India having learned from the reaction of the international community to that international dossier, will also be prepared next time. Next time there will be no need for a dossier.AdityaM wrote:quoting link from 'Casting doubt on Indian nuclear weapon designs and yields' thread
Jeremiah News Conference - CIA
TSP having learnt from the Indian dossier will be better prepared the next time. Next time there possibly will be no links to pakistan.Q: when the US had confronted India in the past with evidence that it is prepared to conduct nuclear tests, did that, in fact, give them an edge in terms of giving some insights about how to better defeat US efforts to monitor what is going on there.
A: I think that whenever there is an opportunity to look at what someone else is looking at in your territory it gives you some insights into what you would want to do to cover that
1. India has been able to stick the blame on non-state actors in Pakistan. That has been acknowledged by one and all.
2. It has also been established that the Pakistani state is responsible in seeing to it, that such attacks do not happen. Everyone has reiterated that view.
3. Nobody is willing to publicly endorse the view, that LeT and other Jihadis working against India, are doing so at the behest of elements, which are part of the Pakistan State.
4. Nobody is willing to support Indian retaliation against those elements, or for that matter against Pakistan at large, or even to put pressure on the Pakistani State to turn over those responsible to Indian justice, or to sanction Pakistan for allowing such elements to find a sanctuary in Pakistan.
First two points establish that Pakistani elements are waging a war of attrition and terrorism against India. So India need not establish the guilt of those elements again and again.
Last two points establish that India will not be turning to the 'international community' to provide India justice. It will stand as an established viewpoint in the whole Indian establishment, that India will have to fight its own battles and wars. In the future, all this coercive diplomacy bull$hit, will just not wash with either the public or the establishment.
The question is why did the UPA fail so miserably to understand how the cookie crumbles. It was definitely a result of
- 'business as usual' attitude,
- 'romanticism' with the International Order and unfounded faith in it,
- 'institutional inertia' in correcting course, in context of established government policy of Indo-Pak Peace Process,
- 'gullibility' in buying the American argument, that the new democratic order in Pakistan should be supported at all costs and nothing should be done to upset the apple-cart
- 'overestimation' of US support to India viz-a-viz Pakistan, in the backdrop of so-called Indo-US strategic partnership
- 'false reading' of Western strategic interests and attitudes in their security circles
- 'mortal fear' of a conflict with Pakistan getting out of hand and going nuclear
- general 'lack of a security outlook and strategic vision' for India in the Indian leadership
- general 'lack of balls' in the Indian leadership
- 'criminal incompetence' within the Indian leadership w.r.t. doing international power and pressure politics