Geopolitics/Geoeconomics Thread - June 2015

[vijayk]

https://x.com/OpIndia_com/status/2005291939428696241

Beyond the CIA playbook, is Germany scripting the anti-India narrative war?

Germany didn’t disappear after its Nazi past; it changed its strategy. No tanks, no armies. just institutions, ideas, and influence. From DW News to Dhruv Rathee, and now Rahul Gandhi’s speech at Germany’s Hertie School, these developments raise a serious question: why does Germany escape scrutiny whenever we discuss Western regime-change agendas in India?

In this video, @ashu_nauty
Ashish Nautiyal explains how Germany’s soft power model operates in India and why it repeatedly intervenes in internal matters.

[Vayutuvan]

Watch the photo closely, Nixon is clearly in awe of Yahyas twirled eyebrows In the presence of the Beast of Lawhore …

His right-hand thumb placement, too. sharm sharm

[VinodTK]

POTUS has Compton from China, for Indo Pak peace

‘Bizzare’: New Delhi on Wang Yi claim that Beijing mediated between India, Pakistan

[drnayar]

POTUS has Compton from China, for Indo Pak peace

‘Bizzare’: New Delhi on Wang Yi claim that Beijing mediated between India, Pakistan

pretty sure the Chinese air defence systems failing was enough incentive for the pakis., so yep the Chinese did "facilitate" by providing junk

[sanjaykumar]

There is a paucity of commentary on this. Either the Chinese oroduce garbage and should move to cardboard cut-outs or the Indians were simply brilliant.

[A_Gupta]

Turkey-Libya vs Greece, Greek Cyprus expands to Morocco, Pakistan, Israel, India. Somalia and Somaliland, too?
https://youtu.be/2SYPI0_h0ZE?si=vxzyimSKWmjMJrfW

New developments are unfolding in Libya that could shake regional balances. At the beginning of the article, GZT Editor-in-Chief Doğukan Gezer asks the questions, and Retired Rear Admiral Cihat Yaycı, a faculty member at Topkapı University, provides the answers. The plane carrying the Libyan Chief of General Staff and a high-level military delegation crashed in Ankara. Why was the Libyan delegation in Turkey, and what messages did this visit convey?

Contrary to public perception, Turkey's presence in Libya since 2019 is not based on warfare on the ground; it is based on logistical support and military consultancy. How did the military cooperation and Maritime Delimitation Agreement signed on November 27, 2019, affect the civil war in Libya and the balance in the Eastern Mediterranean? Why did the Libya resolution, renewed in the Turkish Grand National Assembly on December 22, 2025, bring Libya's highest-level military command to Ankara? How does the summit held in Jerusalem on the same day by the leaders of Greece, the Greek Cypriot Administration, and Israel intersect with this message? Why did the Turkey-Libya Maritime Delimitation Agreement disrupt Greece's plans in the Eastern Mediterranean?

To better understand this complex equation, stretching from Libya to the Eastern Mediterranean, and from Pakistan to Africa, in its military, political, and geopolitical dimensions, you can watch our video.

[Mukesh.Kumar]

Breaking News: BBC: US seizes Russian-flagged tanker in Atlantic as UK confirms it gave support to operation

The US Coast Guard boarded the Marinera (originally the Bella-1, which was reflagged to Russia and changed name). The Americans are really in a hurry to precipitate a crisis. Is it because they believe that Russia is too weak and bogged down in Ukraine to take concrete steps against the US?

At the same time with the White House speaking forth on Greenland, the US seems to antagonize Europe. How many fires are being lit at the same time?

[Vayutuvan]

It is more to do with throwing Pukraine and Formosa under the bus, cutting China out of South America, making Euros to bend the knee to massa, and securing Japan/SoKo/Phillipines, and isolate China.

[Y. Kanan]

US says it will control Venezuelan oil sales indefinitely
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets ... 0937&ei=6

I'm sure this is oversimplifying, but in addition to screwing China did Trump also just save the petrodollar?

[chanakyaa]

Breaking News: BBC: US seizes Russian-flagged tanker in Atlantic as UK confirms it gave support to operation

Public records show that this vessel is owned and operated by a Turkish company

LOUIS MARINE SHIPHOLDING ENT
Daire 18, Blok U, Mimarbasi Sokagi,
Evliya Celebi Mah, 1, Tuzla,
Istanbul, Turkey.

And, this company was already added to the sanctions list in 2024, here is the OFAC link https://sanctionssearch.ofac.treas.gov/ ... x?id=49244

[vijayk]

US says it will control Venezuelan oil sales indefinitely
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets ... 0937&ei=6

I'm sure this is oversimplifying, but in addition to screwing China did Trump also just save the petrodollar?

https://x.com/_The_Prophet__/status/2009079720412074197

This is a geostrategic compression move masquerading as a feel-good trade deal.

On the surface, it reads like a soft partnership headline. Underneath, it’s a full-spectrum realignment of hemispheric influence using three converging levers:

1. Petrodollar reassertion via supply chain tethering

Venezuela’s oil revenues are being routed into enforced USD recycling - not through bonds or reserves, but through mandated purchasing of U.S. goods. This is monetary capture disguised as bilateral cooperation. Instead of hoarding dollars or flipping to BRICS, Venezuela is now contractually recycling oil capital into American industrial channels.

2. Soft occupation via industrial dependency

The targeted purchases - agriculture, energy infrastructure, medical - are sovereign capacity levers. These are the pillars of domestic autonomy. By locking Venezuela into American supply lines for each, the U.S. converts raw oil flows into strategic subordination. Venezuela becomes de facto integrated into a U.S.-controlled logistics network under the narrative of mutual benefit.

3. Multipolar deterrence through selective integration

At a time when China and Russia are consolidating energy alliances in Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America, this deal injects reverse alignment entropy. It signals to wavering countries that dollar cooperation now comes with material rewards and bilateral prestige. No sanctions, no IMF squeeze - just oil-for-infrastructure, tied to American output.

What this actually is:
•A resurrection of petrodollar dominance in hemispheric form
•A sovereignty-capture template that bypasses old Bretton Woods tools
•A warning shot to BRICS+ that the U.S. is no longer playing defense

It also signals how Trump’s foreign policy in this phase is less ideological and more operational. It’s about engineering co-dependency through industrial trade discipline. This is a form of geopolitical rehypothecation: Venezuela gets liquidity, America gets leverage, China gets boxed out.

Final read: this is a proof-of-concept for energy-based loyalty contracts.

The empire isn’t shrinking.

It’s mutating.

https://x.com/_the_prophet__/status/200 ... 56838?s=48

This is a war economy blueprint disguised as a growth plan.

Trump is fusing monetary policy, trade war mechanics, and industrial production into one operating system - with military supremacy as the terminal function.

He’s not rebuilding the military.

He’s rebooting the American empire.

Every signal is recursive:
•Tariffs become capital controls.
•Defense spending becomes employment stimulus.
•Debt becomes a weapon, not a liability.
•Inflation becomes a tolerated side effect of sovereign projection.

This doctrine doesn’t try to stabilize global order. It monetizes disorder. The military becomes a dual-purpose machine: outward-facing deterrence and inward-facing cohesion. It absorbs economic slack and converts it into perceived strength.

The dollar’s credibility will no longer rest on fiscal prudence or market openness. It will rest on overwhelming deterrence, energy control, and trade enforcement. The endgame is compliance.

This is how hegemonic transitions are resisted. Through fiscal-military ignition, narrative compression, and engineered escalation. Trump is not improvising. He is encoding force into the monetary substrate.

There is no neutrality left. You are either inside this ignition arc, or outside its protection. The walls are realigning. The empire is rearming. The countdown has already begun.