Sachin wrote:
Can we have a ready reckoner for the North Eastern states and tribes as well

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I did a few, some were posted here. I am too bored to dig them out of this thread, so let me do a shady thing and point to the blog where I find it easy to search.
There are eight (in contrast to the Seven Sisters claim) Sister states, with the major terrorist footprint coming from Assam, Nagaland and Manipur. Plus, one has to see the Darjeeling-Gorkhaland, Bangladesh, East Nepal, Bhutan, Burma, etc. as one huge continuum rather than as a piecemeal set-up. In any case,
1) Assam is a BIG state with a complicated whine profile. The major terrorist outfits are ULFA (standing for "ethnic" Assamese), NDFB (for ethnic Bodos), and DHD/Black Widows (for ethnic Dimasas). Assam has splintered so many times from the 1947-Assam that the only Hilly districts these days are North Cachar Hills and Barak Valley, where the Hmars, Bodos, Karbis and Dimasas dominate.
Assam and its players:
http://dharma-yuddham.blogspot.com/2010 ... ayers.html
ULFA:
http://dharma-yuddham.blogspot.com/2010 ... dates.html
NDFB:
http://dharma-yuddham.blogspot.com/2010 ... -ndfb.html
I have nt done anything explicit on DHD yet, but both the Nunisa faction and the Garlosa faction are out, the first in parley mode, the second in jail.
2) Nagaland is a different ball-game altogether.
http://dharma-yuddham.blogspot.com/2010 ... galim.html
Naga National Council (NNC) used to be the biggest outfit. After the signing of the Shillong Accord with Rajiv Gandhi, NNC splintered as the Thuingaleng Muivah-Isaac Chwu-SS Khaplang group did not like the peace terms set by AZ Phizo. Some claim that Phizo was representing the Angami Nagas, and the more numerically preponderant Tangkhul Nagas and Konyak Nagas disagreed with him. (Even today, the Muivah group is on uneasy peace with the body that stands for Angami Nagas.) Thus came NSCN. NSCN again splintered into NSCN (IM) and NSCN (K), primariily on intra-tribal terms with the former standing for Tangkhul Nagas and the latter for Konyak Nagas. Konyaks are primarily there in Arunachal Pr., overlap certain areas of Burma (Sagaing Division and Kachin state) and inside Nagaland not much else than the IM group. The Tangkhuls are not only there inside Nagaland, but also the blockaded area in Manipur, where the ANSAM (All Naga Student Association of Manipur) fights inside Manipur for the IM body. This is where the demand for Nagalim gets a big push from. If GoI/MHA accedes to this demand, there will be further Balkanization of the Northeast, and realignments across the borders, with noone to predict how violent the repurcussions will be. Hence, noone picks up the Nagalim ball.
3) Manipur is a nightmare of a story with >20 outfits and complicated trade-offs between different outfits. All this in a state that is half the size of the largest district in India. There are more terrorist groups in Manipur than there are districts. Perhaps as many terrorist outfits as there are dialects. In any case, the GoI's blind and callous lack of interest in Manipur when the ANSAM and NSF blockaded Manipur for 69 days can only be a moral boost to the terrorist outfits in Manipur. It is a notable thing that PC spent most of his recent sojourn in Manipur.
I am not treading on Manipur (or understanding the picture) due to the time that is needed. To give a flavor, UNLF the biggest outfit there owes its origin to the union of Manipur Princely state with the Indian Union in 1949. Its leader (who is now arrested), Sana Yaima is a member of the erstwhile Royal family. The stated goal is to form a sovereign Manipur by uniting the various parts of Manipur splintered off across the other states and Kabaw Valley, which the Manipur Kingdom lost to the Brits and is now a part of Burma. So despite an overwhelming Vaishavite (the correct name is Bishnupriya) feel to Manipur, it hardly has much else in common with a completely different whine-profile.
4) Meghalaya is primarily a Garo vs. Khasi whinefest
http://dharma-yuddham.blogspot.com/2010 ... alaya.html
Some say that the new outfit GNLA has overt support from the political class to ensure that it extorts well.
5) In Tripura (the pre-47 picture had the Kingdoms of Manipur and Tripura and Assam Province of British India), the Bengalis more or less dominate the day-to-day proceedings (they almost always have even around Tagore times due to unbridled and open borders) with >70% of the population and the whine-fest centers around "indigenous" tribals (Reangs, Debbarmas, Jamatiyas, etc.) vs. Bengali "immigrants". The latest episode was in renaming the airport in Agartala: the Bengalis wanted it to be named after Tagore, the tribals after the last Manikya king who had brought Tagore to Tripura (btw, both were very good pals!). I thought I had a profile of NLFT vs. ATTF somewhere on my desktop, but I dont think I have it on my blog yet.
6-8 ) Sikkim and Mizoram are more or less fine/peaceful except for the Gorkhaland/Kamtapur stuff in the former and other state terrorists harboring in Lushai Hills in the latter. Arunachal Pr. sees its territory used as a safe haven by NSCN (both IM and K factions), and NDFB and ULFA to get to its turf in the Upper Assam area, so Arunachal does nt have home-grown terrorist stuff. Or so claims its HM, Tako Dabi. It is only time that some body comes to fight for the rights of Arunachalis given the governance deficit there.
If you ask me, what the hell is going on, I do not see the complete picture yet, but whatever I see is this: a mish-mash of various indigenous/tribal groups, with numerous terrorist outfits that claim to fight for the various rights/whine profiles of these groups (the language based whine profile needs an altogether different understanding:
http://www.idsa.in/occasionalpapers/Nor ... aokip_2009), having cross-border affinities, safe-havens and training grounds, extorting and kidnapping at will and siphoning off of GoI development funds to fund their underground economy. In short, the Government is often not in the picture in the scheme of things and massive governance and trust deficits are par for the course in the Sister States. The underground economy funneled by terrorism is an industry of its own, and even if we can bring in all the players to the table, cutting off the roots to the funneling/extorting business is a far bigger task than we imagine. To my statistically poorly trained eye, a huge differential between male and female literacy % seems to have a high correlation for violence (
http://dharma-yuddham.blogspot.com/2010 ... ction.html), but that trend seems to apply even across the LWE corridor. Obviously that is over-simplifying a complicated picture, but eh, what else do we do when we have such a dizzying proposition as understanding violence in the NEast.