Elections Modi 3.0

[Hriday]

https://x.com/sreeramjvc/status/1988997 ... 3gwMQ&s=19

Mandal versus Kamandal politics on play. When minority votes go more than 30% Kamandal comes into play. People go beyond their caste. When minority votes go less than 10% then Mandal politics takes shape & caste plays a role. Watch this video to know more.

I was actually discussing this scenario with the Founder of @peoplesinsight when he gave the term Kamandal & Mandal. Credit to him for giving the term.

See the 3.05 minutes video in the link above.

Today I learned that Hindu consolidation happens automatically atleast in Bihar when minorities are above 30%. Don't know if it is prevalent in whole India.
What exactly prompt the usual secular Hindus to behave this way? Discrimination, intimidation and other hostilities? This peculiar situation needs to be highlighted through media all over India. But I doubt Modi will permit it. Modi is very strict on not to defame Islam.

Another useful information from @sreeramjvc given below.

#BiharElections | JVC's (＠sreeramjvc) #ExitPoll on Times Now

Yadavs the Gamechanger?

- Scenario 1: 18% Yadavs vote for NDA

Outcome:

- RJD to win 8-10 seats in Yadav belt
- NDA retains significant chunk of seats

- Scenario 2: 6% Yadavs vote for NDA

Outcome:

- MGB to sweep Yadav cluster
- Could flip the Bihar mandate

＠MadhavGK with analysis.

[williams]

Prashant Kishor probably knew the outcome and did not run

[uddu]

https://www.republicworld.com/livetv
Initial trend
NDA:83
MGB:57


NDA:129
MGB:70

9:30 data
NDA:143
MGB:72

9:32 data
NDA:153
MGB:75

[Hriday]

Psephologist Dheeraj writes in X,
At 9.34 AM.
https://x.com/addheeraj/status/19891826 ... T1uNw&s=19

Based on eci trends, looks like NDA will end up with 175-200 seats.

Below post around 9.50 AM.

NDA 102
INDI 31
eci trends
will NDA cross 200 is only thing left in doubt

NDA 38
INDI 10
sweep confirmed

Pradeep gupta is the big loser, apart from Tejasvi and papu of cuz

How can one be so sure of the final results now?
This early lead could be due to pro NDA booths counting in the initial stages, no?

[williams]

Usually the postal ballots get counted first and so early trends usually tell us which way the wind is blowing. But I think NDA may hover around 160 seats.

[Hriday]

https://x.com/addheeraj/status/19891953 ... 43n2A&s=19

malayalam channels have BJP at 61 and jdu at 77
when eci has BJP at 70 and jdu at 71.
such frauds trying to underplay BJP to play into secular narratives

Below posted at 10.20 AM.

eci trends
NDA 161
INDI 55.
24 seats left to come
175+ loading for sure

[Mort Walker]

Follow the ECI please.

https://results.eci.gov.in/ResultAcGenNov2025/index.htm

Paging Dilbu!

[Dilbu]

BJP will lose onlee.

[KL Dubey]

Fantastic result. NDA heading to 190+ seats. Jungle raaj not returning. Nitishwa continues to show some sensible characteristics.

Amit Shah is back...!!!

SIR cleanup has worked. MoMo didi in kolkata will be worried.

AIMIM sherwani wallahs not to be seen.

Jan suraaj party is proceeding to its param-prashant (supremely peaceful) state of 0 seats.

[Hriday]

Forwarded by ramana in X,
https://x.com/MeghUpdates/status/198900 ... DYz8Q&s=19

Why only West Bengal election, People should also watch Bihar Results on News18 because their numbers come straight from counting centres, not just agency feeds. 46 locations, 150+ reports, and a control room verifying every input. That’s real election coverage, not guesswork.

 #ResultsWithNews18

[Mort Walker]

It's not over yet. What we're seeing are initial trends and ECI has NOT declared any seats won.

[williams]

I miss the old NDTV - glum faces appearing to be neutral but writhing with internal pain when this kind of results come out

[uddu]

Abki baar Do sau paaar will happen?

[williams]

Abki baar Do sau paaar will happen?

Trending very close to that.

[chetak]

bihar elections - papooze pulverized, tejaswi traumatized


congis in bihar -- सूपड़ा साफ


now starts the randi rona and vidhwa vilap


Time to break out the popcorn and liquid refreshments

[SRajesh]

Ek Modi bus Sansadpathi ko Hijada Bana deta Hain
Bechera Lipstick Meem ke Sath Neem ki Barfi kaya jha raha hain

[chetak]

[SRajesh]

Chetakji
In this Bihar election Mr Total Bihari has been very silent
Is it because he’s with TMC??

[Hriday]

Just for fun!
2.26 minutes video in the link.
Posted this morning 7.49 AM.
https://x.com/ANI/status/19891560780311 ... 9mxiA&s=19

#WATCH | Bihar Assembly Election Results | Litti Chokha, Rasgulla and other items being prepared at the residence of RJD leader Veena Devi in Mokama ahead of the beginning of counting of votes for #BiharElections2025.

Veena Devi is contesting against JDU's Anant Kumar Singh and Jan Suraaj's Priyadarshi Piyush from the Mokama assembly seat.

[Mollick.R]

As per latest trends from ECI site

grand old party KHANGRESS is getting folded into JUST 1 ONE SEAT.

[Mollick.R]

KHANGRESS is leading at just KISHANGANJ seat

https://results.eci.gov.in/ResultAcGenN ... S0454.htm#

[williams]

As per latest trends from ECI site

grand old party KHANGRESS is getting folded into JUST 1 ONE SEAT.

Rumor is Pappu has left the country already.

[Hriday]

From pollster Dheeraj, a lot of predictions coming true..

https://x.com/addheeraj/status/19892756 ... 7Ykdg&s=19

INC leading in only 1 seat in Bihar now,
fittingly its the 70% Muslim Kishanganj seat.
Real Muslim league indeed

Tejaswi will likely lose raghopur in my view. because the election is in the seat has become totally bipolar. usually RJD used to benefit from split in opposing votes between multiple candidates

The two Muslim parties are in a tough fight to decide which one is the bigger M party in Bihar.
AIMIM currently leading in 6 seats (all from Seemanchal), while COngress leads in 5 seats (3 from Seemanchal).
Who will triumph in the end.
Smaller battles in the Bihar election

unlike in 2020, AIMIM has heavily cut M votes in seemanchal, in seats where they are not winning.
In 2020, AIMIM either won or got nothing. This time they are getting votes across seats

So finally Congress starting losing the Muslim votes. That is a strategic blunder from Islam POV. Any idea what caused it?

Below one posted at 12.34 PM.

key takeaways from BIhar verdict
Women vote has delivered delta cutting across caste
AIMIM has cut M vote in pockets
BJP is party #1 of Bihar
RJD still retains core votebank and can regain any time when fatigue/freebies etc go out of fashion or when NDA is fragmented

Kamkhaya analytics @kamakhya_X was spot on.
11% vote gap, 180+ seats for NDA

[Lisa]

As per latest trends from ECI site

grand old party KHANGRESS is getting folded into JUST 1 ONE SEAT.

Rumor is Pappu has left the country already.

What you really mean, is that he is going back to his country.

[KL Dubey]

So it is a 200+ result now.

BJP contested 101 seats, with an amazing 90+% success rate as of now! This is even higher than in Maharashtra (BJP 89% success rate).

I spoke too soon on AIMIM. Now it seems they have more seats than INC. So it indeed seems that the green vote has deserted MGB.

[Mollick.R]

Nitish do not have a political heir.

I wish he enjoys CM ship for 4 years & then merges his JDU with BJP.
Then takes Sanyass from active politics due old age / health issues.
But I know its a wishful thinking.......... not gonna happen & may not benefit saffron party.

[chetak]

Chetakji
In this Bihar election Mr Total Bihari has been very silent
Is it because he’s with TMC??

SRajesh ji,


He is in shock.


As it is, his family now forcibly includes a mulla and his future is fading fast.


in next round, it's unlikely that he will get a chance again as the SIR bulldozer will clean out the pampered pretenders from across the border

[chetak]

this is the first time in a long while where palturam may not have the option of jumping ship and forming the govt with the opposition, which has been / is his standard practice, jump the divide as and when the mood or urge overtakes him

The BJP may be able to lock in their victory without interference from meddlers from either side who may wish to topple the govt

nitishwa will be the CM, but the reins of the govt will be managed by the BJP which has no other option for growth but to look beyond nitishwa, as and when the time comes

PK, the khujliwal replacement from the BIF has struck out completely

सूपड़ा साफ onlee

[SRajesh]

Chetakji
I feel that PK is a 'Lambe daud ka Goda'
He knows that Nitish's days are numbered. (I dont mean that he will attain salvation sorry no!! but politically speaking).
Pappu and Chor ka Beta will find it difficult from now onwards.
It's a dangerous trend that Owaisi is wiining beyond the borders of Razakar belt. Make no mistake that he is nothing more than a Razakar (just adding a AI to the party doesnt make him Indian). If BJP are funding him they should be prepared for another demand of 'Separate Electorate' a la Morley-Minto type. And if happens then that would destroy the nation. I get a sneaking feeling that Oawisi is working slowly towards it.
No, PK has everything going for him except long term funding and Media support. If he gets even a 10th of what Khujli got from Soros gang I think he will make substantial gains!!
TYhe upper caste are warming up to him!!. He needs OBC block and SC/ST. Once Nitish goes Kurmis are going to ditch JDU. Yadavs I am not sure though!!

[krithivas]

Credits to unknown - “Jan nayak becomes Jan naalayak”.

[chetak]

Chetakji
I feel that PK is a 'Lambe daud ka Goda'
He knows that Nitish's days are numbered. (I dont mean that he will attain salvation sorry no!! but politically speaking).
Pappu and Chor ka Beta will find it difficult from now onwards.
It's a dangerous trend that Owaisi is wiining beyond the borders of Razakar belt. Make no mistake that he is nothing more than a Razakar (just adding a AI to the party doesnt make him Indian). If BJP are funding him they should be prepared for another demand of 'Separate Electorate' a la Morley-Minto type. And if happens then that would destroy the nation. I get a sneaking feeling that Oawisi is working slowly towards it.
No, PK has everything going for him except long term funding and Media support. If he gets even a 10th of what Khujli got from Soros gang I think he will make substantial gains!!
TYhe upper caste are warming up to him!!. He needs OBC block and SC/ST. Once Nitish goes Kurmis are going to ditch JDU. Yadavs I am not sure though!!

SRajesh ji,

when the guy refused to contest he lost the confidence of the people who may have been rooting for him

That was followed by his dismal performance at the hustings and his very poor choice of candidates.

After this massive debacle, the voters will not trust him.

he will go the khujliwal way because like khujliwal, he has lost his credibility.

If he hadn't hyped himself so much and kept his mouth under control he would have not damaged himself and his reputation quite as much and he has exposed his hollow claims to be able to perform miracles

almost everything about him screams "khujliwal" and the rumors are that he is another congi creation (BIF) to split the NDA votes.

It looks like there is something dark in his needlessly opaque past that may have been used to hobble him, and why not...........