Elections Modi 3.0

Hriday · Post by **Hriday** » 06 Nov 2025 19:13

Forwarded by a known pollster @addheeraj in X. As per him the below data indicates wave election in favour of NDA.
https://x.com/partha2019LS/status/19864 ... sb6PA&s=19

1st phase 121 seats voting status :
Votes polled in 2015 Assembly- 18904787
Votes polled in 2020 Assembly- 20709219
Votes polled in 2025 Assembly (till 5 pm) - 22556748

So already 1847529 voters voted more.
It means around 15268 more voters voted per assembly.

#BiharElection2025

Manish_P · Post by **Manish_P** » 07 Nov 2025 10:39

Doesnt a higher number of voters, especially at the start, indicate a trend towards anti-incumbency?

Hriday · Post by **Hriday** » 07 Nov 2025 10:47

^^
Not necessarily. It depends on the context. And the context is favourable opinion polls and the leaning of ladies to NDA.

Manish_P · Post by **Manish_P** » 07 Nov 2025 16:22

Leaning of ladies - possible.
Opinion polls -

Early reports didn't mention peacefuls in particular.

Will be an interesting barometer

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 07 Nov 2025 17:32

Islamist Zohran Mamdani Supporter & Soros-Funded Activist Sunita Vishwanath’s ‘Hindus For Human Rights’ With Ties To Terror Orgs Hosts US Event For Anti-India/Anti-Modi Journalists
https://thecommunemag.com/islamist-zohr ... i-journal/

A group of Indian journalists and commentators known for their usual rhetoric against Prime Minister Narendra Modi participated in a recent event in the United States organized by Hindus for Human Rights (HfHR) – an advocacy group co-founded by activist Sunita Vishwanath, who has been associated with George Soros’s Open Society Foundation.

The event, titled “Journalism in Today’s India: A Conversation with Veteran Journalists,” was held on 19 October 2025, in Palo Alto, California. It was jointly organized by the Association for India’s Development (AID) and featured seven speakers: Anand Vardhan Singh, Abhay Dubey, Ashutosh, Rakesh Pathak, Sheetal P. Singh, Rajkeshwar Singh, and Gyanesh Tiwari.

Promotional material for the event said discussions would focus on “media freedom, truth-telling, and navigating political pressures and censorship.” However, social media users have questioned the timing and funding behind the journalists’ extended foreign stay, several of whom have been touring or stationed in the US for weeks, reportedly for the second time this year.

The participation of Uttar Pradesh–based journalists in particular has drawn attention ahead of the state’s upcoming elections.

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 07 Nov 2025 17:37

Here's why Rahul Gandhi is not going to court | Anand Ranganathan | Vote Chori

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 07 Nov 2025 19:27

Rahul Gandhi’s H Bomb Becomes Fuski Bomb: Haryana Village With Booths Having 223 Identical Entries Overwhelmingly Voted For Congress
https://thecommunemag.com/rahul-gandhis ... -congress/

Congress leader Rahul Gandhi’s latest claim alleging “223 identical entries” in a polling booth in Haryana during the 2024 elections has come under scrutiny, with an on-ground investigation revealing that the village in question, Dhakola in the Mulana Assembly constituency, actually voted overwhelmingly for the Congress, not the BJP.

At a recent press conference, Gandhi alleged large-scale voter ID manipulation, saying: “The Election Commission needs to tell us how many times this lady, whose name we don’t know, whose age we don’t know, but we know she occurs 223 times in two booths. In the Lok Sabha election, she was there 223 times in one booth, and then they decided to split it into two booths.”

However, electoral data and field verification tell a different story. The booth Gandhi referred to appears to be Booth No. 63 in Dhakola village, which was later split into Booths 63 and 64 for the 2024 Assembly polls. Public polling station records confirm the administrative change explaining Gandhi’s reference to “two booths.”

Congress Gains, BJP Declines

Form 20 data from both the 2019 and 2024 elections show a decisive swing toward the Congress in Dhakola. In 2019, the BJP led the booth, but by 2024, the Congress had overtaken it in both the Assembly and Lok Sabha polls.

Polling data:

2019 Assembly: INC – 316 | BJP – 460
2019 Lok Sabha: INC – 315 | BJP – 355
2024 Assembly: INC – 602 | BJP – 275
2024 Lok Sabha: INC – 610 | BJP – 218
This turnaround suggests Dhakola was not a site of “vote theft,” but rather one where the Congress made significant electoral gains.

BLO Confirms Misprint, Not Malpractice

An India Today investigation in Mulana found that the photo duplication Gandhi cited in which the face of a Brazilian model appeared against multiple voter names — stemmed from a clerical error, not manipulation.

“When I was surveying, I found the same photo had appeared three times,” a Booth Level Officer (BLO) told the channel. “I corrected those who had submitted their own photos. But for others whose originals weren’t available, the misprint stayed.”

The officer’s statement indicates a technical error during data entry rather than a coordinated attempt at voter duplication.

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 07 Nov 2025 20:18

VI@WA

If life makes you 'Kumar', be a Gyanesh Kumar...Not Kanhaiya Kumar.

-B. Tech, IIT Kanpur
-Business Finance, ICFA of India
-Environmental Economics, Harvard University
-IAS, Kerala cadre in 1988.
-Principal Secretary, Govt of Kerala
-Joint Secretary, Dept of Defence Production, Ministry of Defence
–Joint Secretary, Ministry of Home Affairs
-Additional Secretary, Ministry of Home Affairs
– Secretary, Ministry of Parliamentary Affairs
–Secretary, Ministry of Co-operation
–Election Commissioner of India
-Chief Election Commissioner of India

-Faces daily Political Attacks from Dynast Family
-Faces daily threats from Bunty & Babli
-Still stood tall on SIR, cleaned rolls, deleted Illegal Aliens

And now....yesterday implemented 100% live-webcasting to increase transparency at its best.

A Tireless & Thankless Job done with Dignity & Iron Hand.

Hriday · Post by **Hriday** » 07 Nov 2025 22:03

FWIW,
https://x.com/vyasa1968/status/19867358 ... km5Bg&s=19

Bihar assembly elections 2025. Final update.

1. Bihar 243 seats.
2. As per Excel, seats below.
3. NDA- 141. (BJP-64, JDU-63, LJP-9, RLM-4, HAMS- 1).
4. INDI- 93. (RJD-63, INC-21, VIP-2, Left-7).
5. Others - 9 seats.
6. 14002 voters heard in Bihar, 2587 videos seen.
7. Vote shares. NDA-49.14%, INDI-37.88%, JS-9.68%.
8. The women voters polled are just 1170 and seat wise women voters polled are just 958. In the seat wise data, women are giving NDA 19% -20% lead on INDI.
9. As women polled in many /most seats are very less, the NDA seat estimates that I gave above needs an upward adjustment to reflect the real vote share strength of NDA.
10. Thus NDA range 155 to 165 seats. I wouldn't be surprised if NDA extends beyond 165 seats.
11. INDI- 70 to 80 seats.
12. Thus the higher range will mean more seats for BJP and JDU.
13. 49% vote share indicates a big pro incumbency vote share. Yes there are very loud and massive badlav noises among youth. But the women are taking the NDA vote share sharply upwards.
14. Thanks for all the counters, challenges, mild to severe trolling, interactions.
15. The Youtube inflow from Bihar was fantastic in terms of sheer diversity and high volumes. Certain Youtube channels like CityPost did a fantastic job in covering seats. Such a massively diverse base of Youtubers leads to better estimate of the pulse of ground and better seat wise estimates.
16. As always the disclaimer, no poll or pollster in India has any guarantee at all. Thank you.

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 08 Nov 2025 13:18

since when did the voter electoral rolls start having colour pics, or am I colour blind

Kanoji · Post by **Kanoji** » 08 Nov 2025 13:50

Bihar Assembly Elections: All eyes on 'Jeevika didis' as Bihar breaks voter turnout record

Read more at:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ... aign=cppst

This article talks about the sizable (1.4 Crore) number of women who have benefitted from the various government programs and achieved financial independence from Husband/Family.

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 08 Nov 2025 14:32

https://x.com/BefittingFacts/status/1987002360259035319
@BefittingFacts
Congress MLA
@AslamShaikh_MLA
has two voter ID cards.

Not in different states!

Not in different cities!

Not in different constituencies!

Not in different wards!

But from the same polling station!

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 08 Nov 2025 14:55

https://x.com/Skjpromo/status/1987009931216904242
@Skjpromo

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 08 Nov 2025 14:58

चालिस साल से आरजेडी में एक ही फैमिली का तवा गरम हो रहा है, ललवा

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 08 Nov 2025 15:02

https://x.com/NewsAlgebraIND/status/1986744295664320751
@NewsAlgebraIND
SHOCKER Tabassum Khatoon admits that she wiped off her ink mark after voting so she could cast another vote

REPORTER: You removed the ink to vote again?

TABASSUM KHATOON: Ji, ji

Incident took place in RJD leader Osama Shahabuddin’s constituency

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 08 Nov 2025 15:04

https://x.com/NewsAlgebraIND/status/1986683315961930068
@NewsAlgebraIND
HUGE Brazilian model appears after Rahul Gandhi alleges Vote chori

RAHUL GANDHI : This Brazilian model voted 22 times in India.

LARISSA NERY : What craziness is this? A reporter called me.

"It's an old photo and I was like 18 or 20 years old. I don't know if it's an election or something about voting... And in India??"

"They're portraying me as Indian just to scam people" - LARISSA

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 08 Nov 2025 15:05

https://x.com/itisatp/status/1986673413973549446
@itisatp
From 0 to now 1,900 votes — ABVP’s rise in JNU is no less than a revolution.

The same Left that once mocked “we’d win even if we field a dog” now hides behind a Grand Alliance (AISA+SFI+DSF) just to survive.

#ABVP lost the GS post by only 100 votes, the Joint Secretary by around 229, and the President by just over 400.

The so called red fortress is cracking — and ABVP stands taller than ever.

The future of JNU is saffron

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 08 Nov 2025 15:20

https://x.com/kochattil/status/1986846019792085165
@kochattil Mr @RahulGandhi
- The real Vote Chor was disqualified in June 1975

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 08 Nov 2025 15:21

https://x.com/MeghUpdates/status/1986864497383121229
@MeghUpdates
“Why did you vote for BJP?” — RJD supporters allegedly beat a Dalit family with sticks in Bihar’s Gopalganj after they voted for a BJP-backed candidate. Three people injured and hospitalized.

A glimpse of Gundaraj!!

chetak · Post by **chetak** » 09 Nov 2025 15:27

Home Ministry grants Y+ category security to Tej Pratap Yadav.

Centre Grants Y-Plus Security to Tej Pratap Yadav Amid Rising Political Tensions in Bihar

Patna: The Union Home Ministry has upgraded the security cover of Tej Pratap Yadav, chief of the Janshakti Janata Dal (JJD) and elder son of RJD supremo Lalu Prasad Yadav, to Y-plus category following a security review by central agencies.

Sources confirmed that the decision was taken after the Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) received a detailed report from security agencies highlighting potential threats to Yadav amid the ongoing Bihar Assembly elections. The upgraded protection includes 11 armed personnel, including Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) commandos, with a combination of static guards and personal security officers (PSOs) deployed round the clock.

Tej Pratap, who launched his own political outfit after his expulsion from the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) earlier this year, is contesting from Mahua constituency under his new party banner.

The move comes at a time when political tensions and concerns over law and order have intensified in Bihar. Yadav had earlier voiced fears for his safety, urging Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the central government to strengthen his security arrangements.

https://patnapress.com/tej-pratap-yadav ... ity-bihar/

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 09 Nov 2025 19:03

Is Family getting Hijacked like in Nepal?
https://x.com/engineer_inside/status/19 ... 2544787585
@engineer_inside
So is this why they opposed Ram Mandir and keeps targeting sanatan dharma ?

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 09 Nov 2025 19:28

'I am under threat, my enemies may even get me killed': Tej Pratap Yadav
RJD supremo Lalu Prasad’s elder son and Janshakti Janta Dal chief Tej Pratap on Sunday claimed that he had been “under threat” and his enemies might get him “killed”.
Yadav, who recently floated his political outfit after being expelled from the RJD by his father, is contesting from the Mahua constituency in the ongoing Bihar Assembly polls.

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 09 Nov 2025 19:38

https://x.com/MeghUpdates/status/1987370814799577406
@MeghUpdates
BIG BREAKING

Election Commission issues show-cause notices to 8 Booth Level Officers in West Bengal for dereliction of duty; mulls FIRs against 5 Booth Level Agents for violating election norms.

Complaints said BLOs distributed forms from tea stalls and local spots.

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 09 Nov 2025 19:40

https://x.com/NewsAlgebraIND/status/1987188363972243843
@NewsAlgebraIND
BREAKING NEWS BJP secures landslide victory in Daman, Diu, Dadra and Nagar Haveli elections.

Another HUGE SETBACK for Congress !!

Mort Walker · Post by **Mort Walker** » 12 Nov 2025 00:25

Where in the world is Dilbu? Need to put his naajar on for Bihar election!

shravanp · Post by **shravanp** » 12 Nov 2025 02:14

Mort Walker wrote: ↑12 Nov 2025 00:25 Where in the world is Dilbu? Need to put his naajar on for Bihar election!

No saar, Bihar elections don't need Dilbu-ji's nazar yet. Its pennies & change election, simply hyped up by Congoons. NDA has a clear edge. Jungle raaj memories still remain in Biharis memory.

uddu · Post by **uddu** » 12 Nov 2025 10:14

https://x.com/MeghUpdates/status/1988226634709921970
@MeghUpdates
Motihari: Police DETAINED 3 women and 5 men for fake voting at Booths 352 & 356 in Pachpakdi, Dhaka Assembly.

They were caught trying to vote in others’ names while wearing burqas.

Hriday · Post by **Hriday** » 12 Nov 2025 19:13

Some interesting posts from well known pollsters.
1.
https://x.com/sreeramjvc/status/1988299 ... dydWA&s=19

Making sense of JVC Poll in @TimesNow with @shreyadhoundial

Watch out if NDA goes past 157 or 158 then there is no upper limit. Bandwagon effect would start.

Post 158 demography has limited dividends. But spare a thought for @yadavtejashwi

His enemies were inside MGB.

2.

sweep for NDA (180seats around) as per Kamakhaya who has good track record including in Delhi, maharashtra

https://x.com/kamakhya_X/status/1988231 ... V-F_Q&s=19

As per Kamakhya, NDA is 167-187.

3.
https://x.com/addheeraj/status/19882459 ... I-Drw&s=19

Huge mandate for NDA as per poll diary. they have ok track record since 2024LS

As per Poll Diary NDA is 184-209.

Hriday · Post by **Hriday** » 12 Nov 2025 19:18

https://x.com/savvyasaachi/status/19869 ... UqvQg&s=19

No prob dear. We hv done high number of positive calls than negatives.

Our accuracy rate is 7. 5-8/10 since inception and we hv only improved that.

We r different from others in a way that we do number of opinion polls / ground reports showing the trend prior to elections

https://x.com/savvyasaachi/status/19882 ... TIQFA&s=19

After having presented 𝟵 Opinion Polls before you, here comes our 𝗕𝗜𝗛𝗔𝗥 𝗘𝗫𝗜𝗧 𝗣𝗢𝗟𝗟

(𝗦𝗔𝗠𝗣𝗟𝗘 𝗦𝗜𝗭𝗘 - 𝟳𝟱𝟲𝟬𝟬)

𝗡𝗗𝗔- 𝟭𝟱𝟰-𝟭𝟳𝟬

𝗠𝗚𝗕- 𝟲𝟱-𝟳𝟴

𝗝𝗔𝗡 𝗦𝗨𝗥𝗔𝗝- 𝟬-𝟮

𝗢𝗧𝗛- 𝟱-𝟳

LakshmanPST · Post by **LakshmanPST** » 12 Nov 2025 19:20

Axis is predicting a close election... Now I'm dhoti shivering...

Mort Walker · Post by **Mort Walker** » 13 Nov 2025 00:20

LakshmanPST wrote: ↑12 Nov 2025 19:20 Axis is predicting a close election... Now I'm dhoti shivering...

Yes. I’m getting the same info from BJP supporters in Patna. We need Dilbu here. Now!

vijayk · Post by **vijayk** » 13 Nov 2025 00:41

Mort Walker wrote: ↑13 Nov 2025 00:20
LakshmanPST wrote: ↑12 Nov 2025 19:20 Axis is predicting a close election... Now I'm dhoti shivering...
Yes. I’m getting the same info from BJP supporters in Patna. We need Dilbu here. Now!

Not again ...

Paging for Dilbuji ...

ramana · Post by **ramana** » 13 Nov 2025 03:08

LakshmanPST wrote: ↑12 Nov 2025 19:20 Axis is predicting a close election... Now I'm dhoti shivering...

Not likely. Lets see in 48 hours.
NDA will form govt with comfortable margin.
Its semi-finals for 2029.

williams · Post by **williams** » 13 Nov 2025 03:20

ramana wrote: ↑13 Nov 2025 03:08
LakshmanPST wrote: ↑12 Nov 2025 19:20 Axis is predicting a close election... Now I'm dhoti shivering...
Not likely. Lets see in 48 hours.
NDA will form govt with comfortable margin.
Its semi-finals for 2029.

No, no... not a semifinal or a qtr final, but a crucial match. Anything above 130 is good enough for NDA. Bonus will be few extra seats in the eastern and western edge of the state.

Hriday · Post by **Hriday** » 13 Nov 2025 05:51

https://x.com/addheeraj/status/19886251 ... iSW5w&s=19

Thoughts on Axis exit poll.
Axis likely under estimating NDA.
Survey shows yadav consolidation at 90%. this is unlikely given yadav vote in some measure for NDA in M seats
Women factor under estimated given Rs 10,000 scheme.
Overall see a comfortable to 2/3rds majority for NDA

Then how is NDA getting such vote share in seemanchal where MY is 70%.

In many seats they are, and NDA gets more than non MY vote % in those seats. Check seat by seat

For those who don't know, MY is Muslims and Yadavs.

Hriday · Post by **Hriday** » 13 Nov 2025 10:10

@sreeramjvc refutes Axis exit poll data of 90% support of Yadavs to MGB.
https://x.com/sreeramjvc/status/1988681 ... rzQKw&s=19

Please don’t go by this data on Yadav. 18% to 22% of Yadav support NDA. They are silent supporters.

But he concede that youth is with MGB who promised govt jobs in every home which is actually not possible. That is really concerning. I think people will think like, 'Not every home may get a job but I may get lucky to get govt job '. Yadavs will know that they will get priority in getting govt jobs.

From Times Now, see 5.25 minutes video in the link below.
https://x.com/TimesNow/status/198865496 ... M99bA&s=19

#BiharElections || Poll of Polls (Total Seats: 243):

- NDA: 145-164
- MGB: 74-93
- JSP: 0-2
- Oth: 2-6

Voters up to age 27, both men and women, favor RJD and Mahagatbandhan due to Tejashwi Yadav’s job promises...- @sreeramjvc tells @navikakumar

Prem Kumar · Post by **Prem Kumar** » 13 Nov 2025 10:53

Mort Walker wrote: ↑13 Nov 2025 00:20
LakshmanPST wrote: ↑12 Nov 2025 19:20 Axis is predicting a close election... Now I'm dhoti shivering...
Yes. I’m getting the same info from BJP supporters in Patna. We need Dilbu here. Now!

Amit Shah, post campaigning, was not ebullient. He said they will form Govt. Some BJP spokies said it will be a tough election but they will win

At any rate, what's clear is that BJP has missed the bus with the youth. No presence on Insta, FB etc. Modi thinks his Mann Ki Baat will connect with youth, but its likely oldies who listen in. 10 wasted years in not fixing Textbooks or Media means that an entire generation has grown up hating our culture and left-brainwashed. And Modi continues to appoint one loser after another as Education Minister. Education is a long term game but a winning game - the Sangh Parivar has never figured it out

Paging Dilbu!!!

williams · Post by **williams** » 13 Nov 2025 12:10

Prem Kumar wrote: ↑13 Nov 2025 10:53
Mort Walker wrote: ↑13 Nov 2025 00:20

Yes. I’m getting the same info from BJP supporters in Patna. We need Dilbu here. Now!
Amit Shah, post campaigning, was not ebullient. He said they will form Govt. Some BJP spokies said it will be a tough election but they will win

At any rate, what's clear is that BJP has missed the bus with the youth. No presence on Insta, FB etc. Modi thinks his Mann Ki Baat will connect with youth, but its likely oldies who listen in. 10 wasted years in not fixing Textbooks or Media means that an entire generation has grown up hating our culture and left-brainwashed. And Modi continues to appoint one loser after another as Education Minister. Education is a long term game but a winning game - the Sangh Parivar has never figured it out

Paging Dilbu!!!

Central HR/Education dept can only do so much. Education is a state subject and alliance with Nitishwa is always challenging.

Dilbu · Post by **Dilbu** » 13 Nov 2025 12:23

BJP will lose onlee.