Elections Modi 3.0
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
Forwarded by a known pollster @addheeraj in X. As per him the below data indicates wave election in favour of NDA.
https://x.com/partha2019LS/status/19864 ... sb6PA&s=19
https://x.com/partha2019LS/status/19864 ... sb6PA&s=19
1st phase 121 seats voting status :
Votes polled in 2015 Assembly- 18904787
Votes polled in 2020 Assembly- 20709219
Votes polled in 2025 Assembly (till 5 pm) - 22556748
So already 1847529 voters voted more.
It means around 15268 more voters voted per assembly.
#BiharElection2025
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
Doesnt a higher number of voters, especially at the start, indicate a trend towards anti-incumbency?
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
^^
Not necessarily. It depends on the context. And the context is favourable opinion polls and the leaning of ladies to NDA.
Not necessarily. It depends on the context. And the context is favourable opinion polls and the leaning of ladies to NDA.
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
Leaning of ladies - possible.
Opinion polls -
Early reports didn't mention peacefuls in particular.
Will be an interesting barometer
Opinion polls -
Early reports didn't mention peacefuls in particular.
Will be an interesting barometer
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
Islamist Zohran Mamdani Supporter & Soros-Funded Activist Sunita Vishwanath’s ‘Hindus For Human Rights’ With Ties To Terror Orgs Hosts US Event For Anti-India/Anti-Modi Journalists
https://thecommunemag.com/islamist-zohr ... i-journal/
A group of Indian journalists and commentators known for their usual rhetoric against Prime Minister Narendra Modi participated in a recent event in the United States organized by Hindus for Human Rights (HfHR) – an advocacy group co-founded by activist Sunita Vishwanath, who has been associated with George Soros’s Open Society Foundation.
The event, titled “Journalism in Today’s India: A Conversation with Veteran Journalists,” was held on 19 October 2025, in Palo Alto, California. It was jointly organized by the Association for India’s Development (AID) and featured seven speakers: Anand Vardhan Singh, Abhay Dubey, Ashutosh, Rakesh Pathak, Sheetal P. Singh, Rajkeshwar Singh, and Gyanesh Tiwari.
Promotional material for the event said discussions would focus on “media freedom, truth-telling, and navigating political pressures and censorship.” However, social media users have questioned the timing and funding behind the journalists’ extended foreign stay, several of whom have been touring or stationed in the US for weeks, reportedly for the second time this year.
The participation of Uttar Pradesh–based journalists in particular has drawn attention ahead of the state’s upcoming elections.
https://thecommunemag.com/islamist-zohr ... i-journal/
A group of Indian journalists and commentators known for their usual rhetoric against Prime Minister Narendra Modi participated in a recent event in the United States organized by Hindus for Human Rights (HfHR) – an advocacy group co-founded by activist Sunita Vishwanath, who has been associated with George Soros’s Open Society Foundation.
The event, titled “Journalism in Today’s India: A Conversation with Veteran Journalists,” was held on 19 October 2025, in Palo Alto, California. It was jointly organized by the Association for India’s Development (AID) and featured seven speakers: Anand Vardhan Singh, Abhay Dubey, Ashutosh, Rakesh Pathak, Sheetal P. Singh, Rajkeshwar Singh, and Gyanesh Tiwari.
Promotional material for the event said discussions would focus on “media freedom, truth-telling, and navigating political pressures and censorship.” However, social media users have questioned the timing and funding behind the journalists’ extended foreign stay, several of whom have been touring or stationed in the US for weeks, reportedly for the second time this year.
The participation of Uttar Pradesh–based journalists in particular has drawn attention ahead of the state’s upcoming elections.
Last edited by uddu on 07 Nov 2025 17:38, edited 1 time in total.
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
Here's why Rahul Gandhi is not going to court | Anand Ranganathan | Vote Chori
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
Rahul Gandhi’s H Bomb Becomes Fuski Bomb: Haryana Village With Booths Having 223 Identical Entries Overwhelmingly Voted For Congress
https://thecommunemag.com/rahul-gandhis ... -congress/
Congress leader Rahul Gandhi’s latest claim alleging “223 identical entries” in a polling booth in Haryana during the 2024 elections has come under scrutiny, with an on-ground investigation revealing that the village in question, Dhakola in the Mulana Assembly constituency, actually voted overwhelmingly for the Congress, not the BJP.
At a recent press conference, Gandhi alleged large-scale voter ID manipulation, saying: “The Election Commission needs to tell us how many times this lady, whose name we don’t know, whose age we don’t know, but we know she occurs 223 times in two booths. In the Lok Sabha election, she was there 223 times in one booth, and then they decided to split it into two booths.”
However, electoral data and field verification tell a different story. The booth Gandhi referred to appears to be Booth No. 63 in Dhakola village, which was later split into Booths 63 and 64 for the 2024 Assembly polls. Public polling station records confirm the administrative change explaining Gandhi’s reference to “two booths.”
Congress Gains, BJP Declines
Form 20 data from both the 2019 and 2024 elections show a decisive swing toward the Congress in Dhakola. In 2019, the BJP led the booth, but by 2024, the Congress had overtaken it in both the Assembly and Lok Sabha polls.
Polling data:
2019 Assembly: INC – 316 | BJP – 460
2019 Lok Sabha: INC – 315 | BJP – 355
2024 Assembly: INC – 602 | BJP – 275
2024 Lok Sabha: INC – 610 | BJP – 218
This turnaround suggests Dhakola was not a site of “vote theft,” but rather one where the Congress made significant electoral gains.
BLO Confirms Misprint, Not Malpractice
An India Today investigation in Mulana found that the photo duplication Gandhi cited in which the face of a Brazilian model appeared against multiple voter names — stemmed from a clerical error, not manipulation.
“When I was surveying, I found the same photo had appeared three times,” a Booth Level Officer (BLO) told the channel. “I corrected those who had submitted their own photos. But for others whose originals weren’t available, the misprint stayed.”
The officer’s statement indicates a technical error during data entry rather than a coordinated attempt at voter duplication.
https://thecommunemag.com/rahul-gandhis ... -congress/
Congress leader Rahul Gandhi’s latest claim alleging “223 identical entries” in a polling booth in Haryana during the 2024 elections has come under scrutiny, with an on-ground investigation revealing that the village in question, Dhakola in the Mulana Assembly constituency, actually voted overwhelmingly for the Congress, not the BJP.
At a recent press conference, Gandhi alleged large-scale voter ID manipulation, saying: “The Election Commission needs to tell us how many times this lady, whose name we don’t know, whose age we don’t know, but we know she occurs 223 times in two booths. In the Lok Sabha election, she was there 223 times in one booth, and then they decided to split it into two booths.”
However, electoral data and field verification tell a different story. The booth Gandhi referred to appears to be Booth No. 63 in Dhakola village, which was later split into Booths 63 and 64 for the 2024 Assembly polls. Public polling station records confirm the administrative change explaining Gandhi’s reference to “two booths.”
Congress Gains, BJP Declines
Form 20 data from both the 2019 and 2024 elections show a decisive swing toward the Congress in Dhakola. In 2019, the BJP led the booth, but by 2024, the Congress had overtaken it in both the Assembly and Lok Sabha polls.
Polling data:
2019 Assembly: INC – 316 | BJP – 460
2019 Lok Sabha: INC – 315 | BJP – 355
2024 Assembly: INC – 602 | BJP – 275
2024 Lok Sabha: INC – 610 | BJP – 218
This turnaround suggests Dhakola was not a site of “vote theft,” but rather one where the Congress made significant electoral gains.
BLO Confirms Misprint, Not Malpractice
An India Today investigation in Mulana found that the photo duplication Gandhi cited in which the face of a Brazilian model appeared against multiple voter names — stemmed from a clerical error, not manipulation.
“When I was surveying, I found the same photo had appeared three times,” a Booth Level Officer (BLO) told the channel. “I corrected those who had submitted their own photos. But for others whose originals weren’t available, the misprint stayed.”
The officer’s statement indicates a technical error during data entry rather than a coordinated attempt at voter duplication.
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
VI@WA
If life makes you 'Kumar', be a Gyanesh Kumar...Not Kanhaiya Kumar.
-B. Tech, IIT Kanpur
-Business Finance, ICFA of India
-Environmental Economics, Harvard University
-IAS, Kerala cadre in 1988.
-Principal Secretary, Govt of Kerala
-Joint Secretary, Dept of Defence Production, Ministry of Defence
–Joint Secretary, Ministry of Home Affairs
-Additional Secretary, Ministry of Home Affairs
– Secretary, Ministry of Parliamentary Affairs
–Secretary, Ministry of Co-operation
–Election Commissioner of India
-Chief Election Commissioner of India
-Faces daily Political Attacks from Dynast Family
-Faces daily threats from Bunty & Babli
-Still stood tall on SIR, cleaned rolls, deleted Illegal Aliens
And now....yesterday implemented 100% live-webcasting to increase transparency at its best.
A Tireless & Thankless Job done with Dignity & Iron Hand.
Re: Elections Modi 3.0
FWIW,
https://x.com/vyasa1968/status/19867358 ... km5Bg&s=19
https://x.com/vyasa1968/status/19867358 ... km5Bg&s=19
Bihar assembly elections 2025. Final update.
1. Bihar 243 seats.
2. As per Excel, seats below.
3. NDA- 141. (BJP-64, JDU-63, LJP-9, RLM-4, HAMS- 1).
4. INDI- 93. (RJD-63, INC-21, VIP-2, Left-7).
5. Others - 9 seats.
6. 14002 voters heard in Bihar, 2587 videos seen.
7. Vote shares. NDA-49.14%, INDI-37.88%, JS-9.68%.
8. The women voters polled are just 1170 and seat wise women voters polled are just 958. In the seat wise data, women are giving NDA 19% -20% lead on INDI.
9. As women polled in many /most seats are very less, the NDA seat estimates that I gave above needs an upward adjustment to reflect the real vote share strength of NDA.
10. Thus NDA range 155 to 165 seats. I wouldn't be surprised if NDA extends beyond 165 seats.
11. INDI- 70 to 80 seats.
12. Thus the higher range will mean more seats for BJP and JDU.
13. 49% vote share indicates a big pro incumbency vote share. Yes there are very loud and massive badlav noises among youth. But the women are taking the NDA vote share sharply upwards.
14. Thanks for all the counters, challenges, mild to severe trolling, interactions.
15. The Youtube inflow from Bihar was fantastic in terms of sheer diversity and high volumes. Certain Youtube channels like CityPost did a fantastic job in covering seats. Such a massively diverse base of Youtubers leads to better estimate of the pulse of ground and better seat wise estimates.
16. As always the disclaimer, no poll or pollster in India has any guarantee at all. Thank you.