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by disha
28 Mar 2020 01:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

For those to think, if we are doing enough, here is what is been done in a district in Rajasthan. A place of 6 lakh people. https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/battle-to-save-a-town-from-clutches-of-corona/articleshow/74810132.cms The above is a must must must-read. #mediapimps & #urbanna...
by disha
27 Mar 2020 01:11
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^All the studies above concentrate on the virus. Not many studies concentrates on the human in summer. For example., In Summer, humans have a better Vitamin D profile. And Vitamin D is proven to directly influence our immune system. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3166406/ Moreover, in ...
by disha
26 Mar 2020 02:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

What about the 1918 spanish flu then that it took the life of 12-20 million in India? Without any conclusive proof, it's hard to believe that we may have super immunity to the flu virus. I would posit that Spanish flu was less virulent than coronavirus. Still it killed many! Why? Under Colonial rul...
by disha
26 Mar 2020 02:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Don't you have to account for the initial number of cases? Meaning - if you had 600 initial cases and after 5 days, it becomes 728, that's an increase of 128 in 5 days. If you had 10 initial cases and it becomes 138 in 5 days, that is also an increase of 128 in 5 days. Is the R0 the same in both ca...
by disha
26 Mar 2020 02:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

In the US, the greatest/most powerful/yadayada/stable genius run place, and especially Bay Area, home of almost all major tech companies, people lost their collective heads, emptied out shelves of TP, water (what for ??) and I saw a shirt-pulling brawl over beer at the neighboring grocery between t...
by disha
25 Mar 2020 07:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/each-new-coronavirus-infected-indian-could-spread-it-to-4-others-finds-icmr-study/story-aXQZXC4CpkP90vKtlj7SEI.html In simple terms, without any intervention in the Indian conditions the R0 will be four that is one will lead to 4 which will lead to 16 ... I...
by disha
24 Mar 2020 03:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

^Totally agree.

We need a danda for the Roman and Jihadi trojans. It does help if some Bollywood idiots and other assorted arrogant idiots are brought into the curve. They should demand why the Roman and Jihadi trojans are getting through. That tube light has to click in them.
by disha
24 Mar 2020 03:18
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The difference is simple. Vietnam locked it's border. Europe didn't. We did, but the arrogant idiots like Kanika Kapoor broke the doors and created this massive problem for India now. All those who 'escaped' quarantine and got caught must be charged with accessory to murder (accidental death) and p...
by disha
24 Mar 2020 03:16
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Second ‘door’ to the coronavirus was found in human cells: Does this give any hope? Yes. How does the virus reproduce? In simple terms is a DNA/RNA encapsulated in a protein that may be encapsulated further in a lipid (coronavirus is later and hence washing hands help). To replicate itself, the vir...
by disha
24 Mar 2020 03:00
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Gerard wrote:Jean Drèze


Sir, Jean Dreze is the perennial anti-Hindu and the brain behind Sonia's NAC. He wants to try out his stupid theories on India and in the process win couple of prizes incl. the NoBull prize.

The only reason he should be mentioned in the august pages of the BRF would be to ridicule him.
by disha
23 Mar 2020 09:49
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

IndraD wrote:News of more and more young fit and well population falling severely ill with covid19!
From 35 to 47 year old are being ventilated in ITU with no precondition. Virus is unpredictable.


Do we know the dietary practices of the 'young fit and well population' ?
by disha
23 Mar 2020 09:44
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

looks like California is flattening out, NY is scary with 100% increase overnight. Meanwhile, the effects of our lockdown will take another 1 week to show. BTW, any newer studies on hydroxychloroquie+azithromycin treatment efficacy ? Northern California was flattening out (or even reducing) until S...
by disha
22 Mar 2020 03:50
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

kanika kapoor, the singer who willfully evaded screening on her return from the UK and knowingly attended large public functions as befitting her "star" status. this is the bollywoodia "41 year old" baby doll. Kanika Kapoor and her a$$e licker Sodumb Kapoor must be sent to Pakis...
by disha
21 Mar 2020 06:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

If you look at the raw numbers within the US, last 3 days is a completely different story than the 14 days prior. It went from 9K to 13K to 18K. .... US (and India) are large and xtra-xtra-large countries. What goes for Italy and Germany does not apply to US and India. The only option is for us to ...
by disha
21 Mar 2020 00:05
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I think we dont have so many ventilators. Somewheres reading Delhi has only 500, which would mean around 5,000 or so, all over India. DRDO and IITs should come up with a plan to design, develop and manufacture a ventilator by the millions in 3 weeks. It is doable. At the very basic, it is a clean a...
by disha
19 Mar 2020 06:58
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 4813
Views: 940624

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

I had disagreements with you in past and do not totally agree with your line of thought., Though The (in-) action of MoF and RBI in the face of the greatest economic threat in a generation is going to go down as a shameful chapter in the history of Indian economic policy-making . Sounds hyperbolic, ...
by disha
19 Mar 2020 06:21
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Idiots abound everywhere https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/SF-slammed-over-crowded-Embarcadero-with-little-15141015.php#photo-19189687 I think a change in strategy is required. The goal is to protect the elderly, not to overwhelm the ICUs and that is what we do. We start setting up a medic...
by disha
19 Mar 2020 02:55
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

mappunni wrote:Doesn't India only have a process patent and not a product patent only?


India has both when last checked. Either of same product different process and same process different product patent can be applied. The later is good for semi-conductors or super-conductors.
by disha
19 Mar 2020 02:53
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I wanted to post this study .... – Current R0 rate ~ 3 (one person infects 3 other people. If they do this in ~10 days, it would account for doubling time 1 week). – Drop R0 to 1.5: Doubling time would increase ~4-fold. (* My attestation: That is from 1 week to 4 week) – Drop R0 to 1.25: Doubling t...
by disha
19 Mar 2020 02:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

A different take on the approach to the nCV outbreak - an interview with the legendary vaccine scientist, Dr. Paul Offit. The interviewer is Dr. Zubin Damania - popularly known as ZDoggMD. MAeaFoSuJho The above is a must-watch. And I do agree with Dr. Offit's views (he puts it very succinctly). May...
by disha
19 Mar 2020 00:52
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

But does it matter now if he is not exhibiting any symptoms and otherwise he is well? Right now he works from home. Please see Saumithra_j's post above. Reproducing Here is an interesting study: Hydroxychloroquinine and Azithromycin for treatment of COVID-19 I would reckon these are easily availabl...
by disha
19 Mar 2020 00:14
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I wanted to post this study https://drive.google.com/file/d/1DqfSnlaW6N3GBc5YKyBOCGPfdqOsqk1G/view made public by the Lin Lab, Stanford http://med.stanford.edu/linlab.html Social distancing: Could have wide range of effects. – Current R0 rate ~ 3 (one person infects 3 other people. If they do this i...
by disha
18 Mar 2020 23:37
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

On weather: 1. Will hot weather stop the virus? NO. 2. Will hot weather kill the virus? NO. 3. So why weather matters? In the Indian context, hot summer acts as a social distancing. Of course, Government still has to take care of ensuring that large population do not congegrate together. The R0 fact...
by disha
18 Mar 2020 23:31
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

the mofhw link posted last page is official but has a time lag and no graphs. no one other than covidout.in is providing an India specific dashboard to my knowledge. I actually like the covidout.in site. One thing I was looking for was the graph and the daily reported cases. Lets say the covid.out ...
by disha
18 Mar 2020 03:54
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The plastic bag ban backfires Reusable shopping bags may harbor the virus and could facilitate its spread In 2013 millions of American piglets died amid an outbreak of novel swine enteric coronavirus disease, and after an investigation the U.S. Department of Agriculture concluded that reusable feed...
by disha
17 Mar 2020 07:34
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

The following article has to be read once https://poseidon01.ssrn.com/delivery.php?ID=9620080211270901191010260840250900051270320930880050921000930270701040640951210020781100240360051070001100210690691160650821260390720300020071030811051080661191090770520361260780850790840221150661150101230070821270...
by disha
17 Mar 2020 07:08
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

This is basically a curfew and rumors of lockdown were floating yesterday itself causing a massive run on grocery shops. Before that, there was run on masks so much so that there are reports that firefighters and medical service personnel are begging the community to give them some. I know of a Doct...
by disha
17 Mar 2020 04:30
Forum: Technology & Economic Forum
Topic: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017
Replies: 4813
Views: 940624

Re: Indian Economy News & Discussion - Nov 27 2017

https://swarajyamag.com/economy/central-banks-around-the-world-had-set-the-stage-but-rbi-wasted-its-chance I totally agree with the above article. A significant rate cut from RBI will actually jump-start the economy post corona virus pandemic. GOI can under 'hardship' announce new schemes to boost ...
by disha
17 Mar 2020 00:48
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Should I ask my parents (70+) who are definitely at Risk diabetes, heart ailments, high BP (currently in self quarantine in NOIDA) go to our ancestral village near KanyaKumari. facilities there are not great but I feel that they will reduce the risk of getting the Virus from surroundings as unlike ...
by disha
15 Mar 2020 07:59
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

some no linearity can be modeled. iterative methods will work, I.e. converge, as long as the equations are not very stiff. stiffness can be controlled by external measures like social distancin, i.e. designing a mechanism. My point is that it is not impossible. It is just difficult and hence non-li...
by disha
15 Mar 2020 07:43
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Do not use weather. Correlate with UV incidence. Indian villages will be less impacted than cities because of less air-pollution. Cutting down on air pollution does result in higher incidence of UV. And UV is an effective germicidal. Is the WuhanVirus under control now in China because the air pollu...
by disha
15 Mar 2020 07:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

simple mathematical models, however solid that are, may not give the right picture unless nonlinear nature of the real situation is not captured in the model. Since the nonlinear nature of the real situation is difficult to model, it is never captured in the model and then people wonder why the mod...
by disha
15 Mar 2020 07:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

To doctors and other stake holders here in USA: Please consider signing it. c Open Letter to Vice President Mike Pence RE: US COVID-19 Response] The above is political campaigning in crises. With utter disregard how public health infrastructure works in US. Of course the goals in the open letter ab...
by disha
14 Mar 2020 22:39
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

[ Definitely. In past hour, 2 people did die in India due to road accidents. So why the panic on Coronavirus? Short, clear answer - exponential growth. One of nice example, I have given all the time, is a recent tweet by Chess Champion Kasparov. 1. Kasparov is a racist. 2. The chess example is from...
by disha
14 Mar 2020 00:45
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Two deaths in India now. Definitely. In past hour, 2 people did die in India due to road accidents. Perspective is important. Yes, the Coronavirus pandemic needs to be stemmed. Humanity does not need one more disease. It impacts the poor more than the rich. Having said that: 1. Coronavirus is *NOT*...
by disha
14 Mar 2020 00:36
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

What should we do with these morons? Quarantine them in a prison? Given that the Indian government quickly brought in the 1897 Act on epidemics https://ijme.in/articles/the-epidemic-diseases-act-of-1897-public-health-relevance-in-the-current-scenario/?galley=html Above gives broad-ranging powers to...
by disha
13 Mar 2020 01:01
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

...hot water regularly as dry throats are a magnet for Virus. To that, I have started having Ginger Tea and Gooseberry (called Naseberry in here) more than my usual, increased Turmeric Powder Garlic... My experiences with Rhinovirus and Flu virii: 1. Zinc lozenges help. The downside is that they wi...
by disha
10 Mar 2020 07:28
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

Amber G. wrote:My take - The groveling of Pence in praise of "deal leader" was nauseating ..Never saw North Korean type tamasha before. ... /sigh/


Have you seen the grovelling done in praise of CA Gov Gavin Newsom on his presser on Wuhan virus & availability of test kits?
by disha
08 Mar 2020 22:33
Forum: Strategic Issues & International Relations Forum
Topic: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread
Replies: 4151
Views: 306400

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus Resource Thread

I think CoronaVirus scare is a precursor to something else in future. This is just a "trailer", picture toh-abhi-baki-hain.

It shows the responsiveness of each country and why US is blaise about it.

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