uddu wrote: ↑13 Feb 2026 07:31
What I am saying is importing anything is bad. Rafale indeed is a very good fighter. Same is our own Tejas. Tejas MK2 can outdo the Rafale in many areas. We must be doing things on our own and inducting our own fighters. Why I suggested few more squadrons is because of the IAF. A slight delay in indigenous program and they go into panic mode. It's a mindset problem. There are no issues with S-400 delay, no issues with Apache delays, no issues with GE or honeywell engine delays. They ask for perfection, which is how it should be not just with indigenous equipment but with foreign systems as well. So to quell their panic with squadron numbers and to give some room for the team working on indigenous equipment, a tiny bit more Rafale squadrons, until the Tejas MK2 production picks up. Probably both coming together for a year or two will help IAF to decommission some squadrons of outdated fighters much more faster. This will also help us do risk management in terms of some delays from other players if that happens.
Once the MK2 comes into service, we must be in a position to sell the ones in our service to friendly forces or back to France for a profit. Not hold onto them for the next 30 years pumping public money on expensive hardware just to keep them in the force, while the MK2 and AMCA start outdoing Rafale in every aspect with new indigenous capability coming into induction.
Saar, you cannot sit on the fence
If imports are bad, then cancel ALL imports. This "tiny bit more" is not feasible as per the reasons you have mentioned earlier.
But we have a shortage of 13+ squadrons right now (29 versus 42). By time all the 180 Tejas Mk1As (~ 9 squadrons) get inducted by the middle of the next decade; the following aircraft will have all been retired or will be close to:
1) MiG-29UPG: 3 squadrons
2) Mirage 2000I/TI: 2.5 squadrons
3) Jaguar IS/IB/IM: ~ 6 squadrons
That is another ~12 squadrons that will be phased out by the mid-2030s and we will be back in the same hole as today and actually even worse. By the mid-2030s, there will be the following;
* 2 Tejas Mk1 squadrons
* 9 Tejas Mk1A squadrons
* 13+ Su-30MKI squadrons
* 2 Rafale F3R(I) squadrons
And that is it. That is around 26 squadrons. The Indian Air Force will be at parity with the Pakistan Air Force.
The Tejas Mk2 will have just begun to enter squadron service. Please see this link --->
viewtopic.php?p=2671457#p2671457. The Tejas Mk2 is the fighter that will outclass the MiG-29, the Mirage 2000, the Jaguar and even the Rafale, in a number of parameters. It makes ample sense to produce more Tejas Mk2s versus inducting any further Tejas Mk1As, especially in the next decade. The Tejas Mk2 is also the stepping stone to the AMCA.
But the shortage needs to be addressed till the Tejas Mk2 starts entering service in sizeable numbers. That is where the MRFA comes in. There will be two concurrent lines i.e. one @ HAL (Tejas Mk1A, Mk2) and one @ TASL (Rafale). Two lines are better than one to address the squadron shortage. Now one can argue that why not give another Tejas line to a private manufacturer. That is easier said than done with HAL already having incentivized Tejas production. HAL can argue that why give another line to a private manufacturer, when they are already doing it. Just give additional orders will be the argument.
There was enough political controversy during the fake Rafale scam that NaMo stole jobs from HAL and gave it to Ambani for Rafale production in India. If such a narrative takes hold country wide, the govt could lose the next election. And in a democracy, elections matter. Because election outcomes drive policy. That is the ground reality of democracy that our enemies like China and Pakistan never have to entertain. When Xi states that he wants 500 J-20s, there is not a single public dissent anywhere. What Xi wants, Xi gets. You cannot do that in India or in any democracy for that matter.
With Rafale (or any other MRFA), HAL does not have a ground to stand on. They have zero investment (money or in human resources) in the MRFA. HAL can whine all it wants about the loss of MRFA assembly, but unlike the Tejas...there is not a single production jig of the Rafale at any HAL facility. And neither should there be. Dassault was absolutely correct in stating that they cannot guarantee a Rafale built at a HAL facility.
By handing the MRFA contract to TASL, the Govt also wants to end HAL's monopoly and it is long overdue IMVHO. HAL is an organization that needs to wake up from its PSU slumber and learn to face competition. HAL has never faced accountability - in its entire history - for its delays and it is time they face that reality. When future orders start drying up, because a private manufacturer can do the same job quicker and better...then HAL will wake up. The unions at HAL have ruined that organisation.
It is for this very reason that HAL was eliminated from the prototype development for the AMCA. And they will likely not get the production contract for the AMCA either. HAL has to prove that it can stand toe-to-toe with any private manufacturer in India. The proof will lie in the pudding.
There is a lot to complain about the Rafale. There is a lot to complain about this Govt's handling of the MRFA contract. But shame on all the stakeholders who did nothing to complete the development of the Kaveri turbofan. The best time to start that was 10 years ago. The second best time to start that is NOW. Complete the Kaveri so that in a mid-life update....we can put that engine into the Tejas Mk1A. If you have $35+ billion to buy 114 Rafales, then you certainly have the money to complete the Kaveri.