And on 23 June 2009SSridhar wrote:The followers of Zainuddin are all Mehsuds. There is a chance that Baitullah may win them over or intimidate them into joining him. Qari had about 3000 fighters that he claimed. In any case, the swift elimination of Qari Zainuddin immediately after he boasted of his determination to take on Baitullah, is a setback to those from PA who are fighting Baitullah. Qari was shot dead in his own office and nobody was apprehended for that. That speaks volumes of how his security was quickly compromised.BijuShet wrote: now that Qari Zainuddin is dead what will happen to his followers/fighters? Will they switch alliance to Mehsud or is there a no. 2 who will take Zainuddin's place?
Pakistan: McClatchy’s expert and special correspondent on Pakistan, Saeed Shah, has written an excellent article on a significant setback to the Islamabad government’s program to counter the Pakistani Taliban. Qari Zainuddin a Mahsud tribe leader, who challenged Taliban leader Baitullah Mehsud for leadership of the Mahsuds, was shot by one of his own bodyguards. Authorities suspect the killer was an infiltration agent working for Baitullah.
On several occasions this month, tribal lashkars -- loosely organized armed tribal militiamen -- expelled from their villages militants and terrorists associated with the Pakistan Taliban Movement. Government tribal political agents working with Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) probably provided significant support to encourage and empower the lashkar leaders and tribal elders. The government’s failure to provide security to Zainuddin will threaten to sap the courage from other potential tribal leaders who might act as counterweights to the Pakistani Taliban.
Shah’s article makes an important point that Zainuddin’s break with Baitullah was over the direction of the fighting. Zainuddin said he thought fighting Muslims was wrong. Thus he opposed Baitullah’s policy of fighting in Pakistan against Pakistani government agents and security personnel. Zainuddin thought the fight should be focused exclusively against the US and NATO forces in Afghanistan to force them to depart.
The episode spotlights the fragility of attempting to use tribes against each other, especially without enhancing the personal protection of the pro-government guys. It also exposes the divergence of interests between Pakistan and Afghanistan and its Allies. Some security initiatives that benefit Pakistan’s security actually worsen the threat to Afghanistan.