinese construction firm which is building a hydro-power project on the Indus river in the Dubair area of Kohistan.
WHo said it is dams.hnair wrote:
These "chinese hydro-power projects" that dot all over the paki landscape are a matter of concern. Why are the chinese and pakistanis doggedly going ahead with these, despite the local unpleasantness? Is it because these massive civil works can mask military constructions like bunker storage for weapons and tunnels into mountain sides for parking TELs etc?
A few weeks ago they were at the crossroads. I wonder how many articles have been written in Pureland about being on the brink or on the crossroads.
Pukistan seems to be headed towards reward money economy.
Hakimullah already owes one for Islamabad.Fear of a terrorist backlash has risen especially after Hakimullah Mehsud, a deputy to the Pakistani Taliban commander Beithullah Mehsud, said the Taliban had carried out the Lahore attack and warned of striking in Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Lahore and Multan if the government did not stop the Swat operation. Ominously, he asked people to clear out of these cities.
aser wrote:Bruce Riedel in WSJ: Pakistan and the Bomb
Pakistan is a unique nuclear weapons state. It has been both the recipient of technology transfers from other states and a supplier of technology to still other states. It has been a state sponsor of proliferation and has tolerated private sector proliferation as well. Pakistan has engaged in highly provocative behavior against India, even initiating a limited war, and sponsored terrorist groups that have engaged in mass casualty terrorism inside India’s cities, most recently last November in Mumbai. No other nuclear weapons state has done all of these provocative actions.
One of the messages the Indian electorate conveyed during the recent Lok Sabha elections is that the people do not want the government to engage in adventurism in the form of military intervention in our neighbourhood. . . As far as Pakistan is concerned, the intensity of the feeling has remained high. However, it never reached the level at which it could be interpreted as a clamour for military action.{Mr. Gharekhan is wrong}
There was a spate of articles in the media by many experts on Pakistan, including a few former army officers, demanding at least a token military response from the government. With the benefit of hindsight, it can be safely concluded that their opinions were not reflective of the real sentiments of the people. It is doubtful if the electorate went into any profound analysis of the risks involved, given the nuclear factor, in a military intervention even with limited objectives, though one must never underestimate the wisdom and capacity of the people of our country to examine such issues in simple terms. It was probably the innate desire of the people to avoid a war that led them not to demand a military response to Pakistan’s aggression.{It is obvious now why our diplomacy is so weak, if a veteran like Gharekhan writes like this}
The international community has applauded India’s restraint{What do such applauses bring India except more misery after a few months ? Why should we even care for such a pat on the back from the so called international community ?}, but it wants more from us. Given Pakistan’s fragile domestic situation, with fears being openly aired about Pakistan on the way to becoming a failed state, our friends abroad are asking us to adopt a statesmanlike approach. The argument, with a good deal of plausibility behind it, is that it is India which would be impacted the most by the events going on in Pakistan and hence it is in India’s interest to help Pakistan by, say, offering something to it. In practical terms, this translates into leaving Mumbai behind us and resuming the composite dialogue with Pakistan. The political leadership will have to take a call on these questions. It will have to assess whether the people are ready to forget Mumbai and forgive Pakistan.{This means that the political leadership has succumbed to US pressure and is about to re-start the dialogue if not already done so. This is the end of the Mumbai trials.}
It is reasonable to assume that the people definitely want some satisfaction from Pakistan on the Mumbai affair before the government could decide to resume the dialogue. It is this sentiment among the people that has led the new External Affairs Minister, Mr. S.M. Krishna, to declare that the perpetrators of the Mumbai massacre must be brought to credible prosecution before the dialogue can be resumed. What form such satisfaction should take can be worked out only through quiet diplomacy, with the help of friends as may be necessary.
Seems to me, it is the Pakis, who have been Chankian........and the Indians...the Nandas.......archan wrote:Congrats on opening your account 'aser'. Took you long enoughl![]()
Good article to post to start it all off. Good as in - how Acharya ji put it. Pakis are as usual squirming in the comments section and some chankian evil yindoos are coolly showing them the bottom of their chappals.
A half-truth is as much of a lie as any black lieaser wrote:Bruce Riedel in WSJ: Pakistan and the Bomb
And read and enjoy this piece of utter hypocrisy coming from a mouthpiece of the WestThe origins of the Pakistani nuclear program lie in the deep national humiliation of the 1971 war with India that led to the partition of the country, the independence of Bangladesh and the destruction of the dream of a single Muslim state for all of south Asia’s Muslim population.
Why do we even link this crap on here?U.S. options would be severely limited by Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal. We would need to work with India, Afghanistan, China and others to isolate the danger.
< snip >
Today some in Pakistan recognize at long last the existential threat to their freedoms comes from within, from the jihadists like the Taliban and al Qaeda, not from India. Now is the time to help them and ensure their hand is on the nuclear arsenal.
This is one characterization as Macaulayite, that I would endorse. This post is right on the money.shiv wrote:A half-truth is as much of a lie as any black lieaser wrote:Bruce Riedel in WSJ: Pakistan and the Bomb
As usual Wall Street Journal gives India a subtle kick in the butt while forgetting that 3 million Hindu and non Hindu civilians were massacred in Bangladesh before the 1971 war, with 10 million refugees in India (20 times the number of refugees from Swat). And we mindlessly propagate such views because other statements give us comfort. Macaulayite views are spread exactly like this. The English press of the West is biased, but we still swallow it and praise it.
The origins of the Pakistani nuclear program lie in the deep national humiliation of the 1971 war with India that led to the partition of the country, the independence of Bangladesh and the destruction of the dream of a single Muslim state for all of south Asia’s Muslim population.
No argument with this. But I had a rhetorical point to make regarding the manner in which th "Macaulayite" label is used when convenient about certain things - while blatant kicks on India's butt are allowed in for the same Macaulayite reasons.archan wrote:How many of us expect the western commentators to be 100% correct?
Our great Arab "brothers" show their friendship towards us (with paki backing no doubt)...The Foreign office was also dismayed over a resolution referring to the terrorist attack in Mumbai in November last year as a mere “incident.” “It is most unfortunate that the spectre of terrorism confronting the international community, of which the attack on Mumbai by elements from Pakistan was an extreme manifestation, is not being unambiguously addressed by the OIC. We strongly reject such resolutions,” it added.
Last year, India had objected to observations on Jammu and Kashmir in the final document of the OIC summit in Dakar, Senegal.
This is actually a nuclear blackmail and India has been succumbing to that repeatedly (Chinmaya Gharekhan's article posted above is a good example). Enormous pressure is mounting on an inexperienced SM Krishna, both by the US and the Pakistanis. With Pakistan actually releasing one-by-one the Mumbai masterminds, constantly berating India with not giving enough information, using delaying tactics etc., India seems once again falling flat on its face because of indecisive leadership.But a nuclear bomb is the best bargain counter for an agreement on peace and related economic arrangements that consolidate and perpetuate normal relations with perceived enemy states. In that sense the bomb is a weapon of peace, not of war. Today, the only unchanging element in Pakistan’s strategy is the perception of India as a permanent enemy. At the same time it is accepted on all hands that India cannot attack Pakistan because of the latter’s nuclear deterrence. This deterrence, however, will not be stable as long as the two countries remain daggers drawn against each other. That is why Pakistan wants the United States and its allies to persuade India to come to the negotiating table, because that is the only way forward to achieving stability in the region.
Some people, eh ? The President, PM, COAS, Cabinet Ministers, Corps Commanders, the ISID etc. are all some people, eh ? And, some extremist groups ? Bl**dy all of them that attack India have been sponsored by these 'some people'. Some kind of confusion in the society, you said ? It's a big time **** up done for decades, deliberately and systematically by the State, none else, the very State, Mr. Haqqani. Did you say 'based on their causes' ? How have these causes disappeared now for others to feel that Pakistan has become a better entity ?The envoy said some people in Pakistan felt in the past an affinity for some extremist groups based on their causes, and there was some kind of confusion in the society.
He also said Pakistan has sufficient skilled work-force to launch its own satellite system and hopefully the country would be able to launch indigenously built Pak-SAT-I in 2011.
Sridhar,SSridhar wrote:archan, it is not a question of whether Pakistan is in a mess or not. It had never been in a good shape for its entire life. It has always lived on the precipice, on borrowed time ever since Jinnah asked Maulana Usmani to hoist the national flag in Karachi. But, that is all besides the point. They have survived as a nation miraculously because they have three and a half powerful friends who have baled them out at every crisis. We don't care about that either. But, every time that country was thus baled out, Pakistan has only launched itself into even more reckless behaviour vis-a-vis India because we always failed to give them that knock-out punch. Its three-and-a-half friends (or masters depending on how one looks at them), wanted it that way and Pakistan obliged them. That's the hard lesson that MEA has not learnt. The cleaning up of Pakistan is going to be done eventually by India and India alone. By failing to act decisivley and when opportunities presented themselves, we are in a mess and we simply don't care whether Pakistan is in abigger mess or not. That doesn't give us any solace.