Levant crisis - III

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 18 Jun 2017 10:59

crater depth is impressive

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 18 Jun 2017 12:31

Crater depth must be like 3-4 m ? Some kind of delayed fuse action mechanism in play.

Not sure the type of aircraft flying Su-30SM or Su-34 ?

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 18 Jun 2017 12:36

Su-24 In Action

Peregrine · Post by **Peregrine** » 18 Jun 2017 16:02

Singha Ji :

How? Typed out message, Sent, but no "Record" in Out Box.

Cheers

UlanBatori · Post by **UlanBatori** » 18 Jun 2017 17:13

Crater depth may be deceptive. The cave-in may have exposed the Underground Palace.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:08

Al masdar news. This is 40km sw of raqqa where tiger force is trying to capture resafa junction. One road is to raqqa one to sukhnah and one back west to salamiyah

DAMASCUS, SYRIA (10:45 P.M.) – The US-led international coalition shot down a Su-22M4 fighter jet belonging to Syrian Arab Air Force (SyAAF) near Rusafa town in southwestern Raqqa countryside.

Syrian aircraft was conducting an air raid on positions held by the so-called “Islamic State” when the airbase lost contact with the pilot, about an hour ago.

At first, technical failure was considered the reason for the aircraft crash.

However, some 20 minutes ago, Syrian Ministry of Defense confirmed that it was coalition air force that had brought the SyAAF warplane down.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:09

Khan does not want Syrian govt anywhere near raqqa or dez which it wants the sdf proxies to occupy

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:13

Leith Abou Fadel @leithfadel
·
47m

Replying to @leithfadel
By taking the oil fields, they also cutoff the Syrian Army from the roads leading from Raqqa to Deir Ezzor

Leith Abou Fadel @leithfadel

I was told earlier today by a military source that US-backed proxies were going to move south of Tabaqa and take our oil fields

Leith Abou Fadel @leithfadel
·
50m

The Syrian Army is going to take Resafa and its oil fields. Those belong to Syria, not America.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:23

https://twitter.com/PetoLucem/status/876385555445108736

As per map tigers have circled around the sdf enclave in tabqah to head for resafa capturing a lot of oilfields. With the fairly weak sdf not in a position to take raqqa quickly...they have been asked to move east and south of tabqah under nato air support to try and block the tigers and grab what oilfields they can

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:28

Saa have entered dez state line from the southern desert per this report...headed for albukamal I think with pmu perhaps offering support from Iraqi side

https://twitter.com/WithinSyriaBlog/sta ... 3931789319

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:29

Within Syria @WithinSyriaBlog

Syrian Army have entered Deir Al-Zour Governorate more than 9 hours ago ,launched a rapid covert attack from its position on the boarders
7:38 PM · Jun 18, 2017

Replying to @WithinSyriaBlog
by now it's safe to guess that SAA have captured or about to capture the T2 station

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:30

T2 as I pointed out is on.a pipeline from.arak T3 to albukamal area on Iraqi border

Iraqi govt seems to have folded in some militant Sunni anbar tribes under pmu banner and using them for cleaning out accumulated debris in.border zone.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:34

Syaf and ruaf are reported to have stepped up attacks in raqqa dez belt to punish the isis being encouraged to depart raqqa via the entirely open south side

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:50

For Austin sir

Yusha Yuseef @MIG29_

Breaking , Iran Traget ISIS East Dier Ezzor with many Missiles from its ground

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:51

If indeed they launched glcm from Iran or from tigris valley the Saudis will be worried and Israel in a rage

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:53

The backfires might be back in Syria soon perhaps with pgm this time....or they do have fat he and thermobarics to play with....2x the kab1500 weight

Time to go all in and double down

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 02:56

Singha wrote:For Austin sir

Yusha Yuseef @MIG29_

Breaking , Iran Traget ISIS East Dier Ezzor with many Missiles from its ground

Confirmed. Looks like ballistic missile from video

https://twitter.com/IraqiSecurity/statu ... 7340836865

Things are moving thick and fast.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 03:03

The'Nimr'Tiger @Souria4Syrians

Likely Condemn it, that's about it. SAA must push on and reach Deir Ezzor. Thats the goal & the terrorists are panicking. We won't stop

Brasco_Aad @Brasco_Aad
Replying to @Russ_Warrior and @IRGC_QF
i wonder how Russia will respond against the US shooting down a Syrian warplane who was targeting a fleeing ISIS convoy

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 03:03

Meantime in a attempt to pressure turkey the ypg is sucking up to the Saudis....

It's like a wwf fight with everyone fighting everyone

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 03:23

4 ballistic missiles fired

https://mobile.almasdarnews.com/article ... eir-ezzor/

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 19 Jun 2017 06:27

SAA Su-22 shot down by coilation F-18

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 19 Jun 2017 06:29

Singha wrote:4 ballistic missiles fired

https://mobile.almasdarnews.com/article ... eir-ezzor/

Interesting development , glcm would have needed permission from Iraq aiespace

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 07:20

https://mobile.almasdarnews.com/article ... est-raqqa/

Sdf playing nasty with nato aircover to deny saa a route to pickup the downed pilot. no word on his condition.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 07:39

Persians have stepped in to tide over manpower shortage on syrians side with pmu and afghans being moved in to patrol static fronts and hold static positions in concert with ndf while the regular syrian army nd hezbollah all march east from various axes.

They are also goading the iraqi govt to step up efforts to control and clean up the border tracts. Al qaim is a mandatory objective. Being anbar province the shia pmu units may not be used but warlike desert tribes..probably the same lot who helped the govt id and destroy the two huge isis convoys fleeing falluja

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 08:42

3 of the 4 irbm launches recorded by a news crew in western iran

https://twitter.com/IranNewspaper/statu ... 2481503232

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 19 Jun 2017 10:27

Looks like US forces are trying hard for SAA not to reach Syrian Iraq border in any substantial numbers hence the shooting and scaring tactics.

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 19 Jun 2017 10:32

A map showing the distance the missiles crossed from Iran to Syria, some colleagues suggesting it's around 700-800 KM[/b

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 11:03

Syria frontlines @SyriaWarReports
#IS strategy is to tactically leave some Syrian land -> begin struggle between #SAA (Russia&Iran&Hezbollah) & #US (terrorists&turks&kurds)

^^^
so it looks like entire southern desert and southern countryside of raqqa has been vacated by ISIS - they are present along the river in madan, DEZ, mayadin, albukamal and in sukhanah in strength. maybe few 100 cut off in eastern hama now trying to sneak away under the tigers nose.

from their pov, they know the saa is unlikely to spare them. but get out of jail cards might be possible with the sdf , many of whose same sunni kinsmen joined the isis in the last few years .... look for sudden captures of towns along the euphrates with isis mysteriously melting away while fighting bitterly in sukhanah and against the tiger forces.

the syrians & persians are probably looking to bypass all this as plan B and move through the desert via T2 station to the albukamal - al qaim border to put a stake in the ground. it needs coop from iraqi side. and there was a high level syrian delegation meeting iraqi leadership in baghdad last week following which iraqis finally cleared their side of the al-tanf border and met up with the syrians militants camped on the other side.

if left unhindered the tigers could either make directly for DEZ via vacated desert and/or
creep to Sukhnah from behind for a hammer and anvil strategy

the deserts look bleak but all of syrian oil and gas lies under...incl a lot of it around DEZ

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 11:09

the territorial map is old but one can see the DEZ to iraqi border along euphrates is rich in oil and gas. could be split 50-50 if the syrians manage to relieve DEZ and march south to the border. if the PMU pushes in from the east could be 80-20 in favour of shia crescent.

rest of it the govt has under its control now except sukhnah , except a smallish ops in hasakeh under rojava

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 11:13

imho it was a strategic error by the nato planners to focus on raqqa .. it has no real value in the war unlike the oil rich areas south of DEZ. they stopped about 50km north of DEZ at ash shahdadi. perhaps arab militias could not be goaded or induced to fight on further. the kurds were reluctant to even send forces for raqqa as they do not view it as part of rojava.

now they are stuck with 1 hand in the monkey trap and isis is defending raqqa tying up lots of manpower that could have been deployed to grab more land and block the saa.

their other problem is the same as saa - lack of trained manpower and weak logistics.

the pmu with its 140k listed headcount is the biggest force in the region by a long way.

Austin · Post by **Austin** » 19 Jun 2017 14:29

Islamic Republic of Iran’s RMA Analysed-1

http://trishul-trident.blogspot.in/2017 ... lysed.html

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 16:02

minas tirith DeZ is where the climactic battle will be fought.

Faramir ie Zahreddine ji has released a video message also - they are standing fast against the sandstorms and the dark tide of orcs and uruk hai.

tigers are probably the horsemen of rohan led by old king theoden.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 16:26

tigers have taken control of the resafa town crossroads. a very strategic location.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/sy ... est-raqqa/

my feeling is 80% they will head toward sukhanah now from its backdoor and keep clear of tangling with strong ISIS presence along the river towns. this will also reduce chances of clashes with SDF which they cannot afford to waste time on.,,keeping off roads and moving fast across the country... the SDF is anyway not interested in going to DEZ. between dez and raqqa seems to be less oil/gas...the meat is from dez to albukamal. every 'dog in the fight' is after it.

sukhnah has a lot of isis to club down and a lot of oil/gas.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 16:35

persians have release grainy drone footage of BMs hitting isis positions. I can see 3 hits, the 4th hit is not there in recording atleast. dez is way too far for small tactical drones...so they are using MALE reaper type drones of their own or cheen origin ... and uplinking it via satellite. the quality of video is rather poor so maybe it lacks a thermal camera for night work. the russian orlan drones and the searcher2ski have better but not HD footage...atleast for public release.

https://twitter.com/WithinSyriaBlog

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 16:39

6 zolfiqar MRBM were fired per irani irgc

https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/2017 ... ike-syria/

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 16:40

sputnik news

From June 19, Russia is halting all interactions with the US within the framework on the memorandum of incident prevention in Syrian skies, Russian Defense Ministry said on Monday following the US-led coalition's downing of a Syrian army's jet near Raqqa.

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 16:42

(CNN)At least two tourists were killed and 32 others rescued on Sunday after gunmen attacked a luxury resort popular with Westerners near Mali's capital city of Bamako, a source briefed on the investigation told CNN.

Two of the three attackers were also killed, and the third gunman was missing after the attack on Le Campement resort, the source said. Three UN staff members were injured and taken to a hospital, the source said.

nam · Post by **nam** » 19 Jun 2017 17:08

Seems to be fairly accurate for a 700KM BM if the target were shown in the crosshair of the drone camera.

Great propaganda victory for the Iranians.Ofcourse this is kahepe nazar, kahepe nishana. The launch was probably let the Saudi know they(or houtis) can accurately target their palaces..

Now that everyone and his uncle has shown off their "mizzles", leaves out two loosers. The Chinese and us.

Pretty sure the Chinese will show off theirs(Saudis may fire their stock), couple of decades before the thought of using Brahmos will be discussed in GOI CCS!

Singha · Post by **Singha** » 19 Jun 2017 17:21

After Raqqa: The Challenges Posed by Syria’s Tribal Networks
June 16, 2017
After Raqqa: The Challenges Posed by Syria’s Tribal Networks
By: Aris Roussinos

https://jamestown.org/program/raqqa-cha ... -networks/

is jamestown foundation part of the gotus deep state?

they are advocating US mediate a power sharing between assad and SDF factions and withdraw from eastern syria without creating their usual mess by trying to brute force things.

nam · Post by **nam** » 19 Jun 2017 17:22

Singha wrote:sputnik news

From June 19, Russia is halting all interactions with the US within the framework on the memorandum of incident prevention in Syrian skies, Russian Defense Ministry said on Monday following the US-led coalition's downing of a Syrian army's jet near Raqqa.

Can Russia bomb SDF using the same words as the Americans? Fired in self defense?